combined metro areaKnoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+28.8
2008R+32.5
2012R+38.9
2016R+41.2
2020R+36.5
2024R+41.0
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 59.3% of 915,073 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
156,782
379,423
6,888
543,093
915,073
59.3%
2020
161,818
354,072
10,168
526,058
876,509
60.0%
2016
115,062
291,955
22,523
429,540
844,525
50.9%
2012
121,418
280,575
7,174
409,167
819,113
50.0%
2008
143,806
285,217
6,713
435,736
795,368
54.8%
2004
148,008
269,181
3,355
420,544
771,623†
54.5%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
13 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupKnoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TNTennesseeUnited States
English14.8%13.3%9.5%
American11.6%11.3%5.3%
German10.8%9.1%12.5%
Irish10.5%9.3%9.4%
Scottish2.8%2.2%1.3%
Scotch-Irish2.6%1.7%—
Italian2.3%2.2%4.8%
French1.3%1.3%1.6%
Mexican3.2%3.8%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.6%0.6%1.8%
Honduran0.5%0.5%0.3%
Guatemalan0.5%0.6%0.5%
Cuban0.2%0.2%0.7%
African American†4.0%14.3%9.9%
African0.2%0.6%0.5%
Asian Indian0.4%0.5%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.2%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN
Tennessee
United States
Median age
41.3
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.2%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.2%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN
Tennessee
United States
Median household income
$69,647
$69,595
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.9%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
30.1%
31.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN
Tennessee
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
7.0%
8.7%
22.3%
Spanish
4.4%
5.3%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN
Tennessee
United States
Catholic
3.3%
4.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
40.6%
36.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
44.2%
44.5%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
7.7%
6.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−29.9%
1896
−42.5%
1900
−35.0%
1904
−41.6%
1908
−40.1%
1912
+6.6%
1916
−36.9%
1920
−49.0%
1924
−37.0%
1928
−55.4%
1932
−12.0%
1936
−1.7%
1940
−2.1%
1944
−21.9%
1948
−21.4%
1952
−31.4%
1956
−29.0%
1960
−29.2%
1964
−6.2%
1968
−30.4%
1972
−48.1%
1976
−1.9%
1980
−23.4%
1984
−31.5%
1988
−29.5%
1992
−4.9%
1996
−6.8%
2000
−17.8%
2004
−28.8%
2008
−32.5%
2012
−38.9%
2016
−41.2%
2020
−36.5%
2024
−41.0%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
28.9%Harris156,782
69.9%Trump379,423
0.7%Kennedy3,740 +4
R+41.0
R+4.4
R+39.5
543,093
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican69.9%379,423
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic28.9%156,782
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.7%3,740
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%1,411
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.2%1,072
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%508
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%157
R
30.8%Biden161,818
67.3%Trump354,072
1.9%
R+36.5
D+4.6
R+41.0
526,058
R
26.8%Clinton115,062
68.0%Trump291,955
5.2%
R+41.2
R+2.3
R+43.3
429,540
R
29.7%Obama121,418
68.6%Romney280,575
1.8%
R+38.9
R+6.4
R+42.8
409,167
R
33.0%Obama143,806
65.5%McCain285,217
1.5%
R+32.5
R+3.6
R+39.7
435,736
R
35.2%Kerry148,008
64.0%Bush269,181
0.8%
R+28.8
R+11.0
R+26.4
420,544
R
40.2%Gore143,901
58.1%Bush207,696
1.7%
R+17.8
R+11.1
R+18.4
357,747
R
43.0%Clinton140,226
49.8%Dole162,317
7.1%
R+6.8
R+1.8
R+15.3
325,770
R
41.8%Clinton139,799
46.7%Bush156,366
11.5%
R+4.9
D+24.6
R+10.5
334,751
R
35.0%Dukakis94,005
64.5%Bush173,395
0.5%
R+29.5
D+1.9
R+21.8
268,805
R
34.0%Mondale96,333
65.4%Reagan185,562
0.6%
R+31.5
R+8.1
R+13.2
283,553
R
36.4%Carter99,847
59.8%Reagan163,955
3.8%
R+23.4
R+21.4
R+13.6
274,335
R
48.5%Carter122,925
50.4%Ford127,829
1.1%
R+1.9
D+46.2
R+4.0
253,630
R
25.0%McGovern51,093
73.1%Nixon149,343
1.9%
R+48.1
R+17.7
R+25.0
204,222
R
24.8%Humphrey52,211
55.1%Nixon116,241
20.1%
R+30.4
R+24.2
R+29.7
210,886
R
46.9%Johnson93,621
53.1%Goldwater105,918
0.0%
R+6.2
D+23.0
R+28.7
199,539
R
35.1%Kennedy69,582
64.2%Nixon127,464
0.7%
R+29.2
R+0.2
R+29.3
198,408
R
34.8%Stevenson63,136
63.8%Eisenhower115,707
1.3%
R+29.0
D+2.4
R+13.6
181,256
R
34.2%Stevenson58,001
65.6%Eisenhower111,273
0.2%
R+31.4
R+10.0
R+20.6
169,642
R
37.2%Truman38,136
58.6%Dewey60,078
4.2%
R+21.4
D+0.5
R+25.9
102,544
R
38.9%Roosevelt37,227
60.8%Dewey58,210
0.4%
R+21.9
R+19.8
R+29.4
95,809
R
48.7%Roosevelt41,641
50.7%Willkie43,395
0.6%
R+2.1
R+0.4
R+12.0
85,510
R
49.0%Roosevelt41,842
50.7%Landon43,259
0.4%
R+1.7
D+10.3
R+25.9
85,405
R
43.3%Roosevelt26,670
55.3%Hoover34,052
1.4%
R+12.0
D+43.4
R+29.8
61,580
R
22.2%Smith12,938
77.6%Hoover45,159
0.2%
R+55.4
R+18.4
R+37.9
58,211
R
29.2%Davis15,425
66.2%Coolidge34,967
4.6%
R+37.0
D+12.0
R+11.8
52,837
R
25.3%Cox16,782
74.3%Harding49,342
0.5%
R+49.0
R+12.1
R+22.8
66,452
R
31.0%Wilson11,293
68.0%Hughes24,734
1.0%
R+36.9
R+43.6
R+40.1
36,384
O
30.6%Wilson10,926
23.9%Taft8,550
45.5%
Roosevelt +15.0
D+46.7
R+12.9
35,762
R
29.0%Bryan11,239
69.1%Taft26,784
1.9%
R+40.1
D+1.5
R+30.6
38,760
R
28.1%Parker8,634
69.7%Roosevelt21,442
2.2%
R+41.6
R+6.6
R+22.0
30,761
R
31.7%Bryan12,782
66.7%McKinley26,894
1.6%
R+35.0
D+7.5
R+27.5
40,308
R
28.1%Bryan13,117
70.7%McKinley32,948
1.2%
R+42.5
R+12.6
R+36.5
46,628
R
32.6%Cleveland11,876
62.5%Harrison22,780
4.9%
R+29.9
—
R+31.6
36,451
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
29.6%159,123
68.7%369,192
537,278
2020
R
28.8%147,762
69.1%353,812
512,190
2018
R
38.2%145,651
60.1%229,323
381,709
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN
Year
Total registered
2016
715,155
2018
728,022
2020
749,336
2022
764,437
2024
815,007
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+10,680 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +136,241 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN in Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+4,508
2012
+3,998
2013
+3,913
2014
+4,752
2015
+5,435
2016
+8,120
2017
+10,644
2018
+8,920
2019
+8,716
2021
+16,220
2022
+20,926
2023
+17,244
2024
+12,165
2025
+10,680
Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 6.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 55.4 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.0 points.
A population of 1,191,239, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,647 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chattanooga-Cleveland-Dalton, TN-GA-AL and Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/315/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 41.0 points (R+41.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 543,093 votes cast, 156,782 went Democratic and 379,423 went Republican.
How many people live in Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN, Tennessee?
Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN, Tennessee has a population of 1,191,239 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN, Tennessee is $69,647 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville, TN, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 33 went Republican.
