Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Johnson City, TN
presidential margin
2008R+37.92012R+42.72016R+50.12020R+45.02024R+47.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+47.7
2024
median income$58,506U.S. $80,734 · TN $69,595
median age42.3U.S. 39.1 · TN 39.3
poverty rate15.8%U.S. 12.5% · TN 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)29.5%U.S. 35.6% · TN 31.3%
non-english4.1%U.S. 22.3% · TN 8.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American18.9%
English17.0%
German10.7%
Mexican2.0%
Puerto Rican0.4%
Salvadoran0.3%
African American†2.0%
Ghanaian0.2%
Chinese0.3%
Japanese0.3%
Asian Indian0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline6.4%
Black Protestant1.2%
Latter-day Saints0.8%
Other Christian0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Johnson City, TN, Tennessee

Akashic
Johnson City, TNTrumpR+47.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Johnson City, TN, TNA map of the constituent counties of Johnson City, TN, TN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Carter County, TN · R+63.2Unicoi County, TN · R+62.0Washington County, TN · R+39.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican73.3%69,342
Kamala HarrisDemocratic25.5%24,163
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent1.2%1,122
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Johnson City, TN, TN — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Carter County, TNRepublicanR+63.2
Unicoi County, TNRepublicanR+62.0
Washington County, TNRepublicanR+39.5
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
25.5%Harris24,163
73.3%Trump69,342
1.2%Kennedy1,122
−47.7%
94,627
R
26.6%Biden24,782
71.6%Trump66,627
1.7%Jorgensen1,593
−45.0%
93,002
R
22.7%Clinton17,739
72.8%Trump56,821
4.4%Johnson3,469
−50.1%
78,029
R
27.8%Obama21,027
70.4%Romney53,343
1.8%Stein1,365
−42.7%
75,735
R
30.3%Obama23,635
68.2%McCain53,204
1.5%Nader1,135
−37.9%
77,974
R
31.7%Kerry23,713
67.6%Bush50,533
0.7%Other536
−35.9%
74,782
R
37.9%Gore24,059
60.6%Bush38,470
1.5%Nader944
−22.7%
63,473
R
36.7%Clinton21,608
55.4%Dole32,622
7.9%Perot4,647
−18.7%
58,877
R
35.9%Clinton21,948
52.8%Bush32,262
11.3%Perot6,910
−16.9%
61,120
R
31.7%Dukakis16,515
67.7%Bush35,315
0.6%Paul321
−36.0%
52,151
R
28.6%Mondale15,790
70.8%Reagan39,164
0.6%Bergland326
−42.3%
55,280
R
36.0%Carter19,485
60.8%Reagan32,933
3.2%Anderson1,752
−24.8%
54,170
R
46.6%Carter23,920
52.4%Ford26,915
1.0%Anderson489
−5.8%
51,324
R
20.0%McGovern8,297
77.9%Nixon32,322
2.0%Schmitz849
−57.9%
41,468
R
18.8%Humphrey8,000
60.5%Nixon25,676
20.7%Wallace8,777
−41.6%
42,453
R
44.6%Johnson17,579
55.4%Goldwater21,815
0.0%
−10.8%
39,394
R
26.0%Kennedy11,017
73.3%Nixon31,069
0.7%Byrd284
−47.3%
42,370
R
24.5%Stevenson9,358
74.9%Eisenhower28,667
0.6%Andrews242
−50.5%
38,267
R
27.0%Stevenson9,115
72.5%Eisenhower24,495
0.6%Hallinan197
−45.5%
33,807
R
31.2%Truman6,676
65.1%Dewey13,926
3.7%Thurmond786
−33.9%
21,388
R
32.6%Roosevelt6,501
67.0%Dewey13,350
0.4%Thomas78
−34.4%
19,929
R
38.0%Roosevelt6,721
61.2%Willkie10,820
0.8%Thomas147
−23.2%
17,688
R
38.2%Roosevelt7,164
61.2%Landon11,496
0.6%Lemke112
−23.1%
18,772
R
35.3%Roosevelt5,769
64.1%Hoover10,462
0.6%Thomas102
−28.7%
16,333
R
17.0%Smith2,430
82.9%Hoover11,864
0.1%Thomas19
−65.9%
14,313
R
24.5%Davis2,771
73.3%Coolidge8,281
2.1%La Follette242
−48.8%
11,294
R
20.5%Cox3,481
79.5%Harding13,501
0.0%Debs8
−59.0%
16,990
R
27.7%Wilson2,555
72.2%Hughes6,645
0.1%Benson8
−44.4%
9,208
O
23.8%Wilson2,179
29.1%Taft2,657
47.1%Roosevelt4,303
Roosevelt +18.0
9,139
R
25.1%Bryan2,100
74.8%Taft6,266
0.1%Debs11
−49.7%
8,377
R
23.6%Parker1,721
75.3%Roosevelt5,480
1.1%Debs79
−51.6%
7,280
R
24.2%Bryan1,980
74.3%McKinley6,073
1.4%Woolley117
−50.1%
8,170
R
25.4%Bryan2,195
73.0%McKinley6,311
1.6%Palmer135
−47.6%
8,641
R
32.6%Cleveland2,287
63.2%Harrison4,433
4.3%Weaver299
−30.6%
7,019
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −47.7% in 2024.−47.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−30.6%
1896−47.6%
1900−50.1%
1904−51.6%
1908−49.7%
1912−5.2%
1916−44.4%
1920−59.0%
1924−48.8%
1928−65.9%
1932−28.7%
1936−23.1%
1940−23.2%
1944−34.4%
1948−33.9%
1952−45.5%
1956−50.5%
1960−47.3%
1964−10.8%
1968−41.6%
1972−57.9%
1976−5.8%
1980−24.8%
1984−42.3%
1988−36.0%
1992−16.9%
1996−18.7%
2000−22.7%
2004−35.9%
2008−37.9%
2012−42.7%
2016−50.1%
2020−45.0%
2024−47.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Johnson City, TNTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 141,316 in 2024.35.3K70.7K106K141.3K141.3K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Johnson City, TN
YearTotal registered
2016123,848
2018122,564
2020133,055
2022134,718
2024141,316
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Johnson City's Ballad Health campus and East Tennessee State University give the metro an unusually large healthcare and higher-education workforce, moderating the heavily Republican baseline typical of surrounding Sullivan and Washington counties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 65.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.7 points.

A population of 210,729, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,506 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA and Cullman, AL.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
95.2twin score
2004–2016 trajectory
Cullman, AL
91.2twin score
American ancestry% White% Catholic≠ 2024 margin
Richmond-Berea, KY
91.0twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectory% Catholic≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Johnson City, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/27740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Johnson City, TN

counties3
Carter CountyUnicoi CountyWashington County

Frequently asked questions

How did Johnson City, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Johnson City, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 47.7 points (R+47.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 94,627 votes cast, 24,163 went Democratic and 69,342 went Republican.
How many people live in Johnson City, TN, Tennessee?
Johnson City, TN, Tennessee has a population of 210,729 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Johnson City, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Johnson City, TN, Tennessee is $58,506 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Johnson City, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Johnson City, TN, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 33 went Republican.