Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
census divisionEast South Central

presidential margin

2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican

2004R+19.5
2008R+16.8
2012R+19.9
2016R+26.3
2020R+23.5
2024R+29.1
full record · 1892 → 2024

presidential returns

2024 turnout 58.5% of 14,744,593 citizens 18+

YearDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalCVAPTurnout
20242,999,3885,514,719117,4638,631,57014,744,59358.5%
20203,305,0945,376,955145,7378,827,78614,391,90761.3%
20162,714,2274,744,865276,4427,735,53414,047,66055.1%
20122,998,4244,516,191100,2747,614,88913,646,82555.8%
20083,210,0094,520,38489,5997,819,99213,264,09759.0%
20042,899,9204,314,15052,7727,266,84212,881,369†56.4%

† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.

2024 presidential margin for East South CentralEast South Central: an interactive map of its constituent counties, each colored by its Democratic-vs-Republican presidential margin from deep red through neutral to deep blue. County labels carry each county's own margin. Overall: R+29.1 in 2024.
364 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English12.9%9.5%
American11.6%5.3%
Irish9.1%9.4%
German8.6%12.5%
Scottish2.0%1.3%
Italian2.0%4.8%
French1.3%1.6%
Scotch-Irish1.2%—
African American†18.3%9.9%
African0.6%0.5%
Mexican3.1%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%1.8%
Guatemalan0.5%0.5%
Cuban0.3%0.7%
Honduran0.3%0.3%
Asian Indian0.4%1.4%
Chinese0.2%1.3%
Vietnamese0.2%0.6%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

MeasureEast South CentralUnited States
Median age39.239.1
Age 18–249.3%9.2%
Age 65 and older17.4%17.2%

Household economy

MeasureEast South CentralUnited States
Median household income$66,426$84,427
Poverty rate15.6%12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)28.8%35.6%

Languages at home

MeasureEast South CentralUnited States
Speaks a non-English language at home6.9%22.3%
Spanish4.1%13.6%

Religious landscape

MeasureEast South CentralUnited States
Catholic5.1%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant37.2%16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted43.3%51.5%
Mainline Protestant6.3%5.2%
Black Protestant5.7%2.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

East South Central, United States

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −29.1% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−29.1%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+27.3%
1896+14.8%
1900+12.2%
1904+12.1%
1908+8.8%
1912+34.6%
1916+21.0%
1920+7.9%
1924+11.9%
1928−6.6%
1932+35.5%
1936+38.5%
1940+35.6%
1944+27.7%
1948+9.4%
1952+7.1%
1956+2.5%
1960−1.3%
1964−11.0%
1968−1.9%
1972−41.1%
1976+9.7%
1980−1.0%
1984−20.4%
1988−16.7%
1992−1.0%
1996−1.6%
2000−11.6%
2004−19.5%
2008−16.8%
2012−19.9%
2016−26.3%
2020−23.5%
2024−29.1%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginSwingvs U.S.Total
R
34.7%Harris2,999,388
63.9%Trump5,514,719
1.4%
R+29.1R+5.7R+27.78,631,570
R
37.4%Biden3,305,094
60.9%Trump5,376,955
1.7%
R+23.5D+2.8R+27.98,827,786
R
35.1%Clinton2,714,227
61.3%Trump4,744,865
3.6%
R+26.3R+6.3R+28.37,735,534
R
39.4%Obama2,998,424
59.3%Romney4,516,191
1.3%
R+19.9R+3.2R+23.87,614,889
R
41.0%Obama3,210,009
57.8%McCain4,520,384
1.1%
R+16.8D+2.7R+24.07,819,992
R
39.9%Kerry2,899,920
59.4%Bush4,314,150
0.7%
R+19.5R+7.8R+17.07,266,842
R
43.3%Gore2,721,184
54.9%Bush3,452,080
1.8%
R+11.6R+10.0R+12.16,287,845
R
45.6%Clinton2,601,947
47.2%Dole2,695,695
7.2%
R+1.6R+0.6R+10.25,711,019
R
43.8%Clinton2,688,963
44.8%Bush2,750,554
11.5%
R+1.0D+15.7R+6.66,144,668
R
41.3%Dukakis2,173,589
58.0%Bush3,054,980
0.8%
R+16.7D+3.7R+9.05,268,265
R
39.4%Mondale2,154,394
59.8%Reagan3,268,438
0.8%
R+20.4R+19.4R+2.25,464,497
R
47.9%Carter2,465,479
48.9%Reagan2,518,316
3.2%
R+1.0R+10.7D+8.75,146,792
D
54.0%Carter2,482,075
44.3%Ford2,036,736
1.7%
D+9.7D+50.8D+7.64,595,392
R
28.4%McGovern1,112,157
69.5%Nixon2,723,419
2.2%
R+41.1R+39.2R+17.93,920,737
O
27.3%Humphrey1,095,997
29.2%Nixon1,170,442
43.5%
Wallace +14.3D+9.1R+1.24,008,928
R
41.3%Johnson1,357,225
52.2%Goldwater1,717,556
6.5%
R+11.0R+9.6R+33.53,288,981
R
47.1%Kennedy1,429,973
48.4%Nixon1,470,726
4.5%
R+1.3R+3.8R+1.53,036,545
D
49.6%Stevenson1,358,257
47.1%Eisenhower1,290,859
3.2%
D+2.5R+4.6D+17.92,738,001
D
53.4%Stevenson1,387,080
46.3%Eisenhower1,203,373
0.3%
D+7.1R+2.3D+17.82,597,353
D
42.5%Truman756,542
33.1%Dewey590,097
24.4%
D+9.4R+18.4D+4.91,780,111
D
63.7%Roosevelt1,148,835
36.0%Dewey648,912
0.3%
D+27.7R+7.9D+20.21,803,589
D
67.6%Roosevelt1,327,916
32.0%Willkie629,085
0.3%
D+35.6R+2.9D+25.71,963,027
D
68.7%Roosevelt1,265,550
30.2%Landon556,630
1.0%
D+38.5D+3.0D+14.21,841,079
D
67.3%Roosevelt1,187,677
31.8%Hoover561,298
0.9%
D+35.5D+42.1D+17.71,764,222
R
46.6%Smith789,575
53.2%Hoover901,256
0.1%
R+6.6R+18.5D+10.91,693,242
D
53.7%Davis747,933
41.7%Coolidge581,679
4.6%
D+11.9D+4.0D+37.11,393,890
D
53.4%Cox887,536
45.6%Harding756,673
1.0%
D+7.9R+13.2D+34.11,660,854
D
59.8%Wilson603,098
38.8%Hughes390,929
1.4%
D+21.0R+13.6D+17.91,008,625
D
55.8%Wilson492,541
21.2%Taft187,229
22.9%
D+34.6D+25.8D+15.1882,107
D
53.2%Bryan454,087
44.5%Taft379,249
2.3%
D+8.8R+3.4D+18.3853,082
D
54.4%Parker428,700
42.3%Roosevelt333,121
3.2%
D+12.1±0.0D+31.8787,399
D
55.1%Bryan528,670
42.9%McKinley411,642
2.1%
D+12.2R+2.6D+19.7960,201
D
56.2%Bryan579,723
41.4%McKinley427,436
2.4%
D+14.8R+12.6D+20.81,032,092
D
55.0%Cleveland490,292
27.7%Harrison246,695
17.4%
D+27.3—D+25.6892,068
voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Voter registration in East South CentralTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 14,380,658 in 2024.3.6M7.2M10.8M14.4M20162024
Registered voters

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in East South Central
YearTotal registered
2016 (partial)6,182,713
2018 (partial)9,708,443
2020 (partial)10,297,674
2022 (partial)10,323,821
202414,380,658
Source: State election authorities
domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

+72,099 net domestic migration · 2025

Net domestic migration in East South Central, 2011–2025Yearly net domestic migration (arrivals minus departures). Cumulative +596,248 over the window. Sage = net gain, amber = net loss.
20112025

Net +596,248 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in East South Central in East South Central: net domestic migration by year
YearNet domestic migration
2011+14,376
2012+15,525
2013+8,925
2014+5,219
2015+5,041
2016+19,013
2017+39,363
2018+32,071
2019+33,115
2021+69,814
2022+114,362
2023+93,969
2024+73,356
2025+72,099
Source: Census Population Estimates (net) · IRS SOI (flows)

East South Central sits in United States. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 41.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the division moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.1 points.

A population of 19,634,754, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,426 describe the division. The division's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of West South Central and West North Central.

Political twins — divisions

The census divisions whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

West South Central
58.6twin score
2004–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ 12-yr trend
West North Central
49.9twin score
% Latinopopulation scale2000–2016 trajectory≠ elasticity
South Atlantic
25.5twin score
% BlackAfrican American ancestryMexican ancestry≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
East South Central, United States. Akashic. https://akashic.app/division/east-south-central/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within East South Central

states4
AlabamaKentuckyMississippiTennessee

Frequently asked questions

How did East South Central, United States vote in 2024?
In 2024, East South Central, United States voted Republican by 29.1 points (R+29.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,631,570 votes cast, 2,999,388 went Democratic and 5,514,719 went Republican.
When did East South Central, United States last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which East South Central, United States voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in East South Central, United States?
East South Central, United States has a population of 19,634,754 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in East South Central, United States?
Median household income in East South Central, United States is $66,426 — below the national median of $80,734. The United States state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of East South Central, United States?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in East South Central, United States from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.