- Lead
- 15,683
- Total
- 29,518
- vs nation
- R+51.7
- Turnout
- 67.0%
Washington County, VA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.0% of 44,224 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 15,062
- Total
- 28,685
- vs nation
- R+57.0
- Turnout
- 65.7%
- Lead
- 13,767
- Total
- 25,846
- vs nation
- R+55.4
- Turnout
- 59.3%
- Lead
- 11,065
- Total
- 25,632
- vs nation
- R+47.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,014
- Total
- 24,500
- vs nation
- R+40.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,410
- Total
- 22,514
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,515
- Total
- 20,222
- vs nation
- R+22.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,159
- Total
- 18,169
- vs nation
- R+20.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 53,9262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,5522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.3 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Carter County, TN · twin score 93.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.0%29,637 participants ÷ 44,224 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.3%–48.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 25,994 | 43,831 | 59.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 20,668 | 43,954 | 47.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 28,850 | 43,899 | 65.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,167 | 44,348 | 41.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 29,637 | 44,224 | 67.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
38 precincts · 29,518 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -501 - RHEA VALLEY501 - RHEA VALLEY | 506 | 2,208 | 23 | 2,737 | 18.5% | 80.7% | R+62.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -101 - EAST ABINGDON101 - EAST ABINGDON | 840 | 1,646 | 23 | 2,509 | 33.5% | 65.6% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -302 - SOUTH ABINGDON302 - SOUTH ABINGDON | 849 | 1,548 | 39 | 2,436 | 34.9% | 63.5% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -301 - WATAUGA301 - WATAUGA | 601 | 1,797 | 37 | 2,435 | 24.7% | 73.8% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -601 - BURSON PLACE601 - BURSON PLACE | 317 | 1,907 | 16 | 2,240 | 14.2% | 85.1% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -402 - MEADOWVIEW402 - MEADOWVIEW | 424 | 1,659 | 21 | 2,104 | 20.2% | 78.8% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -703 - JOHN BATTLE703 - JOHN BATTLE | 400 | 1,436 | 16 | 1,852 | 21.6% | 77.5% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -701 - HIGH POINT701 - HIGH POINT | 355 | 1,391 | 16 | 1,762 | 20.1% | 78.9% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct -401 - GLADE SPRING401 - GLADE SPRING | 333 | 1,315 | 14 | 1,662 | 20.0% | 79.1% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -202 - GREENDALE202 - GREENDALE | 261 | 1,280 | 13 | 1,554 | 16.8% | 82.4% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -603 - VALLEY INSTITUTE603 - VALLEY INSTITUTE | 276 | 1,253 | 5 | 1,534 | 18.0% | 81.7% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct -102 - WEST ABINGDON102 - WEST ABINGDON | 547 | 925 | 18 | 1,490 | 36.7% | 62.1% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -204 - WOODLAND HILLS204 - WOODLAND HILLS | 323 | 1,031 | 14 | 1,368 | 23.6% | 75.4% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -502 - DAMASCUS502 - DAMASCUS | 315 | 884 | 15 | 1,214 | 25.9% | 72.8% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -201 - CLINCHBURG201 - CLINCHBURG | 135 | 692 | 4 | 831 | 16.2% | 83.3% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -702 - WALLACE702 - WALLACE | 125 | 501 | 2 | 628 | 19.9% | 79.8% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -203 - HAYTERS GAP203 - HAYTERS GAP | 80 | 455 | 6 | 541 | 14.8% | 84.1% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -602 - MENDOTA602 - MENDOTA | 46 | 364 | 8 | 418 | 11.0% | 87.1% | R+76.1 |
| Precinct -504 - GREEN COVE504 - GREEN COVE | 39 | 163 | 1 | 203 | 19.2% | 80.3% | R+61.1 |
| Burson Place51191000601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clinchburg51191000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Damascus51191000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Abingdon51191000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Glade Spring51191000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Green Cove51191000504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greendale51191000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hayters Gap51191000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| High Point51191000701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| John Battle51191000703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Meadowview51191000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mendota51191000602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rhea Valley51191000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Abingdon51191000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Valley Institute51191000603 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wallace51191000702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Watauga51191000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Abingdon51191000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodland Hills51191000204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +21.2% |
| 1896 | −5.8% |
| 1900 | −4.3% |
| 1904 | −16.4% |
| 1908 | −5.5% |
| 1912 | +34.1% |
| 1916 | +4.1% |
| 1920 | −8.5% |
| 1924 | +3.9% |
| 1928 | −12.8% |
| 1932 | +21.8% |
| 1936 | +11.8% |
| 1940 | +9.2% |
| 1944 | +1.0% |
| 1948 | −8.1% |
| 1952 | −15.6% |
| 1956 | −13.4% |
| 1960 | −7.7% |
| 1964 | +30.3% |
| 1968 | −26.3% |
| 1972 | −38.0% |
| 1976 | −2.3% |
| 1980 | −12.9% |
| 1984 | −36.8% |
| 1988 | −29.0% |
| 1992 | −9.9% |
| 1996 | −11.9% |
| 2000 | −22.3% |
| 2004 | −32.9% |
| 2008 | −32.7% |
| 2012 | −43.2% |
| 2016 | −53.3% |
| 2020 | −52.5% |
| 2024 | −53.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 37,011 |
| 2018 | 36,499 |
| 2020 | 38,392 |
| 2022 | 39,251 |
| 2024 | 40,668 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+157 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,087 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,850 in average income, against $75,991 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+54.0 on average — about the same lean as Washington County, VA (R+53.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sullivan County, TN183R+55.0
- Bristol city, VA159R+39.6
- Smyth County, VA147R+60.2
- Russell County, VA69R+67.4
- Tazewell County, VA33R+68.7
- Washington County, TN30R+39.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sullivan County, TN221
- Bristol city, VA173
- Smyth County, VA134
- Russell County, VA53
- Washington County, TN41
- Wythe County, VA24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −47 |
| 2012 | +367 |
| 2013 | −181 |
| 2014 | −56 |
| 2015 | −139 |
| 2016 | −18 |
| 2017 | +237 |
| 2018 | +120 |
| 2019 | −71 |
| 2021 | +242 |
| 2022 | +525 |
| 2023 | +531 |
| 2024 | +420 |
| 2025 | +157 |
Washington County sits in Virginia's far southwest, where rugged terrain and a rural economy have anchored Republican margins above 50 points in recent presidential cycles. Its small cities and coal-era heritage shape a distinctly different electorate from the state's populous northeast corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 53.3 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.1 points.
A population of 53,926, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,552 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Carter County and Mercer County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Washington County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51191/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.