Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Knoxville
presidential margin
2008R+34.02012R+41.32016R+45.32020R+41.72024R+45.9
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+45.9
2024
median income$66,040U.S. $80,734 · TN $69,595
median age42.0U.S. 39.1
poverty rate14.4%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)27.6%U.S. 35.6%
non-english6.2%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English14.7%
American11.7%
Irish10.6%
Mexican2.9%
Puerto Rican0.5%
Honduran0.4%
African American†3.5%
African0.2%
Asian Indian0.3%
Chinese0.3%
religion
other traditions
Mainline7.1%
Black Protestant1.8%
Latter-day Saints0.7%
Other Christian0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Knoxville, Tennessee

Akashic
KnoxvilleTrumpR+45.9
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Knoxville, TNA map of the constituent counties of Knoxville, TN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Fentress County, TN · R+75.8Monroe County, TN · R+66.8Hancock County, TN · R+76.5Sevier County, TN · R+61.1Scott County, TN · R+79.8Jefferson County, TN · R+64.2Claiborne County, TN · R+70.1Loudon County, TN · R+53.0Anderson County, TN · R+35.7Morgan County, TN · R+74.5Hamblen County, TN · R+58.9Blount County, TN · R+47.7Cumberland County, TN · R+58.9McCreary County, KY · R+78.7Knox County, TN · R+19.5Harlan County, KY · R+76.1Cocke County, TN · R+68.3Bell County, KY · R+68.7Campbell County, TN · R+69.6Roane County, TN · R+54.5Union County, TN · R+71.2Grainger County, TN · R+73.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican72.4%479,003
Kamala HarrisDemocratic26.4%175,041
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent1.2%7,772
D+60
R+60
22 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (22 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Knoxville, TN — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Anderson County, TNRepublicanR+35.7
Bell County, KYRepublicanR+68.7
Blount County, TNRepublicanR+47.7
Campbell County, TNRepublicanR+69.6
Claiborne County, TNRepublicanR+70.1
Cocke County, TNRepublicanR+68.3
Cumberland County, TNRepublicanR+58.9
Fentress County, TNRepublicanR+75.8
Grainger County, TNRepublicanR+73.7
Hamblen County, TNRepublicanR+58.9
Hancock County, TNRepublicanR+76.5
Harlan County, KYRepublicanR+76.1
Jefferson County, TNRepublicanR+64.2
Knox County, TNRepublicanR+19.5
Loudon County, TNRepublicanR+53.0
McCreary County, KYRepublicanR+78.7
Monroe County, TNRepublicanR+66.8
Morgan County, TNRepublicanR+74.5
Roane County, TNRepublicanR+54.5
Scott County, TNRepublicanR+79.8
Sevier County, TNRepublicanR+61.1
Union County, TNRepublicanR+71.2
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
26.4%Harris175,041
72.4%Trump479,003
1.2%Kennedy7,772
−45.9%
661,816
R
28.3%Biden180,971
69.9%Trump447,615
1.8%Jorgensen11,471
−41.7%
640,057
R
24.9%Clinton131,394
70.3%Trump370,174
4.8%Johnson25,103
−45.3%
526,671
R
28.5%Obama143,095
69.8%Romney350,806
1.7%Stein8,535
−41.3%
502,436
R
32.2%Obama170,607
66.2%McCain350,544
1.5%Nader8,176
−34.0%
529,327
R
35.4%Kerry182,029
63.9%Bush328,956
0.8%Other3,948
−28.5%
514,933
R
40.6%Gore178,469
57.7%Bush253,452
1.7%Nader7,510
−17.1%
439,431
R
43.5%Clinton173,875
49.0%Dole195,686
7.5%Perot29,940
−5.5%
399,501
R
42.4%Clinton177,020
46.1%Bush192,307
11.4%Perot47,726
−3.7%
417,053
R
36.5%Dukakis123,317
62.9%Bush212,748
0.6%Paul2,038
−26.5%
338,103
R
35.2%Mondale125,977
64.1%Reagan229,540
0.7%Bergland2,334
−28.9%
357,851
R
38.0%Carter131,586
58.5%Reagan202,764
3.5%Anderson12,028
−20.5%
346,378
R
48.9%Carter155,685
50.0%Ford158,949
1.1%Anderson3,467
−1.0%
318,101
R
25.9%McGovern66,664
72.3%Nixon186,215
1.8%Schmitz4,519
−46.4%
257,398
R
26.6%Humphrey71,145
54.2%Nixon145,274
19.2%Wallace51,546
−27.7%
267,965
R
48.6%Johnson125,420
51.3%Goldwater132,426
0.0%Hass97
−2.7%
257,943
R
36.2%Kennedy95,154
63.2%Nixon165,961
0.6%Byrd1,637
−26.9%
262,752
R
35.1%Stevenson84,877
63.8%Eisenhower154,192
1.1%Andrews2,751
−28.7%
241,820
R
36.5%Stevenson84,726
63.3%Eisenhower146,709
0.2%Hallinan478
−26.7%
231,913
R
41.2%Truman63,513
55.5%Dewey85,439
3.3%Thurmond5,080
−14.2%
154,032
R
40.6%Roosevelt58,869
59.0%Dewey85,498
0.4%Thomas524
−18.4%
144,891
D
50.0%Roosevelt71,118
49.4%Willkie70,237
0.5%Thomas778
+0.6%
142,133
D
50.0%Roosevelt70,958
49.7%Landon70,581
0.3%Lemke455
+0.3%
141,994
R
45.4%Roosevelt52,400
53.5%Hoover61,773
1.0%Thomas1,193
−8.1%
115,366
R
23.4%Smith24,473
76.4%Hoover79,787
0.2%Thomas207
−52.9%
104,467
R
27.5%Davis25,111
67.1%Coolidge61,265
5.4%La Follette4,962
−39.6%
91,338
R
24.8%Cox26,326
74.7%Harding79,172
0.5%Debs518
−49.8%
106,016
R
30.0%Wilson17,364
68.7%Hughes39,776
1.3%Benson735
−38.7%
57,875
O
30.1%Wilson15,980
25.8%Taft13,664
44.1%Roosevelt23,360
Roosevelt +13.9
53,004
R
28.5%Bryan16,164
69.9%Taft39,687
1.6%Debs931
−41.4%
56,782
R
28.5%Parker13,003
69.6%Roosevelt31,802
1.9%Debs873
−41.2%
45,678
R
31.2%Bryan17,492
67.4%McKinley37,802
1.3%Woolley752
−36.2%
56,046
R
28.5%Bryan18,062
70.4%McKinley44,680
1.1%Palmer724
−41.9%
63,466
R
32.9%Cleveland16,283
61.9%Harrison30,650
5.3%Weaver2,605
−29.0%
49,538
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −45.9% in 2024.flipped R · 1944−45.9%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−29.0%
1896−41.9%
1900−36.2%
1904−41.2%
1908−41.4%
1912+4.4%
1916−38.7%
1920−49.8%
1924−39.6%
1928−52.9%
1932−8.1%
1936+0.3%
1940+0.6%
1944−18.4%
1948−14.2%
1952−26.7%
1956−28.7%
1960−26.9%
1964−2.7%
1968−27.7%
1972−46.4%
1976−1.0%
1980−20.5%
1984−28.9%
1988−26.5%
1992−3.7%
1996−5.5%
2000−17.1%
2004−28.5%
2008−34.0%
2012−41.3%
2016−45.3%
2020−41.7%
2024−45.9%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in KnoxvilleTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 1,002,646 in 2024.250.7K501.3K752K1M1M20162024
Registered voters

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in Knoxville
YearTotal registered
2016 (partial)835,584
2018 (partial)848,699
2020 (partial)878,019
2022 (partial)895,585
20241,002,646
Source: State election authorities

The Knoxville media market blends a mid-size college city with heavily Republican surrounding counties, producing lopsided federal margins even as municipal races occasionally trend more competitive.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 52.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.9 points.

A population of 1,449,375, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,040 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chattanooga and Tri-Cities, TN-VA.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Chattanooga
Tennessee
97.9twin score
2008–2020 trajectoryelasticity
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
92.8twin score
2008–2016 trajectoryelasticity≠ American ancestry
Huntsville-Decatur (Florence)
Alabama
92.5twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory% Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Knoxville, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/557/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Knoxville

counties22
Anderson CountyBell CountyBlount CountyCampbell CountyClaiborne CountyCocke CountyCumberland CountyFentress CountyGrainger CountyHamblen CountyHancock CountyHarlan CountyJefferson CountyKnox CountyLoudon CountyMcCreary CountyMonroe CountyMorgan CountyRoane CountyScott CountySevier CountyUnion County

Frequently asked questions

How did Knoxville, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Knoxville, Tennessee voted Republican by 45.9 points (R+45.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 661,816 votes cast, 175,041 went Democratic and 479,003 went Republican.
When did Knoxville, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Knoxville, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1940.
How many people live in Knoxville, Tennessee?
Knoxville, Tennessee has a population of 1,449,375 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Knoxville, Tennessee?
Median household income in Knoxville, Tennessee is $66,040 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Knoxville, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Knoxville, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.