Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Knoxville, TN
presidential margin
2008R+29.62012R+35.82016R+36.22020R+31.12024R+35.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+35.5
2024
median income$72,472U.S. $80,734 · TN $69,595
median age40.8U.S. 39.1 · TN 39.3
poverty rate12.2%U.S. 12.5% · TN 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)33.1%U.S. 35.6% · TN 31.3%
non-english6.6%U.S. 22.3% · TN 8.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English14.7%
American11.7%
German11.1%
Mexican2.7%
Puerto Rican0.5%
Guatemalan0.5%
African American†4.8%
African0.3%
Chinese0.4%
Asian Indian0.4%
religion
other traditions
Mainline8.1%
Black Protestant2.0%
Latter-day Saints0.7%
Other Christian0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Knoxville, TN, Tennessee

Akashic
Knoxville, TNTrumpR+35.5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Knoxville, TN, TNA map of the constituent counties of Knoxville, TN, TN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Anderson County, TN · R+35.7Blount County, TN · R+47.7Campbell County, TN · R+69.6Grainger County, TN · R+73.7Knox County, TN · R+19.5Loudon County, TN · R+53.0Morgan County, TN · R+74.5Roane County, TN · R+54.5Union County, TN · R+71.2
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican67.1%289,889
Kamala HarrisDemocratic31.6%136,410
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent1.4%5,845
D+60
R+60
9 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (9 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Knoxville, TN, TN — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Anderson County, TNRepublicanR+35.7
Blount County, TNRepublicanR+47.7
Campbell County, TNRepublicanR+69.6
Grainger County, TNRepublicanR+73.7
Knox County, TNRepublicanR+19.5
Loudon County, TNRepublicanR+53.0
Morgan County, TNRepublicanR+74.5
Roane County, TNRepublicanR+54.5
Union County, TNRepublicanR+71.2
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
31.6%Harris136,410
67.1%Trump289,889
1.4%Kennedy5,845
−35.5%
432,144
R
33.5%Biden140,410
64.5%Trump270,665
2.0%Jorgensen8,342
−31.1%
419,417
R
29.1%Clinton99,215
65.3%Trump222,902
5.6%Johnson19,221
−36.2%
341,338
R
31.2%Obama101,730
67.0%Romney218,572
1.8%Stein5,956
−35.8%
326,258
R
34.4%Obama119,877
64.0%McCain222,750
1.6%Nader5,486
−29.6%
348,113
R
36.3%Kerry122,550
62.9%Bush212,374
0.8%Other2,806
−26.6%
337,730
R
41.3%Gore119,031
57.0%Bush164,296
1.7%Nader5,030
−15.7%
288,357
R
44.4%Clinton118,070
48.8%Dole129,746
6.8%Perot18,163
−4.4%
265,979
R
43.1%Clinton117,731
45.5%Bush124,272
11.4%Perot31,266
−2.4%
273,269
R
36.4%Dukakis80,018
63.1%Bush138,795
0.5%Paul1,148
−26.7%
219,961
R
35.7%Mondale82,774
63.7%Reagan147,515
0.5%Bergland1,262
−28.0%
231,551
R
38.0%Carter85,188
57.9%Reagan129,892
4.1%Anderson9,207
−19.9%
224,287
D
49.8%Carter104,292
49.1%Ford102,769
1.1%Anderson2,370
+0.7%
209,431
R
26.7%McGovern45,240
71.4%Nixon120,998
1.9%Schmitz3,247
−44.7%
169,485
R
26.6%Humphrey46,265
52.4%Nixon91,091
20.9%Wallace36,341
−25.8%
173,697
R
49.2%Johnson81,310
50.8%Goldwater83,894
0.0%
−1.6%
165,204
R
38.1%Kennedy62,057
61.2%Nixon99,831
0.7%Byrd1,194
−23.2%
163,082
R
37.5%Stevenson57,042
61.0%Eisenhower92,753
1.4%Andrews2,160
−23.5%
151,955
R
36.9%Stevenson52,065
62.9%Eisenhower88,688
0.2%Hallinan296
−26.0%
141,049
R
40.4%Truman33,905
55.2%Dewey46,358
4.4%Thurmond3,712
−14.8%
83,975
R
42.2%Roosevelt32,838
57.3%Dewey44,566
0.4%Thomas339
−15.1%
77,743
D
53.1%Roosevelt36,245
46.3%Willkie31,590
0.5%Thomas371
+6.8%
68,206
D
53.7%Roosevelt35,964
46.0%Landon30,785
0.4%Lemke247
+7.7%
66,996
R
45.3%Roosevelt21,219
53.2%Hoover24,920
1.5%Thomas694
−7.9%
46,833
R
23.1%Smith10,209
76.7%Hoover33,909
0.2%Thomas104
−53.6%
44,222
R
30.7%Davis12,027
63.4%Coolidge24,853
5.9%La Follette2,318
−32.7%
39,198
R
27.7%Cox13,407
72.0%Harding34,899
0.4%Debs176
−44.3%
48,482
R
33.3%Wilson9,136
65.6%Hughes17,976
1.1%Benson307
−32.2%
27,419
O
32.9%Wilson8,752
22.0%Taft5,859
45.1%Roosevelt12,024
Roosevelt +12.3
26,635
R
31.0%Bryan8,803
66.7%Taft18,952
2.4%Debs678
−35.7%
28,433
R
30.6%Parker6,797
66.6%Roosevelt14,801
2.8%Debs630
−36.0%
22,228
R
33.8%Bryan9,624
64.2%McKinley18,270
2.0%Woolley571
−30.4%
28,465
R
29.5%Bryan9,774
69.0%McKinley22,846
1.5%Palmer487
−39.5%
33,107
R
34.8%Cleveland8,864
59.9%Harrison15,264
5.3%Weaver1,349
−25.1%
25,477
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −35.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−35.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−25.1%
1896−39.5%
1900−30.4%
1904−36.0%
1908−35.7%
1912+10.9%
1916−32.2%
1920−44.3%
1924−32.7%
1928−53.6%
1932−7.9%
1936+7.7%
1940+6.8%
1944−15.1%
1948−14.8%
1952−26.0%
1956−23.5%
1960−23.2%
1964−1.6%
1968−25.8%
1972−44.7%
1976+0.7%
1980−19.9%
1984−28.0%
1988−26.7%
1992−2.4%
1996−4.4%
2000−15.7%
2004−26.6%
2008−29.6%
2012−35.8%
2016−36.2%
2020−31.1%
2024−35.5%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Knoxville, TNTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 638,382 in 2024.159.6K319.2K478.8K638.4K638.4K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Knoxville, TN
YearTotal registered
2016563,997
2018575,619
2020585,102
2022596,927
2024638,382
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Knoxville's metro has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, anchored by a white working-class and college-educated suburban base that has shown little of the ticket-splitting volatility seen in Nashville or Memphis.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 53.6 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.5 points.

A population of 932,241, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,472 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chattanooga, TN-GA and Tulsa, OK.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Chattanooga, TN-GA
94.1twin score
elasticitypopulation scale% Evangelical
Tulsa, OK
86.4twin score
population scaleelasticity2008 margin≠ % White
Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC
84.2twin score
population scale2008 margin12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Knoxville, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/28940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Knoxville, TN

counties9
Anderson CountyBlount CountyCampbell CountyGrainger CountyKnox CountyLoudon CountyMorgan CountyRoane CountyUnion County

Frequently asked questions

How did Knoxville, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Knoxville, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 35.5 points (R+35.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 432,144 votes cast, 136,410 went Democratic and 289,889 went Republican.
When did Knoxville, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Knoxville, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Knoxville, TN, Tennessee has a population of 932,241 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee is $72,472 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.