Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
census division

East South Central

Contests in this Place (46 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · all mapped

precinct · counties · no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

18922024 · D minus R
Full record · 18922024
2024 presidential vote for East South CentralEast South Central: an interactive county map of the presidential vote, each county colored by the Democratic-versus-Republican margin from red through neutral to blue. Counties with no votes use a faint neutral wash; exact ties use a solid warm neutral. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: R+29.1 in 2024.
364 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab

President results by year

Vote totals, margins, and source status

HarrisDemocratic34.7%2,999,388TrumpRepublican63.9%5,514,719OtherAll other candidates1.4%117,463
R+29.1
Lead
2,515,331
Total
8,631,570
vs nation
R+27.7
BidenDemocratic37.4%3,305,094TrumpRepublican60.9%5,376,955OtherAll other candidates1.7%145,737
R+23.5
Lead
2,071,861
Total
8,827,786
vs nation
R+27.9
ClintonDemocratic35.1%2,714,227TrumpRepublican61.3%4,744,865OtherAll other candidates3.6%276,442
R+26.3
Lead
2,030,638
Total
7,735,534
vs nation
R+28.3
ObamaDemocratic39.4%2,998,424RomneyRepublican59.3%4,516,191OtherAll other candidates1.3%100,274
R+19.9
Lead
1,517,767
Total
7,614,889
vs nation
R+23.8
ObamaDemocratic41.0%3,210,009McCainRepublican57.8%4,520,384OtherAll other candidates1.1%89,599
R+16.8
Lead
1,310,375
Total
7,819,992
vs nation
R+24.0
KerryDemocratic39.9%2,899,920BushRepublican59.4%4,314,150OtherAll other candidates0.7%52,772
R+19.5
Lead
1,414,230
Total
7,266,842
vs nation
R+17.0
GoreDemocratic43.3%2,721,184BushRepublican54.9%3,452,080OtherAll other candidates1.8%114,581
R+11.6
Lead
730,896
Total
6,287,845
vs nation
R+12.1
ClintonDemocratic45.6%2,601,947DoleRepublican47.2%2,695,695OtherAll other candidates7.2%413,377
R+1.6
Lead
93,748
Total
5,711,019
vs nation
R+10.2
Certified or directly reported presidential returnsRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+29.1MIT Election Lab
Population
19,634,7542024 5-year
Population density
110 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
178,287 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$66,4262024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
69.1%2024 5-year
Black
19.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+38.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+41.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar
West South Central · twin score 58.6

presidential history

Party record book

East South Central · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

68.7%

1,265,550 votes · D+38.5

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 67.6%

Republican

Richard Nixon1972

69.5%

2,723,419 votes · R+41.1

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 63.9%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

3,305,094votes

37.4% of the vote · R+23.5

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,210,009 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

5,514,719votes

63.9% of the vote · R+29.1

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,376,955 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John W. Davis1924

+37.1pts D vs U.S.

Place D+11.9 · U.S. R+25.2

Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +34.1 pts

Republican

Barry Goldwater1964

+33.5pts R vs U.S.

Place R+11.0 · U.S. D+22.6

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +28.3 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for East South Central, 1892–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
YearVote leadDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
29.6%2,358,416
70.4%5,598,596
7,957,012
2020R
36.3%2,072,473
63.7%3,636,231
5,708,704
2018R
42.9%1,879,956
57.1%2,500,744
4,380,700

presidential primaries

Nominating contests

East South Central · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.

Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.

Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.

Presidential nominating contests in East South Central, by party and cycle.
Party20082012201620202024
Democratic
Clinton258Obama1062,297,310 votes · 364 of 364 countiesprimary
Obama61All others6205,767 votes · 67 of 364 countiesprimary
Clinton279Sanders851,453,840 votes · 364 of 364 countiesprimary
Biden360Sanders41,781,758 votes · 364 of 364 countiesprimary
Biden67187,805 votes · 67 of 364 countiesprimary
Republicannot ingested
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record
no contest record

no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.

Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.

Where a cell reads All others, no named candidate led — the source’s residual bucket did. That bucket holds every name past the ones the contest itemises, including candidates who had withdrawn but still drew votes. It is a total, not a person, so it carries no candidate colour.

Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.

County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.

Source · official statewide canvasses for each party's presidential nominating contest, aggregated from county returns.Each cell is one party in one cycle. A cell with a result shows the leader and the lead over the runner-up; every other cell shows that Akashic holds no record, which is a statement about this archive rather than about the contest.Presidential nominating contests only. Down-ballot primaries — Senate, governor, U.S. House, state legislative — are not yet ingested, and neither is the nominating-contest calendar that would let an empty cell say which of cancelled, uncontested, or not-yet-ingested it is.
voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Voter registration in East South CentralTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 14,380,658 in 2024.3.6M7.2M10.8M14.4M20162024
Registered voters

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in East South Central
YearTotal registered
2016 (partial)6,182,713
2018 (partial)9,708,443
2020 (partial)10,297,674
2022 (partial)10,323,821
202414,380,658
Source: State election authorities
domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

+72,099 net domestic migration · 2025

Net domestic migration in East South Central, 2011–2025Yearly net domestic migration (arrivals minus departures). Cumulative +596,248 over the window. Sage = net gain, amber = net loss.
20112025

Net +596,248 over 20112025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in East South Central in East South Central: net domestic migration by year
YearNet domestic migration
2011+14,376
2012+15,525
2013+8,925
2014+5,219
2015+5,041
2016+19,013
2017+39,363
2018+32,071
2019+33,115
2021+69,814
2022+114,362
2023+93,969
2024+73,356
2025+72,099
Source: Census Population Estimates (net) · IRS SOI (flows)

East South Central sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 41.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the division moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.1 points.

A population of 19,634,754, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,426 describe the division. The division's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of West South Central and West North Central.

The census divisions whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
East South Central, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/division/east-south-central/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →

Places within East South Central

Frequently asked questions

How did East South Central, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, East South Central, United States voted Republican by 29.1 points (R+29.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,631,570 votes cast, 2,999,388 went Democratic and 5,514,719 went Republican.
When did East South Central, United States last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which East South Central, United States voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in East South Central, United States?
East South Central, United States has a population of 19,634,754 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in East South Central, United States?
Median household income in East South Central, United States is $66,426 — below the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of East South Central, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in East South Central, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.