HarrisDemocratic35.3%485,893TrumpRepublican63.3%871,644OtherAll other candidates1.4%19,446
R+28.0- Lead
- 385,751
- Total
- 1,376,983
- vs nation
- R+26.5
Akashicmedia market
Nashville
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
49 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic38.1%514,605TrumpRepublican59.8%806,588OtherAll other candidates2.1%28,528
R+21.6- Lead
- 291,983
- Total
- 1,349,721
- vs nation
- R+26.1
ClintonDemocratic34.7%372,377TrumpRepublican60.3%647,586OtherAll other candidates5.0%53,647
R+25.6- Lead
- 275,209
- Total
- 1,073,610
- vs nation
- R+27.7
ObamaDemocratic38.8%395,642RomneyRepublican59.6%606,987OtherAll other candidates1.6%16,561
R+20.7- Lead
- 211,345
- Total
- 1,019,190
- vs nation
- R+24.6
ObamaDemocratic42.0%448,989McCainRepublican56.6%605,372OtherAll other candidates1.4%14,716
R+14.6- Lead
- 156,383
- Total
- 1,069,077
- vs nation
- R+21.9
KerryDemocratic42.7%419,420BushRepublican56.7%557,288OtherAll other candidates0.7%6,469
R+14.0- Lead
- 137,868
- Total
- 983,177
- vs nation
- R+11.6
GoreDemocratic49.5%404,558BushRepublican48.9%399,719OtherAll other candidates1.6%13,334
D+0.6- Lead
- 4,839
- Total
- 817,611
- vs nation
- D+0.1
ClintonDemocratic49.9%362,391DoleRepublican43.1%312,691OtherAll other candidates7.1%51,232
D+6.8- Lead
- 49,700
- Total
- 726,314
- vs nation
- R+1.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,150,5082024 5-year
- Population density
- 155 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 20,365 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $79,4962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Huntsville-Decatur (Florence), AL · twin score 75.7
presidential history
Party record book
Nashville · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
72.1%
130,993 votes · D+44.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 71.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
63.3%
871,644 votes · R+28.0
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 62.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
514,605votes
38.1% of the vote · R+21.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 485,893 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
871,644votes
63.3% of the vote · R+28.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 806,588 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+48.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+23.5 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +40.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+27.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+25.6 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +26.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 1,598,991 |
| 2018 (partial) | 1,633,882 |
| 2020 (partial) | 1,821,309 |
| 2022 (partial) | 1,894,227 |
| 2024 | 2,179,876 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+25,381 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +332,052 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +9,455 |
| 2012 | +19,520 |
| 2013 | +11,443 |
| 2014 | +21,665 |
| 2015 | +22,339 |
| 2016 | +24,859 |
| 2017 | +28,343 |
| 2018 | +26,328 |
| 2019 | +22,055 |
| 2021 | +23,352 |
| 2022 | +41,842 |
| 2023 | +29,292 |
| 2024 | +26,178 |
| 2025 | +25,381 |
The Nashville DMA spans a swath of Middle Tennessee counties that have trended toward tighter margins as in-migration from coastal metros accelerates, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide suburban sentiment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 28.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.0 points.
A population of 3,150,508, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,496 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Huntsville-Decatur (Florence) and Lexington.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Huntsville-Decatur (Florence)
Alabama
75.7twin score
% Catholic% EvangelicalAmerican ancestry≠ % unaffiliated
Lexington
Kentucky
69.2twin score
% Evangelical% Catholic2012–2024 trajectory≠ 2000 margin
Birmingham (Anniston and Tuscaloosa)
Alabama
68.4twin score
% Catholic2012–2024 trajectoryAmerican ancestry≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nashville, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/659/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Nashville
counties49
Allen CountyBedford CountyBenton CountyCannon CountyCheatham CountyChristian CountyClay CountyClinton CountyCoffee CountyCumberland CountyDavidson CountyDecatur CountyDeKalb CountyDickson CountyFranklin CountyGiles CountyHenry CountyHickman CountyHouston CountyHumphreys CountyJackson CountyLawrence CountyLewis CountyLogan County+25 more
Frequently asked questions
How did Nashville, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nashville, Tennessee voted Republican by 28.0 points (R+28.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,376,983 votes cast, 485,893 went Democratic and 871,644 went Republican.
When did Nashville, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nashville, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Nashville, Tennessee?
Nashville, Tennessee has a population of 3,150,508 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nashville, Tennessee?
Median household income in Nashville, Tennessee is $79,496 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Nashville, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Nashville, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.