akashic
1876–2024
State House District 15·Tennessee

Tennessee 15th State House District has voted Republican in twenty-one straight presidential cycles.

One of Tennessee's most lopsided legislative districts by presidential margin

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TN
Latest
R+19
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
28,565
2024 ACS

Tennessee 15th State House District, Tennessee: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+19MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
28,5652024 5-year
Median household income
$74,2222024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
80.1%2024 5-year
Black
8.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+24 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−19.4%
5,0597,56212,929
R
−15.0%
5,2857,19912,750
R
−23.7%
3,6356,11410,445
R
−29.2%
3,4346,3429,972
R
−23.0%
4,0596,53310,757
R
−25.1%
3,8166,40510,314
R
−17.2%
3,5245,0218,705
R
−6.9%
3,5354,0908,095
R
−4.8%
3,4513,8508,236
R
−27.1%
2,4184,2256,678
R
−27.7%
2,5124,4496,994
R
−17.4%
2,6383,8246,797
R
−2.7%
3,0663,2386,382
R
−44.9%
1,3923,7435,231
R
−25.2%
1,4182,7295,203
R
−0.4%
2,4552,4744,929
R
−22.6%
1,8492,9374,815
R
−21.3%
1,7212,6694,441
R
−24.8%
1,5422,5644,115
R
−13.1%
9221,2182,266
R
−5.7%
1,0681,1992,281
D
+18.5%
1,1698021,983
D
+23.9%
1,1477041,857
D
+4.7%
6225651,210
R
−43.4%
3338461,182
R
−19.9%
4016191,097
R
−27.5%
3936941,094
R
−15.6%
244335584
D
+20.8%
235115578
R
−16.8%
236336595
R
−14.3%
185249448
D
+4.8%
254230497
R
−21.4%
232361603
R
−2.4%
230242492
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.7%
American
13.1%
German
11.1%
Irish
10.0%
Scottish
2.8%
Italian
2.7%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.1%
2.1%
75–84
2.7%
4.5%
65–74
5.2%
5.8%
55–64
6.2%
6.0%
45–54
6.1%
6.4%
35–44
6.5%
6.9%
25–34
7.0%
6.0%
18–24
5.9%
7.9%
5–17
7.6%
2.8%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$74,222
State House District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 15$74,222
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.9%
Working age (18–64)11.8%
Seniors (65+)10.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.3%
speak English only
Spanish4.5%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
23.4%
Other Christian
14.3%
Methodist
7.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.4%
Mainline Protestant
3.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Non-Christian
1.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+66.1, this district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, suggesting a rural or small-town constituency where competitive general elections are exceedingly rare.

The Republican margin in Tennessee 15th State House District reached its widest at forty-five points in 1972. The margin in 2024 was nineteen points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $74,222, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 28,565 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 15, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 15, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 15, Tennessee voted Republican by 19.4 points (R+19), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,929 votes cast, 5,059 went Democratic and 7,562 went Republican.
What is State House District 15, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 15, Tennessee as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 29 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 15, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 15, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1940.
How many people live in State House District 15, Tennessee?
State House District 15, Tennessee has a population of 28,565 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 15, Tennessee?
Median household income in State House District 15, Tennessee is $74,222 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of State House District 15, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 15, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.