Tennessee 2nd Congressional District, Tennessee: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+34%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Republican loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 798,2762024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,6792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+12 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: DUNCAN, John J., Jr. (2017–2019), DUNCAN, John J., Jr. (2015–2017), DUNCAN, John J., Jr. (2013–2015), DUNCAN, John J., Jr. (2011–2013)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 119,136 | 244,863 | 370,882 | ||
| R | 123,030 | 228,632 | 358,682 | ||
| R | 85,543 | 188,331 | 290,476 | ||
| R | 85,386 | 185,529 | 275,928 | ||
| R | 101,314 | 187,599 | 293,474 | ||
| R | 100,310 | 179,336 | 282,007 | ||
| R | 94,964 | 138,593 | 237,646 | ||
| R | 94,206 | 109,532 | 218,156 | ||
| R | 93,807 | 104,133 | 223,315 | ||
| R | 63,727 | 112,937 | 177,585 | ||
| R | 65,128 | 118,879 | 184,940 | ||
| R | 67,896 | 104,510 | 179,682 | ||
| R | 80,635 | 85,262 | 167,818 | ||
| R | 34,775 | 98,140 | 135,365 | ||
| R | 35,498 | 75,033 | 138,009 | ||
| R | 62,393 | 69,140 | 131,533 | ||
| R | 46,872 | 82,388 | 130,094 | ||
| R | 42,965 | 75,084 | 119,385 | ||
| R | 39,425 | 71,995 | 111,666 | ||
| R | 25,580 | 37,869 | 66,431 | ||
| R | 27,248 | 38,546 | 66,114 | ||
| D | 31,855 | 28,116 | 60,385 | ||
| D | 32,092 | 26,597 | 58,869 | ||
| R | 20,511 | 21,041 | 42,181 | ||
| R | 9,534 | 28,880 | 38,493 | ||
| R | 11,184 | 21,663 | 34,668 | ||
| R | 12,061 | 29,224 | 41,436 | ||
| R | 8,287 | 14,570 | 23,043 | ||
| O | 7,866 | 5,037 | 22,712 | ||
| R | 7,906 | 15,305 | 23,712 | ||
| R | 6,279 | 11,625 | 18,301 | ||
| R | 8,376 | 13,169 | 21,902 | ||
| R | 8,757 | 18,024 | 27,059 | ||
| R | 8,000 | 12,436 | 21,405 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 34.2% | 63.8% | 3,007,608 |
| 2020 | R | 35.2% | 62.2% | 2,959,761 |
| 2018 | R | 43.9% | 54.7% | 2,243,740 |
| 2014 | R | 31.9% | 61.9% | 1,374,065 |
| 2012 | R | 30.4% | 64.9% | 2,321,477 |
| 2008 | R | 31.6% | 65.1% | 2,424,585 |
| 2006 | R | 48.0% | 50.7% | 1,833,695 |
| 2002 | R | 44.3% | 54.3% | 1,642,432 |
| 2000 | R | 32.2% | 65.1% | 1,928,613 |
| 1996 | R | 36.8% | 61.4% | 1,778,664 |
| 1994 | R | 42.1% | 56.4% | 1,480,391 |
| 1990 | D | 67.7% | 29.8% | 783,922 |
| 1988 | D | 65.1% | 34.5% | 1,567,181 |
| 1984 | D | 60.7% | 33.8% | 1,648,036 |
| 1982 | D | 61.9% | 38.1% | 1,259,785 |
| 1978 | R | 40.3% | 55.5% | 1,157,094 |
| 1976 | D | 52.5% | 47.0% | 1,432,046 |
Demographics
Tennessee's 2nd district, anchored by Knoxville and the surrounding Ridge-and-Valley region, has backed Republican presidential candidates by margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, making it one of the more lopsided districts in the state.
The Republican margin in Tennessee 2nd Congressional District reached its widest at fifty points in 1928. The margin in 2024 was thirty-four points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $72,679, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 798,276 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
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Congressional District 2, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4702/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.