HarrisDemocratic20.8%31,221TrumpRepublican78.2%117,264KennedyIndependent0.4%559
R+57.4- Lead
- 86,043
- Total
- 149,892
- vs nation
- R+55.9
Akashicmetro area
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
5 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic21.8%31,977TrumpRepublican76.7%112,354OtherAll other candidates1.5%2,210
R+54.8- Lead
- 80,377
- Total
- 146,541
- vs nation
- R+59.3
ClintonDemocratic19.9%25,054TrumpRepublican76.2%96,086OtherAll other candidates3.9%4,885
R+56.4- Lead
- 71,032
- Total
- 126,025
- vs nation
- R+58.5
ObamaDemocratic26.4%32,372RomneyRepublican71.9%88,304OtherAll other candidates1.7%2,059
R+45.6- Lead
- 55,932
- Total
- 122,735
- vs nation
- R+49.4
ObamaDemocratic29.8%37,737McCainRepublican68.8%87,200OtherAll other candidates1.4%1,834
R+39.0- Lead
- 49,463
- Total
- 126,771
- vs nation
- R+46.3
KerryDemocratic32.3%39,384BushRepublican66.8%81,505OtherAll other candidates1.0%1,188
R+34.5- Lead
- 42,121
- Total
- 122,077
- vs nation
- R+32.0
GoreDemocratic38.5%41,854BushRepublican59.5%64,647OtherAll other candidates2.0%2,160
R+21.0- Lead
- 22,793
- Total
- 108,661
- vs nation
- R+21.5
ClintonDemocratic38.9%39,912DoleRepublican52.3%53,627OtherAll other candidates8.8%9,007
R+13.4- Lead
- 13,715
- Total
- 102,546
- vs nation
- R+21.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 310,8422024 5-year
- Population density
- 155 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,011 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,1382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Johnson City, TN · twin score 95.2
presidential history
Party record book
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
58.4%
13,886 votes · D+17.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 56.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78.2%
117,264 votes · R+57.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 76.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
43,670votes
49.0% of the vote · D+1.2
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 41,854 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
117,264votes
78.2% of the vote · R+57.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 112,354 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+27.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+1.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +20.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+59.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.8 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +58.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 193,990 |
| 2018 | 190,412 |
| 2020 | 207,190 |
| 2022 | 214,076 |
| 2024 | 225,390 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+2,692 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +24,930 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +401 |
| 2012 | +467 |
| 2013 | +116 |
| 2014 | +404 |
| 2015 | +142 |
| 2016 | +818 |
| 2017 | +1,664 |
| 2018 | +1,523 |
| 2019 | +1,646 |
| 2021 | +3,530 |
| 2022 | +4,745 |
| 2023 | +3,760 |
| 2024 | +3,022 |
| 2025 | +2,692 |
Kingsport-Bristol spans a state line that splits its electorate across two sets of statewide races, making it a rare metro where identical precincts report to Richmond and Nashville simultaneously. Republican margins here have widened consistently since 2008.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.4 points.
A population of 310,842, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,138 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Johnson City, TN and Morristown, TN.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Johnson City, TN
95.2twin score
2004–2016 trajectory
Morristown, TN
93.5twin score
2008–2020 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Cullman, AL
92.7twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ 2008 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/28700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Virginia voted Republican by 57.4 points (R+57.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 149,892 votes cast, 31,221 went Democratic and 117,264 went Republican.
When did Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Virginia?
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Virginia has a population of 310,842 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Virginia is $58,138 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.