akashic
1876–2024
Carter County, Kentucky
Carter County·Kentucky

Carter County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Kentucky's most decisive Republican strongholds in the Appalachian foothills

18762024·38 elections
Carter County, Kentucky · W.marsh · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+58
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
26,341
2024 ACS
Most similar
Columbiana County
OH · similarity 0.99
27 precincts · 11,422 votes cast
Trump · R+58
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−58.4%
2,3058,98111,422
2020R
−52.9%
2,6428,77511,586
2016R
−51.7%
2,2767,58710,278
2012R
−21.3%
3,3835,2798,908
2008R
−9.5%
4,3165,2529,813
2004D
+1.4%
5,5775,42211,117
2000R
−4.9%
4,1824,6178,959
1996D
+6.3%
3,7283,2407,771
1992D
+10.7%
4,2243,3058,560
1988D
+2.7%
4,5704,3258,944
1984R
−7.7%
3,9854,6568,675
1980R
−1.9%
3,7823,9347,839
1976D
+10.2%
3,9153,1857,133
1972R
−22.2%
2,5914,0826,727
1968R
−13.7%
2,3443,2346,511
1964D
+18.8%
4,1362,8216,987
1960R
−17.5%
3,4794,9568,435
1956R
−24.4%
3,1125,1278,258
1952R
−16.6%
3,0194,2217,262
1948R
−5.9%
3,0823,4726,577
1944R
−20.2%
2,7334,1176,860
1940R
−14.1%
3,4034,5207,946
1936R
−12.4%
3,4034,3727,810
1932D
+2.1%
4,5654,3769,020
1928R
−38.0%
2,3925,3427,773
1924R
−26.4%
2,5524,4727,271
1920R
−24.8%
2,7574,5957,414
1916R
−17.9%
1,9542,8184,819
1912D
+8.1%
1,5061,1744,099
1908R
−23.7%
1,5952,6204,316
1904R
−24.8%
1,4422,4193,937
1900R
−17.4%
1,7202,4524,196
1896R
−18.6%
1,6652,4404,174
1892R
−14.1%
9831,3192,390
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
12.7%
Other Christian
11.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Methodist
2.7%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 69.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Carter County's 2024 presidential margin of R+58.5 places it among the most one-sided counties in the state, reflecting a broader realignment across eastern Kentucky's rural, working-class communities over the past two decades.

The Democratic margin in Carter County peaked at nineteen points in 1964. By 2008 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Carter County's median household income of $51,235 sits well below state and national norms, and 19% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Columbiana County and Greenup County.