HarrisDemocratic39.4%87,516TrumpRepublican59.0%130,815KennedyIndependent0.8%1,817
R+19.5- Lead
- 43,299
- Total
- 221,864
- vs nation
- R+18.0
- Turnout
- 59.9%
Akashiccounty
Knox County, TN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.9% of 374,895 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic41.5%91,422TrumpRepublican56.5%124,540JorgensenLibertarian1.3%2,879
R+15.0- Lead
- 33,118
- Total
- 220,556
- vs nation
- R+19.5
- Turnout
- 62.4%
ClintonDemocratic34.8%62,878TrumpRepublican58.5%105,767JohnsonLibertarian4.1%7,458
R+23.7- Lead
- 42,889
- Total
- 180,697
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Turnout
- 54.2%
ObamaDemocratic34.4%59,399RomneyRepublican63.6%109,707OtherAll other candidates2.0%3,401
R+29.2- Lead
- 50,308
- Total
- 172,507
- vs nation
- R+33.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic37.7%70,215McCainRepublican60.7%113,015OtherAll other candidates1.5%2,856
R+23.0- Lead
- 42,800
- Total
- 186,086
- vs nation
- R+30.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic37.0%66,013BushRepublican62.1%110,803OtherAll other candidates0.9%1,603
R+25.1- Lead
- 44,790
- Total
- 178,419
- vs nation
- R+22.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic40.5%60,969BushRepublican57.7%86,851NaderGreen1.2%1,772
R+17.2- Lead
- 25,882
- Total
- 150,586
- vs nation
- R+17.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic43.7%61,158DoleRepublican50.5%70,761PerotReform4.6%6,402
R+6.9- Lead
- 9,603
- Total
- 140,045
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 494,1482024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,2222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cleveland County, OK · twin score 90.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.9%224,421 participants ÷ 374,895 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 32.5%–43.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 184,843 | 341,271 | 54.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 167,589 | 347,966 | 48.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 222,028 | 355,895 | 62.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 129,019 | 368,781 | 35.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 224,421 | 374,895 | 59.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
101 precincts · 221,864 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -66NW66NW | 1,983 | 3,678 | 88 | 5,749 | 34.5% | 64.0% | R+29.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -8181 | 1,046 | 4,630 | 62 | 5,738 | 18.2% | 80.7% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -70E70E | 1,883 | 3,292 | 65 | 5,240 | 35.9% | 62.8% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -63N63N | 1,480 | 3,648 | 64 | 5,192 | 28.5% | 70.3% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -6464 | 1,790 | 3,246 | 91 | 5,127 | 34.9% | 63.3% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -70W70W | 2,004 | 2,965 | 84 | 5,053 | 39.7% | 58.7% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct -7171 | 2,097 | 2,829 | 83 | 5,009 | 41.9% | 56.5% | R+14.6 |
| Precinct -5959 | 1,297 | 3,549 | 44 | 4,890 | 26.5% | 72.6% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct -66SE66SE | 1,710 | 3,109 | 60 | 4,879 | 35.0% | 63.7% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -6767 | 2,000 | 2,397 | 72 | 4,469 | 44.8% | 53.6% | R+8.9 |
| Precinct -4545 | 2,041 | 2,299 | 66 | 4,406 | 46.3% | 52.2% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -6262 | 1,246 | 2,844 | 62 | 4,152 | 30.0% | 68.5% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -61W61W | 970 | 3,126 | 43 | 4,139 | 23.4% | 75.5% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct -65SW65SW | 1,487 | 2,513 | 60 | 4,060 | 36.6% | 61.9% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -69E69E | 1,551 | 2,249 | 74 | 3,874 | 40.0% | 58.1% | R+18.0 |
| Precinct -8484 | 1,109 | 2,642 | 54 | 3,805 | 29.1% | 69.4% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -69S69S | 1,448 | 2,268 | 55 | 3,771 | 38.4% | 60.1% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -69W69W | 1,629 | 1,924 | 61 | 3,614 | 45.1% | 53.2% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct -69N69N | 1,498 | 2,015 | 82 | 3,595 | 41.7% | 56.1% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -9090 | 1,001 | 2,512 | 48 | 3,561 | 28.1% | 70.5% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -61E61E | 879 | 2,585 | 34 | 3,498 | 25.1% | 73.9% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -6868 | 1,460 | 1,773 | 71 | 3,304 | 44.2% | 53.7% | R+9.5 |
| Precinct -65W65W | 1,066 | 2,161 | 35 | 3,262 | 32.7% | 66.2% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -73E73E | 861 | 2,300 | 48 | 3,209 | 26.8% | 71.7% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -5858 | 635 | 2,513 | 40 | 3,188 | 19.9% | 78.8% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -4646 | 1,532 | 1,507 | 59 | 3,098 | 49.5% | 48.6% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct -3636 | 1,461 | 1,556 | 75 | 3,092 | 47.3% | 50.3% | R+3.1 |
| Precinct -3737 | 1,491 | 1,533 | 63 | 3,087 | 48.3% | 49.7% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -8989 | 1,268 | 1,745 | 44 | 3,057 | 41.5% | 57.1% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -2626 | 1,769 | 1,043 | 70 | 2,882 | 61.4% | 36.2% | D+25.2 |
| Precinct -6363 | 736 | 2,094 | 38 | 2,868 | 25.7% | 73.0% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -7474 | 999 | 1,771 | 38 | 2,808 | 35.6% | 63.1% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -5555 | 1,184 | 1,493 | 51 | 2,728 | 43.4% | 54.7% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct -65S65S | 1,013 | 1,644 | 37 | 2,694 | 37.6% | 61.0% | R+23.4 |
| Precinct -65N65N | 776 | 1,853 | 30 | 2,659 | 29.2% | 69.7% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -47N47N | 1,407 | 1,105 | 50 | 2,562 | 54.9% | 43.1% | D+11.8 |
| Precinct -5151 | 1,061 | 1,455 | 34 | 2,550 | 41.6% | 57.1% | R+15.5 |
| Precinct -4444 | 1,182 | 1,312 | 54 | 2,548 | 46.4% | 51.5% | R+5.1 |
| Precinct -2525 | 1,371 | 1,101 | 62 | 2,534 | 54.1% | 43.4% | D+10.7 |
| Precinct -24Q24Q | 1,434 | 952 | 55 | 2,441 | 58.7% | 39.0% | D+19.7 |
| Precinct -66SW66SW | 746 | 1,631 | 25 | 2,402 | 31.1% | 67.9% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -9393 | 629 | 1,697 | 22 | 2,348 | 26.8% | 72.3% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -73W73W | 613 | 1,702 | 31 | 2,346 | 26.1% | 72.5% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -16E16E | 1,332 | 856 | 39 | 2,227 | 59.8% | 38.4% | D+21.4 |
| Precinct -6060 | 395 | 1,730 | 25 | 2,150 | 18.4% | 80.5% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -72W72W | 637 | 1,350 | 20 | 2,007 | 31.7% | 67.3% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -8686 | 387 | 1,536 | 15 | 1,938 | 20.0% | 79.3% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -8282 | 660 | 1,241 | 24 | 1,925 | 34.3% | 64.5% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -72E72E | 587 | 1,310 | 27 | 1,924 | 30.5% | 68.1% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -8585 | 395 | 1,494 | 18 | 1,907 | 20.7% | 78.3% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -3535 | 912 | 936 | 36 | 1,884 | 48.4% | 49.7% | R+1.3 |
| Precinct -4040 | 827 | 985 | 30 | 1,842 | 44.9% | 53.5% | R+8.6 |
| Precinct -7676 | 484 | 1,249 | 24 | 1,757 | 27.5% | 71.1% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -47S47S | 972 | 730 | 30 | 1,732 | 56.1% | 42.1% | D+14.0 |
| Precinct -2929 | 787 | 780 | 39 | 1,606 | 49.0% | 48.6% | D+0.4 |
| Precinct -66NE66NE | 628 | 945 | 25 | 1,598 | 39.3% | 59.1% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -4343 | 757 | 780 | 24 | 1,561 | 48.5% | 50.0% | R+1.5 |
| Precinct -68E68E | 817 | 693 | 36 | 1,546 | 52.8% | 44.8% | D+8.0 |
| Precinct -65E65E | 573 | 934 | 31 | 1,538 | 37.3% | 60.7% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -0606 | 997 | 483 | 42 | 1,522 | 65.5% | 31.7% | D+33.8 |
| Precinct -4242 | 681 | 788 | 35 | 1,504 | 45.3% | 52.4% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -8080 | 244 | 1,202 | 21 | 1,467 | 16.6% | 81.9% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -5656 | 266 | 1,182 | 15 | 1,463 | 18.2% | 80.8% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -8787 | 266 | 1,158 | 14 | 1,438 | 18.5% | 80.5% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -1111 | 1,125 | 266 | 43 | 1,434 | 78.5% | 18.5% | D+59.9 |
| Precinct -1313 | 1,119 | 282 | 29 | 1,430 | 78.3% | 19.7% | D+58.5 |
| Precinct -3232 | 714 | 655 | 31 | 1,400 | 51.0% | 46.8% | D+4.2 |
| Precinct -2727 | 659 | 675 | 35 | 1,369 | 48.1% | 49.3% | R+1.2 |
| Precinct -16W16W | 816 | 442 | 26 | 1,284 | 63.6% | 34.4% | D+29.1 |
| Precinct -3131 | 769 | 453 | 26 | 1,248 | 61.6% | 36.3% | D+25.3 |
| Precinct -4848 | 736 | 484 | 18 | 1,238 | 59.5% | 39.1% | D+20.4 |
| Precinct -1717 | 762 | 395 | 38 | 1,195 | 63.8% | 33.1% | D+30.7 |
| Precinct -39E39E | 468 | 683 | 22 | 1,173 | 39.9% | 58.2% | R+18.3 |
| Precinct -7979 | 259 | 889 | 8 | 1,156 | 22.4% | 76.9% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -33S33S | 533 | 537 | 17 | 1,087 | 49.0% | 49.4% | R+0.4 |
| Precinct -1818 | 665 | 357 | 32 | 1,054 | 63.1% | 33.9% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct -1212 | 900 | 131 | 20 | 1,051 | 85.6% | 12.5% | D+73.2 |
| Precinct -49N49N | 700 | 269 | 23 | 992 | 70.6% | 27.1% | D+43.4 |
| Precinct -1919 | 653 | 322 | 12 | 987 | 66.2% | 32.6% | D+33.5 |
| Precinct -3030 | 724 | 232 | 22 | 978 | 74.0% | 23.7% | D+50.3 |
| Precinct -3434 | 518 | 406 | 22 | 946 | 54.8% | 42.9% | D+11.8 |
| Precinct -7777 | 313 | 597 | 10 | 920 | 34.0% | 64.9% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -9292 | 200 | 704 | 7 | 911 | 22.0% | 77.3% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -39W39W | 316 | 398 | 11 | 725 | 43.6% | 54.9% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct -7878 | 146 | 559 | 8 | 713 | 20.5% | 78.4% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -2323 | 335 | 339 | 6 | 680 | 49.3% | 49.9% | R+0.6 |
| Precinct -10W10W | 380 | 222 | 16 | 618 | 61.5% | 35.9% | D+25.6 |
| Precinct -15W15W | 490 | 106 | 17 | 613 | 79.9% | 17.3% | D+62.6 |
| Precinct -2020 | 406 | 182 | 10 | 598 | 67.9% | 30.4% | D+37.5 |
| Precinct -15E15E | 476 | 90 | 10 | 576 | 82.6% | 15.6% | D+67.0 |
| Precinct -50S50S | 332 | 187 | 9 | 528 | 62.9% | 35.4% | D+27.5 |
| Precinct -5757 | 77 | 441 | 5 | 523 | 14.7% | 84.3% | R+69.6 |
| Precinct -1414 | 451 | 43 | 6 | 500 | 90.2% | 8.6% | D+81.6 |
| Precinct -4141 | 209 | 273 | 9 | 491 | 42.6% | 55.6% | R+13.0 |
| Precinct -50N50N | 184 | 148 | 11 | 343 | 53.6% | 43.1% | D+10.5 |
| Precinct -49S49S | 160 | 135 | 8 | 303 | 52.8% | 44.6% | D+8.3 |
| Precinct -10N10N | 174 | 114 | 5 | 293 | 59.4% | 38.9% | D+20.5 |
| Precinct -33N33N | 137 | 138 | 3 | 278 | 49.3% | 49.6% | R+0.4 |
| Precinct -0909 | 159 | 35 | 4 | 198 | 80.3% | 17.7% | D+62.6 |
| Precinct -10A10A | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -33X33X | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100.0% | 0.0% | D+100.0 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −2.3% |
| 1896 | −21.3% |
| 1900 | +4.7% |
| 1904 | −14.4% |
| 1908 | −16.8% |
| 1912 | +20.9% |
| 1916 | −15.6% |
| 1920 | −27.5% |
| 1924 | −19.9% |
| 1928 | −43.3% |
| 1932 | +4.7% |
| 1936 | +23.8% |
| 1940 | +18.5% |
| 1944 | −5.7% |
| 1948 | −13.1% |
| 1952 | −24.8% |
| 1956 | −21.3% |
| 1960 | −22.6% |
| 1964 | −0.4% |
| 1968 | −25.2% |
| 1972 | −44.9% |
| 1976 | −2.7% |
| 1980 | −17.5% |
| 1984 | −27.7% |
| 1988 | −27.1% |
| 1992 | −4.8% |
| 1996 | −6.9% |
| 2000 | −17.2% |
| 2004 | −25.1% |
| 2008 | −23.0% |
| 2012 | −29.2% |
| 2016 | −23.7% |
| 2020 | −15.0% |
| 2024 | −19.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 11 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 37.6%82,965 | 62.4%137,759 | 220,724 |
| 2020 | R | 37.9%81,254 | 62.1%133,176 | 214,430 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 305,106 |
| 2018 | 318,167 |
| 2020 | 306,107 |
| 2022 | 313,630 |
| 2024 | 335,872 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2,376 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +47,264 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $72,182 in average income, against $108,525 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+25.0 on average — 5.5 points more Republican-leaning than Knox County, TN itself (R+19.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Blount County, TN1,076R+47.7
- Anderson County, TN772R+35.7
- Sevier County, TN556R+61.1
- Loudon County, TN420R+53.0
- Jefferson County, TN275R+64.2
- Davidson County, TN267D+27.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Blount County, TN1,105
- Anderson County, TN1,038
- Loudon County, TN646
- Sevier County, TN494
- Davidson County, TN361
- Roane County, TN359
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2,092 |
| 2012 | +2,319 |
| 2013 | +1,902 |
| 2014 | +2,189 |
| 2015 | +1,824 |
| 2016 | +3,163 |
| 2017 | +4,077 |
| 2018 | +3,228 |
| 2019 | +2,627 |
| 2021 | +5,843 |
| 2022 | +8,875 |
| 2023 | +3,996 |
| 2024 | +2,753 |
| 2025 | +2,376 |
Knox County anchors East Tennessee's urban core around Knoxville, but its Republican lean has deepened over successive cycles, with the 2024 presidential margin reaching nearly 20 points despite a large public-university population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 44.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.5 points.
A population of 494,148, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,222 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cleveland County and Greenville County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cleveland County
Oklahoma
90.5twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scalecollege share≠ American ancestry
Greenville County
South Carolina
88.6twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scalecollege share≠ American ancestry
Hamilton County
Tennessee
88.5twin score
population scale12-yr trendcollege share≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Knox County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47093/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Knox County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Knox County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Knox County, Tennessee voted Republican by 19.5 points (R+19.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 221,864 votes cast, 87,516 went Democratic and 130,815 went Republican.
When did Knox County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Knox County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1940.
How many people live in Knox County, Tennessee?
Knox County, Tennessee has a population of 494,148 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Knox County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Knox County, Tennessee is $74,222 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Knox County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Knox County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.