Tennessee, Tennessee: Old Confederacy state. In 2024, voted R+30%. Republican peak: R+38 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 7,066,3832024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,5952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Browse all of Tennessee
Constituent county margins for Tennessee, TNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,056,265 | 1,966,865 | 3,071,657 | ||
| R | 1,143,600 | 1,852,475 | 3,053,761 | ||
| R | 870,695 | 1,522,925 | 2,508,027 | ||
| R | 960,709 | 1,462,330 | 2,460,904 | ||
| R | 1,089,883 | 1,480,779 | 2,603,800 | ||
| R | 1,035,160 | 1,383,336 | 2,434,949 | ||
| R | 981,720 | 1,061,949 | 2,076,181 | ||
| D | 909,146 | 863,530 | 1,894,105 | ||
| D | 933,521 | 841,300 | 1,982,638 | ||
| R | 679,794 | 947,233 | 1,636,251 | ||
| R | 711,714 | 990,212 | 1,711,994 | ||
| R | 783,051 | 787,761 | 1,617,616 | ||
| D | 825,879 | 633,969 | 1,476,345 | ||
| R | 357,293 | 813,147 | 1,201,182 | ||
| R | 351,233 | 472,592 | 1,248,617 | ||
| D | 634,947 | 508,965 | 1,143,912 | ||
| R | 481,453 | 556,577 | 1,051,776 | ||
| R | 456,507 | 462,288 | 939,404 | ||
| R | 443,710 | 446,147 | 892,553 | ||
| D | 270,402 | 202,914 | 550,283 | ||
| D | 308,707 | 200,311 | 510,692 | ||
| D | 351,601 | 169,153 | 522,823 | ||
| D | 328,083 | 147,050 | 477,081 | ||
| D | 259,463 | 126,752 | 390,263 | ||
| R | 156,169 | 195,195 | 352,024 | ||
| D | 158,679 | 130,728 | 300,117 | ||
| R | 205,898 | 217,898 | 425,975 | ||
| D | 153,280 | 116,223 | 272,190 | ||
| D | 133,021 | 60,475 | 251,101 | ||
| D | 135,604 | 117,977 | 257,176 | ||
| D | 131,653 | 105,372 | 242,759 | ||
| D | 145,249 | 123,108 | 273,870 | ||
| D | 168,176 | 148,773 | 322,001 | ||
| D | 136,468 | 100,577 | 265,772 | ||
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Congressional elections · 17 Senate races
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 34.2% | 63.8% | 3,007,608 |
| 2020 | R | 35.2% | 62.2% | 2,959,761 |
| 2018 | R | 43.9% | 54.7% | 2,243,740 |
| 2014 | R | 31.9% | 61.9% | 1,374,065 |
| 2012 | R | 30.4% | 64.9% | 2,321,477 |
| 2008 | R | 31.6% | 65.1% | 2,424,585 |
| 2006 | R | 48.0% | 50.7% | 1,833,695 |
| 2002 | R | 44.3% | 54.3% | 1,642,432 |
| 2000 | R | 32.2% | 65.1% | 1,928,613 |
| 1996 | R | 36.8% | 61.4% | 1,778,664 |
| 1994 | R | 42.1% | 56.4% | 1,480,391 |
| 1990 | D | 67.7% | 29.8% | 783,922 |
| 1988 | D | 65.1% | 34.5% | 1,567,181 |
| 1984 | D | 60.7% | 33.8% | 1,648,036 |
| 1982 | D | 61.9% | 38.1% | 1,259,785 |
| 1978 | R | 40.3% | 55.5% | 1,157,094 |
| 1976 | D | 52.5% | 47.0% | 1,432,046 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.3%
American
11.3%
Irish
9.3%
German
9.1%
Italian
2.3%
Scottish
2.2%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,595
Tennessee ranks near the middle of US counties.
Tennessee$69,595
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.9%
Working age (18–64)12.4%
Seniors (65+)11.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.3%
speak English only
Spanish5.3%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Tennessee sits in the Border South and Appalachia. For nearly a century after Reconstruction, the state voted Democratic — not because of New Deal politics, but because of the lingering memory of the Civil War. The Democratic party of the Solid South was the party of segregation, and in Tennessee as throughout the former Confederacy, Republican identification was politically untenable until the second half of the twentieth century.
The shift began with civil rights. 2000 marked the realignment in Tennessee, by a four points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at thirty-eight points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty points.
The political shift has tracked, in Tennessee, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 72% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $69,595, and a 14% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tennessee, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/TN/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Tennessee, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tennessee, Tennessee voted Republican by 29.6 points (R+30), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,071,657 votes cast, 1,056,265 went Democratic and 1,966,865 went Republican.
What is Tennessee, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Tennessee, Tennessee as a "Old Confederacy" state based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the state has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Tennessee, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tennessee, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Tennessee, Tennessee?
Tennessee, Tennessee has a population of 7,066,383 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tennessee, Tennessee?
Median household income in Tennessee, Tennessee is $69,595 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Tennessee, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tennessee, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The state's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.