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state senate district

Kentucky 21st State Senate District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

American23.7%11.5%5.3%

English13.9%14.5%9.5%

Irish7.7%11.0%9.4%

German6.9%12.7%12.5%

Scottish1.5%2.0%1.3%

Scotch-Irish0.9%0.8%—

Italian0.9%2.0%4.8%

French0.6%1.1%1.6%

Mexican1.3%2.4%11.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	KY SD 21	Kentucky	United States
Median age	40.8	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	7.5%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.2%	17.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	KY SD 21	Kentucky	United States
Median household income	$52,178	$63,726	$84,427
Poverty rate	20.5%	16.1%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	16.0%	27.7%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	KY SD 21	Kentucky	United States
Owner-occupied homes	74.1%	68.3%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	25.9%	31.7%	34.8%
Median home value	$151,200	$205,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$760	$967	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	43.3%	45.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	11.1%	10.3%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	KY SD 21	Kentucky	United States
Mean commute	25.5 min	24.0 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	7.9%	6.2%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	76.8%	76.6%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.1%	0.6%	3.2%
Works from home	9.0%	10.2%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	KY SD 21	Kentucky	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	2.3%	6.8%	22.3%

Religious landscape

Measure	KY SD 21	Kentucky	United States
Catholic	—	7.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	31.3%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	50.7%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	KY SD 21	Kentucky	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.0%	4.7%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.6%	1.9%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.4%	2.8%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.1%	6.5%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.459	0.477	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic14.7%7,907TrumpRepublican84.1%45,200OtherAll other candidates1.2%618

R+69.4

Lead: 37,293
Total: 53,725
vs nation: R+67.9

modeled Census-place estimatereview required

BidenDemocratic16.3%8,781TrumpRepublican82.4%44,482OtherAll other candidates1.3%717

R+66.1

Lead: 35,701
Total: 53,980
vs nation: R+70.6

modeled Census-place estimatereview required

ClintonDemocratic14.7%6,987TrumpRepublican82.1%39,021OtherAll other candidates3.2%1,516

R+67.4

Lead: 32,034
Total: 47,524
vs nation: R+69.5

modeled Census-place estimatereview required

ObamaDemocratic19.8%8,670RomneyRepublican78.6%34,499OtherAll other candidates1.6%698

R+58.9

Lead: 25,829
Total: 43,867
vs nation: R+62.7

modeled Census-place estimatereview required

ObamaDemocratic22.8%9,999McCainRepublican76.0%33,369OtherAll other candidates1.2%514

R+53.3

Lead: 23,370
Total: 43,882
vs nation: R+60.5

modeled Census-place estimatereview required

KerryDemocratic24.3%10,587BushRepublican75.0%32,728OtherAll other candidates0.7%299

R+50.8

Lead: 22,141
Total: 43,614
vs nation: R+48.3

modeled Census-place estimatereview required

GoreDemocratic27.0%9,830BushRepublican71.6%26,100OtherAll other candidates1.4%503

R+44.7

Lead: 16,270
Total: 36,433
vs nation: R+45.2

modeled Census-place estimatereview required

ClintonDemocratic29.7%9,122DoleRepublican61.0%18,753OtherAll other candidates9.3%2,849

R+31.3

Lead: 9,631
Total: 30,724
vs nation: R+39.9

modeled Census-place estimatereview required

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+69.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 118,8662024 5-year
Population density: 78 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 1,527 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $52,1782024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 93.5%2024 5-year
Black: 0.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+8.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+69.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State Senate District 25, KY · twin score 98.5

current representation

Current officeholders

RBrandon StormState Senate · 21

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	1.5%715	98.5%46,527	47,242
2020	R	12.6%5,357	87.4%37,231	42,588
2018	R	16.3%5,588	83.7%28,704	34,292

Kentucky Senate District 21 delivers some of the state's most lopsided federal results, reflecting a rural electorate that has shifted decisively toward Republican candidates over the past two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 69.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.4 points.

A population of 118,866, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,178 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 25 and State Senate District 16.

Political twins — state-senate districts

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State Senate District 25

2008–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

State Senate District 16

2008–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

State Senate District 15

2008–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Kentucky 21st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/21021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Kentucky at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2023 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Kentucky 21st State Senate District

counties it covers4

Casey County Laurel County Lincoln County Rockcastle County

Frequently asked questions

How did Kentucky 21st State Senate District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Kentucky 21st State Senate District voted Republican by 69.4 points (R+69.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 53,725 votes cast, 7,907 went Democratic and 45,200 went Republican.

When did Kentucky 21st State Senate District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Kentucky 21st State Senate District voted Democratic was 1912.

How many people live in Kentucky 21st State Senate District?

Kentucky 21st State Senate District has a population of 118,866 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Kentucky 21st State Senate District?

Median household income in Kentucky 21st State Senate District is $52,178 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.

What is the political history of Kentucky 21st State Senate District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kentucky 21st State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 35 went Republican.