- Lead
- 7,201
- Total
- 32,881
- vs nation
- R+20.4
- Turnout
- 75.9%
Worcester County, MD
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 75.9% of 43,334 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,011
- Total
- 31,691
- vs nation
- R+23.4
- Turnout
- 76.7%
- Lead
- 7,457
- Total
- 27,947
- vs nation
- R+28.8
- Turnout
- 69.1%
- Lead
- 4,937
- Total
- 27,420
- vs nation
- R+21.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,233
- Total
- 27,346
- vs nation
- R+22.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,701
- Total
- 25,229
- vs nation
- R+20.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,353
- Total
- 20,753
- vs nation
- R+7.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 34
- Total
- 16,931
- vs nation
- R+8.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 53,7002024 5-year
- Population density
- 115 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 468 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $81,7452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cape May County, NJ · twin score 85.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 75.9%32,898 participants ÷ 43,334 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 56.2%–60.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 28,501 | 41,257 | 69.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 24,165 | 41,594 | 58.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 31,914 | 41,616 | 76.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 24,238 | 42,569 | 56.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 32,898 | 43,334 | 75.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Worcester County, MD · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles · 30 with a vote-share denominator · 31 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
61.9%
3,593 votes · D+24.4
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · 61.0%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
75.2%
5,584 votes · R+51.1
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 68.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
12,560votes
39.6% of the vote · R+19.0
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 12,431 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
19,632votes
59.7% of the vote · R+21.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 18,571 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
+68.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+88.1 · U.S. D+19.5
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +47.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+28.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.7 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +27.9 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.6 points more Republican than the rolls.
44,462 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+376 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,357 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $90,073 in average income, against $95,392 for residents who stayed — 6% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+7.3 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than Worcester County, MD itself (R+21.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wicomico County, MD309R+5.4
- Sussex County, DE137R+11.0
- Baltimore County, MD125D+24.3
- Anne Arundel County, MD99D+13.8
- Montgomery County, MD64D+52.8
- Accomack County, VA60R+13.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Wicomico County, MD379
- Sussex County, DE209
- Baltimore County, MD60
- Somerset County, MD53
- Anne Arundel County, MD49
- Accomack County, VA45
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +128 |
| 2012 | +183 |
| 2013 | +110 |
| 2014 | +137 |
| 2015 | +58 |
| 2016 | +202 |
| 2017 | +370 |
| 2018 | +525 |
| 2019 | +576 |
| 2021 | +1,209 |
| 2022 | +747 |
| 2023 | +424 |
| 2024 | +312 |
| 2025 | +376 |
Worcester County anchors Maryland's Atlantic coast, home to Ocean City's tourism economy. Despite sitting in a heavily Democratic state, it has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 51.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.9 points.
A population of 53,700, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,745 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cape May County and Indian River County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Worcester County, Maryland. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/24047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.