HarrisDemocratic31.6%136,410TrumpRepublican67.1%289,889KennedyIndependent0.7%3,126
R+35.5- Lead
- 153,479
- Total
- 432,144
- vs nation
- R+34.0
Akashicmetro area
Knoxville, TN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
9 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic33.5%140,410TrumpRepublican64.5%270,665OtherAll other candidates2.0%8,342
R+31.1- Lead
- 130,255
- Total
- 419,417
- vs nation
- R+35.5
ClintonDemocratic29.1%99,215TrumpRepublican65.3%222,902OtherAll other candidates5.6%19,221
R+36.2- Lead
- 123,687
- Total
- 341,338
- vs nation
- R+38.3
ObamaDemocratic31.2%101,730RomneyRepublican67.0%218,572OtherAll other candidates1.8%5,956
R+35.8- Lead
- 116,842
- Total
- 326,258
- vs nation
- R+39.7
ObamaDemocratic34.4%119,877McCainRepublican64.0%222,750OtherAll other candidates1.6%5,486
R+29.6- Lead
- 102,873
- Total
- 348,113
- vs nation
- R+36.8
KerryDemocratic36.3%122,550BushRepublican62.9%212,374OtherAll other candidates0.8%2,806
R+26.6- Lead
- 89,824
- Total
- 337,730
- vs nation
- R+24.1
GoreDemocratic41.3%119,031BushRepublican57.0%164,296OtherAll other candidates1.7%5,030
R+15.7- Lead
- 45,265
- Total
- 288,357
- vs nation
- R+16.2
ClintonDemocratic44.4%118,070DoleRepublican48.8%129,746OtherAll other candidates6.8%18,163
R+4.4- Lead
- 11,676
- Total
- 265,979
- vs nation
- R+12.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 932,2412024 5-year
- Population density
- 266 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,501 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,4722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+10.9 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.6 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chattanooga, TN-GA · twin score 94.1
presidential history
Party record book
Knoxville, TN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
53.7%
35,964 votes · D+7.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 53.1%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
76.7%
33,909 votes · R+53.6
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 72.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
140,410votes
33.5% of the vote · R+31.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 136,410 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
289,889votes
67.1% of the vote · R+35.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 270,665 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
−1.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+0.7 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · −3.1 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+39.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.8 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +38.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 30.0%126,805 | 70.0%295,863 | 422,668 |
| 2020 | R | 30.8%123,952 | 69.2%278,750 | 402,702 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 563,997 |
| 2018 | 575,619 |
| 2020 | 585,102 |
| 2022 | 596,927 |
| 2024 | 638,382 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+8,855 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +109,178 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +3,301 |
| 2012 | +2,888 |
| 2013 | +3,110 |
| 2014 | +3,522 |
| 2015 | +3,967 |
| 2016 | +6,502 |
| 2017 | +8,265 |
| 2018 | +7,114 |
| 2019 | +7,339 |
| 2021 | +13,377 |
| 2022 | +18,030 |
| 2023 | +13,427 |
| 2024 | +9,481 |
| 2025 | +8,855 |
Knoxville's metro has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, anchored by a white working-class and college-educated suburban base that has shown little of the ticket-splitting volatility seen in Nashville or Memphis.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 53.6 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.5 points.
A population of 932,241, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,472 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chattanooga, TN-GA and Tulsa, OK.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Chattanooga, TN-GA
94.1twin score
elasticitypopulation scale% Evangelical
Tulsa, OK
86.4twin score
population scaleelasticity2008 margin≠ % White
Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC
84.2twin score
population scale2008 margin12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Knoxville, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/28940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Knoxville, TN
Frequently asked questions
How did Knoxville, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Knoxville, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 35.5 points (R+35.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 432,144 votes cast, 136,410 went Democratic and 289,889 went Republican.
When did Knoxville, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Knoxville, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Knoxville, TN, Tennessee has a population of 932,241 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee is $72,472 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.