Akashic

county

Union County, TN

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English14.0%13.3%9.5%

American12.5%11.3%5.3%

Irish10.2%9.3%9.4%

German7.8%9.1%12.5%

Scottish1.9%2.2%1.3%

Scotch-Irish1.9%1.7%—

French1.2%1.3%1.6%

Italian1.1%2.2%4.8%

Puerto Rican1.3%0.6%1.8%

Mexican0.7%3.8%11.3%

Chilean0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Union County	Tennessee	United States
Median age	42.7	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	7.2%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	19.0%	17.1%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Union County	Tennessee	United States
Median household income	$62,727	$69,595	$84,427
Poverty rate	13.8%	13.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	14.2%	31.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Union County	Tennessee	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	2.0%	8.7%	22.3%
Spanish	1.5%	5.3%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Union County	Tennessee	United States
Catholic	2.1%	4.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	31.8%	36.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	65.6%	44.5%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 54.3% of 16,065 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic14.0%1,216TrumpRepublican85.2%7,384KennedyIndependent0.4%35

R+71.2

Lead: 6,168
Total: 8,669
vs nation: R+69.7
Turnout: 54.3%

BidenDemocratic15.4%1,249TrumpRepublican83.7%6,803JorgensenLibertarian0.5%44

R+68.4

Lead: 5,554
Total: 8,123
vs nation: R+72.8
Turnout: 53.2%

ClintonDemocratic16.2%1,012TrumpRepublican80.9%5,053JohnsonLibertarian1.7%108

R+64.7

Lead: 4,041
Total: 6,247
vs nation: R+66.8
Turnout: 42.9%

ObamaDemocratic25.3%1,478RomneyRepublican73.3%4,282OtherAll other candidates1.3%78

R+48.0

Lead: 2,804
Total: 5,838
vs nation: R+51.9
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic28.6%1,829McCainRepublican69.8%4,467OtherAll other candidates1.6%103

R+41.2

Lead: 2,638
Total: 6,399
vs nation: R+48.5
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic37.6%2,524BushRepublican61.8%4,145OtherAll other candidates0.6%41

R+24.2

Lead: 1,621
Total: 6,710
vs nation: R+21.7
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic44.0%2,564BushRepublican55.0%3,199NaderGreen0.5%30

R+10.9

Lead: 635
Total: 5,821
vs nation: R+11.4
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic47.4%2,421DoleRepublican44.1%2,253PerotReform7.5%385

D+3.3

Lead: 168
Total: 5,111
vs nation: R+5.2
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+71.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 20,4312024 5-year
Median household income: $62,7272024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 94.0%2024 5-year
Black: 0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+5.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+72.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Scott County, TN · twin score 96.8

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 54.3%8,717 participants ÷ 16,065 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +26.3 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -0.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 28.0%–37.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	6,306	14,691	42.9%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	5,317	14,960	35.5%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	8,159	15,347	53.2%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	4,181	15,570	26.9%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	8,717	16,065	54.3%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

9 precincts · 8,669 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Union County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -1-1 Horace Maynard Middle School1-1 Horace Maynard Middle School	204	1,354	13	1,571	13.0%	86.2%	R+73.2
Precinct -6-6 Paulette Elementary School6-6 Paulette Elementary School	211	1,165	10	1,386	15.2%	84.1%	R+68.8
Precinct -5-10 Sharps Chapel Elementary5-10 Sharps Chapel Elementary	182	1,088	12	1,282	14.2%	84.9%	R+70.7
Precinct -4-7 Big Ridge Elementary School4-7 Big Ridge Elementary School	170	996	13	1,179	14.4%	84.5%	R+70.1
Precinct -7-1 Plainview Community Center7-1 Plainview Community Center	152	834	9	995	15.3%	83.8%	R+68.5
Precinct -2-2 Luttrell Elementary School2-2 Luttrell Elementary School	113	817	7	937	12.1%	87.2%	R+75.1
Precinct -3-2 Cedar Grove Community Center3-2 Cedar Grove Community Center	96	564	4	664	14.5%	84.9%	R+70.5
Precinct -3-3 Brock Community Center3-3 Brock Community Center	75	479	1	555	13.5%	86.3%	R+72.8
Precinct -5-13 Braden Chapel Church5-13 Braden Chapel Church	13	87	0	100	13.0%	87.0%	R+74.0

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−47.8%
1896	−51.2%
1900	−45.0%
1904	−61.3%
1908	−54.4%
1912	+5.1%
1916	−58.4%
1920	−72.0%
1924	−59.6%
1928	−66.9%
1932	−18.5%
1936	−29.8%
1940	−25.8%
1944	−47.6%
1948	−50.6%
1952	−51.6%
1956	−59.9%
1960	−51.9%
1964	−23.7%
1968	−48.7%
1972	−53.7%
1976	−4.9%
1980	−25.8%
1984	−23.9%
1988	−19.1%
1992	+3.8%
1996	+3.3%
2000	−10.9%
2004	−24.2%
2008	−41.2%
2012	−48.0%
2016	−64.7%
2020	−68.4%
2024	−71.2%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	14.0%Harris1,216	85.2%Trump7,384	0.4%Kennedy35 +4	R+71.2	R+2.8	R+69.7	8,669
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican85.2%7,384 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic14.0%1,216 Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.4%35 Jay J BowmanIndependent0.1%11 Jill SteinIndependent0.1%11 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%8 Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%4
2020	R	15.4%Biden1,249	83.7%Trump6,803	0.5%Jorgensen44	R+68.4	R+3.7	R+72.8	8,123
2016	R	16.2%Clinton1,012	80.9%Trump5,053	1.7%Johnson108	R+64.7	R+16.7	R+66.8	6,247
2012	R	25.3%Obama1,478	73.3%Romney4,282	1.3%	R+48.0	R+6.8	R+51.9	5,838
2008	R	28.6%Obama1,829	69.8%McCain4,467	1.6%	R+41.2	R+17.1	R+48.5	6,399
2004	R	37.6%Kerry2,524	61.8%Bush4,145	0.6%	R+24.2	R+13.2	R+21.7	6,710
2000	R	44.0%Gore2,564	55.0%Bush3,199	0.5%Nader30	R+10.9	R+14.2	R+11.4	5,821
1996	D	47.4%Clinton2,421	44.1%Dole2,253	7.5%Perot385	D+3.3	R+0.5	R+5.2	5,111
1992	D	46.3%Clinton2,478	42.5%Bush2,274	10.8%Perot580	D+3.8	D+22.9	R+1.7	5,354
1988	R	40.2%Dukakis1,431	59.2%Bush2,110	0.6%	R+19.1	D+4.9	R+11.3	3,564
1984	R	37.6%Mondale1,495	61.5%Reagan2,447	0.9%	R+23.9	D+1.8	R+5.7	3,978
1980	R	36.3%Carter1,435	62.1%Reagan2,453	1.6%	R+25.8	R+20.8	R+16.0	3,951
1976	R	47.2%Carter1,631	52.1%Ford1,801	0.7%	R+4.9	D+48.8	R+7.0	3,457
1972	R	22.6%McGovern570	76.3%Nixon1,927	1.2%	R+53.7	R+5.0	R+30.5	2,527
1968	R	18.0%Humphrey527	66.7%Nixon1,956	15.3%	R+48.7	R+25.0	R+48.0	2,932
1964	R	38.1%Johnson1,091	61.9%Goldwater1,770	0.0%	R+23.7	D+28.2	R+46.3	2,861
1960	R	23.7%Kennedy652	75.6%Nixon2,082	0.7%	R+51.9	D+8.0	R+52.1	2,753
1956	R	19.8%Stevenson535	79.7%Eisenhower2,154	0.5%	R+59.9	R+8.3	R+44.5	2,703
1952	R	24.2%Stevenson667	75.8%Eisenhower2,087	0.0%	R+51.6	R+1.0	R+40.8	2,754
1948	R	23.8%Truman513	74.4%Dewey1,603	1.9%	R+50.6	R+3.0	R+55.0	2,156
1944	R	26.1%Roosevelt627	73.7%Dewey1,768	0.1%	R+47.6	R+21.8	R+55.1	2,398
1940	R	36.9%Roosevelt673	62.7%Willkie1,143	0.4%	R+25.8	D+4.0	R+35.7	1,824
1936	R	34.9%Roosevelt963	64.7%Landon1,785	0.4%	R+29.8	R+11.3	R+54.1	2,759
1932	R	40.4%Roosevelt802	59.0%Hoover1,169	0.6%	R+18.5	D+48.4	R+36.3	1,983
1928	R	16.4%Smith360	83.3%Hoover1,826	0.3%	R+66.9	R+7.2	R+49.4	2,192
1924	R	18.7%Davis368	78.4%Coolidge1,540	2.9%La Follette57	R+59.6	D+12.4	R+34.5	1,965
1920	R	14.0%Cox423	86.0%Harding2,607	0.1%	R+72.0	R+13.6	R+45.8	3,032
1916	R	20.6%Wilson389	79.1%Hughes1,490	0.3%	R+58.4	R+63.5	R+61.6	1,884
1912	O	21.1%Wilson404	16.0%Taft307	62.8%	Roosevelt +41.7	D+59.5	R+14.5	1,913
1908	R	22.7%Bryan496	77.1%Taft1,684	0.1%	R+54.4	D+6.9	R+44.9	2,183
1904	R	19.0%Parker334	80.4%Roosevelt1,410	0.6%	R+61.3	R+16.4	R+41.7	1,754
1900	R	27.2%Bryan566	72.2%McKinley1,501	0.6%	R+45.0	D+6.3	R+37.4	2,079
1896	R	24.3%Bryan599	75.5%McKinley1,862	0.2%	R+51.2	R+3.4	R+45.2	2,465
1892	R	24.0%Cleveland457	71.8%Harrison1,368	4.2%	R+47.8	—	R+49.5	1,905
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 11 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	12.9%1,040	87.1%7,037	8,077
2020	R	14.7%1,060	85.3%6,150	7,210
2018	R	20.8%989	79.2%3,772	4,761

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	15.9%1,315	82.5%6,834	8,279
2020Class II	R	14.3%Marquita Bradshaw1,087	83.7%Bill Hagerty6,365	7,607
2018Class I	R	26.4%Phil Bredesen1,382	71.5%Marshall Blackburn3,739	5,228
2014Class II	R	26.5%Gordon Ball794	67.4%Lamar Alexander2,016	2,992
2012Class I	R	18.7%Mark E. Clayton989	77.3%Bob Corker4,093	5,295
2008Class II	R	20.2%Bob Tuke1,139	75.8%Lamar Alexander4,276	5,640
2006Class I	R	45.0%Harold Ford Jr.2,025	53.7%Bob Corker2,418	4,505
2002Class II	R	44.6%Bob Clement1,984	54.3%Lamar Alexander2,413	4,446
2000Class I	R	29.6%Jeff Clark1,471	69.4%Bill Frist3,454	4,978
1996Class II	R	34.4%Houston Gordon1,518	64.5%Fred Thompson2,845	4,411
1994Class I	R	36.1%Jim Sasser1,277	62.3%Bill Frist2,206	3,540
1990Class II	D	61.5%Al Gore Jr.1,054	36.7%William Hawkins629	1,713
1988Class I	D	60.0%Jim Sasser1,993	39.8%Bill Andersen1,321	3,319
1984Class II	D	51.3%Al Gore Jr.1,946	46.3%Victor Ashe1,758	3,795
1982Class I	D	57.1%Jim Sasser1,815	42.9%Robin L. Beard1,362	3,177
1978Class II	R	44.1%Jane Eskind1,534	50.9%Howard Baker Jr.1,770	3,478
1976Class I	R	44.2%Jim Sasser1,457	55.3%William E. Brock III1,824	3,296
1972Class II	R	31.5%Ray Blanton806	68.1%Howard Baker Jr.1,745	2,562
1970Class I	R	34.5%Al Gore Sr.830	63.8%William E. Brock III1,537	2,408
1966Class II	R	28.5%Frank G. Clement730	71.5%Howard Baker Jr.1,834	2,564
1964Class I	R	31.8%Al Gore Sr.766	68.2%Dan Kuykendall1,643	2,409
1960Class II	R	44.1%Estes Kefauver786	55.9%A. Bradley Frazier998	1,784
1958Class I	R	41.8%Al Gore Sr.576	56.6%Hobart F. Atkins780	1,379
1954Class II	R	32.3%Estes Kefauver532	67.7%Tom Wall1,113	1,645
1952Class I	R	20.4%Al Gore Sr.497	77.0%Hobart F. Atkins1,873	2,431
1948Class II	R	24.8%Estes Kefauver472	73.9%B. Carroll Reece1,410	1,907
1946Class I	R	43.0%Kenneth McKellar426	57.0%W.B. Ladd565	991
1942Class II	D	52.9%A. Tom Stewart346	23.5%F. Todd Meachem154	654
1940Class I	R	38.5%Kenneth McKellar557	61.5%Howard Baker Sr.889	1,446
1936Class II	R	29.0%Nathan Bachman342	64.1%Dwayne Maddox756	1,179
1934Class I	R	35.0%Kenneth McKellar502	64.0%Ben W. Hooper918	1,434
1930Class II	R	35.2%Cordell Hull397	60.1%Paul E. Divine677	1,127
1928Class I	R	18.8%Kenneth McKellar325	81.2%J.A. Fowler1,407	1,732
1924Class II	R	20.7%Lawrence D. Tyson348	79.3%H.B. Lindsay1,331	1,679
1922Class I	R	31.6%Kenneth McKellar268	68.4%Newell Sanders579	847
1918Class II	R	14.8%John K. Shields197	85.2%H. Clay Evans1,131	1,328
1916Class I	R	20.6%Kenneth McKellar386	79.2%Ben W. Hooper1,482	1,872

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1994Special · Class II	R	34.7%Jim Cooper1,216	65.3%Fred Thompson2,287	3,503
1964Special · Class II	R	28.7%Ross Bass779	70.6%Howard Baker Jr.1,914	2,711
1938Special · Class II	R	42.5%A. Tom Stewart662	54.5%Harley G. Fowler849	1,559
1934Special · Class II	D	64.1%Nathan Bachman540	0.0%None0	842

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018	R	21.7%Karl Dean1,133	77.1%Bill Lee4,028	5,224
2014	R	17.3%Charles Brown520	76.9%Bill Haslam2,311	3,004
2010	R	22.8%Mike McWherter869	75.2%Bill Haslam2,861	3,807
2006	D	61.6%Phil Bredesen2,743	37.1%Jim Bryson1,653	4,456
2002	R	49.3%Phil Bredesen2,307	49.5%Van Hilleary2,319	4,681
1998	R	28.6%John Jay Hooker612	69.1%Don Sundquist1,479	2,141
1994	R	33.4%Phil Bredesen1,177	65.4%Don Sundquist2,307	3,526
1990	D	50.4%Ned McWherter871	47.7%Dwight Henry825	1,728
1986	D	55.0%Ned McWherter1,538	45.0%Winfield Dunn1,256	2,794
1982	R	31.3%Randy Tyree1,001	68.7%Lamar Alexander2,201	3,202
1978	D	67.8%Jake Butcher2,570	32.0%Lamar Alexander1,215	3,792

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Union County, TN
Year	Total registered
2016	11,810
2018	10,948
2020	12,152
2022	12,350
2024	12,342

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+383 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +2,969 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $61,707 in average income, against $61,882 for residents who stayed. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+28.9 on average — 42 points more Democratic-leaning than Union County, TN itself (R+71.2).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Knox County, TN267R+19.5
Anderson County, TN39R+35.7
Claiborne County, TN33R+70.1
Grainger County, TN20R+73.7

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Knox County, TN226
Grainger County, TN49
Claiborne County, TN46
Anderson County, TN33

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Union County, TN in Union County, TN: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+65
2012	−107
2013	−55
2014	+25
2015	+161
2016	+74
2017	+198
2018	+295
2019	+291
2021	+296
2022	+554
2023	+356
2024	+433
2025	+383

With fewer than 18,000 residents tucked into the Ridge-and-Valley terrain northeast of Knoxville, Union County delivered a 71-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest gaps recorded in the state.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 5.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 72.0 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 71.2 points.

A population of 20,431, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,727 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Scott County and Sequatchie County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Scott County

Tennessee

96.8twin score

2008–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity

Sequatchie County

Tennessee

96.6twin score

elasticity2016–2024 trajectory

Fentress County

Tennessee

95.8twin score

elasticity2016–2024 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Union County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47173/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Union County

Maynardville

R+73

2.5K residents

Tennessee at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Union County, Tennessee vote in 2024?

In 2024, Union County, Tennessee voted Republican by 71.2 points (R+71.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,669 votes cast, 1,216 went Democratic and 7,384 went Republican.

When did Union County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Union County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Union County, Tennessee?

Union County, Tennessee has a population of 20,431 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Union County, Tennessee?

Median household income in Union County, Tennessee is $62,727 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.

What is the political history of Union County, Tennessee?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Union County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.

Measure

Union County

Tennessee

United States

Median age

42.7

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

7.2%

8.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

19.0%

17.1%

17.2%

Measure

Union County

Tennessee

United States

Median household income

$62,727

$69,595

$84,427

Poverty rate

13.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

14.2%

31.3%

35.6%

Measure

Union County

Tennessee

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

2.0%

8.7%

22.3%

Spanish

1.5%

5.3%

13.6%

Measure

Union County

Tennessee

United States

Catholic

2.1%

4.0%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

31.8%

36.6%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

65.6%

44.5%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+71.2MIT Election Lab

Population

20,4312024 5-year

Median household income

$62,7272024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

94.0%2024 5-year

Black

0.3%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

2.4%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+5.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+72.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Scott County, TN · twin score 96.8

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

6,306

14,691

42.9%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

5,317

14,960

35.5%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

8,159

15,347

53.2%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

4,181

15,570

26.9%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

8,717

16,065

54.3%

A/A

Union County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -1-1 Horace Maynard Middle School1-1 Horace Maynard Middle School

204

1,354

1,571

13.0%

86.2%

R+73.2

Precinct -6-6 Paulette Elementary School6-6 Paulette Elementary School

211

1,165

1,386

15.2%

84.1%

R+68.8

Precinct -5-10 Sharps Chapel Elementary5-10 Sharps Chapel Elementary

182

1,088

1,282

14.2%

84.9%

R+70.7

Precinct -4-7 Big Ridge Elementary School4-7 Big Ridge Elementary School

170

996

1,179

14.4%

84.5%

R+70.1

Precinct -7-1 Plainview Community Center7-1 Plainview Community Center

152

834

995

15.3%

83.8%

R+68.5

Precinct -2-2 Luttrell Elementary School2-2 Luttrell Elementary School

113

817

937

12.1%

87.2%

R+75.1

Precinct -3-2 Cedar Grove Community Center3-2 Cedar Grove Community Center

564

664

14.5%

84.9%

R+70.5

Precinct -3-3 Brock Community Center3-3 Brock Community Center

479

555

13.5%

86.3%

R+72.8

Precinct -5-13 Braden Chapel Church5-13 Braden Chapel Church

100

13.0%

87.0%

R+74.0

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−47.8%
1896	−51.2%
1900	−45.0%
1904	−61.3%
1908	−54.4%
1912	+5.1%
1916	−58.4%
1920	−72.0%
1924	−59.6%
1928	−66.9%
1932	−18.5%
1936	−29.8%
1940	−25.8%
1944	−47.6%
1948	−50.6%
1952	−51.6%
1956	−59.9%
1960	−51.9%
1964	−23.7%
1968	−48.7%
1972	−53.7%
1976	−4.9%
1980	−25.8%
1984	−23.9%
1988	−19.1%
1992	+3.8%
1996	+3.3%
2000	−10.9%
2004	−24.2%
2008	−41.2%
2012	−48.0%
2016	−64.7%
2020	−68.4%
2024	−71.2%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

14.0%Harris1,216

85.2%Trump7,384

0.4%Kennedy35 +4

R+71.2

R+2.8

R+69.7

8,669

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican85.2%7,384
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic14.0%1,216
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.4%35
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.1%11
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%11
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%8
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%4

2020

15.4%Biden1,249

83.7%Trump6,803

0.5%Jorgensen44

R+68.4

R+3.7

R+72.8

8,123

2016

16.2%Clinton1,012

80.9%Trump5,053

1.7%Johnson108

R+64.7

R+16.7

R+66.8

6,247

2012

25.3%Obama1,478

73.3%Romney4,282

1.3%

R+48.0

R+6.8

R+51.9

5,838

2008

28.6%Obama1,829

69.8%McCain4,467

1.6%

R+41.2

R+17.1

R+48.5

6,399

2004

37.6%Kerry2,524

61.8%Bush4,145

0.6%

R+24.2

R+13.2

R+21.7

6,710

2000

44.0%Gore2,564

55.0%Bush3,199

0.5%Nader30

R+10.9

R+14.2

R+11.4

5,821

1996

47.4%Clinton2,421

44.1%Dole2,253

7.5%Perot385

D+3.3

R+0.5

R+5.2

5,111

1992

46.3%Clinton2,478

42.5%Bush2,274

10.8%Perot580

D+3.8

D+22.9

R+1.7

5,354

1988

40.2%Dukakis1,431

59.2%Bush2,110

0.6%

R+19.1

D+4.9

R+11.3

3,564

1984

37.6%Mondale1,495

61.5%Reagan2,447

0.9%

R+23.9

D+1.8

R+5.7

3,978

1980

36.3%Carter1,435

62.1%Reagan2,453

1.6%

R+25.8

R+20.8

R+16.0

3,951

1976

47.2%Carter1,631

52.1%Ford1,801

0.7%

R+4.9

D+48.8

R+7.0

3,457

1972

22.6%McGovern570

76.3%Nixon1,927

1.2%

R+53.7

R+5.0

R+30.5

2,527

1968

18.0%Humphrey527

66.7%Nixon1,956

15.3%

R+48.7

R+25.0

R+48.0

2,932

1964

38.1%Johnson1,091

61.9%Goldwater1,770

0.0%

R+23.7

D+28.2

R+46.3

2,861

1960

23.7%Kennedy652

75.6%Nixon2,082

0.7%

R+51.9

D+8.0

R+52.1

2,753

1956

19.8%Stevenson535

79.7%Eisenhower2,154

0.5%

R+59.9

R+8.3

R+44.5

2,703

1952

24.2%Stevenson667

75.8%Eisenhower2,087

0.0%

R+51.6

R+1.0

R+40.8

2,754

1948

23.8%Truman513

74.4%Dewey1,603

1.9%

R+50.6

R+3.0

R+55.0

2,156

1944

26.1%Roosevelt627

73.7%Dewey1,768

0.1%

R+47.6

R+21.8

R+55.1

2,398

1940

36.9%Roosevelt673

62.7%Willkie1,143

0.4%

R+25.8

D+4.0

R+35.7

1,824

1936

34.9%Roosevelt963

64.7%Landon1,785

0.4%

R+29.8

R+11.3

R+54.1

2,759

1932

40.4%Roosevelt802

59.0%Hoover1,169

0.6%

R+18.5

D+48.4

R+36.3

1,983

1928

16.4%Smith360

83.3%Hoover1,826

0.3%

R+66.9

R+7.2

R+49.4

2,192

1924

18.7%Davis368

78.4%Coolidge1,540

2.9%La Follette57

R+59.6

D+12.4

R+34.5

1,965

1920

14.0%Cox423

86.0%Harding2,607

0.1%

R+72.0

R+13.6

R+45.8

3,032

1916

20.6%Wilson389

79.1%Hughes1,490

0.3%

R+58.4

R+63.5

R+61.6

1,884

1912

21.1%Wilson404

16.0%Taft307

62.8%

Roosevelt +41.7

D+59.5

R+14.5

1,913

1908

22.7%Bryan496

77.1%Taft1,684

0.1%

R+54.4

D+6.9

R+44.9

2,183

1904

19.0%Parker334

80.4%Roosevelt1,410

0.6%

R+61.3

R+16.4

R+41.7

1,754

1900

27.2%Bryan566

72.2%McKinley1,501

0.6%

R+45.0

D+6.3

R+37.4

2,079

1896

24.3%Bryan599

75.5%McKinley1,862

0.2%

R+51.2

R+3.4

R+45.2

2,465

1892

24.0%Cleveland457

71.8%Harrison1,368

4.2%

R+47.8

—

R+49.5

1,905

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

12.9%1,040

87.1%7,037

8,077

2020

14.7%1,060

85.3%6,150

7,210

2018

20.8%989

79.2%3,772

4,761

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

15.9%1,315

82.5%6,834

8,279

2020Class II

14.3%Marquita Bradshaw1,087

83.7%Bill Hagerty6,365

7,607

2018Class I

26.4%Phil Bredesen1,382

71.5%Marshall Blackburn3,739

5,228

2014Class II

26.5%Gordon Ball794

67.4%Lamar Alexander2,016

2,992

2012Class I

18.7%Mark E. Clayton989

77.3%Bob Corker4,093

5,295

2008Class II

20.2%Bob Tuke1,139

75.8%Lamar Alexander4,276

5,640

2006Class I

45.0%Harold Ford Jr.2,025

53.7%Bob Corker2,418

4,505

2002Class II

44.6%Bob Clement1,984

54.3%Lamar Alexander2,413

4,446

2000Class I

29.6%Jeff Clark1,471

69.4%Bill Frist3,454

4,978

1996Class II

34.4%Houston Gordon1,518

64.5%Fred Thompson2,845

4,411

1994Class I

36.1%Jim Sasser1,277

62.3%Bill Frist2,206

3,540

1990Class II

61.5%Al Gore Jr.1,054

36.7%William Hawkins629

1,713

1988Class I

60.0%Jim Sasser1,993

39.8%Bill Andersen1,321

3,319

1984Class II

51.3%Al Gore Jr.1,946

46.3%Victor Ashe1,758

3,795

1982Class I

57.1%Jim Sasser1,815

42.9%Robin L. Beard1,362

3,177

1978Class II

44.1%Jane Eskind1,534

50.9%Howard Baker Jr.1,770

3,478

1976Class I

44.2%Jim Sasser1,457

55.3%William E. Brock III1,824

3,296

1972Class II

31.5%Ray Blanton806

68.1%Howard Baker Jr.1,745

2,562

1970Class I

34.5%Al Gore Sr.830

63.8%William E. Brock III1,537

2,408

1966Class II

28.5%Frank G. Clement730

71.5%Howard Baker Jr.1,834

2,564

1964Class I

31.8%Al Gore Sr.766

68.2%Dan Kuykendall1,643

2,409

1960Class II

44.1%Estes Kefauver786

55.9%A. Bradley Frazier998

1,784

1958Class I

41.8%Al Gore Sr.576

56.6%Hobart F. Atkins780

1,379

1954Class II

32.3%Estes Kefauver532

67.7%Tom Wall1,113

1,645

1952Class I

20.4%Al Gore Sr.497

77.0%Hobart F. Atkins1,873

2,431

1948Class II

24.8%Estes Kefauver472

73.9%B. Carroll Reece1,410

1,907

1946Class I

43.0%Kenneth McKellar426

57.0%W.B. Ladd565

991

1942Class II

52.9%A. Tom Stewart346

23.5%F. Todd Meachem154

654

1940Class I

38.5%Kenneth McKellar557

61.5%Howard Baker Sr.889

1,446

1936Class II

29.0%Nathan Bachman342

64.1%Dwayne Maddox756

1,179

1934Class I

35.0%Kenneth McKellar502

64.0%Ben W. Hooper918

1,434

1930Class II

35.2%Cordell Hull397

60.1%Paul E. Divine677

1,127

1928Class I

18.8%Kenneth McKellar325

81.2%J.A. Fowler1,407

1,732

1924Class II

20.7%Lawrence D. Tyson348

79.3%H.B. Lindsay1,331

1,679

1922Class I

31.6%Kenneth McKellar268

68.4%Newell Sanders579

847

1918Class II

14.8%John K. Shields197

85.2%H. Clay Evans1,131

1,328

1916Class I

20.6%Kenneth McKellar386

79.2%Ben W. Hooper1,482

1,872

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1994Special · Class II

34.7%Jim Cooper1,216

65.3%Fred Thompson2,287

3,503

1964Special · Class II

28.7%Ross Bass779

70.6%Howard Baker Jr.1,914

2,711

1938Special · Class II

42.5%A. Tom Stewart662

54.5%Harley G. Fowler849

1,559

1934Special · Class II

64.1%Nathan Bachman540

0.0%None0

842

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2018

21.7%Karl Dean1,133

77.1%Bill Lee4,028

5,224

2014

17.3%Charles Brown520

76.9%Bill Haslam2,311

3,004

2010

22.8%Mike McWherter869

75.2%Bill Haslam2,861

3,807

2006

61.6%Phil Bredesen2,743

37.1%Jim Bryson1,653

4,456

2002

49.3%Phil Bredesen2,307

49.5%Van Hilleary2,319

4,681

1998

28.6%John Jay Hooker612

69.1%Don Sundquist1,479

2,141

1994

33.4%Phil Bredesen1,177

65.4%Don Sundquist2,307

3,526

1990

50.4%Ned McWherter871

47.7%Dwight Henry825

1,728

1986

55.0%Ned McWherter1,538

45.0%Winfield Dunn1,256

2,794

1982

31.3%Randy Tyree1,001

68.7%Lamar Alexander2,201

3,202

1978

67.8%Jake Butcher2,570

32.0%Lamar Alexander1,215

3,792

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Union County, TN
Year	Total registered
2016	11,810
2018	10,948
2020	12,152
2022	12,350
2024	12,342

How did Union County, Tennessee vote in 2024?

In 2024, Union County, Tennessee voted Republican by 71.2 points (R+71.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,669 votes cast, 1,216 went Democratic and 7,384 went Republican.

When did Union County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Union County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Union County, Tennessee?

Union County, Tennessee has a population of 20,431 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Union County, Tennessee?

Median household income in Union County, Tennessee is $62,727 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.

What is the political history of Union County, Tennessee?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Union County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.