HarrisDemocratic26.4%175,041TrumpRepublican72.4%479,003OtherAll other candidates1.2%7,772
R+45.9- Lead
- 303,962
- Total
- 661,816
- vs nation
- R+44.5
Akashicmedia market
Knoxville
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
22 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic28.3%180,971TrumpRepublican69.9%447,615OtherAll other candidates1.8%11,471
R+41.7- Lead
- 266,644
- Total
- 640,057
- vs nation
- R+46.1
ClintonDemocratic24.9%131,394TrumpRepublican70.3%370,174OtherAll other candidates4.8%25,103
R+45.3- Lead
- 238,780
- Total
- 526,671
- vs nation
- R+47.4
ObamaDemocratic28.5%143,095RomneyRepublican69.8%350,806OtherAll other candidates1.7%8,535
R+41.3- Lead
- 207,711
- Total
- 502,436
- vs nation
- R+45.2
ObamaDemocratic32.2%170,607McCainRepublican66.2%350,544OtherAll other candidates1.5%8,176
R+34.0- Lead
- 179,937
- Total
- 529,327
- vs nation
- R+41.3
KerryDemocratic35.4%182,029BushRepublican63.9%328,956OtherAll other candidates0.8%3,948
R+28.5- Lead
- 146,927
- Total
- 514,933
- vs nation
- R+26.1
GoreDemocratic40.6%178,469BushRepublican57.7%253,452OtherAll other candidates1.7%7,510
R+17.1- Lead
- 74,983
- Total
- 439,431
- vs nation
- R+17.6
ClintonDemocratic43.5%173,875DoleRepublican49.0%195,686OtherAll other candidates7.5%29,940
R+5.5- Lead
- 21,811
- Total
- 399,501
- vs nation
- R+14.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,449,3752024 5-year
- Population density
- 157 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 9,222 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,0402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+4.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chattanooga, TN · twin score 97.9
presidential history
Party record book
Knoxville · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
50.0%
71,118 votes · D+0.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 50.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
76.4%
79,787 votes · R+52.9
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 74.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
182,029votes
35.4% of the vote · R+28.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 180,971 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
479,003votes
72.4% of the vote · R+45.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 447,615 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
−3.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+1.0 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · −9.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+47.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.3 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +46.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 835,584 |
| 2018 (partial) | 848,699 |
| 2020 (partial) | 878,019 |
| 2022 (partial) | 895,585 |
| 2024 | 1,002,646 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+13,799 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +158,481 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +4,877 |
| 2012 | +3,470 |
| 2013 | +3,968 |
| 2014 | +4,968 |
| 2015 | +5,576 |
| 2016 | +8,507 |
| 2017 | +11,531 |
| 2018 | +10,080 |
| 2019 | +10,163 |
| 2021 | +19,238 |
| 2022 | +25,298 |
| 2023 | +21,560 |
| 2024 | +15,446 |
| 2025 | +13,799 |
The Knoxville media market blends a mid-size college city with heavily Republican surrounding counties, producing lopsided federal margins even as municipal races occasionally trend more competitive.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 52.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.9 points.
A population of 1,449,375, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,040 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chattanooga and Tri-Cities, TN-VA.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Chattanooga
Tennessee
97.9twin score
2008–2020 trajectoryelasticity
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
92.8twin score
2008–2016 trajectoryelasticity≠ American ancestry
Huntsville-Decatur (Florence)
Alabama
92.5twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory% Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Knoxville, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/557/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Knoxville
counties22
Anderson CountyBell CountyBlount CountyCampbell CountyClaiborne CountyCocke CountyCumberland CountyFentress CountyGrainger CountyHamblen CountyHancock CountyHarlan CountyJefferson CountyKnox CountyLoudon CountyMcCreary CountyMonroe CountyMorgan CountyRoane CountyScott CountySevier CountyUnion County
Frequently asked questions
How did Knoxville, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Knoxville, Tennessee voted Republican by 45.9 points (R+45.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 661,816 votes cast, 175,041 went Democratic and 479,003 went Republican.
When did Knoxville, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Knoxville, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1940.
How many people live in Knoxville, Tennessee?
Knoxville, Tennessee has a population of 1,449,375 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Knoxville, Tennessee?
Median household income in Knoxville, Tennessee is $66,040 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Knoxville, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Knoxville, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.