- Lead
- 55,369
- Total
- 102,249
- vs nation
- R+52.7
Tennessee 2nd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 49,036
- Total
- 97,503
- vs nation
- R+54.7
- Lead
- 40,479
- Total
- 77,298
- vs nation
- R+54.5
- Lead
- 33,104
- Total
- 72,977
- vs nation
- R+49.2
- Lead
- 29,884
- Total
- 76,343
- vs nation
- R+46.4
- Lead
- 25,046
- Total
- 72,289
- vs nation
- R+32.2
- Lead
- 13,779
- Total
- 60,313
- vs nation
- R+23.4
- Lead
- 4,923
- Total
- 53,545
- vs nation
- R+17.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 203,2172024 5-year
- Population density
- 122 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,664 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,1382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.9 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 8, TN · twin score 98.9
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 2nd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
57.2%
11,138 votes · D+14.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 53.9%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
76.5%
78,240 votes · R+54.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 74.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
23,407votes
24.0% of the vote · R+50.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 23,337 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78,240votes
76.5% of the vote · R+54.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 72,443 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+5.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+19.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +4.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+54.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.3 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +54.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 21.2%20,496 | 78.8%76,129 | 96,625 |
| 2020 | R | 22.3%20,235 | 77.7%70,478 | 90,713 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+54.2, this upper-East Tennessee district ranks among the state's most reliably one-sided constituencies, reflecting the region's deep rural and small-town conservative lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.9 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 54.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.2 points.
A population of 203,217, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,138 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 8 and State Senate District 4.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 2nd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/47002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.