Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
presidential margin
2008R+35.02012R+44.32016R+56.42020R+54.92024R+57.8
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+57.8
2024
median income$55,341U.S. $80,734 · VA $63,726
median age44.5U.S. 39.1
poverty rate16.8%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)22.5%U.S. 35.6%
non-english2.9%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American21.2%
English16.8%
Irish10.0%
Mexican1.4%
Puerto Rican0.3%
African American†2.0%
religion
other traditions
Mainline8.2%
Black Protestant1.2%
Latter-day Saints0.7%
Other Christian0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia

Akashic
Tri-Cities, TN-VATrumpR+57.8
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Tri-Cities, TN-VA, VAA map of the constituent counties of Tri-Cities, TN-VA, VA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Letcher County, KY · R+63.9Hawkins County, TN · R+68.8Bristol city, VA · R+39.6Lee County, VA · R+72.0Unicoi County, TN · R+62.0Washington County, TN · R+39.5Johnson County, TN · R+69.3Greene County, TN · R+65.7Wise County, VA · R+63.2Smyth County, VA · R+60.2Carter County, TN · R+63.2Dickenson County, VA · R+62.1Leslie County, KY · R+80.9Scott County, VA · R+70.3Buchanan County, VA · R+70.5Russell County, VA · R+67.4Norton city, VA · R+43.6Sullivan County, TN · R+55.0Washington County, VA · R+53.1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican78.4%289,744
Kamala HarrisDemocratic20.6%76,113
Jill SteinGreen1.0%3,637
D+60
R+60
19 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (19 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Tri-Cities, TN-VA, VA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Bristol city, VARepublicanR+39.6
Buchanan County, VARepublicanR+70.5
Carter County, TNRepublicanR+63.2
Dickenson County, VARepublicanR+62.1
Greene County, TNRepublicanR+65.7
Hawkins County, TNRepublicanR+68.8
Johnson County, TNRepublicanR+69.3
Lee County, VARepublicanR+72.0
Leslie County, KYRepublicanR+80.9
Letcher County, KYRepublicanR+63.9
Norton city, VARepublicanR+43.6
Russell County, VARepublicanR+67.4
Scott County, VARepublicanR+70.3
Smyth County, VARepublicanR+60.2
Sullivan County, TNRepublicanR+55.0
Unicoi County, TNRepublicanR+62.0
Washington County, TNRepublicanR+39.5
Washington County, VARepublicanR+53.1
Wise County, VARepublicanR+63.2
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
20.6%Harris76,113
78.4%Trump289,744
1.0%Stein3,637
−57.8%
369,494
R
21.8%Biden78,983
76.7%Trump277,996
1.5%Jorgensen5,340
−54.9%
362,319
R
19.9%Clinton62,701
76.4%Trump240,336
3.7%Johnson11,650
−56.4%
314,687
R
27.0%Obama83,607
71.3%Romney220,840
1.7%Johnson5,338
−44.3%
309,785
R
31.7%Obama99,177
66.7%McCain208,671
1.6%Nader4,950
−35.0%
312,798
R
34.7%Kerry106,880
64.4%Bush198,359
0.9%Badnarik2,886
−29.7%
308,125
R
41.0%Gore112,827
57.0%Bush156,976
2.0%Nader5,425
−16.0%
275,228
R
42.0%Clinton108,578
48.6%Dole125,670
9.4%Perot24,291
−6.6%
258,539
R
41.8%Clinton118,163
46.1%Bush130,084
12.1%Perot34,212
−4.2%
282,459
R
39.0%Dukakis97,537
60.0%Bush150,025
1.1%Fulani2,658
−21.0%
250,220
R
36.2%Mondale97,735
63.1%Reagan170,402
0.8%Larouche2,055
−26.9%
270,192
R
42.7%Carter106,615
53.9%Reagan134,500
3.4%Anderson8,480
−11.2%
249,595
D
49.0%Carter117,186
48.4%Ford115,659
2.6%Camejo6,210
+0.6%
239,055
R
25.4%McGovern49,451
72.5%Nixon141,390
2.1%Schmitz4,100
−47.2%
194,941
R
29.2%Humphrey60,783
52.5%Nixon109,221
18.3%Wallace38,153
−23.3%
208,157
D
51.1%Johnson91,694
48.8%Goldwater87,419
0.1%Hass205
+2.4%
179,318
R
38.4%Kennedy70,584
61.0%Nixon112,222
0.6%Byrd1,106
−22.6%
183,912
R
37.5%Stevenson67,706
61.8%Eisenhower111,703
0.7%Andrews1,282
−24.3%
180,691
R
39.3%Stevenson61,551
60.2%Eisenhower94,262
0.4%Hallinan642
−20.9%
156,455
R
44.6%Truman51,686
53.0%Dewey61,422
2.4%Thurmond2,837
−8.4%
115,945
R
46.3%Roosevelt50,000
53.4%Dewey57,711
0.2%Thomas263
−7.1%
107,974
D
51.5%Roosevelt54,227
48.0%Willkie50,564
0.5%Thomas494
+3.5%
105,285
D
53.5%Roosevelt53,459
46.2%Landon46,217
0.3%Lemke294
+7.2%
99,970
D
52.4%Roosevelt47,839
46.9%Hoover42,844
0.8%Thomas686
+5.5%
91,369
R
37.2%Smith33,561
62.8%Hoover56,634
0.1%Thomas47
−25.6%
90,242
R
41.9%Davis32,433
55.0%Coolidge42,619
3.1%La Follette2,426
−13.1%
77,478
R
34.8%Cox28,189
65.0%Harding52,604
0.2%Debs196
−30.1%
80,989
R
40.4%Wilson20,569
59.2%Hughes30,149
0.4%Benson190
−18.8%
50,908
D
39.5%Wilson17,778
28.4%Taft12,791
32.2%Roosevelt14,493
+11.1%
45,062
R
37.0%Bryan15,919
62.6%Taft26,926
0.4%Debs153
−25.6%
42,998
R
37.1%Parker14,796
62.2%Roosevelt24,846
0.7%Debs288
−25.2%
39,930
R
42.6%Bryan22,057
56.8%McKinley29,387
0.6%Woolley309
−14.2%
51,753
R
40.5%Bryan20,863
58.6%McKinley30,244
0.9%Palmer462
−18.2%
51,569
D
48.1%Cleveland20,757
46.4%Harrison20,029
5.5%Weaver2,387
+1.7%
43,173
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −57.8% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−57.8%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+1.7%
1896−18.2%
1900−14.2%
1904−25.2%
1908−25.6%
1912+11.1%
1916−18.8%
1920−30.1%
1924−13.1%
1928−25.6%
1932+5.5%
1936+7.2%
1940+3.5%
1944−7.1%
1948−8.4%
1952−20.9%
1956−24.3%
1960−22.6%
1964+2.4%
1968−23.3%
1972−47.2%
1976+0.6%
1980−11.2%
1984−26.9%
1988−21.0%
1992−4.2%
1996−6.6%
2000−16.0%
2004−29.7%
2008−35.0%
2012−44.3%
2016−56.4%
2020−54.9%
2024−57.8%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Tri-Cities, TN-VATotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 557,704 in 2024.139.4K278.9K418.3K557.7K557.7K20162024
Registered voters

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in Tri-Cities, TN-VA
YearTotal registered
2016 (partial)478,389
2018 (partial)469,762
2020 (partial)498,716
2022 (partial)510,858
2024557,704
Source: State election authorities

The Tri-Cities market straddles a state line, meaning voters in Johnson City, Kingsport, and Bristol are reached by campaigns operating under two different sets of electoral rules and candidate slates simultaneously.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.8 points.

A population of 791,313, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,341 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Knoxville and Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Knoxville
Tennessee
92.8twin score
2008–2016 trajectoryelasticity≠ American ancestry
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg
Illinois
91.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ median age
Chattanooga
Tennessee
91.2twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectory% Evangelical≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/531/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Tri-Cities, TN-VA

counties19
Bristol cityBuchanan CountyCarter CountyDickenson CountyGreene CountyHawkins CountyJohnson CountyLee CountyLeslie CountyLetcher CountyNorton cityRussell CountyScott CountySmyth CountySullivan CountyUnicoi CountyWashington CountyWashington CountyWise County

Frequently asked questions

How did Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia voted Republican by 57.8 points (R+57.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 369,494 votes cast, 76,113 went Democratic and 289,744 went Republican.
When did Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia has a population of 791,313 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia is $55,341 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.