Akashic

county

Scott County, VA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

American36.5%8.4%5.3%

English14.5%12.0%9.5%

Irish6.6%9.1%9.4%

German4.7%10.1%12.5%

Scotch-Irish3.1%——

Scottish1.2%1.9%1.3%

Italian0.5%3.9%4.8%

Polish0.4%1.6%2.2%

Mexican0.5%2.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.4%1.4%1.8%

Salvadoran0.3%2.1%0.7%

Cuban0.2%—0.7%

African American†1.0%15.6%9.9%

African0.3%0.9%0.5%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Scott County	Virginia	United States
Median age	47.7	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	6.8%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	25.3%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Scott County	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$46,349	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	20.2%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	15.6%	42.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Scott County	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	1.4%	17.5%	22.3%

Religious landscape

Measure	Scott County	Virginia	United States
Catholic	0.4%	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	28.7%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	58.5%	54.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	11.2%	8.4%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 63.4% of 17,558 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic14.5%1,607TrumpRepublican84.8%9,392OliverLibertarian0.3%28

R+70.3

Lead: 7,785
Total: 11,077
vs nation: R+68.8
Turnout: 63.4%

BidenDemocratic15.6%1,692TrumpRepublican83.4%9,063JorgensenLibertarian0.8%90

R+67.8

Lead: 7,371
Total: 10,869
vs nation: R+72.3
Turnout: 62.0%

ClintonDemocratic15.7%1,581TrumpRepublican81.7%8,247JohnsonLibertarian1.4%142

R+66.0

Lead: 6,666
Total: 10,100
vs nation: R+68.1
Turnout: 56.1%

ObamaDemocratic24.0%2,395RomneyRepublican74.4%7,439OtherAll other candidates1.6%158

R+50.5

Lead: 5,044
Total: 9,992
vs nation: R+54.3
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic27.6%2,725McCainRepublican70.7%6,980OtherAll other candidates1.7%170

R+43.1

Lead: 4,255
Total: 9,875
vs nation: R+50.4
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic33.4%3,324BushRepublican65.0%6,479OtherAll other candidates1.6%164

R+31.7

Lead: 3,155
Total: 9,967
vs nation: R+29.2
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic38.1%3,552BushRepublican59.3%5,535NaderGreen0.9%85

R+21.2

Lead: 1,983
Total: 9,335
vs nation: R+21.8
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic40.2%3,449DoleRepublican47.7%4,086PerotReform9.3%798

R+7.4

Lead: 637
Total: 8,573
vs nation: R+16.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+70.3MIT Election Lab
Population: 21,4792024 5-year
Median household income: $46,3492024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 95.4%2024 5-year
Black: 1.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+25.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+70.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Unicoi County, TN · twin score 96.3

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 63.4%11,133 participants ÷ 17,558 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +24.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: +0.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 38.8%–44.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	10,143	18,072	56.1%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	7,608	17,809	42.7%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	10,940	17,659	62.0%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	6,566	17,605	37.3%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	11,133	17,558	63.4%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

34 precincts · 11,076 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Scott County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -401 - GATE CITY401 - GATE CITY	351	1,732	10	2,093	16.8%	82.8%	R+66.0
Precinct -102 - YUMA102 - YUMA	188	931	8	1,127	16.7%	82.6%	R+65.9
Precinct -203 - HILTONS203 - HILTONS	163	868	13	1,044	15.6%	83.1%	R+67.5
Precinct -602 - DUFFIELD-PATTONSVILLE602 - DUFFIELD-PATTONSVILLE	145	866	7	1,018	14.2%	85.1%	R+70.8
Precinct -101 - WEBER CITY101 - WEBER CITY	148	660	4	812	18.2%	81.3%	R+63.1
Precinct -301 - NICKELSVILLE301 - NICKELSVILLE	104	685	3	792	13.1%	86.5%	R+73.4
Precinct -202 - WEBER CITY EAST202 - WEBER CITY EAST	105	658	7	770	13.6%	85.5%	R+71.8
Precinct -504 - RYE COVE504 - RYE COVE	62	610	4	676	9.2%	90.2%	R+81.1
Precinct -302 - SNOWFLAKE302 - SNOWFLAKE	64	518	2	584	11.0%	88.7%	R+77.7
Precinct -502 - FORT BLACKMORE502 - FORT BLACKMORE	53	418	0	471	11.3%	88.7%	R+77.5
Precinct -601 - CLINCHPORT601 - CLINCHPORT	54	406	7	467	11.6%	86.9%	R+75.4
Precinct -501 - DUNGANNON501 - DUNGANNON	79	355	3	437	18.1%	81.2%	R+63.2
Precinct -503 - MANVILLE503 - MANVILLE	35	279	3	317	11.0%	88.0%	R+77.0
Precinct -603 - FAIRVIEW603 - FAIRVIEW	35	231	0	266	13.2%	86.8%	R+73.7
Precinct -304 - COPPER CREEK304 - COPPER CREEK	21	175	6	202	10.4%	86.6%	R+76.2
Clark's51169000204	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Clinchport51169000601	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Copper Creek51169000304	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Duffield-Pattonsville51169000602	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Dungannon51169000501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Fairview51169000603	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Fort Blackmore51169000502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Gate City51169000401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hiltons51169000203	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Manville51169000503	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Nickelsville51169000301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Precinct -204 - CLARKE'S204 - CLARKE'S	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Precinct -303 - TWINS SPRINGS303 - TWINS SPRINGS	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rye Cove51169000504	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Snowflake51169000302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Twin Springs51169000303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Weber City51169000101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Weber City East51169000202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Yuma51169000102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+8.9%
1896	−10.3%
1900	+4.4%
1904	−20.6%
1908	−21.7%
1912	+25.5%
1916	−13.8%
1920	−18.9%
1924	−10.0%
1928	−10.6%
1932	+12.1%
1936	+1.8%
1940	−9.3%
1944	−3.4%
1948	−13.5%
1952	−22.3%
1956	−17.4%
1960	−13.1%
1964	+0.6%
1968	−22.0%
1972	−65.2%
1976	+1.9%
1980	−4.6%
1984	−19.3%
1988	−15.6%
1992	−5.5%
1996	−7.4%
2000	−21.2%
2004	−31.7%
2008	−43.1%
2012	−50.5%
2016	−66.0%
2020	−67.8%
2024	−70.3%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	14.5%Harris1,607	84.8%Trump9,392	0.3%Oliver28 +4	R+70.3	R+2.5	R+68.8	11,077
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican84.8%9,392 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic14.5%1,607 Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%28 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%20 OtherAll other candidates0.2%20 Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%6 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%4
2020	R	15.6%Biden1,692	83.4%Trump9,063	0.8%Jorgensen90	R+67.8	R+1.8	R+72.3	10,869
2016	R	15.7%Clinton1,581	81.7%Trump8,247	1.4%Johnson142	R+66.0	R+15.5	R+68.1	10,100
2012	R	24.0%Obama2,395	74.4%Romney7,439	1.6%	R+50.5	R+7.4	R+54.3	9,992
2008	R	27.6%Obama2,725	70.7%McCain6,980	1.7%	R+43.1	R+11.4	R+50.4	9,875
2004	R	33.4%Kerry3,324	65.0%Bush6,479	1.6%	R+31.7	R+10.4	R+29.2	9,967
2000	R	38.1%Gore3,552	59.3%Bush5,535	0.9%Nader85	R+21.2	R+13.8	R+21.8	9,335
1996	R	40.2%Clinton3,449	47.7%Dole4,086	9.3%Perot798	R+7.4	R+1.9	R+16.0	8,573
1992	R	41.1%Clinton3,979	46.6%Bush4,515	9.9%Perot957	R+5.5	D+10.1	R+11.1	9,690
1988	R	41.2%Dukakis3,616	56.8%Bush4,986	2.1%	R+15.6	D+3.8	R+7.9	8,785
1984	R	39.8%Mondale3,904	59.1%Reagan5,804	1.2%	R+19.3	R+14.8	R+1.1	9,821
1980	R	46.0%Carter4,314	50.5%Reagan4,744	3.5%	R+4.6	R+6.5	D+5.2	9,387
1976	D	47.4%Carter4,496	45.4%Ford4,313	7.2%	D+1.9	D+67.1	R+0.1	9,494
1972	R	16.5%McGovern2,026	81.7%Nixon10,025	1.8%	R+65.2	R+43.1	R+42.0	12,275
1968	R	31.5%Humphrey3,144	53.5%Nixon5,345	15.0%	R+22.0	R+22.6	R+21.3	9,984
1964	D	50.3%Johnson4,205	49.7%Goldwater4,155	0.0%	D+0.6	D+13.7	R+22.0	8,363
1960	R	43.3%Kennedy3,789	56.5%Nixon4,936	0.2%	R+13.1	D+4.3	R+13.3	8,744
1956	R	41.1%Stevenson3,595	58.4%Eisenhower5,116	0.5%	R+17.4	D+4.9	R+2.0	8,754
1952	R	38.9%Stevenson2,990	61.1%Eisenhower4,703	0.0%	R+22.3	R+8.8	R+11.5	7,693
1948	R	42.7%Truman2,676	56.1%Dewey3,520	1.2%	R+13.5	R+10.1	R+17.9	6,272
1944	R	48.3%Roosevelt2,888	51.6%Dewey3,089	0.1%	R+3.4	D+5.9	R+10.9	5,983
1940	R	45.3%Roosevelt2,474	54.6%Willkie2,982	0.1%	R+9.3	R+11.1	R+19.2	5,464
1936	D	50.9%Roosevelt2,122	49.1%Landon2,046	0.0%	D+1.8	R+10.3	R+22.4	4,168
1932	D	55.6%Roosevelt2,137	43.6%Hoover1,673	0.8%	D+12.1	D+22.7	R+5.7	3,841
1928	R	44.7%Smith2,355	55.3%Hoover2,916	0.0%	R+10.6	R+0.7	D+6.8	5,271
1924	R	44.3%Davis2,177	54.3%Coolidge2,666	1.4%La Follette67	R+10.0	D+8.9	D+15.2	4,912
1920	R	40.5%Cox1,671	59.3%Harding2,449	0.2%	R+18.9	R+5.1	D+7.3	4,127
1916	R	42.9%Wilson1,319	56.6%Hughes1,743	0.5%	R+13.8	R+39.2	R+16.9	3,077
1912	D	44.3%Wilson1,311	18.8%Taft557	36.9%	D+25.5	D+47.2	D+5.9	2,962
1908	R	39.1%Bryan1,145	60.8%Taft1,781	0.1%	R+21.7	R+1.1	R+12.2	2,929
1904	R	39.4%Parker1,164	60.0%Roosevelt1,773	0.6%	R+20.6	R+25.0	R+0.9	2,956
1900	D	52.2%Bryan1,813	47.7%McKinley1,659	0.1%	D+4.4	D+14.7	D+12.0	3,475
1896	R	44.7%Bryan1,793	55.0%McKinley2,206	0.4%	R+10.3	R+19.2	R+4.2	4,014
1892	D	49.4%Cleveland1,746	40.6%Harrison1,433	10.0%	D+8.9	—	D+7.2	3,531
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	16.1%1,776	83.9%9,254	11,030
2018	R	22.3%1,687	77.7%5,865	7,552

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	22.5%2,431	77.5%8,359	10,790
2020Class II	R	20.4%Mark Warner2,191	79.5%Daniel Gade8,543	10,751
2018Class I	R	21.6%Tim Kaine1,627	77.4%Corey Stewart5,824	7,522
2014Class II	R	27.1%Mark Warner1,406	71.4%Ed Gillespie3,699	5,179
2012Class I	R	28.0%Tim Kaine2,776	71.9%George Allen7,122	9,908
2008Class II	D	54.6%Mark Warner5,241	44.3%Jim Gilmore4,255	9,601
2006Class I	R	37.9%Jim Webb2,785	61.6%George Allen4,527	7,354
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	85.8%John Warner3,608	4,203
2000Class I	R	37.0%Chuck Robb3,331	63.0%George Allen5,662	8,994
1996Class II	D	53.5%Mark Warner4,061	46.4%John Warner3,521	7,584
1994Class I	R	35.5%Chuck Robb2,835	55.9%Oliver North4,458	7,981
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	81.5%John Warner2,416	2,963
1988Class I	D	65.0%Chuck Robb5,116	35.0%Maurice A. Dawkins2,751	7,868
1984Class II	R	33.2%Edythe Harrison2,873	66.8%John Warner5,779	8,652
1982Class I	R	48.4%Dick Davis3,758	51.6%Paul S. Trible4,006	7,764
1978Class II	R	46.8%Andrew Miller2,972	53.2%John Warner3,382	6,354
1976Class I	D	41.5%Elmo Zumwalt3,231	0.0%None0	7,789
1972Class II	R	38.6%William B. Spong Jr.2,922	59.2%Bill Scott4,480	7,568
1970Class I	R	38.3%George C. Rawlings Jr.2,875	40.5%Ray Garland3,039	7,502
1966Class II	R	44.5%William B. Spong Jr.3,401	52.4%James P. Ould Jr.4,001	7,638
1964Class I	D	48.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,514	37.2%Richard A. May2,703	7,261
1960Class II	D	71.3%A. Willis Robertson3,656	0.0%None0	5,131
1958Class I	D	60.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,197	0.0%None0	3,655
1954Class II	D	74.8%A. Willis Robertson3,490	0.0%None0	4,666
1952Class I	D	66.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.4,066	0.0%None0	6,130
1948Class II	R	44.8%A. Willis Robertson2,673	54.0%Robert H. Woods3,223	5,972
1946Class I	R	45.0%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,455	52.1%Lester S. Parsons1,684	3,233
1942Class II	D	81.6%Carter Glass1,307	0.0%None0	1,601
1940Class I	D	94.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.4,362	0.0%None0	4,634
1936Class II	D	89.1%Carter Glass2,590	6.3%George Rohlson184	2,908
1934Class I	D	56.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,342	39.0%Lawrence C. Page924	2,369
1930Class II	D	73.4%Carter Glass2,592	0.0%None0	3,531
1928Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson4,364	0.0%None0	4,364
1924Class II	D	48.0%Carter Glass1,878	0.0%William Doak0	3,915
1922Class I	R	48.1%Claude Swanson2,314	50.3%J.W. McGavock2,416	4,806
1918Class II	D	100.0%Thomas S. Martin630	0.0%None0	630
1916Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson1,716	0.0%None0	1,716

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1966Special · Class I	R	43.8%Harry F. Byrd Jr.3,291	51.9%Lawrence Traylor3,902	7,522
1933Special · Class I	D	53.5%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,330	44.1%Henry Wise1,097	2,487

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2025	R	16.8%Abigail Spanberger1,235	83.0%Winsome Earle-Sears6,103	7,353
2017	R	17.7%Ralph Northam1,089	81.4%Ed Gillespie4,997	6,139
2013	R	21.9%Terry McAuliffe1,158	75.6%Ken Cuccinelli4,001	5,293
2009	R	21.1%Creigh Deeds1,172	78.8%Bob McDonnell4,370	5,545
2005	R	26.2%Tim Kaine2,156	73.2%Jerry Kilgore6,016	8,215
2001	R	42.8%Mark Warner2,877	56.1%Mark Earley3,772	6,727
1997	R	33.3%Don Beyer2,087	64.7%Jim Gilmore4,050	6,262
1993	R	28.8%Mary Sue Terry2,234	69.9%George Allen5,421	7,752
1989	R	43.3%Douglas Wilder2,825	56.7%Marshall Coleman3,704	6,529
1985	D	54.3%Gerald Baliles3,453	45.7%Wyatt Durrette2,909	6,362
1981	R	48.8%Chuck Robb3,264	51.2%Marshall Coleman3,424	6,688
1977	D	51.4%Henry Howell3,228	48.1%John N. Dalton3,018	6,275

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Scott County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	15,877
2018	15,007
2020	15,741
2022	16,010
2024	16,333

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+34 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +255 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $50,751 in average income, against $59,247 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+57.4 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Scott County, VA itself (R+70.3).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Sullivan County, TN112R+55.0
Hawkins County, TN50R+68.8
Wise County, VA27R+63.2
Washington County, TN26R+39.5

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Sullivan County, TN115
Hawkins County, TN31
Lee County, VA25
Wise County, VA23
Washington County, TN20

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Scott County, VA in Scott County, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+25
2012	+5
2013	−44
2014	−127
2015	−107
2016	−92
2017	−55
2018	−92
2019	+23
2021	+122
2022	+225
2023	+151
2024	+187
2025	+34

Tucked into Virginia's coalfield corner where three states meet, Scott County delivered a 70-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the sharp rightward realignment that has reshaped Appalachian Virginia over the past two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 70.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 70.3 points.

A population of 21,479, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,349 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Unicoi County and Estill County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Unicoi County

Tennessee

96.3twin score

2008–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

Estill County

Kentucky

94.9twin score

elasticity2008–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

Cocke County

Tennessee

93.3twin score

elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Scott County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51169/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2025 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Scott County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Scott County, Virginia voted Republican by 70.3 points (R+70.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,077 votes cast, 1,607 went Democratic and 9,392 went Republican.

When did Scott County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Scott County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.

How many people live in Scott County, Virginia?

Scott County, Virginia has a population of 21,479 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Scott County, Virginia?

Median household income in Scott County, Virginia is $46,349 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Scott County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Scott County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.

Measure

Scott County

Virginia

United States

Median age

47.7

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

6.8%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

25.3%

16.7%

17.2%

Measure

Scott County

Virginia

United States

Median household income

$46,349

$93,170

$84,427

Poverty rate

20.2%

10.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

15.6%

42.3%

35.6%

Measure

Scott County

Virginia

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

1.4%

17.5%

22.3%

Measure

Scott County

Virginia

United States

Catholic

0.4%

10.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

28.7%

19.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

58.5%

54.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

11.2%

8.4%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+70.3MIT Election Lab

Population

21,4792024 5-year

Median household income

$46,3492024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

95.4%2024 5-year

Black

1.3%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

1.5%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+25.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+70.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Unicoi County, TN · twin score 96.3

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

10,143

18,072

56.1%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

7,608

17,809

42.7%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

10,940

17,659

62.0%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

6,566

17,605

37.3%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

11,133

17,558

63.4%

A/A

Scott County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -401 - GATE CITY401 - GATE CITY

351

1,732

2,093

16.8%

82.8%

R+66.0

Precinct -102 - YUMA102 - YUMA

188

931

1,127

16.7%

82.6%

R+65.9

Precinct -203 - HILTONS203 - HILTONS

163

868

1,044

15.6%

83.1%

R+67.5

Precinct -602 - DUFFIELD-PATTONSVILLE602 - DUFFIELD-PATTONSVILLE

145

866

1,018

14.2%

85.1%

R+70.8

Precinct -101 - WEBER CITY101 - WEBER CITY

148

660

812

18.2%

81.3%

R+63.1

Precinct -301 - NICKELSVILLE301 - NICKELSVILLE

104

685

792

13.1%

86.5%

R+73.4

Precinct -202 - WEBER CITY EAST202 - WEBER CITY EAST

105

658

770

13.6%

85.5%

R+71.8

Precinct -504 - RYE COVE504 - RYE COVE

610

676

9.2%

90.2%

R+81.1

Precinct -302 - SNOWFLAKE302 - SNOWFLAKE

518

584

11.0%

88.7%

R+77.7

Precinct -502 - FORT BLACKMORE502 - FORT BLACKMORE

418

471

11.3%

88.7%

R+77.5

Precinct -601 - CLINCHPORT601 - CLINCHPORT

406

467

11.6%

86.9%

R+75.4

Precinct -501 - DUNGANNON501 - DUNGANNON

355

437

18.1%

81.2%

R+63.2

Precinct -503 - MANVILLE503 - MANVILLE

279

317

11.0%

88.0%

R+77.0

Precinct -603 - FAIRVIEW603 - FAIRVIEW

231

266

13.2%

86.8%

R+73.7

Precinct -304 - COPPER CREEK304 - COPPER CREEK

175

202

10.4%

86.6%

R+76.2

Clark's51169000204

—

No votes

Clinchport51169000601

—

No votes

Copper Creek51169000304

—

No votes

Duffield-Pattonsville51169000602

—

No votes

Dungannon51169000501

—

No votes

Fairview51169000603

—

No votes

Fort Blackmore51169000502

—

No votes

Gate City51169000401

—

No votes

Hiltons51169000203

—

No votes

Manville51169000503

—

No votes

Nickelsville51169000301

—

No votes

Precinct -204 - CLARKE'S204 - CLARKE'S

—

No votes

Precinct -303 - TWINS SPRINGS303 - TWINS SPRINGS

—

No votes

Rye Cove51169000504

—

No votes

Snowflake51169000302

—

No votes

Twin Springs51169000303

—

No votes

Weber City51169000101

—

No votes

Weber City East51169000202

—

No votes

Yuma51169000102

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+8.9%
1896	−10.3%
1900	+4.4%
1904	−20.6%
1908	−21.7%
1912	+25.5%
1916	−13.8%
1920	−18.9%
1924	−10.0%
1928	−10.6%
1932	+12.1%
1936	+1.8%
1940	−9.3%
1944	−3.4%
1948	−13.5%
1952	−22.3%
1956	−17.4%
1960	−13.1%
1964	+0.6%
1968	−22.0%
1972	−65.2%
1976	+1.9%
1980	−4.6%
1984	−19.3%
1988	−15.6%
1992	−5.5%
1996	−7.4%
2000	−21.2%
2004	−31.7%
2008	−43.1%
2012	−50.5%
2016	−66.0%
2020	−67.8%
2024	−70.3%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

14.5%Harris1,607

84.8%Trump9,392

0.3%Oliver28 +4

R+70.3

R+2.5

R+68.8

11,077

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican84.8%9,392
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic14.5%1,607
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%28
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%20
OtherAll other candidates0.2%20
Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%6
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%4

2020

15.6%Biden1,692

83.4%Trump9,063

0.8%Jorgensen90

R+67.8

R+1.8

R+72.3

10,869

2016

15.7%Clinton1,581

81.7%Trump8,247

1.4%Johnson142

R+66.0

R+15.5

R+68.1

10,100

2012

24.0%Obama2,395

74.4%Romney7,439

1.6%

R+50.5

R+7.4

R+54.3

9,992

2008

27.6%Obama2,725

70.7%McCain6,980

1.7%

R+43.1

R+11.4

R+50.4

9,875

2004

33.4%Kerry3,324

65.0%Bush6,479

1.6%

R+31.7

R+10.4

R+29.2

9,967

2000

38.1%Gore3,552

59.3%Bush5,535

0.9%Nader85

R+21.2

R+13.8

R+21.8

9,335

1996

40.2%Clinton3,449

47.7%Dole4,086

9.3%Perot798

R+7.4

R+1.9

R+16.0

8,573

1992

41.1%Clinton3,979

46.6%Bush4,515

9.9%Perot957

R+5.5

D+10.1

R+11.1

9,690

1988

41.2%Dukakis3,616

56.8%Bush4,986

2.1%

R+15.6

D+3.8

R+7.9

8,785

1984

39.8%Mondale3,904

59.1%Reagan5,804

1.2%

R+19.3

R+14.8

R+1.1

9,821

1980

46.0%Carter4,314

50.5%Reagan4,744

3.5%

R+4.6

R+6.5

D+5.2

9,387

1976

47.4%Carter4,496

45.4%Ford4,313

7.2%

D+1.9

D+67.1

R+0.1

9,494

1972

16.5%McGovern2,026

81.7%Nixon10,025

1.8%

R+65.2

R+43.1

R+42.0

12,275

1968

31.5%Humphrey3,144

53.5%Nixon5,345

15.0%

R+22.0

R+22.6

R+21.3

9,984

1964

50.3%Johnson4,205

49.7%Goldwater4,155

0.0%

D+0.6

D+13.7

R+22.0

8,363

1960

43.3%Kennedy3,789

56.5%Nixon4,936

0.2%

R+13.1

D+4.3

R+13.3

8,744

1956

41.1%Stevenson3,595

58.4%Eisenhower5,116

0.5%

R+17.4

D+4.9

R+2.0

8,754

1952

38.9%Stevenson2,990

61.1%Eisenhower4,703

0.0%

R+22.3

R+8.8

R+11.5

7,693

1948

42.7%Truman2,676

56.1%Dewey3,520

1.2%

R+13.5

R+10.1

R+17.9

6,272

1944

48.3%Roosevelt2,888

51.6%Dewey3,089

0.1%

R+3.4

D+5.9

R+10.9

5,983

1940

45.3%Roosevelt2,474

54.6%Willkie2,982

0.1%

R+9.3

R+11.1

R+19.2

5,464

1936

50.9%Roosevelt2,122

49.1%Landon2,046

0.0%

D+1.8

R+10.3

R+22.4

4,168

1932

55.6%Roosevelt2,137

43.6%Hoover1,673

0.8%

D+12.1

D+22.7

R+5.7

3,841

1928

44.7%Smith2,355

55.3%Hoover2,916

0.0%

R+10.6

R+0.7

D+6.8

5,271

1924

44.3%Davis2,177

54.3%Coolidge2,666

1.4%La Follette67

R+10.0

D+8.9

D+15.2

4,912

1920

40.5%Cox1,671

59.3%Harding2,449

0.2%

R+18.9

R+5.1

D+7.3

4,127

1916

42.9%Wilson1,319

56.6%Hughes1,743

0.5%

R+13.8

R+39.2

R+16.9

3,077

1912

44.3%Wilson1,311

18.8%Taft557

36.9%

D+25.5

D+47.2

D+5.9

2,962

1908

39.1%Bryan1,145

60.8%Taft1,781

0.1%

R+21.7

R+1.1

R+12.2

2,929

1904

39.4%Parker1,164

60.0%Roosevelt1,773

0.6%

R+20.6

R+25.0

R+0.9

2,956

1900

52.2%Bryan1,813

47.7%McKinley1,659

0.1%

D+4.4

D+14.7

D+12.0

3,475

1896

44.7%Bryan1,793

55.0%McKinley2,206

0.4%

R+10.3

R+19.2

R+4.2

4,014

1892

49.4%Cleveland1,746

40.6%Harrison1,433

10.0%

D+8.9

—

D+7.2

3,531

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

16.1%1,776

83.9%9,254

11,030

2018

22.3%1,687

77.7%5,865

7,552

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

22.5%2,431

77.5%8,359

10,790

2020Class II

20.4%Mark Warner2,191

79.5%Daniel Gade8,543

10,751

2018Class I

21.6%Tim Kaine1,627

77.4%Corey Stewart5,824

7,522

2014Class II

27.1%Mark Warner1,406

71.4%Ed Gillespie3,699

5,179

2012Class I

28.0%Tim Kaine2,776

71.9%George Allen7,122

9,908

2008Class II

54.6%Mark Warner5,241

44.3%Jim Gilmore4,255

9,601

2006Class I

37.9%Jim Webb2,785

61.6%George Allen4,527

7,354

2002Class II

0.0%None0

85.8%John Warner3,608

4,203

2000Class I

37.0%Chuck Robb3,331

63.0%George Allen5,662

8,994

1996Class II

53.5%Mark Warner4,061

46.4%John Warner3,521

7,584

1994Class I

35.5%Chuck Robb2,835

55.9%Oliver North4,458

7,981

1990Class II

0.0%None0

81.5%John Warner2,416

2,963

1988Class I

65.0%Chuck Robb5,116

35.0%Maurice A. Dawkins2,751

7,868

1984Class II

33.2%Edythe Harrison2,873

66.8%John Warner5,779

8,652

1982Class I

48.4%Dick Davis3,758

51.6%Paul S. Trible4,006

7,764

1978Class II

46.8%Andrew Miller2,972

53.2%John Warner3,382

6,354

1976Class I

41.5%Elmo Zumwalt3,231

0.0%None0

7,789

1972Class II

38.6%William B. Spong Jr.2,922

59.2%Bill Scott4,480

7,568

1970Class I

38.3%George C. Rawlings Jr.2,875

40.5%Ray Garland3,039

7,502

1966Class II

44.5%William B. Spong Jr.3,401

52.4%James P. Ould Jr.4,001

7,638

1964Class I

48.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,514

37.2%Richard A. May2,703

7,261

1960Class II

71.3%A. Willis Robertson3,656

0.0%None0

5,131

1958Class I

60.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,197

0.0%None0

3,655

1954Class II

74.8%A. Willis Robertson3,490

0.0%None0

4,666

1952Class I

66.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.4,066

0.0%None0

6,130

1948Class II

44.8%A. Willis Robertson2,673

54.0%Robert H. Woods3,223

5,972

1946Class I

45.0%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,455

52.1%Lester S. Parsons1,684

3,233

1942Class II

81.6%Carter Glass1,307

0.0%None0

1,601

1940Class I

94.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.4,362

0.0%None0

4,634

1936Class II

89.1%Carter Glass2,590

6.3%George Rohlson184

2,908

1934Class I

56.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,342

39.0%Lawrence C. Page924

2,369

1930Class II

73.4%Carter Glass2,592

0.0%None0

3,531

1928Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson4,364

0.0%None0

4,364

1924Class II

48.0%Carter Glass1,878

0.0%William Doak0

3,915

1922Class I

48.1%Claude Swanson2,314

50.3%J.W. McGavock2,416

4,806

1918Class II

100.0%Thomas S. Martin630

0.0%None0

630

1916Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson1,716

0.0%None0

1,716

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1966Special · Class I

43.8%Harry F. Byrd Jr.3,291

51.9%Lawrence Traylor3,902

7,522

1933Special · Class I

53.5%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,330

44.1%Henry Wise1,097

2,487

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2025

16.8%Abigail Spanberger1,235

83.0%Winsome Earle-Sears6,103

7,353

2017

17.7%Ralph Northam1,089

81.4%Ed Gillespie4,997

6,139

2013

21.9%Terry McAuliffe1,158

75.6%Ken Cuccinelli4,001

5,293

2009

21.1%Creigh Deeds1,172

78.8%Bob McDonnell4,370

5,545

2005

26.2%Tim Kaine2,156

73.2%Jerry Kilgore6,016

8,215

2001

42.8%Mark Warner2,877

56.1%Mark Earley3,772

6,727

1997

33.3%Don Beyer2,087

64.7%Jim Gilmore4,050

6,262

1993

28.8%Mary Sue Terry2,234

69.9%George Allen5,421

7,752

1989

43.3%Douglas Wilder2,825

56.7%Marshall Coleman3,704

6,529

1985

54.3%Gerald Baliles3,453

45.7%Wyatt Durrette2,909

6,362

1981

48.8%Chuck Robb3,264

51.2%Marshall Coleman3,424

6,688

1977

51.4%Henry Howell3,228

48.1%John N. Dalton3,018

6,275

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Scott County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	15,877
2018	15,007
2020	15,741
2022	16,010
2024	16,333

How did Scott County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Scott County, Virginia voted Republican by 70.3 points (R+70.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,077 votes cast, 1,607 went Democratic and 9,392 went Republican.

When did Scott County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Scott County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.

How many people live in Scott County, Virginia?

Scott County, Virginia has a population of 21,479 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Scott County, Virginia?

Median household income in Scott County, Virginia is $46,349 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Scott County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Scott County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.