akashic
1876–2024
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA·Tennessee

Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA has voted Republican in twenty-three straight presidential elections — R+55.0 in 2024.

2008 — 2024·5 elections
TN
2024 presidential election
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
TrumpR+55.0
2024 presidential margin by county for Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, TNA map of the constituent counties of Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, TN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Unicoi County, TN · R+61.9Carter County, TN · R+63.2Washington County, TN · R+39.5Bristol city, VA · R+39.6Washington County, VA · R+53.1Scott County, VA · R+70.3Greene County, TN · R+65.7Sullivan County, TN · R+55.0Hawkins County, TN · R+68.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican77.0%212,192
Kamala HarrisDemocratic22.0%60,529
OtherAll other candidates1.1%2,972
D+60
R+60
9 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1876 to 2024. Most recent: −55.0% in 2024.flipped R · 1936−55.0%DR18762024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1876No data
1880No data
1884No data
1888No data
1892−0.7%
1896−18.1%
1900−11.9%
1904−19.0%
1908−18.6%
1912+15.2%
1916−15.9%
1920−29.4%
1924−14.7%
1928−32.5%
1932+1.2%
1936−0.9%
1940−2.3%
1944−15.6%
1948−15.6%
1952−29.0%
1956−29.9%
1960−31.2%
1964−1.4%
1968−32.3%
1972−52.1%
1976−2.3%
1980−16.5%
1984−38.1%
1988−32.0%
1992−12.8%
1996−15.4%
2000−21.7%
2004−35.1%
2008−38.8%
2012−44.6%
2016−54.7%
2020−52.0%
2024−55.0%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−55.0%
60,529212,192275,693
R
−52.0%
61,958201,240267,630
R
−54.7%
47,009171,469227,637
R
−44.6%
59,624158,892222,357
R
−38.8%
68,482157,555229,415
R
−35.1%
70,732148,420221,053
R
−21.7%
73,822115,657192,950
R
−15.4%
68,40596,028179,839
R
−12.8%
71,55996,014191,407
R
−32.0%
56,081109,729167,485
R
−38.1%
54,186121,706177,088
R
−16.5%
66,52494,014166,624
R
−2.3%
74,66078,194156,248
R
−52.1%
31,185102,481136,752
R
−32.3%
30,86174,041133,753
R
−1.4%
60,85362,521123,494
R
−31.2%
41,92380,405123,306
R
−29.9%
39,38073,443113,800
R
−29.0%
34,22462,33796,999
R
−15.6%
26,24036,29364,629
R
−15.6%
24,57133,69658,441
R
−2.3%
27,65328,97657,046
R
−0.9%
26,50027,00553,717
D
+1.2%
23,91923,32847,660
R
−32.5%
15,07029,57244,667
R
−14.7%
16,56222,36439,502
R
−29.4%
16,81930,88647,782
R
−15.9%
12,22316,85929,141
D
+15.2%
11,1316,90627,715
R
−18.6%
10,63915,53126,255
R
−19.0%
9,70514,31024,227
R
−11.9%
14,02717,85632,135
R
−18.1%
13,73619,88533,981
R
−0.7%
13,57113,77128,945
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Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorJohnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VACombined statistical areaUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White91.3%61.0%
Black2.3%12.2%
Asian0.8%6.0%
Two or more races4.6%12.6%
Other race1.0%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino3.2%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$58,034$84,427
Poverty rate15.4%12.5%
Median age44.339.1
Age 18–248.7%9.2%
Age 65 and older21.9%17.2%
Education & Language
Speaks a non-English language at home3.3%22.3%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryAmerican 18.4%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryEnglish 18.0%English 9.5%
3rd-largest ancestryIrish 10.4%Irish 9.4%
Religion
Catholic1.9%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant41.2%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed45.2%51.5%
Mainline Protestant9.0%5.2%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
18.4%
English
18.0%
Irish
10.4%
German
10.3%
Scottish
2.6%
Italian
1.9%
French
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 44.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.3%
3.1%
75–84
3.9%
6.0%
65–74
6.7%
7.1%
55–64
7.3%
6.5%
45–54
6.5%
5.7%
35–44
5.7%
6.1%
25–34
5.9%
4.3%
18–24
4.4%
7.3%
5–17
6.8%
2.3%
<5
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$58,034
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA ranks near the middle of US counties.
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA$58,034
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.5%
Working age (18–64)14.4%
Seniors (65+)12.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.7%
speak English only
Spanish2.1%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Evangelical Protestant
41.2%
Mainline Protestant
9.0%
Catholic
1.9%
Black Protestant
1.2%
Latter-day Saints
0.8%
Other Christian
0.5%
Hindu
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted45.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 55.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.0 points.

A population of 593,199, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,034 describe the region.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/304/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee voted Republican by 55.0 points (R+55.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 275,693 votes cast, 60,529 went Democratic and 212,192 went Republican.
What is Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee's political typology?
Akashic places Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the region has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 32 times, and other 0 times.
When did Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1932.
How many people live in Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee?
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee has a population of 593,199 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee?
Median household income in Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee is $58,034 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican. The region's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.