Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
U.S. House elections · 25 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
4
R
0.0%0
99.6%278,386
279,517
2022
4
R
31.0%79,977
65.0%167,541
257,629
2020
4
R
32.9%125,896
67.1%256,613
382,509
2018
4
R
34.6%90,536
62.2%162,946
261,812
2016
4
R
28.7%94,065
71.3%233,922
327,987
2014
4
R
32.3%71,694
67.7%150,464
222,158
2012
4
R
35.0%104,734
62.1%186,036
299,444
2010
4
R
30.5%66,694
69.5%151,813
218,507
2008
4
R
37.0%111,549
63.0%190,210
301,759
2006
4
R
43.4%88,822
51.7%105,845
204,767
2004
4
R
43.9%129,876
54.4%160,982
295,927
2002
4
D
51.1%87,776
47.5%81,651
171,735
2000
4
D
54.3%125,872
43.5%100,943
231,963
1998
4
D
53.4%93,485
46.6%81,547
175,032
1996
4
R
31.6%68,939
68.4%149,135
218,074
1994
4
R
25.9%33,717
74.1%96,695
130,412
1992
4
R
38.4%86,890
61.6%139,634
226,524
1990
4
R
30.7%44,979
69.3%101,680
146,659
1988
4
R
25.8%50,575
74.2%145,609
196,184
1986
4
R
43.9%53,906
55.1%67,626
122,763
1984
4
R
46.3%93,640
53.7%108,398
202,038
1982
4
R
45.3%61,937
54.2%74,109
136,750
1980
4
R
33.0%62,138
67.0%126,049
188,187
1978
4
R
34.2%32,212
65.8%62,087
94,299
1976
4
R
44.1%77,009
55.9%97,493
174,502
Anchored in the Cincinnati suburbs and stretching into the Bluegrass region, KY-04 has posted presidential margins above R+30 in recent cycles, reflecting a predominantly white, non-urban electorate with durable GOP alignment at every level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 36.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.5 points.
A population of 750,994, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,457 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 7 and Congressional District 4.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
How did Kentucky 4th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kentucky 4th Congressional District voted Republican by 35.5 points (R+35.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 374,988 votes cast, 117,642 went Democratic and 250,894 went Republican.
When did Kentucky 4th Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kentucky 4th Congressional District voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Kentucky 4th Congressional District?
Kentucky 4th Congressional District has a population of 750,994 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kentucky 4th Congressional District?
Median household income in Kentucky 4th Congressional District is $80,457 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Kentucky 4th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kentucky 4th Congressional District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.