combined metro areaJohnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+35.1
2008R+38.8
2012R+44.6
2016R+54.7
2020R+52.0
2024R+55.0
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 57.8% of 476,791 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
60,529
212,192
2,893
275,614
476,791
57.8%
2020
61,958
201,240
4,432
267,630
462,509
57.9%
2016
47,009
171,469
9,159
227,637
456,721
49.8%
2012
59,624
158,892
3,841
222,357
452,251
49.2%
2008
68,482
157,555
3,378
229,415
439,650
52.2%
2004
70,732
148,420
1,901
221,053
427,049†
51.8%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
9 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupJohnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VAUnited States
American18.4%5.3%
English18.0%9.5%
Irish10.4%9.4%
German10.3%12.5%
Scottish2.6%1.3%
Scotch-Irish2.5%—
Italian1.9%4.8%
French0.8%1.6%
Mexican1.7%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.3%1.8%
African American†1.8%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
United States
Median age
44.3
39.1
Age 18–24
8.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
21.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
United States
Median household income
$58,034
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.4%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
25.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.3%
22.3%
Spanish
2.1%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
United States
Catholic
1.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
41.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
45.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
9.0%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−0.7%
1896
−18.1%
1900
−11.9%
1904
−19.0%
1908
−18.6%
1912
+15.2%
1916
−15.9%
1920
−29.4%
1924
−14.7%
1928
−32.5%
1932
+1.2%
1936
−0.9%
1940
−2.3%
1944
−15.6%
1948
−15.6%
1952
−29.0%
1956
−29.9%
1960
−31.2%
1964
−1.4%
1968
−32.3%
1972
−52.1%
1976
−2.3%
1980
−16.5%
1984
−38.1%
1988
−32.0%
1992
−12.8%
1996
−15.4%
2000
−21.7%
2004
−35.1%
2008
−38.8%
2012
−44.6%
2016
−54.7%
2020
−52.0%
2024
−55.0%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
22.0%Harris60,529
77.0%Trump212,192
0.5%Kennedy1,351 +7
R+55.0
R+3.0
R+53.6
275,614
All 10 candidates in 2024 · 8 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican77.0%212,192
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic22.0%60,529
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.5%1,351
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%508
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.2%426
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%239
Chase OliverLibertarian0.1%141
OtherAll other candidates0.0%137
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%60
Cornel R WestIndependent0.0%31
R
23.2%Biden61,958
75.2%Trump201,240
1.7%
R+52.0
D+2.6
R+56.5
267,630
R
20.7%Clinton47,009
75.3%Trump171,469
4.0%
R+54.7
R+10.0
R+56.8
227,637
R
26.8%Obama59,624
71.5%Romney158,892
1.7%
R+44.6
R+5.8
R+48.5
222,357
R
29.9%Obama68,482
68.7%McCain157,555
1.5%
R+38.8
R+3.7
R+46.1
229,415
R
32.0%Kerry70,732
67.1%Bush148,420
0.9%
R+35.1
R+13.5
R+32.7
221,053
R
38.3%Gore73,822
59.9%Bush115,657
1.8%
R+21.7
R+6.3
R+22.2
192,950
R
38.0%Clinton68,405
53.4%Dole96,028
8.6%
R+15.4
R+2.6
R+23.9
179,839
R
37.4%Clinton71,559
50.2%Bush96,014
12.5%
R+12.8
D+19.3
R+18.3
191,407
R
33.5%Dukakis56,081
65.5%Bush109,729
1.0%
R+32.0
D+6.1
R+24.3
167,485
R
30.6%Mondale54,186
68.7%Reagan121,706
0.7%
R+38.1
R+21.6
R+19.9
177,088
R
39.9%Carter66,524
56.4%Reagan94,014
3.7%
R+16.5
R+14.2
R+6.8
166,624
R
47.8%Carter74,660
50.0%Ford78,194
2.2%
R+2.3
D+49.9
R+4.3
156,248
R
22.8%McGovern31,185
74.9%Nixon102,481
2.3%
R+52.1
R+19.9
R+29.0
136,752
R
23.1%Humphrey30,861
55.4%Nixon74,041
21.6%
R+32.3
R+30.9
R+31.6
133,753
R
49.3%Johnson60,853
50.6%Goldwater62,521
0.1%
R+1.4
D+29.9
R+23.9
123,494
R
34.0%Kennedy41,923
65.2%Nixon80,405
0.8%
R+31.2
R+1.3
R+31.4
123,306
R
34.6%Stevenson39,380
64.5%Eisenhower73,443
0.9%
R+29.9
R+0.9
R+14.5
113,800
R
35.3%Stevenson34,224
64.3%Eisenhower62,337
0.5%
R+29.0
R+13.4
R+18.2
96,999
R
40.6%Truman26,240
56.2%Dewey36,293
3.2%
R+15.6
D+0.1
R+20.0
64,629
R
42.0%Roosevelt24,571
57.7%Dewey33,696
0.3%
R+15.6
R+13.3
R+23.1
58,441
R
48.5%Roosevelt27,653
50.8%Willkie28,976
0.7%
R+2.3
R+1.4
R+12.3
57,046
R
49.3%Roosevelt26,500
50.3%Landon27,005
0.4%
R+0.9
R+2.2
R+25.2
53,717
D
50.2%Roosevelt23,919
48.9%Hoover23,328
0.9%
D+1.2
D+33.7
R+16.5
47,660
R
33.7%Smith15,070
66.2%Hoover29,572
0.1%
R+32.5
R+17.8
R+15.0
44,667
R
41.9%Davis16,562
56.6%Coolidge22,364
1.5%
R+14.7
D+14.8
D+10.5
39,502
R
35.2%Cox16,819
64.6%Harding30,886
0.2%
R+29.4
R+13.5
R+3.3
47,782
R
41.9%Wilson12,223
57.9%Hughes16,859
0.2%
R+15.9
R+31.2
R+19.1
29,141
D
40.2%Wilson11,131
24.9%Taft6,906
34.9%
D+15.2
D+33.9
R+4.3
27,715
R
40.5%Bryan10,639
59.2%Taft15,531
0.3%
R+18.6
D+0.4
R+9.1
26,255
R
40.1%Parker9,705
59.1%Roosevelt14,310
0.9%
R+19.0
R+7.1
D+0.7
24,227
R
43.7%Bryan14,027
55.6%McKinley17,856
0.8%
R+11.9
D+6.2
R+4.4
32,135
R
40.4%Bryan13,736
58.5%McKinley19,885
1.1%
R+18.1
R+17.4
R+12.0
33,981
R
46.9%Cleveland13,571
47.6%Harrison13,771
5.5%
R+0.7
—
R+2.3
28,945
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
Year
Total registered
2016
359,585
2018
355,222
2020
381,545
2022
392,387
2024
413,502
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+6,015 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +53,246 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA in Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+1,516
2012
+1,249
2013
+125
2014
+467
2015
+1,045
2016
+2,398
2017
+3,164
2018
+3,518
2019
+2,881
2021
+5,316
2022
+10,169
2023
+9,151
2024
+6,232
2025
+6,015
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 55.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.0 points.
A population of 593,199, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,034 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chattanooga-Cleveland-Dalton, TN-GA-AL and Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/304/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee voted Republican by 55.0 points (R+55.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 275,614 votes cast, 60,529 went Democratic and 212,192 went Republican.
When did Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1932.
How many people live in Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee?
Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee has a population of 593,199 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee?
Median household income in Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee is $58,034 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.
