HarrisDemocratic11.2%762TrumpRepublican88.1%6,016KennedyIndependent0.5%36
R+76.9- Lead
- 5,254
- Total
- 6,831
- vs nation
- R+75.4
- Turnout
- 51.7%
Akashiccounty
Wayne County, TN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 51.7% of 13,308 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic12.3%820TrumpRepublican86.9%5,795JorgensenLibertarian0.4%27
R+74.6- Lead
- 4,975
- Total
- 6,669
- vs nation
- R+79.1
- Turnout
- 48.9%
ClintonDemocratic12.2%717TrumpRepublican86.0%5,036JohnsonLibertarian1.0%56
R+73.7- Lead
- 4,319
- Total
- 5,857
- vs nation
- R+75.8
- Turnout
- 43.1%
ObamaDemocratic21.2%1,163RomneyRepublican77.5%4,253OtherAll other candidates1.3%70
R+56.3- Lead
- 3,090
- Total
- 5,486
- vs nation
- R+60.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic24.5%1,355McCainRepublican73.7%4,076OtherAll other candidates1.7%96
R+49.2- Lead
- 2,721
- Total
- 5,527
- vs nation
- R+56.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic32.6%1,951BushRepublican66.8%3,999OtherAll other candidates0.6%34
R+34.2- Lead
- 2,048
- Total
- 5,984
- vs nation
- R+31.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic35.0%1,859BushRepublican63.5%3,370NaderGreen0.8%43
R+28.5- Lead
- 1,511
- Total
- 5,306
- vs nation
- R+29.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic33.8%1,574DoleRepublican58.4%2,715PerotReform6.9%323
R+24.5- Lead
- 1,141
- Total
- 4,650
- vs nation
- R+33.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+76.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,1682024 5-year
- Population density
- 22 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 734 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,2942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+76.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rhea County, TN · twin score 96.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 51.7%6,882 participants ÷ 13,308 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.6 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 30.1%–37.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,893 | 13,685 | 43.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,804 | 13,454 | 35.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,694 | 13,694 | 48.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,614 | 13,250 | 27.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,882 | 13,308 | 51.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Wayne County, TN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
41.9%
1,891 votes · R+15.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 35.9%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
88.1%
6,016 votes · R+76.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 86.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
1,951votes
32.6% of the vote · R+34.2
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 1,891 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,016votes
88.1% of the vote · R+76.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,795 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
−17.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+15.7 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · −18.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+79.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+74.6 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +75.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 12.2%752 | 87.8%5,420 | 6,172 |
| 2020 | R | 11.4%634 | 88.6%4,939 | 5,573 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 10,465 |
| 2018 | 9,650 |
| 2020 | 9,657 |
| 2022 | 9,885 |
| 2024 | 10,275 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+450 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +932 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,653 in average income, against $59,913 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+64.8 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Wayne County, TN itself (R+76.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lawrence County, TN37R+69.1
- Lauderdale County, AL22R+51.3
- Hardin County, TN22R+71.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lauderdale County, AL43
- Lawrence County, TN41
- Hardin County, TN33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +69 |
| 2012 | −24 |
| 2013 | +15 |
| 2014 | −2 |
| 2015 | −10 |
| 2016 | +46 |
| 2017 | −17 |
| 2018 | +54 |
| 2019 | +110 |
| 2021 | +222 |
| 2022 | +77 |
| 2023 | −116 |
| 2024 | +58 |
| 2025 | +450 |
Wayne County's R+76.9 margin in 2024 places it among the most one-sided presidential results in the state, reflecting a rural, heavily white demographic profile typical of the Tennessee Hill Country's small river-valley counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 76.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 76.9 points.
A population of 16,168, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,294 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rhea County and Fentress County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Rhea County
Tennessee
96.6twin score
elasticity2008–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Fentress County
Tennessee
96.3twin score
elasticity2012–2024 trajectory
Searcy County
Arkansas
95.9twin score
elasticity2008–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wayne County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47181/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Wayne County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Wayne County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wayne County, Tennessee voted Republican by 76.9 points (R+76.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,831 votes cast, 762 went Democratic and 6,016 went Republican.
How many people live in Wayne County, Tennessee?
Wayne County, Tennessee has a population of 16,168 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wayne County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Wayne County, Tennessee is $52,294 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Wayne County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wayne County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 34 went Republican.