- Lead
- 45,498
- Total
- 94,188
- vs nation
- R+46.8
Tennessee 3rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 42,083
- Total
- 92,496
- vs nation
- R+50.0
- Lead
- 39,095
- Total
- 77,413
- vs nation
- R+52.6
- Lead
- 32,325
- Total
- 74,843
- vs nation
- R+47.0
- Lead
- 29,449
- Total
- 77,342
- vs nation
- R+45.3
- Lead
- 26,986
- Total
- 73,799
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Lead
- 15,124
- Total
- 62,701
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Lead
- 11,462
- Total
- 58,481
- vs nation
- R+28.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 207,3052024 5-year
- Population density
- 215 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 966 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,7702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.2 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 4, TN · twin score 96.5
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 3rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
45.7%
22,858 votes · R+7.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 42.9%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
85.1%
12,878 votes · R+70.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 81.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
24,413votes
26.4% of the vote · R+45.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 23,797 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
69,295votes
73.6% of the vote · R+48.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 66,496 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
−9.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+7.7 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −16.7 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+53.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.4 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +52.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 24.3%20,627 | 75.7%64,251 | 84,878 |
| 2020 | R | 27.9%23,555 | 72.1%60,822 | 84,377 |
Tennessee 3rd State Senate District sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 70.2 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.3 points.
A population of 207,305, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,770 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 4 and State Senate District 21.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 3rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/47003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.