- Lead
- 13,089
- Total
- 25,204
- vs nation
- R+50.5
- Turnout
- 59.5%
Dickson County, TN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.5% of 42,642 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 11,537
- Total
- 24,233
- vs nation
- R+52.1
- Turnout
- 60.3%
- Lead
- 8,511
- Total
- 18,699
- vs nation
- R+47.6
- Turnout
- 49.7%
- Lead
- 5,063
- Total
- 17,835
- vs nation
- R+32.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,171
- Total
- 19,519
- vs nation
- R+28.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,970
- Total
- 19,298
- vs nation
- R+7.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,316
- Total
- 15,556
- vs nation
- D+7.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,175
- Total
- 13,829
- vs nation
- D+7.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 55,9832024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,0032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin County, TN · twin score 90.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.5%25,352 participants ÷ 42,642 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 31.8%–42.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,007 | 38,252 | 49.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 16,874 | 39,152 | 43.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,476 | 40,579 | 60.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,624 | 41,729 | 32.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 25,352 | 42,642 | 59.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
13 precincts · 25,204 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -12-1 White Bluff Community Center12-1 White Bluff Community Center | 636 | 1,841 | 22 | 2,499 | 25.5% | 73.7% | R+48.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -10-1 Dickson County Library10-1 Dickson County Library | 583 | 1,580 | 33 | 2,196 | 26.5% | 71.9% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -1-1 Charlotte Fagan Methodist Church1-1 Charlotte Fagan Methodist Church | 444 | 1,711 | 27 | 2,182 | 20.3% | 78.4% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -3-1 Vanleer Town Hall3-1 Vanleer Town Hall | 361 | 1,769 | 20 | 2,150 | 16.8% | 82.3% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -2-1 Jason Chapel Church2-1 Jason Chapel Church | 425 | 1,695 | 21 | 2,141 | 19.9% | 79.2% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -7-1 Pomona Baptist Church7-1 Pomona Baptist Church | 543 | 1,572 | 19 | 2,134 | 25.4% | 73.7% | R+48.2 |
| Precinct -5-1 Bibb Center5-1 Bibb Center | 413 | 1,567 | 18 | 1,998 | 20.7% | 78.4% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -4-1 Jackson Chapel Community Center4-1 Jackson Chapel Community Center | 402 | 1,560 | 27 | 1,989 | 20.2% | 78.4% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -9-1 Restoration Church9-1 Restoration Church | 512 | 1,430 | 21 | 1,963 | 26.1% | 72.8% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -11-1 Tennesco Community Center11-1 Tennesco Community Center | 571 | 1,242 | 30 | 1,843 | 31.0% | 67.4% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct -6-2 Porter Community Center6-2 Porter Community Center | 347 | 1,327 | 16 | 1,690 | 20.5% | 78.5% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -8-1 Senior Citizen Center8-1 Senior Citizen Center | 442 | 967 | 17 | 1,426 | 31.0% | 67.8% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -6-1 Burns Town Hall6-1 Burns Town Hall | 234 | 741 | 18 | 993 | 23.6% | 74.6% | R+51.1 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +40.4% |
| 1896 | +39.6% |
| 1900 | +26.9% |
| 1904 | +27.3% |
| 1908 | +24.3% |
| 1912 | +49.9% |
| 1916 | +34.8% |
| 1920 | +20.6% |
| 1924 | +49.9% |
| 1928 | +23.2% |
| 1932 | +68.8% |
| 1936 | +66.5% |
| 1940 | +68.0% |
| 1944 | +59.5% |
| 1948 | +58.9% |
| 1952 | +49.6% |
| 1956 | +49.9% |
| 1960 | +34.0% |
| 1964 | +57.3% |
| 1968 | +10.9% |
| 1972 | −15.9% |
| 1976 | +47.8% |
| 1980 | +28.5% |
| 1984 | −0.3% |
| 1988 | −2.0% |
| 1992 | +24.2% |
| 1996 | +15.7% |
| 2000 | +8.5% |
| 2004 | −10.2% |
| 2008 | −21.4% |
| 2012 | −28.4% |
| 2016 | −45.5% |
| 2020 | −47.6% |
| 2024 | −51.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.4%6,030 | 74.6%17,677 | 23,707 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 30,720 |
| 2018 | 31,916 |
| 2020 | 36,264 |
| 2022 | 35,051 |
| 2024 | 37,838 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+778 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +7,603 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $73,753 in average income, against $75,391 for residents who stayed — 2% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+21.2 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Dickson County, TN itself (R+51.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Davidson County, TN316D+27.4
- Hickman County, TN148R+61.1
- Williamson County, TN147R+32.4
- Cheatham County, TN107R+45.9
- Montgomery County, TN99R+18.4
- Humphreys County, TN71R+56.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Davidson County, TN183
- Hickman County, TN149
- Humphreys County, TN128
- Montgomery County, TN98
- Williamson County, TN86
- Cheatham County, TN75
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +195 |
| 2012 | +167 |
| 2013 | −212 |
| 2014 | +216 |
| 2015 | +754 |
| 2016 | +575 |
| 2017 | +891 |
| 2018 | +616 |
| 2019 | +407 |
| 2021 | +819 |
| 2022 | +649 |
| 2023 | +1,010 |
| 2024 | +738 |
| 2025 | +778 |
Dickson County sits in the outer Nashville exurban ring, and its electorate has shifted steadily rightward as rural working-class voters realigned; the 2024 presidential margin of R+51.9 reflects a pattern common to small Tennessee counties beyond the metro core.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 68.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 51.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.9 points.
A population of 55,983, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,003 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Marion County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Dickson County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47043/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.