HarrisDemocratic20.6%76,113TrumpRepublican78.4%289,744OtherAll other candidates1.0%3,637
R+57.8- Lead
- 213,631
- Total
- 369,494
- vs nation
- R+56.3
Akashicmedia market
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
19 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic21.8%78,983TrumpRepublican76.7%277,996OtherAll other candidates1.5%5,340
R+54.9- Lead
- 199,013
- Total
- 362,319
- vs nation
- R+59.4
ClintonDemocratic19.9%62,701TrumpRepublican76.4%240,336OtherAll other candidates3.7%11,650
R+56.4- Lead
- 177,635
- Total
- 314,687
- vs nation
- R+58.5
ObamaDemocratic27.0%83,607RomneyRepublican71.3%220,840OtherAll other candidates1.7%5,338
R+44.3- Lead
- 137,233
- Total
- 309,785
- vs nation
- R+48.2
ObamaDemocratic31.7%99,177McCainRepublican66.7%208,671OtherAll other candidates1.6%4,950
R+35.0- Lead
- 109,494
- Total
- 312,798
- vs nation
- R+42.3
KerryDemocratic34.7%106,880BushRepublican64.4%198,359OtherAll other candidates0.9%2,886
R+29.7- Lead
- 91,479
- Total
- 308,125
- vs nation
- R+27.2
GoreDemocratic41.0%112,827BushRepublican57.0%156,976OtherAll other candidates2.0%5,425
R+16.0- Lead
- 44,149
- Total
- 275,228
- vs nation
- R+16.6
ClintonDemocratic42.0%108,578DoleRepublican48.6%125,670OtherAll other candidates9.4%24,291
R+6.6- Lead
- 17,092
- Total
- 258,539
- vs nation
- R+15.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 791,3132024 5-year
- Population density
- 111 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7,128 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $55,3412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+11.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Knoxville, TN · twin score 92.8
presidential history
Party record book
Tri-Cities, TN-VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
53.5%
53,459 votes · D+7.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 52.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78.4%
289,744 votes · R+57.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 76.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
118,163votes
41.8% of the vote · R+4.2
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 117,186 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
289,744votes
78.4% of the vote · R+57.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 277,996 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+12.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+13.1 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · 0.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+59.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.9 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +58.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 478,389 |
| 2018 (partial) | 469,762 |
| 2020 (partial) | 498,716 |
| 2022 (partial) | 510,858 |
| 2024 | 557,704 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+6,097 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +39,788 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +836 |
| 2012 | +29 |
| 2013 | −1,333 |
| 2014 | −1,627 |
| 2015 | −375 |
| 2016 | −28 |
| 2017 | +906 |
| 2018 | +2,200 |
| 2019 | +1,562 |
| 2021 | +5,197 |
| 2022 | +10,024 |
| 2023 | +9,668 |
| 2024 | +6,632 |
| 2025 | +6,097 |
The Tri-Cities market straddles a state line, meaning voters in Johnson City, Kingsport, and Bristol are reached by campaigns operating under two different sets of electoral rules and candidate slates simultaneously.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.8 points.
A population of 791,313, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,341 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Knoxville and Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Knoxville
Tennessee
92.8twin score
2008–2016 trajectoryelasticity≠ American ancestry
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg
Illinois
91.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ median age
Chattanooga
Tennessee
91.2twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectory% Evangelical≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/531/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia voted Republican by 57.8 points (R+57.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 369,494 votes cast, 76,113 went Democratic and 289,744 went Republican.
When did Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia has a population of 791,313 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia is $55,341 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.