- Lead
- 75,339
- Total
- 182,291
- vs nation
- D+42.8
- Turnout
- 78.3%
Howard County, MD
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 78.3% of 232,909 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 81,043
- Total
- 183,062
- vs nation
- D+39.8
- Turnout
- 83.4%
- Lead
- 55,113
- Total
- 158,673
- vs nation
- D+32.6
- Turnout
- 78.3%
- Lead
- 33,635
- Total
- 153,108
- vs nation
- D+18.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 31,727
- Total
- 145,233
- vs nation
- D+14.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,533
- Total
- 133,810
- vs nation
- D+11.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,747
- Total
- 112,779
- vs nation
- D+7.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,720
- Total
- 95,508
- vs nation
- R+1.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+41.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 336,3282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $149,7632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 45.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70.7 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29.0 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fairfax County, VA · twin score 98.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 78.3%182,472 participants ÷ 232,909 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +26.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 52.4%–60.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 163,668 | 209,138 | 78.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 145,235 | 214,226 | 67.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 184,340 | 221,082 | 83.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 131,716 | 229,438 | 57.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 182,472 | 232,909 | 78.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
67 precincts · 182,291 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -06-2706-27 | 4,009 | 1,059 | 287 | 5,355 | 74.9% | 19.8% | D+55.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -03-0103-01 | 2,896 | 1,903 | 234 | 5,033 | 57.5% | 37.8% | D+19.7 |
| Precinct -05-0605-06 | 3,232 | 1,332 | 234 | 4,798 | 67.4% | 27.8% | D+39.6 |
| Precinct -05-0505-05 | 3,286 | 1,258 | 245 | 4,789 | 68.6% | 26.3% | D+42.3 |
| Precinct -06-2106-21 | 3,295 | 799 | 184 | 4,278 | 77.0% | 18.7% | D+58.3 |
| Precinct -06-2006-20 | 3,342 | 760 | 151 | 4,253 | 78.6% | 17.9% | D+60.7 |
| Precinct -05-0105-01 | 2,410 | 1,459 | 213 | 4,082 | 59.0% | 35.7% | D+23.3 |
| Precinct -05-0405-04 | 3,261 | 675 | 146 | 4,082 | 79.9% | 16.5% | D+63.4 |
| Precinct -06-0206-02 | 2,924 | 938 | 176 | 4,038 | 72.4% | 23.2% | D+49.2 |
| Precinct -04-0304-03 | 1,619 | 1,995 | 155 | 3,769 | 43.0% | 52.9% | R+10.0 |
| Precinct -05-1205-12 | 2,950 | 650 | 167 | 3,767 | 78.3% | 17.3% | D+61.1 |
| Precinct -01-0101-01 | 2,318 | 1,269 | 158 | 3,745 | 61.9% | 33.9% | D+28.0 |
| Precinct -06-2806-28 | 2,434 | 1,125 | 142 | 3,701 | 65.8% | 30.4% | D+35.4 |
| Precinct -05-1005-10 | 2,453 | 1,029 | 216 | 3,698 | 66.3% | 27.8% | D+38.5 |
| Precinct -01-0401-04 | 2,373 | 1,152 | 167 | 3,692 | 64.3% | 31.2% | D+33.1 |
| Precinct -02-1602-16 | 2,470 | 1,037 | 162 | 3,669 | 67.3% | 28.3% | D+39.1 |
| Precinct -06-0506-05 | 2,872 | 609 | 150 | 3,631 | 79.1% | 16.8% | D+62.3 |
| Precinct -06-1206-12 | 2,833 | 609 | 140 | 3,582 | 79.1% | 17.0% | D+62.1 |
| Precinct -03-0503-05 | 2,040 | 1,323 | 162 | 3,525 | 57.9% | 37.5% | D+20.3 |
| Precinct -02-1102-11 | 2,205 | 1,138 | 175 | 3,518 | 62.7% | 32.3% | D+30.3 |
| Precinct -05-1305-13 | 2,734 | 622 | 142 | 3,498 | 78.2% | 17.8% | D+60.4 |
| Precinct -04-0204-02 | 1,816 | 1,486 | 187 | 3,489 | 52.0% | 42.6% | D+9.5 |
| Precinct -01-0601-06 | 2,582 | 604 | 131 | 3,317 | 77.8% | 18.2% | D+59.6 |
| Precinct -02-0802-08 | 2,144 | 963 | 178 | 3,285 | 65.3% | 29.3% | D+36.0 |
| Precinct -06-0406-04 | 2,308 | 721 | 133 | 3,162 | 73.0% | 22.8% | D+50.2 |
| Precinct -02-0602-06 | 2,051 | 940 | 131 | 3,122 | 65.7% | 30.1% | D+35.6 |
| Precinct -06-1406-14 | 2,426 | 523 | 107 | 3,056 | 79.4% | 17.1% | D+62.3 |
| Precinct -01-0701-07 | 2,091 | 775 | 149 | 3,015 | 69.4% | 25.7% | D+43.6 |
| Precinct -06-0106-01 | 2,039 | 848 | 120 | 3,007 | 67.8% | 28.2% | D+39.6 |
| Precinct -05-0705-07 | 2,434 | 438 | 117 | 2,989 | 81.4% | 14.7% | D+66.8 |
| Precinct -06-1306-13 | 2,254 | 587 | 105 | 2,946 | 76.5% | 19.9% | D+56.6 |
| Precinct -06-1506-15 | 2,093 | 674 | 120 | 2,887 | 72.5% | 23.3% | D+49.2 |
| Precinct -03-0203-02 | 1,499 | 1,250 | 104 | 2,853 | 52.5% | 43.8% | D+8.7 |
| Precinct -01-1201-12 | 1,730 | 949 | 96 | 2,775 | 62.3% | 34.2% | D+28.1 |
| Precinct -04-0104-01 | 1,083 | 1,495 | 93 | 2,671 | 40.5% | 56.0% | R+15.4 |
| Precinct -02-0702-07 | 1,653 | 850 | 143 | 2,646 | 62.5% | 32.1% | D+30.3 |
| Precinct -05-0905-09 | 2,052 | 463 | 115 | 2,630 | 78.0% | 17.6% | D+60.4 |
| Precinct -02-0502-05 | 1,653 | 764 | 140 | 2,557 | 64.6% | 29.9% | D+34.8 |
| Precinct -01-0201-02 | 1,596 | 839 | 101 | 2,536 | 62.9% | 33.1% | D+29.9 |
| Precinct -02-0202-02 | 1,653 | 732 | 134 | 2,519 | 65.6% | 29.1% | D+36.6 |
| Precinct -06-3106-31 | 1,919 | 437 | 102 | 2,458 | 78.1% | 17.8% | D+60.3 |
| Precinct -02-1202-12 | 1,534 | 689 | 111 | 2,334 | 65.7% | 29.5% | D+36.2 |
| Precinct -02-0902-09 | 1,583 | 636 | 96 | 2,315 | 68.4% | 27.5% | D+40.9 |
| Precinct -02-0302-03 | 1,566 | 619 | 92 | 2,277 | 68.8% | 27.2% | D+41.6 |
| Precinct -06-0606-06 | 1,758 | 378 | 93 | 2,229 | 78.9% | 17.0% | D+61.9 |
| Precinct -05-0305-03 | 1,767 | 340 | 86 | 2,193 | 80.6% | 15.5% | D+65.1 |
| Precinct -06-0706-07 | 1,510 | 581 | 97 | 2,188 | 69.0% | 26.6% | D+42.5 |
| Precinct -02-1302-13 | 1,553 | 414 | 90 | 2,057 | 75.5% | 20.1% | D+55.4 |
| Precinct -01-0301-03 | 1,333 | 578 | 80 | 1,991 | 67.0% | 29.0% | D+37.9 |
| Precinct -06-0306-03 | 1,259 | 522 | 100 | 1,881 | 66.9% | 27.8% | D+39.2 |
| Precinct -02-0102-01 | 1,241 | 483 | 97 | 1,821 | 68.1% | 26.5% | D+41.6 |
| Precinct -01-0501-05 | 1,241 | 469 | 74 | 1,784 | 69.6% | 26.3% | D+43.3 |
| Precinct -05-1105-11 | 1,049 | 644 | 73 | 1,766 | 59.4% | 36.5% | D+22.9 |
| Precinct -05-1905-19 | 987 | 659 | 66 | 1,712 | 57.7% | 38.5% | D+19.2 |
| Precinct -01-2101-21 | 1,235 | 310 | 66 | 1,611 | 76.7% | 19.2% | D+57.4 |
| Precinct -02-1702-17 | 1,120 | 388 | 92 | 1,600 | 70.0% | 24.3% | D+45.8 |
| Precinct -05-0205-02 | 1,155 | 297 | 54 | 1,506 | 76.7% | 19.7% | D+57.0 |
| Precinct -05-1605-16 | 1,159 | 255 | 58 | 1,472 | 78.7% | 17.3% | D+61.4 |
| Precinct -01-1601-16 | 875 | 497 | 48 | 1,420 | 61.6% | 35.0% | D+26.6 |
| Precinct -02-0402-04 | 940 | 405 | 62 | 1,407 | 66.8% | 28.8% | D+38.0 |
| Precinct -02-1002-10 | 815 | 330 | 84 | 1,229 | 66.3% | 26.9% | D+39.5 |
| Precinct -02-2602-26 | 681 | 331 | 57 | 1,069 | 63.7% | 31.0% | D+32.7 |
| Precinct -01-1501-15 | 508 | 165 | 26 | 699 | 72.7% | 23.6% | D+49.1 |
| Precinct -02-2202-22 | 460 | 163 | 21 | 644 | 71.4% | 25.3% | D+46.1 |
| Precinct -05-2405-24 | 147 | 123 | 26 | 296 | 49.7% | 41.6% | D+8.1 |
| Precinct -03-0403-04 | 144 | 65 | 8 | 217 | 66.4% | 30.0% | D+36.4 |
| Precinct -06-1106-11 | 113 | 32 | 5 | 150 | 75.3% | 21.3% | D+54.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +15.0% |
| 1896 | −5.0% |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +70.7% |
| 1916 | +17.1% |
| 1920 | −4.2% |
| 1924 | +15.4% |
| 1928 | −3.2% |
| 1932 | +35.4% |
| 1936 | +22.0% |
| 1940 | +12.4% |
| 1944 | −3.1% |
| 1948 | −6.4% |
| 1952 | −19.4% |
| 1956 | −29.0% |
| 1960 | −13.1% |
| 1964 | +9.0% |
| 1968 | −22.7% |
| 1972 | −28.4% |
| 1976 | −1.6% |
| 1980 | −6.9% |
| 1984 | −16.1% |
| 1988 | −12.9% |
| 1992 | +6.2% |
| 1996 | +7.0% |
| 2000 | +7.8% |
| 2004 | +9.4% |
| 2008 | +21.8% |
| 2012 | +22.0% |
| 2016 | +34.7% |
| 2020 | +44.3% |
| 2024 | +41.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 9.6 points more Republican.
243,077 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−502 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,540 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $89,374 in average income, against $151,265 for residents who stayed — 41% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+37.5 on average — 3.8 points more Republican-leaning than Howard County, MD itself (D+41.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Anne Arundel County, MD1,379D+13.8
- Prince George's County, MD1,353D+74.8
- Baltimore County, MD1,313D+24.3
- Montgomery County, MD1,293D+52.8
- Baltimore city, MD760D+72.4
- Carroll County, MD247R+24.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Anne Arundel County, MD1,615
- Baltimore County, MD1,400
- Prince George's County, MD898
- Montgomery County, MD856
- Baltimore city, MD822
- Carroll County, MD461
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,875 |
| 2012 | +2,212 |
| 2013 | +1,202 |
| 2014 | +36 |
| 2015 | +870 |
| 2016 | +1,000 |
| 2017 | +676 |
| 2018 | +861 |
| 2019 | +710 |
| 2021 | +511 |
| 2022 | −2,304 |
| 2023 | −2,333 |
| 2024 | −1,274 |
| 2025 | −502 |
Howard County's highly educated workforce, anchored by Columbia's planned communities and proximity to the Baltimore-Washington corridor, has produced presidential margins exceeding 40 points for Democrats in recent cycles, among the widest in Maryland.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 29.0 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.3 points.
A population of 336,328, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $149,763 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fairfax County and Arlington County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Howard County, Maryland. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/24027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.