Kentucky 4th Congressional District
Akashic| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | −24.6% |
| 2012 | −29.2% |
| 2016 | −36.7% |
| 2020 | −32.7% |
| 2024 | −35.5% |
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
| Year | District | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4 | R | 0.0%0 | 99.6%278,386 | 279,517 |
| 2022 | 4 | R | 31.0%79,977 | 65.0%167,541 | 257,629 |
| 2020 | 4 | R | 32.9%125,896 | 67.1%256,613 | 382,509 |
| 2018 | 4 | R | 34.6%90,536 | 62.2%162,946 | 261,812 |
| 2016 | 4 | R | 28.7%94,065 | 71.3%233,922 | 327,987 |
| 2014 | 4 | R | 32.3%71,694 | 67.7%150,464 | 222,158 |
| 2012 | 4 | R | 35.0%104,734 | 62.1%186,036 | 299,444 |
| 2010 | 4 | R | 30.5%66,694 | 69.5%151,813 | 218,507 |
| 2008 | 4 | R | 37.0%111,549 | 63.0%190,210 | 301,759 |
| 2006 | 4 | R | 43.4%88,822 | 51.7%105,845 | 204,767 |
| 2004 | 4 | R | 43.9%129,876 | 54.4%160,982 | 295,927 |
| 2002 | 4 | D | 51.1%87,776 | 47.5%81,651 | 171,735 |
| 2000 | 4 | D | 54.3%125,872 | 43.5%100,943 | 231,963 |
| 1998 | 4 | D | 53.4%93,485 | 46.6%81,547 | 175,032 |
| 1996 | 4 | R | 31.6%68,939 | 68.4%149,135 | 218,074 |
| 1994 | 4 | R | 25.9%33,717 | 74.1%96,695 | 130,412 |
| 1992 | 4 | R | 38.4%86,890 | 61.6%139,634 | 226,524 |
| 1990 | 4 | R | 30.7%44,979 | 69.3%101,680 | 146,659 |
| 1988 | 4 | R | 25.8%50,575 | 74.2%145,609 | 196,184 |
| 1986 | 4 | R | 43.9%53,906 | 55.1%67,626 | 122,763 |
| 1984 | 4 | R | 46.3%93,640 | 53.7%108,398 | 202,038 |
| 1982 | 4 | R | 45.3%61,937 | 54.2%74,109 | 136,750 |
| 1980 | 4 | R | 33.0%62,138 | 67.0%126,049 | 188,187 |
| 1978 | 4 | R | 34.2%32,212 | 65.8%62,087 | 94,299 |
| 1976 | 4 | R | 44.1%77,009 | 55.9%97,493 | 174,502 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 38.2%564,311 | 61.8%913,326 | 1,477,830 |
| 2020 | R | 38.2%816,257 | 57.8%1,233,315 | 2,135,057 |
| 2016 | R | 42.7%813,246 | 57.3%1,090,177 | 1,903,423 |
| 2014 | R | 40.7%584,698 | 56.2%806,787 | 1,435,789 |
| 2010 | R | 44.3%600,052 | 55.7%755,706 | 1,355,758 |
| 2008 | R | 47.0%847,005 | 53.0%953,816 | 1,800,821 |
| 2004 | R | 49.3%850,855 | 50.7%873,507 | 1,724,362 |
| 2002 | R | 35.3%399,634 | 64.7%731,679 | 1,131,313 |
| 1998 | R | 49.2%563,051 | 49.7%569,817 | 1,145,414 |
| 1996 | R | 42.8%560,012 | 55.5%724,794 | 1,307,029 |
| 1992 | D | 62.9%836,888 | 35.8%476,604 | 1,330,858 |
| 1990 | R | 47.8%437,976 | 52.2%478,034 | 916,010 |
| 1986 | D | 74.4%503,775 | 25.6%173,330 | 677,105 |
| 1984 | R | 49.5%639,721 | 49.9%644,990 | 1,292,407 |
| 1980 | D | 65.1%720,891 | 34.9%386,029 | 1,106,920 |
| 1978 | D | 61.0%290,730 | 36.9%175,766 | 476,740 |
Anchored in the Cincinnati suburbs and stretching into the Bluegrass region, KY-04 has posted presidential margins above R+30 in recent cycles, reflecting a predominantly white, non-urban electorate with durable GOP alignment at every level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 36.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.5 points.
A population of 750,994, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,457 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 4 and Congressional District 7.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kentucky 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2104/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.