Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Nashville
presidential margin
2008R+14.62012R+20.72016R+25.62020R+21.62024R+28.0
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+28.0
2024
median income$79,496U.S. $80,734 · TN $69,595
median age37.5U.S. 39.1
poverty rate12.0%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)34.4%U.S. 35.6%
non-english10.9%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English13.6%
American12.0%
German9.6%
African American†10.2%
African0.8%
Mexican4.7%
Puerto Rican0.8%
Guatemalan0.6%
Asian Indian0.6%
Chinese0.3%
Filipino0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline5.9%
Black Protestant3.9%
Latter-day Saints0.9%
Other Christian0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Nashville, Tennessee

Akashic
NashvilleTrumpR+28.0
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Nashville, TNA map of the constituent counties of Nashville, TN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Wilson County, TN · R+40.1Trousdale County, TN · R+58.9Rutherford County, TN · R+21.8Robertson County, TN · R+50.8Giles County, TN · R+55.0Marshall County, TN · R+56.6Cumberland County, KY · R+70.9Allen County, KY · R+67.1Decatur County, TN · R+69.1Dickson County, TN · R+51.9Overton County, TN · R+64.2Lewis County, TN · R+65.6Hickman County, TN · R+61.1Franklin County, TN · R+53.2Henry County, TN · R+55.3Putnam County, TN · R+47.4DeKalb County, TN · R+62.7Todd County, KY · R+57.9Trigg County, KY · R+52.4Lawrence County, TN · R+69.1Van Buren County, TN · R+67.2Logan County, KY · R+55.0Warren County, TN · R+56.1Cannon County, TN · R+66.1Davidson County, TN · D+27.4Clinton County, KY · R+76.4Jackson County, TN · R+62.5Sumner County, TN · R+41.8Smith County, TN · R+64.9White County, TN · R+66.6Simpson County, KY · R+43.9Pickett County, TN · R+66.1Christian County, KY · R+33.6Perry County, TN · R+69.5Wayne County, TN · R+76.9Houston County, TN · R+58.2Clay County, TN · R+66.6Cheatham County, TN · R+45.9Williamson County, TN · R+32.4Montgomery County, TN · R+18.4Moore County, TN · R+68.9Macon County, TN · R+74.3Coffee County, TN · R+55.1Stewart County, TN · R+63.9Humphreys County, TN · R+56.1Maury County, TN · R+44.6Benton County, TN · R+62.9Bedford County, TN · R+58.0Monroe County, KY · R+77.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican63.3%871,644
Kamala HarrisDemocratic35.3%485,893
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent1.4%19,446
D+60
R+60
49 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (49 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Nashville, TN — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Allen County, KYRepublicanR+67.1
Bedford County, TNRepublicanR+58.0
Benton County, TNRepublicanR+62.9
Cannon County, TNRepublicanR+66.1
Cheatham County, TNRepublicanR+45.9
Christian County, KYRepublicanR+33.6
Clay County, TNRepublicanR+66.6
Clinton County, KYRepublicanR+76.4
Coffee County, TNRepublicanR+55.1
Cumberland County, KYRepublicanR+70.9
Davidson County, TNDemocraticD+27.4
Decatur County, TNRepublicanR+69.1
DeKalb County, TNRepublicanR+62.7
Dickson County, TNRepublicanR+51.9
Franklin County, TNRepublicanR+53.2
Giles County, TNRepublicanR+55.0
Henry County, TNRepublicanR+55.3
Hickman County, TNRepublicanR+61.1
Houston County, TNRepublicanR+58.2
Humphreys County, TNRepublicanR+56.1
Jackson County, TNRepublicanR+62.5
Lawrence County, TNRepublicanR+69.1
Lewis County, TNRepublicanR+65.6
Logan County, KYRepublicanR+55.0
Macon County, TNRepublicanR+74.3
Marshall County, TNRepublicanR+56.6
Maury County, TNRepublicanR+44.6
Monroe County, KYRepublicanR+77.3
Montgomery County, TNRepublicanR+18.4
Moore County, TNRepublicanR+68.9
Overton County, TNRepublicanR+64.2
Perry County, TNRepublicanR+69.5
Pickett County, TNRepublicanR+66.1
Putnam County, TNRepublicanR+47.4
Robertson County, TNRepublicanR+50.8
Rutherford County, TNRepublicanR+21.8
Simpson County, KYRepublicanR+43.9
Smith County, TNRepublicanR+64.9
Stewart County, TNRepublicanR+63.9
Sumner County, TNRepublicanR+41.8
Todd County, KYRepublicanR+57.9
Trigg County, KYRepublicanR+52.4
Trousdale County, TNRepublicanR+58.9
Van Buren County, TNRepublicanR+67.2
Warren County, TNRepublicanR+56.1
Wayne County, TNRepublicanR+76.9
White County, TNRepublicanR+66.6
Williamson County, TNRepublicanR+32.4
Wilson County, TNRepublicanR+40.1
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
35.3%Harris485,893
63.3%Trump871,644
1.4%Kennedy19,446
−28.0%
1,376,983
R
38.1%Biden514,605
59.8%Trump806,588
2.1%Jorgensen28,528
−21.6%
1,349,721
R
34.7%Clinton372,377
60.3%Trump647,586
5.0%Johnson53,647
−25.6%
1,073,610
R
38.8%Obama395,642
59.6%Romney606,987
1.6%Stein16,561
−20.7%
1,019,190
R
42.0%Obama448,989
56.6%McCain605,372
1.4%Nader14,716
−14.6%
1,069,077
R
42.7%Kerry419,420
56.7%Bush557,288
0.7%Other6,469
−14.0%
983,177
D
49.5%Gore404,558
48.9%Bush399,719
1.6%Nader13,334
+0.6%
817,611
D
49.9%Clinton362,391
43.1%Dole312,691
7.1%Perot51,232
+6.8%
726,314
D
50.2%Clinton366,799
38.0%Bush278,232
11.8%Perot86,208
+12.1%
731,239
R
43.8%Dukakis259,005
55.6%Bush328,587
0.5%Paul3,180
−11.8%
590,772
R
44.3%Mondale267,137
55.0%Reagan331,938
0.7%Bergland4,280
−10.7%
603,355
D
56.0%Carter318,384
41.2%Reagan234,623
2.8%Anderson15,784
+14.7%
568,791
D
64.1%Carter325,914
34.8%Ford176,729
1.1%Anderson5,480
+29.4%
508,123
R
35.2%McGovern139,159
62.1%Nixon245,280
2.7%Schmitz10,770
−26.9%
395,209
O
29.7%Humphrey128,655
30.6%Nixon132,661
39.7%Wallace171,821
Wallace +9.0
433,137
D
66.9%Johnson262,078
33.1%Goldwater129,684
0.0%Hass144
+33.8%
391,906
D
55.5%Kennedy201,168
43.7%Nixon158,359
0.8%Byrd2,852
+11.8%
362,379
D
62.0%Stevenson206,237
37.2%Eisenhower123,526
0.8%Andrews2,743
+24.9%
332,506
D
60.9%Stevenson195,052
38.8%Eisenhower124,486
0.3%Hallinan928
+22.0%
320,466
D
60.8%Truman127,634
26.7%Dewey56,011
12.4%Thurmond26,113
+34.1%
209,758
D
66.9%Roosevelt136,217
32.8%Dewey66,827
0.3%Thomas564
+34.1%
203,608
D
70.4%Roosevelt146,879
29.3%Willkie61,076
0.3%Thomas559
+41.1%
208,514
D
72.1%Roosevelt130,993
27.5%Landon50,060
0.4%Lemke699
+44.5%
181,752
D
71.8%Roosevelt129,524
27.4%Hoover49,442
0.7%Thomas1,335
+44.4%
180,301
R
49.6%Smith83,144
50.3%Hoover84,408
0.1%Thomas214
−0.8%
167,766
D
60.6%Davis89,698
37.1%Coolidge54,960
2.3%La Follette3,432
+23.5%
148,090
D
55.2%Cox114,847
44.4%Harding92,383
0.5%Debs974
+10.8%
208,204
D
61.6%Wilson86,939
37.4%Hughes52,713
1.0%Benson1,413
+24.3%
141,065
D
59.8%Wilson80,037
28.9%Taft38,693
11.2%Roosevelt15,002
+30.9%
133,732
D
59.2%Bryan80,164
39.6%Taft53,632
1.2%Debs1,650
+19.6%
135,446
D
59.5%Parker74,704
38.2%Roosevelt48,046
2.3%Debs2,907
+21.2%
125,657
D
59.5%Bryan83,869
38.5%McKinley54,330
1.9%Woolley2,748
+21.0%
140,947
D
59.1%Bryan95,132
39.1%McKinley62,930
1.8%Palmer2,912
+20.0%
160,974
D
55.8%Cleveland73,653
31.1%Harrison41,101
13.1%Weaver17,228
+24.7%
131,982
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −28.0% in 2024.flipped R · 2004−28.0%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+24.7%
1896+20.0%
1900+21.0%
1904+21.2%
1908+19.6%
1912+30.9%
1916+24.3%
1920+10.8%
1924+23.5%
1928−0.8%
1932+44.4%
1936+44.5%
1940+41.1%
1944+34.1%
1948+34.1%
1952+22.0%
1956+24.9%
1960+11.8%
1964+33.8%
1968−0.9%
1972−26.9%
1976+29.4%
1980+14.7%
1984−10.7%
1988−11.8%
1992+12.1%
1996+6.8%
2000+0.6%
2004−14.0%
2008−14.6%
2012−20.7%
2016−25.6%
2020−21.6%
2024−28.0%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in NashvilleTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 2,179,876 in 2024.545K1.1M1.6M2.2M2.2M20162024
Registered voters

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in Nashville
YearTotal registered
2016 (partial)1,598,991
2018 (partial)1,633,882
2020 (partial)1,821,309
2022 (partial)1,894,227
20242,179,876
Source: State election authorities

The Nashville DMA spans a swath of Middle Tennessee counties that have trended toward tighter margins as in-migration from coastal metros accelerates, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide suburban sentiment.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 28.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.0 points.

A population of 3,150,508, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,496 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Huntsville-Decatur (Florence) and Lexington.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Huntsville-Decatur (Florence)
Alabama
75.7twin score
% Catholic% EvangelicalAmerican ancestry≠ % unaffiliated
Lexington
Kentucky
69.2twin score
% Evangelical% Catholic2012–2024 trajectory≠ 2000 margin
Birmingham (Anniston and Tuscaloosa)
Alabama
68.4twin score
% Catholic2012–2024 trajectoryAmerican ancestry≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nashville, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/659/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Embed & data: CC BY 4.0 · Akashic Intelligence
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Presidentevery cycleUS Senateevery cycleUS Houseevery cycleGovernorevery cycle

Places within Nashville

counties49
Allen CountyBedford CountyBenton CountyCannon CountyCheatham CountyChristian CountyClay CountyClinton CountyCoffee CountyCumberland CountyDavidson CountyDecatur CountyDeKalb CountyDickson CountyFranklin CountyGiles CountyHenry CountyHickman CountyHouston CountyHumphreys CountyJackson CountyLawrence CountyLewis CountyLogan County+25 more

Frequently asked questions

How did Nashville, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nashville, Tennessee voted Republican by 28.0 points (R+28.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,376,983 votes cast, 485,893 went Democratic and 871,644 went Republican.
When did Nashville, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nashville, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Nashville, Tennessee?
Nashville, Tennessee has a population of 3,150,508 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nashville, Tennessee?
Median household income in Nashville, Tennessee is $79,496 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Nashville, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Nashville, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.