- Lead
- 2,552
- Total
- 46,912
- vs nation
- R+4.0
- Turnout
- 61.0%
Wicomico County, MD
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.0% of 76,902 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 890
- Total
- 46,216
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- 61.3%
- Lead
- 4,148
- Total
- 41,977
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Turnout
- 57.5%
- Lead
- 2,129
- Total
- 42,259
- vs nation
- R+8.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,413
- Total
- 41,852
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,861
- Total
- 37,503
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,869
- Total
- 31,795
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 384
- Total
- 27,286
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 104,9142024 5-year
- Population density
- 280 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 374 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,2102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 26.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+54.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chesapeake city, VA · twin score 93.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.0%46,912 participants ÷ 76,902 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 40.2%–44.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 42,930 | 74,621 | 57.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 34,112 | 75,312 | 45.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 46,676 | 76,125 | 61.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 31,003 | 76,542 | 40.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 46,912 | 76,902 | 61.0% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Wicomico County, MD · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles · 31 with a vote-share denominator · 31 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
64.1%
6,895 votes · D+28.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 61.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
69.7%
13,115 votes · R+40.4
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 66.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
22,054votes
47.7% of the vote · R+1.9
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 21,513 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
24,065votes
51.3% of the vote · R+5.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 22,944 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+35.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.9 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · +34.9 pts
Republican
George H. W. Bush1988
+18.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.6 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +17.3 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Wicomico County, MD registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 7.3-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
67,874 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−167 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −771 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,337 in average income, against $69,622 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.5 on average — about the same lean as Wicomico County, MD (R+5.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Worcester County, MD379R+21.9
- Sussex County, DE360R+11.0
- Somerset County, MD223R+17.3
- Baltimore County, MD85D+24.3
- Dorchester County, MD82R+14.5
- Anne Arundel County, MD66D+13.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sussex County, DE357
- Worcester County, MD309
- Somerset County, MD243
- Dorchester County, MD84
- Anne Arundel County, MD64
- Baltimore County, MD63
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +267 |
| 2012 | −241 |
| 2013 | −330 |
| 2014 | −50 |
| 2015 | −201 |
| 2016 | −192 |
| 2017 | −335 |
| 2018 | +351 |
| 2019 | +186 |
| 2021 | +272 |
| 2022 | +111 |
| 2023 | −233 |
| 2024 | −209 |
| 2025 | −167 |
Wicomico sits at the commercial hub of Maryland's Eastern Shore, anchored by Salisbury's healthcare and retail economy. Once reliably competitive, it has shifted toward Republican margins in most statewide contests since the mid-2000s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 54.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 40.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.4 points.
A population of 104,914, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,210 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chesapeake city and Chatham County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wicomico County, Maryland. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/24045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.