State Legislative Subdistrict 38B, Maryland: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Democratic peak: D+54 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 8,1742024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,2102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 26.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+54 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,676 | 1,875 | 3,655 | ||
| R | 1,718 | 1,788 | 3,601 | ||
| R | 1,406 | 1,729 | 3,270 | ||
| R | 1,530 | 1,696 | 3,292 | ||
| R | 1,514 | 1,702 | 3,261 | ||
| R | 1,179 | 1,714 | 2,922 | ||
| R | 1,127 | 1,273 | 2,477 | ||
| R | 959 | 988 | 2,126 | ||
| R | 894 | 1,056 | 2,359 | ||
| R | 733 | 1,268 | 2,007 | ||
| R | 636 | 1,256 | 1,896 | ||
| R | 735 | 875 | 1,707 | ||
| R | 733 | 821 | 1,554 | ||
| R | 429 | 1,022 | 1,466 | ||
| R | 420 | 678 | 1,438 | ||
| D | 677 | 580 | 1,258 | ||
| R | 573 | 676 | 1,248 | ||
| R | 412 | 731 | 1,143 | ||
| R | 458 | 706 | 1,166 | ||
| D | 422 | 394 | 819 | ||
| D | 442 | 393 | 835 | ||
| D | 561 | 369 | 936 | ||
| D | 567 | 354 | 928 | ||
| D | 537 | 297 | 838 | ||
| R | 319 | 461 | 782 | ||
| D | 239 | 203 | 463 | ||
| D | 394 | 329 | 725 | ||
| D | 256 | 198 | 461 | ||
| D | 404 | 159 | 450 | ||
| — | 382 | 214 | 12 | ||
| — | 419 | 170 | 10 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 176 | 158 | 360 | ||
| D | 181 | 111 | 314 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
State Legislative Subdistrict 38B in the Mid-Atlantic has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries State Legislative Subdistrict 38B more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in State Legislative Subdistrict 38B has rarely exceeded fifty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by five points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $76,210 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
State Legislative Subdistrict 38B, Maryland. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2438B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.