- Lead
- 59,609
- Total
- 101,807
- vs nation
- R+57.1
Tennessee 4th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 54,910
- Total
- 99,181
- vs nation
- R+59.8
- Lead
- 47,542
- Total
- 83,052
- vs nation
- R+59.3
- Lead
- 37,535
- Total
- 79,724
- vs nation
- R+50.9
- Lead
- 35,280
- Total
- 85,037
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Lead
- 29,681
- Total
- 82,872
- vs nation
- R+33.4
- Lead
- 15,446
- Total
- 72,825
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Lead
- 10,522
- Total
- 69,778
- vs nation
- R+23.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 214,8842024 5-year
- Population density
- 239 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 901 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,1672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 8, TN · twin score 98.1
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 4th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
56.9%
3,262 votes · D+13.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 56.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78.8%
80,220 votes · R+58.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 76.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
29,284votes
49.5% of the vote · D+1.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 28,107 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
80,220votes
78.8% of the vote · R+58.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 76,265 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+26.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+1.6 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +21.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+59.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +59.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 19.9%18,792 | 80.1%75,539 | 94,331 |
| 2020 | R | 23.0%21,115 | 77.0%70,653 | 91,768 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+58.6, this Upper Cumberland or East Tennessee district ranks among the state's most one-sided, where competitive general elections are rare and primaries often decide outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.6 points.
A population of 214,884, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,167 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 8 and State Senate District 2.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 4th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/47004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.