Kentucky 4th Congressional District (KY) — Elections 1876–2024

Kentucky 4th Congressional District, Kentucky: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+35%. Republican peak: R+37 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+35MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population: 764,0802024 5-year
Median household income: $82,8092024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 87.9%2024 5-year
Black: 3.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 4.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+33 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+37 in 2016MIT Election Lab

MASSIE, ThomasCongress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: DAVIS, Geoffrey C. (Geoff) (2011–2013), DAVIS, Geoffrey C. (Geoff) (2009–2011), DAVIS, Geoffrey C. (Geoff) (2007–2009), DAVIS, Geoffrey C. (Geoff) (2005–2007)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

21 counties · 0 D · 21 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−35.4%	117,685	250,453	374,886
2020	R	−32.6%	123,092	245,472	375,582
2016	R	−36.6%	94,662	214,600	327,733
2012	R	−28.4%	105,494	191,396	302,464
2008	R	−24.4%	112,309	186,346	303,381
2004	R	−31.5%	98,843	190,723	292,026
2000	R	−27.3%	82,470	146,715	234,963
1996	R	−11.3%	83,182	107,002	210,034
1992	R	−8.6%	77,798	95,874	210,681
1988	R	−23.0%	70,103	112,258	183,351
1984	R	−30.8%	64,607	122,512	188,155
1980	R	−5.9%	78,472	88,684	173,743
1976	D	+5.4%	80,602	72,142	155,233
1972	R	−31.4%	48,678	94,868	146,886
1968	R	−4.3%	55,676	61,862	144,514
1964	D	+29.1%	94,239	51,660	146,215
1960	R	−3.8%	76,340	82,372	158,711
1956	R	−5.8%	69,079	77,600	147,364
1952	D	+5.1%	77,447	69,926	147,614
1948	D	+24.8%	75,890	45,349	122,985
1944	D	+16.3%	75,879	54,525	130,822
1940	D	+19.6%	84,769	56,966	142,121
1936	D	+29.3%	88,605	46,668	142,915
1932	D	+31.7%	98,857	50,686	151,749
1928	R	−10.8%	67,291	83,609	151,165
1924	R	−1.6%	54,359	56,393	129,183
1920	D	+17.8%	82,747	57,333	142,949
1916	D	+24.8%	51,381	30,567	83,760
1912	D	+33.1%	40,715	16,668	72,635
1908	D	+15.3%	46,677	33,943	83,263
1904	D	+11.2%	40,413	31,910	75,857
1900	D	+14.9%	46,532	34,283	81,986
1896	D	+10.8%	43,457	34,814	79,829
1892	D	+21.8%	36,704	22,926	63,270
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 16 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2022	R	38.2%	61.8%	1,477,830
2020	R	38.2%	57.8%	2,135,057
2016	R	42.7%	57.3%	1,903,465
2014	R	40.7%	56.2%	1,435,868
2010	R	44.2%	55.7%	1,356,096
2008	R	47.0%	53.0%	1,800,821
2004	R	49.3%	50.7%	1,724,362
2002	R	35.3%	64.7%	1,131,313
1998	R	49.2%	49.7%	1,145,414
1996	R	42.8%	55.5%	1,307,046
1992	D	62.9%	35.8%	1,330,858
1990	R	47.8%	52.2%	916,010
1986	D	74.4%	25.6%	677,280
1984	R	49.5%	49.9%	1,292,407
1980	D	65.1%	34.9%	1,106,920
1978	D	61.0%	36.9%	476,783

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

22.9%

English

15.5%

Irish

14.0%

American

8.9%

Italian

3.2%

Scottish

2.3%

French

1.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 39.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.5%

85+

0.9%

2.2%

75–84

2.7%

4.9%

65–74

5.3%

6.6%

55–64

6.7%

6.5%

45–54

6.3%

6.5%

35–44

6.5%

6.6%

25–34

6.3%

4.2%

18–24

3.8%

9.0%

5–17

8.5%

3.0%

2.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$82,809

Congressional District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 4$82,809

Kentucky$63,726

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

11.1%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1813.5%

Working age (18–64)10.1%

Seniors (65+)13.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

94.7%

speak English only

Spanish2.9%

Other Indo-European1.2%

Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%

Other languages0.5%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

14.4%

Baptist

13.6%

Other Christian

7.6%

Methodist

3.8%

Mainline Protestant

1.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.7%

Non-Christian

0.4%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in the Cincinnati suburbs and stretching into the Bluegrass region, KY-04 has posted presidential margins above R+30 in recent cycles, reflecting a predominantly white, non-urban electorate with durable GOP alignment at every level.

The Republican margin in Kentucky 4th Congressional District reached its widest at thirty-seven points in 2016. The margin in 2024 was thirty-five points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $82,809, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 764,080 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 4, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2104/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Kentucky vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 4, Kentucky voted Republican by 35.4 points (R+35), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 374,886 votes cast, 117,685 went Democratic and 250,453 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 4, Kentucky's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 4, Kentucky as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 4, Kentucky last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 4, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1976.

How many people live in Congressional District 4, Kentucky?

Congressional District 4, Kentucky has a population of 764,080 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Kentucky?

Median household income in Congressional District 4, Kentucky is $82,809 — above the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.

What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Kentucky?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Kentucky 4th Congressional District has voted Republican in twelve straight presidential cycles.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions