HarrisDemocratic62.6%1,902,577TrumpRepublican34.1%1,035,550SteinGreen1.1%33,134
D+28.5- Lead
- 867,027
- Total
- 3,038,334
- vs nation
- D+30.0
- Turnout
- 68.8%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+28.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,206,0112024 5-year
- Population density
- 639 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 9,711 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $103,6782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 46.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 29.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+79.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+23.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- District of Columbia, DC · twin score 87.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.8%3,038,334 participants ÷ 4,418,302 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 43.8%–50.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,807,326 | 4,212,263 | 66.6% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,335,128 | 4,262,388 | 54.8% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,059,603 | 4,313,168 | 70.9% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,028,850 | 4,411,238 | 46.0% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,038,334 | 4,418,302 | 68.8% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 155/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Maryland · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles · 30 with a vote-share denominator · 31 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
65.5%
730,912 votes · D+30.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 65.4%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
61.3%
829,305 votes · R+23.9
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 60.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,985,023votes
65.4% of the vote · D+33.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,902,577 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,035,550votes
34.1% of the vote · D+28.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 1,024,703 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
+59.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+79.1 · U.S. D+19.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +30.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+6.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+12.8 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +5.9 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governor
Wes MoorenomineeDan Coxnominee
Incumbent Wes Moore (D) is running for a second term and won renomination with ~88%. Republican Dan Cox won the GOP primary (over Ed Hale and others), setting up a rematch of 2022. A Green Party candidate (Andy Ellis) has been reported for the general ballot but is in secondary reporting only, so excluded from the confirmed roster.
U.S. House elections · 200 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 7 · R 1 | 63.5% | 34.7% | 2,935,328 | |
| D 7 · R 1 | 64.7% | 34.6% | 1,995,728 | |
| D 7 · R 1 | 64.7% | 34.8% | 2,954,170 | |
| D 7 · R 1 | 65.3% | 32.3% | 2,286,120 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+27.8
Presidential vote · 2024D+28.5
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.7 points.
4,324,149 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−12,127 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −290,578 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +519 |
| 2012 | −6,440 |
| 2013 | −11,012 |
| 2014 | −16,479 |
| 2015 | −25,651 |
| 2016 | −29,709 |
| 2017 | −24,054 |
| 2018 | −24,353 |
| 2019 | −23,665 |
| 2021 | −21,803 |
| 2022 | −45,953 |
| 2023 | −31,484 |
| 2024 | −18,367 |
| 2025 | −12,127 |
A state that voted Democratic for president by 28.5 points elected a Republican governor twice.
- Presidential margin, 2024
- D+28.5 — 1.9M to 1.0M, down from D+33.2 in 2020 · MIT Election Lab
- Won the state on eight jurisdictions
- The Democrat carried 8 of 24; the Republican carried 16 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Bluest and reddest
- Prince George’s D+74.8 (majority-Black) against Garrett R+53.8 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- 2nd-highest household income
- $103,678 median — 2nd of 50, above the U.S. $80,734; 5th-lowest poverty · ACS 2024 5-year
- Large Black population
- 29% of residents — among the largest shares of any state · ACS 2024 5-year (B03002)
- Splits its ticket for governor
- Hogan (R) won 2014 R+3.7 and 2018 R+11.9; Moore (D) won 2022 D+32.4 — Moore–Cox rematch in 2026 · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
District of Columbia
District of Columbia
87.6twin score
median income12-yr trend% White≠ 2004 margin
Illinois
Illinois
66.2twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Virginia
Virginia
66.1twin score
12-yr trendcollege sharemedian income≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Maryland. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/MD/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Maryland
Frequently asked questions
How did Maryland vote in 2024?
In 2024, Maryland voted Democratic by 28.5 points (D+28.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,038,334 votes cast, 1,902,577 went Democratic and 1,035,550 went Republican.
When did Maryland last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Maryland voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Maryland?
Maryland has a population of 6,206,011 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Maryland?
Median household income in Maryland is $103,678 — above the national median of $80,734. The Maryland state median is $103,678.
What is the political history of Maryland?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Maryland from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.