Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Tennessee 3rd Congressional District
presidential margin
2008R+25.32012R+29.92016R+35.02020R+31.92024R+35.7
full record · 20082024
R+35.7
2024
median income$69,771U.S. $80,734 · TN $69,595
median age40.9U.S. 39.1 · TN 39.3
poverty rate13.3%U.S. 12.5% · TN 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)29.3%U.S. 35.6% · TN 31.3%
non-english7.3%U.S. 22.3% · TN 8.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English14.6%
Irish11.9%
German11.1%
African American9.2%
African0.3%
Mexican3.0%
Guatemalan1.1%
Puerto Rican0.5%
Asian Indian0.4%
Chinese0.2%
Filipino0.2%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See McMinn County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Tennessee 3rd Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionTennessee 3rd Congressional DistrictTrumpR+35.7
Tennessee 3rd Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+35.7, 212 precincts, 10 city labels.
2024
212 precincts by 2024 margin · 10 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −35.7% in 2024.−35.7%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−25.3%
2012−29.9%
2016−35.0%
2020−31.9%
2024−35.7%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RChuck FleischmannU.S. House · TN-03+0.43
RMarsha BlackburnU.S. Senate+0.63
RBill HagertyU.S. Senate+0.67

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
20243R
29.4%102,841
67.5%236,519
350,328
20223R
30.2%60,334
68.4%136,639
199,830
20203R
30.5%97,687
67.3%215,571
320,299
20183R
34.5%84,731
63.7%156,512
245,765
20163R
28.8%76,727
66.4%176,613
266,006
20143R
34.6%53,983
62.4%97,344
156,097
20123R
35.5%91,094
61.4%157,830
256,909
20103R
28.0%45,387
56.8%92,032
162,056
20083R
27.4%73,059
69.4%184,964
266,628
20063R
34.3%68,324
65.7%130,791
199,115
20043R
32.8%84,295
64.7%166,154
256,636
20023R
33.8%58,824
64.5%112,254
173,921
20003R
34.6%75,785
63.9%139,840
218,940
19983R
32.6%37,144
66.0%75,100
113,786
19963R
42.5%85,714
56.3%113,408
201,444
19943R
45.6%73,839
52.3%84,583
161,853
19923D
48.8%105,693
47.5%102,763
216,533
19903D
53.0%49,662
39.3%36,855
93,665
19883D
57.4%108,264
42.6%80,372
188,638
19863D
53.9%75,034
46.1%64,084
139,120
19843D
52.4%99,465
47.6%90,216
189,683
19823D
61.8%84,967
36.3%49,885
137,493
19803D
61.1%117,355
38.9%74,761
192,156
19783D
88.9%108,282
0.0%0
121,838
19763D
67.5%123,872
31.1%57,116
183,569

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
34.2%1,027,461
63.8%1,918,743
3,007,608
2020R
35.2%1,040,691
62.2%1,840,926
2,959,761
2018R
43.9%985,450
54.7%1,227,483
2,243,740
2014R
31.9%437,848
61.9%850,087
1,374,060
2012R
30.4%705,882
64.9%1,506,443
2,320,189
2008R
31.6%767,236
65.1%1,579,477
2,424,585
2006R
48.0%879,976
50.7%929,911
1,833,695
2002R
44.3%728,232
54.3%891,498
1,642,076
2000R
32.2%621,152
65.1%1,255,444
1,928,354
1996R
36.8%654,937
61.4%1,091,554
1,778,603
1994R
42.1%623,164
56.4%834,226
1,480,352
1990D
67.7%530,898
29.8%233,703
783,813
1988D
65.1%1,020,061
34.5%541,033
1,567,136
1984D
60.7%1,000,607
33.8%557,016
1,648,036
1982D
61.9%780,113
38.1%479,642
1,259,755
1978R
40.3%466,228
55.5%642,644
1,157,023
1976D
52.5%751,180
47.0%673,231
1,432,015

Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in Hamilton, Bradley, Anderson, Roane, and McMinn counties. About 767,800 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 40.9. Measured on those boundaries, the district has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012, by widening margins. The margin was R+29.9 in 2012, R+35.0 in 2016, R+31.9 in 2020, and R+35.7 in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 35.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.7 points.

A population of 767,753, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,771 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 3 and Congressional District 1.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Tennessee 3rd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4703/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Tennessee 3rd Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did Tennessee 3rd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tennessee 3rd Congressional District voted Republican by 35.7 points (R+35.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 363,211 votes cast, 114,326 went Democratic and 244,099 went Republican.
How many people live in Tennessee 3rd Congressional District?
Tennessee 3rd Congressional District has a population of 767,753 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tennessee 3rd Congressional District?
Median household income in Tennessee 3rd Congressional District is $69,771 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Tennessee 3rd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Tennessee 3rd Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.