- Lead
- 45,179
- Total
- 94,627
- vs nation
- R+46.3
Johnson City, TN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 41,845
- Total
- 93,002
- vs nation
- R+49.4
- Lead
- 39,082
- Total
- 78,029
- vs nation
- R+52.2
- Lead
- 32,316
- Total
- 75,735
- vs nation
- R+46.5
- Lead
- 29,569
- Total
- 77,974
- vs nation
- R+45.2
- Lead
- 26,820
- Total
- 74,782
- vs nation
- R+33.4
- Lead
- 14,411
- Total
- 63,473
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Lead
- 11,014
- Total
- 58,877
- vs nation
- R+27.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 210,7292024 5-year
- Population density
- 247 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 854 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,5062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA · twin score 95.2
presidential history
Party record book
Johnson City, TN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
46.6%
23,920 votes · R+5.8
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 44.6%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
82.9%
11,864 votes · R+65.9
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 79.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
24,782votes
26.6% of the vote · R+45.0
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 24,163 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
69,342votes
73.3% of the vote · R+47.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 66,627 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
−7.9pts D vs U.S.
Place R+5.8 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −15.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+52.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.1 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +49.4 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 24.6%21,344 | 75.4%65,406 | 86,750 |
| 2020 | R | 28.1%24,352 | 71.9%62,250 | 86,602 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 123,848 |
| 2018 | 122,564 |
| 2020 | 133,055 |
| 2022 | 134,718 |
| 2024 | 141,316 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+2,315 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +19,790 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +532 |
| 2012 | +988 |
| 2013 | +220 |
| 2014 | −281 |
| 2015 | +546 |
| 2016 | +1,384 |
| 2017 | +907 |
| 2018 | +1,379 |
| 2019 | +1,091 |
| 2021 | +974 |
| 2022 | +4,108 |
| 2023 | +3,688 |
| 2024 | +1,939 |
| 2025 | +2,315 |
Johnson City's Ballad Health campus and East Tennessee State University give the metro an unusually large healthcare and higher-education workforce, moderating the heavily Republican baseline typical of surrounding Sullivan and Washington counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 65.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.7 points.
A population of 210,729, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,506 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA and Cullman, AL.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Johnson City, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/27740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.