- Lead
- 179,441
- Total
- 407,247
- vs nation
- R+42.6
Virginia 9th Congressional District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 167,351
- Total
- 402,064
- vs nation
- R+46.1
- Lead
- 150,831
- Total
- 365,470
- vs nation
- R+43.4
- Lead
- 104,147
- Total
- 357,992
- vs nation
- R+32.9
- Lead
- 68,308
- Total
- 351,226
- vs nation
- R+26.7
- Lead
- 71,054
- Total
- 327,324
- vs nation
- R+19.2
- Lead
- 41,968
- Total
- 297,162
- vs nation
- R+14.6
- Lead
- 2,364
- Total
- 277,233
- vs nation
- R+7.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 786,4282024 5-year
- Population density
- 78 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 10,071 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,3802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.0 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 1, TN · twin score 93.8
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 9th Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
39.5%
138,701 votes · R+19.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 38.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
71.6%
291,667 votes · R+44.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 70.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
138,701votes
39.5% of the vote · R+19.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 126,300 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
291,667votes
71.6% of the vote · R+44.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 281,746 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−19.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+21.7 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −26.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+46.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+41.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +43.4 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Covering Virginia's southwestern tip, this mountainous district swung decisively toward Republicans over the past two decades as coal-economy decline reshaped voter allegiances, producing 2024 margins that rank among the widest in the mid-Atlantic region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.0 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 44.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.1 points.
A population of 786,428, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,380 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 1 and Congressional District 5.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 9th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5109/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.