- Lead
- 24,168
- Total
- 61,234
- vs nation
- R+38.0
- Turnout
- 57.0%
Washington County, TN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.0% of 108,377 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 21,806
- Total
- 60,203
- vs nation
- R+40.7
- Turnout
- 59.8%
- Lead
- 21,228
- Total
- 49,750
- vs nation
- R+44.8
- Turnout
- 51.1%
- Lead
- 18,483
- Total
- 48,032
- vs nation
- R+42.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16,400
- Total
- 48,982
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 14,791
- Total
- 45,006
- vs nation
- R+30.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,810
- Total
- 37,942
- vs nation
- R+21.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,701
- Total
- 34,840
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 136,2612024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,8092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+9.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.0 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jessamine County, KY · twin score 87.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 57.0%61,790 participants ÷ 108,377 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +26.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 30.6%–41.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 50,432 | 98,753 | 51.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 45,543 | 99,291 | 45.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 60,550 | 101,252 | 59.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 35,298 | 105,641 | 33.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 61,790 | 108,377 | 57.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
23 precincts · 61,234 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -LamarLamar | 691 | 3,402 | 43 | 4,136 | 16.7% | 82.3% | R+65.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -West ViewWest View | 624 | 3,269 | 23 | 3,916 | 15.9% | 83.5% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -Sulphur SpringsSulphur Springs | 681 | 3,083 | 36 | 3,800 | 17.9% | 81.1% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -Visitors CenterVisitors Center | 1,073 | 2,312 | 35 | 3,420 | 31.4% | 67.6% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -Henry JohnsonHenry Johnson | 1,334 | 1,982 | 58 | 3,374 | 39.5% | 58.7% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -CherokeeCherokee | 1,281 | 1,848 | 54 | 3,183 | 40.2% | 58.1% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct -CarverCarver | 1,578 | 1,457 | 48 | 3,083 | 51.2% | 47.3% | D+3.9 |
| Precinct -KeystoneKeystone | 1,118 | 1,807 | 42 | 2,967 | 37.7% | 60.9% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct -Indian Trail NorthIndian Trail North | 985 | 1,773 | 40 | 2,798 | 35.2% | 63.4% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -Gray EastGray East | 645 | 2,100 | 29 | 2,774 | 23.3% | 75.7% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -Freedom HallFreedom Hall | 1,008 | 1,634 | 56 | 2,698 | 37.4% | 60.6% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct -Fall BranchFall Branch | 401 | 2,236 | 28 | 2,665 | 15.0% | 83.9% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -WoodlandWoodland | 757 | 1,600 | 41 | 2,398 | 31.6% | 66.7% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -Towne AcresTowne Acres | 894 | 1,396 | 34 | 2,324 | 38.5% | 60.1% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -Gray WestGray West | 461 | 1,830 | 25 | 2,316 | 19.9% | 79.0% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -Lakeridge CountyLakeridge County | 564 | 1,686 | 31 | 2,281 | 24.7% | 73.9% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -GandviewGandview | 373 | 1,854 | 19 | 2,246 | 16.6% | 82.5% | R+65.9 |
| Precinct -Lakeridge CityLakeridge City | 667 | 1,479 | 36 | 2,182 | 30.6% | 67.8% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -Boones CreekBoones Creek | 499 | 1,492 | 21 | 2,012 | 24.8% | 74.2% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -South SideSouth Side | 1,208 | 585 | 44 | 1,837 | 65.8% | 31.8% | D+33.9 |
| Precinct -Old Jonesborough MiddleOld Jonesborough Middle | 388 | 1,374 | 15 | 1,777 | 21.8% | 77.3% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -AsburyAsbury | 355 | 1,271 | 24 | 1,650 | 21.5% | 77.0% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -Indian Trail SouthIndian Trail South | 546 | 829 | 22 | 1,397 | 39.1% | 59.3% | R+20.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −8.4% |
| 1896 | −25.3% |
| 1900 | −24.5% |
| 1904 | −24.8% |
| 1908 | −17.7% |
| 1912 | +9.3% |
| 1916 | −19.6% |
| 1920 | −36.5% |
| 1924 | −27.2% |
| 1928 | −52.0% |
| 1932 | −4.8% |
| 1936 | −3.7% |
| 1940 | −13.9% |
| 1944 | −22.9% |
| 1948 | −26.2% |
| 1952 | −39.1% |
| 1956 | −43.1% |
| 1960 | −40.3% |
| 1964 | −1.7% |
| 1968 | −35.0% |
| 1972 | −52.0% |
| 1976 | −2.8% |
| 1980 | −19.4% |
| 1984 | −39.2% |
| 1988 | −31.9% |
| 1992 | −14.5% |
| 1996 | −16.4% |
| 2000 | −20.6% |
| 2004 | −32.9% |
| 2008 | −33.5% |
| 2012 | −38.5% |
| 2016 | −42.7% |
| 2020 | −36.2% |
| 2024 | −39.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 28.6%16,155 | 71.4%40,245 | 56,400 |
| 2020 | R | 32.6%18,342 | 67.4%37,924 | 56,266 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 79,139 |
| 2018 | 77,903 |
| 2020 | 85,347 |
| 2022 | 88,329 |
| 2024 | 91,983 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,882 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +14,859 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,982 in average income, against $81,448 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+50.9 on average — 11 points more Republican-leaning than Washington County, TN itself (R+39.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sullivan County, TN837R+55.0
- Carter County, TN547R+63.2
- Greene County, TN231R+65.7
- Unicoi County, TN155R+62.0
- Knox County, TN123R+19.5
- Hawkins County, TN106R+68.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sullivan County, TN768
- Carter County, TN550
- Greene County, TN253
- Knox County, TN166
- Unicoi County, TN152
- Hawkins County, TN108
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +417 |
| 2012 | +866 |
| 2013 | +435 |
| 2014 | +254 |
| 2015 | +332 |
| 2016 | +1,051 |
| 2017 | +423 |
| 2018 | +1,085 |
| 2019 | +678 |
| 2021 | +847 |
| 2022 | +3,041 |
| 2023 | +2,446 |
| 2024 | +1,102 |
| 2025 | +1,882 |
Home to Johnson City and the Appalachian Highlands, Washington County delivers some of Tennessee's most consistent Republican margins, driven by a largely white, working-class electorate that has shifted steadily rightward over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 9.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 52.0 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.5 points.
A population of 136,261, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,809 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jessamine County and Blount County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Washington County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47179/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.