- Lead
- 13,057
- Total
- 36,548
- vs nation
- R+34.3
- Turnout
- 60.2%
Anderson County, TN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.2% of 61,219 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 11,443
- Total
- 35,570
- vs nation
- R+36.6
- Turnout
- 60.7%
- Lead
- 10,199
- Total
- 29,881
- vs nation
- R+36.2
- Turnout
- 52.3%
- Lead
- 8,846
- Total
- 29,659
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,279
- Total
- 31,570
- vs nation
- R+33.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,614
- Total
- 31,682
- vs nation
- R+15.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,132
- Total
- 28,779
- vs nation
- R+4.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,514
- Total
- 27,516
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 79,1532024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,1832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.5 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Craighead County, AR · twin score 81.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.2%36,841 participants ÷ 61,219 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 35.7%–44.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 30,509 | 58,366 | 52.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 26,310 | 58,402 | 45.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 35,812 | 59,004 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 21,638 | 59,753 | 36.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 36,841 | 61,219 | 60.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 36,548 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ClintonClinton | 694 | 1,646 | 23 | 2,363 | 29.4% | 69.7% | R+40.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Bull RunBull Run | 543 | 1,777 | 28 | 2,348 | 23.1% | 75.7% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -Hendrix CreekHendrix Creek | 1,044 | 1,175 | 29 | 2,248 | 46.4% | 52.3% | R+5.8 |
| Precinct -AndersonvilleAndersonville | 301 | 1,714 | 15 | 2,030 | 14.8% | 84.4% | R+69.6 |
| Precinct -Emory ValleyEmory Valley | 1,049 | 928 | 31 | 2,008 | 52.2% | 46.2% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct -Glen AlpineGlen Alpine | 380 | 1,588 | 12 | 1,980 | 19.2% | 80.2% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -Lake City Middle SchoolLake City Middle School | 276 | 1,606 | 13 | 1,895 | 14.6% | 84.7% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -GlenwoodGlenwood | 811 | 857 | 28 | 1,696 | 47.8% | 50.5% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct -West HillsWest Hills | 733 | 864 | 25 | 1,622 | 45.2% | 53.3% | R+8.1 |
| Precinct -Pine ValleyPine Valley | 868 | 722 | 29 | 1,619 | 53.6% | 44.6% | D+9.0 |
| Precinct -ClaxtonClaxton | 403 | 1,183 | 15 | 1,601 | 25.2% | 73.9% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -NorwoodNorwood | 340 | 1,219 | 18 | 1,577 | 21.6% | 77.3% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -Oak Ridge Senior CenterOak Ridge Senior Center | 693 | 576 | 30 | 1,299 | 53.3% | 44.3% | D+9.0 |
| Precinct -North ClintonNorth Clinton | 316 | 905 | 15 | 1,236 | 25.6% | 73.2% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -South ClintonSouth Clinton | 203 | 907 | 13 | 1,123 | 18.1% | 80.8% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -Clinton HighClinton High | 274 | 803 | 11 | 1,088 | 25.2% | 73.8% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -MarlowMarlow | 219 | 833 | 15 | 1,067 | 20.5% | 78.1% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -RobertsvilleRobertsville | 479 | 533 | 25 | 1,037 | 46.2% | 51.4% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -Highland ViewHighland View | 455 | 525 | 18 | 998 | 45.6% | 52.6% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -NorrisNorris | 446 | 499 | 13 | 958 | 46.6% | 52.1% | R+5.5 |
| Precinct -FairviewFairview | 122 | 763 | 4 | 889 | 13.7% | 85.8% | R+72.1 |
| Precinct -Clinton Middle SchoolClinton Middle School | 156 | 692 | 3 | 851 | 18.3% | 81.3% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -Brushy ValleyBrushy Valley | 146 | 695 | 6 | 847 | 17.2% | 82.1% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -WoodlandWoodland | 376 | 374 | 10 | 760 | 49.5% | 49.2% | D+0.3 |
| Precinct -Rocky TopRocky Top | 78 | 394 | 2 | 474 | 16.5% | 83.1% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -Dutch ValleyDutch Valley | 67 | 374 | 5 | 446 | 15.0% | 83.9% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -BricevilleBriceville | 41 | 364 | 4 | 409 | 10.0% | 89.0% | R+79.0 |
| Precinct -RosedaleRosedale | 12 | 66 | 1 | 79 | 15.2% | 83.5% | R+68.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −38.0% |
| 1896 | −49.4% |
| 1900 | −46.2% |
| 1904 | −45.8% |
| 1908 | −52.0% |
| 1912 | +2.5% |
| 1916 | −52.2% |
| 1920 | −61.1% |
| 1924 | −43.9% |
| 1928 | −62.5% |
| 1932 | −19.4% |
| 1936 | +12.9% |
| 1940 | +8.9% |
| 1944 | +0.8% |
| 1948 | +4.6% |
| 1952 | −8.0% |
| 1956 | −8.1% |
| 1960 | −6.0% |
| 1964 | +15.6% |
| 1968 | −14.0% |
| 1972 | −34.1% |
| 1976 | +12.2% |
| 1980 | −15.7% |
| 1984 | −23.3% |
| 1988 | −22.1% |
| 1992 | +5.7% |
| 1996 | +5.5% |
| 2000 | −3.9% |
| 2004 | −17.7% |
| 2008 | −26.2% |
| 2012 | −29.8% |
| 2016 | −34.1% |
| 2020 | −32.2% |
| 2024 | −35.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 47,195 |
| 2018 | 46,430 |
| 2020 | 50,334 |
| 2022 | 50,324 |
| 2024 | 53,599 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+713 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +8,669 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,446 in average income, against $77,413 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.8 on average — about the same lean as Anderson County, TN (R+35.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Knox County, TN1,038R+19.5
- Roane County, TN205R+54.5
- Campbell County, TN120R+69.6
- Blount County, TN87R+47.7
- Morgan County, TN56R+74.5
- Loudon County, TN51R+53.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Knox County, TN772
- Roane County, TN208
- Campbell County, TN159
- Morgan County, TN84
- Blount County, TN72
- Loudon County, TN47
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +144 |
| 2012 | +132 |
| 2013 | +124 |
| 2014 | −4 |
| 2015 | +385 |
| 2016 | +192 |
| 2017 | +713 |
| 2018 | +375 |
| 2019 | +783 |
| 2021 | +709 |
| 2022 | +1,632 |
| 2023 | +1,515 |
| 2024 | +1,256 |
| 2025 | +713 |
Home to Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Anderson County blends a federal-science workforce with broader rural East Tennessee culture — yet that mix has not prevented Republican presidential margins from widening past 35 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 62.5 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.7 points.
A population of 79,153, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,183 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Craighead County and Roane County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Anderson County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.