- Lead
- 8,527
- Total
- 15,838
- vs nation
- R+52.4
- Turnout
- 67.8%
Garrett County, MD
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.8% of 23,362 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 8,721
- Total
- 15,611
- vs nation
- R+60.3
- Turnout
- 66.4%
- Lead
- 8,209
- Total
- 13,850
- vs nation
- R+61.4
- Turnout
- 59.7%
- Lead
- 6,619
- Total
- 13,157
- vs nation
- R+54.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,167
- Total
- 12,872
- vs nation
- R+47.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,794
- Total
- 12,484
- vs nation
- R+44.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,642
- Total
- 10,655
- vs nation
- R+44.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,279
- Total
- 9,786
- vs nation
- R+31.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,6152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,6882024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.3 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bedford County, PA · twin score 90.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.8%15,850 participants ÷ 23,362 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.3%–52.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 14,148 | 23,695 | 59.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,210 | 23,670 | 47.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 15,707 | 23,639 | 66.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,482 | 23,492 | 48.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,850 | 23,362 | 67.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 15,838 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -16 MTN LAKE PARK16 MTN LAKE PARK | 365 | 1,343 | 51 | 1,759 | 20.8% | 76.4% | R+55.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -14-1 WEST OAKLAND14-1 WEST OAKLAND | 414 | 1,198 | 46 | 1,658 | 25.0% | 72.3% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -03-1 GRANTSVILLE03-1 GRANTSVILLE | 243 | 1,087 | 42 | 1,372 | 17.7% | 79.2% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -06 SANG RUN06 SANG RUN | 407 | 858 | 31 | 1,296 | 31.4% | 66.2% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -07 EAST OAKLAND07 EAST OAKLAND | 336 | 883 | 32 | 1,251 | 26.9% | 70.6% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -10 DEER PARK10 DEER PARK | 268 | 835 | 26 | 1,129 | 23.7% | 74.0% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -05 ACCIDENT05 ACCIDENT | 232 | 849 | 22 | 1,103 | 21.0% | 77.0% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -01 SWANTON01 SWANTON | 297 | 776 | 25 | 1,098 | 27.0% | 70.7% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -02 FRIENDSVILLE02 FRIENDSVILLE | 221 | 747 | 27 | 995 | 22.2% | 75.1% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -09 FINZEL09 FINZEL | 122 | 574 | 18 | 714 | 17.1% | 80.4% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -14-2 CRELLIN14-2 CRELLIN | 128 | 551 | 14 | 693 | 18.5% | 79.5% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -08-2 RED HOUSE08-2 RED HOUSE | 42 | 395 | 6 | 443 | 9.5% | 89.2% | R+79.7 |
| Precinct -12 BITTINGER12 BITTINGER | 80 | 346 | 14 | 440 | 18.2% | 78.6% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -03-2 JENNINGS03-2 JENNINGS | 84 | 326 | 8 | 418 | 20.1% | 78.0% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -08-1 RYANS GLADE08-1 RYANS GLADE | 47 | 323 | 4 | 374 | 12.6% | 86.4% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -04 BLOOMINGTON04 BLOOMINGTON | 44 | 306 | 11 | 361 | 12.2% | 84.8% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -15 AVILTON15 AVILTON | 61 | 280 | 12 | 353 | 17.3% | 79.3% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -13 KITZMILLER13 KITZMILLER | 48 | 235 | 9 | 292 | 16.4% | 80.5% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -11 THE ELBOW11 THE ELBOW | 17 | 71 | 1 | 89 | 19.1% | 79.8% | R+60.7 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.9% |
| 1896 | −23.0% |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +91.1% |
| 1916 | −26.3% |
| 1920 | −43.5% |
| 1924 | −32.6% |
| 1928 | −57.4% |
| 1932 | −15.0% |
| 1936 | −10.9% |
| 1940 | −21.9% |
| 1944 | −35.9% |
| 1948 | −29.6% |
| 1952 | −37.1% |
| 1956 | −46.2% |
| 1960 | −36.4% |
| 1964 | −1.5% |
| 1968 | −30.8% |
| 1972 | −55.5% |
| 1976 | −16.4% |
| 1980 | −32.4% |
| 1984 | −49.1% |
| 1988 | −44.3% |
| 1992 | −27.0% |
| 1996 | −23.3% |
| 2000 | −43.6% |
| 2004 | −46.4% |
| 2008 | −40.1% |
| 2012 | −50.3% |
| 2016 | −59.3% |
| 2020 | −55.9% |
| 2024 | −53.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.2 points more Democratic.
21,189 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+107 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −582 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $86,049 in average income, against $72,620 for residents who stayed — 18% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.9 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Garrett County, MD itself (R+53.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Allegany County, MD65R+40.2
- Preston County, WV31R+57.0
- Somerset County, PA24R+57.2
- Montgomery County, MD20D+52.8
- Mineral County, WV20R+60.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Allegany County, MD90
- Preston County, WV38
- Somerset County, PA29
- Monongalia County, WV23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +30 |
| 2012 | −193 |
| 2013 | 0 |
| 2014 | −306 |
| 2015 | −222 |
| 2016 | −16 |
| 2017 | −73 |
| 2018 | −30 |
| 2019 | −31 |
| 2021 | +95 |
| 2022 | −25 |
| 2023 | +28 |
| 2024 | +54 |
| 2025 | +107 |
Garrett County, tucked into Maryland's westernmost corner and separated from the rest of the state by mountain ridges, has delivered some of the widest Republican presidential margins in the mid-Atlantic, reflecting its rural, resource-economy roots.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 59.3 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.8 points.
A population of 28,615, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,688 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bedford County and Coffey County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Garrett County, Maryland. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/24023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.