HarrisDemocratic24.3%12,414TrumpRepublican74.4%38,017OtherAll other candidates0.5%251
R+50.1- Lead
- 25,603
- Total
- 51,081
- vs nation
- R+48.7
- Turnout
- 79.8%
Akashiccounty
Bedford County, VA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.8% of 64,205 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic25.0%12,176TrumpRepublican73.1%35,600JorgensenLibertarian1.5%708
R+48.1- Lead
- 23,424
- Total
- 48,669
- vs nation
- R+52.6
- Turnout
- 78.3%
ClintonDemocratic23.0%9,768TrumpRepublican72.1%30,659JohnsonLibertarian2.5%1,074
R+49.1- Lead
- 20,891
- Total
- 42,525
- vs nation
- R+51.2
- Turnout
- 70.8%
ObamaDemocratic27.3%10,209RomneyRepublican71.3%26,679OtherAll other candidates1.4%537
R+44.0- Lead
- 16,470
- Total
- 37,425
- vs nation
- R+47.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic30.7%11,017McCainRepublican68.2%24,420OtherAll other candidates1.1%393
R+37.4- Lead
- 13,403
- Total
- 35,830
- vs nation
- R+44.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic29.9%10,144BushRepublican68.9%23,397OtherAll other candidates1.2%405
R+39.0- Lead
- 13,253
- Total
- 33,946
- vs nation
- R+36.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic31.2%8,160BushRepublican65.9%17,224NaderGreen1.4%376
R+34.7- Lead
- 9,064
- Total
- 26,149
- vs nation
- R+35.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic35.2%7,786DoleRepublican54.1%11,955PerotReform8.9%1,976
R+18.9- Lead
- 4,169
- Total
- 22,109
- vs nation
- R+27.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 80,8942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,9372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68.7 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Nassau County, FL · twin score 94.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 79.8%51,256 participants ÷ 64,205 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.8%–61.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 42,598 | 60,163 | 70.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 35,734 | 61,207 | 58.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 48,869 | 62,426 | 78.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 33,664 | 63,255 | 53.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 51,256 | 64,205 | 79.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
64 precincts · 51,081 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -504 - BOONSBORO RURITAN CLUB504 - BOONSBORO RURITAN CLUB | 861 | 2,554 | 55 | 3,470 | 24.8% | 73.6% | R+48.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -401 - FOREST ELEMENTARY SCHOOL401 - FOREST ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 720 | 2,034 | 35 | 2,789 | 25.8% | 72.9% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -301 - NEW LONDON ACADEMY301 - NEW LONDON ACADEMY | 496 | 1,891 | 49 | 2,436 | 20.4% | 77.6% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -701 - GOODE VOL RESCUE SQUAD701 - GOODE VOL RESCUE SQUAD | 519 | 1,883 | 19 | 2,421 | 21.4% | 77.8% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct -101 - GOODVIEW ELEM SCHOOL101 - GOODVIEW ELEM SCHOOL | 484 | 1,735 | 21 | 2,240 | 21.6% | 77.5% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -203 - EASTLAKE COMMUNITY CHURCH203 - EASTLAKE COMMUNITY CHURCH | 544 | 1,610 | 31 | 2,185 | 24.9% | 73.7% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -402 - THOMAS JEFFERSON ELEM SCHOOL402 - THOMAS JEFFERSON ELEM SCHOOL | 570 | 1,580 | 27 | 2,177 | 26.2% | 72.6% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -503 - BOONSBORO ELEMENTARY SCHOOL503 - BOONSBORO ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 781 | 1,314 | 32 | 2,127 | 36.7% | 61.8% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -403 - PLEASANT VIEW BAPTIST CHURCH403 - PLEASANT VIEW BAPTIST CHURCH | 601 | 1,444 | 34 | 2,079 | 28.9% | 69.5% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -604 - BEDFORD WELCOME CENTER604 - BEDFORD WELCOME CENTER | 672 | 1,380 | 27 | 2,079 | 32.3% | 66.4% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -704 - BEDFORD CENTRAL LIBRARY704 - BEDFORD CENTRAL LIBRARY | 722 | 1,267 | 31 | 2,020 | 35.7% | 62.7% | R+27.0 |
| Precinct -302 - BEDFORD COUNTY GYM302 - BEDFORD COUNTY GYM | 445 | 1,444 | 19 | 1,908 | 23.3% | 75.7% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -602 - SHADY GROVE FIRE DEPARTMENT602 - SHADY GROVE FIRE DEPARTMENT | 335 | 1,552 | 18 | 1,905 | 17.6% | 81.5% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -205 - SAUNDERS VOL FIRE CO205 - SAUNDERS VOL FIRE CO | 521 | 1,351 | 23 | 1,895 | 27.5% | 71.3% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -601 - MONTVALE ELEM SCHOOL601 - MONTVALE ELEM SCHOOL | 332 | 1,231 | 14 | 1,577 | 21.1% | 78.1% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -103 - CHAMBLISSBURG BAPTIST CHURCH103 - CHAMBLISSBURG BAPTIST CHURCH | 331 | 1,225 | 18 | 1,574 | 21.0% | 77.8% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -305 - FOREST FIRE STATION #2305 - FOREST FIRE STATION #2 | 307 | 1,088 | 21 | 1,416 | 21.7% | 76.8% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -202 - STAUNTON RIVER HIGH SCHOOL202 - STAUNTON RIVER HIGH SCHOOL | 283 | 1,109 | 14 | 1,406 | 20.1% | 78.9% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -702 - LIBERTY HIGH SCHOOL702 - LIBERTY HIGH SCHOOL | 317 | 1,056 | 15 | 1,388 | 22.8% | 76.1% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -204 - HUDDLESTON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL204 - HUDDLESTON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 228 | 1,090 | 9 | 1,327 | 17.2% | 82.1% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -501 - BIG ISLAND ELEMENTARY SCHOOL501 - BIG ISLAND ELEMENTARY SCHOOL | 254 | 1,021 | 16 | 1,291 | 19.7% | 79.1% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -104 - BARNHARDT BAPTIST CHURCH104 - BARNHARDT BAPTIST CHURCH | 256 | 1,016 | 14 | 1,286 | 19.9% | 79.0% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -703 - THAXTON BAPTIST CHURCH703 - THAXTON BAPTIST CHURCH | 234 | 904 | 14 | 1,152 | 20.3% | 78.5% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -105 - DIAMOND HILL BAPTIST CHURCH105 - DIAMOND HILL BAPTIST CHURCH | 213 | 882 | 13 | 1,108 | 19.2% | 79.6% | R+60.4 |
| Precinct -502 - SUCK SPRING BAPTIST CHURCH502 - SUCK SPRING BAPTIST CHURCH | 246 | 822 | 13 | 1,081 | 22.8% | 76.0% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -303 - FOREST ALLIANCE CHURCH303 - FOREST ALLIANCE CHURCH | 245 | 818 | 15 | 1,078 | 22.7% | 75.9% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -603 - BEDFORD MOOSE LODGE603 - BEDFORD MOOSE LODGE | 227 | 819 | 11 | 1,057 | 21.5% | 77.5% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -102 - HARDY VOL FIRE CO102 - HARDY VOL FIRE CO | 217 | 728 | 11 | 956 | 22.7% | 76.2% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -404 - FOREST RECREATION CENTER404 - FOREST RECREATION CENTER | 257 | 596 | 23 | 876 | 29.3% | 68.0% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -201 - BEDFORD CHRISTIAN CHURCH201 - BEDFORD CHRISTIAN CHURCH | 196 | 573 | 8 | 777 | 25.2% | 73.7% | R+48.5 |
| Bedford Central Library51019000704 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bedford Christian Church51019000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bedford Regional Water Auth51019000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bedford Welcome Center51019000604 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bethesda United Methodist Church51019000303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Island Elem School51019000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Boonsboro Elementary School51019000505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Boonsboro Ruritan Club51019000506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chamblissburg Baptist Church51019000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Forest Elementary School51019000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Forest Fire Station #251019000306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Forest Recreation Center51019000404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goode Vol Rescue Squad51019000701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goodview Elem School51019000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hardy Vol Fire Co51019000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Huddleston Elem School51019000305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Knights Of Columbus Bldg51019000403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberty High School51019000702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Moneta Elem School51019000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Montvale Elem School51019000601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New London Academy51019000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -304 - FREEDOM BAPTIST CHURCH304 - FREEDOM BAPTIST CHURCH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -705 - MOUNTAIN VIEW UNITED METHODIST CHURCH705 - MOUNTAIN VIEW UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Quaker Baptist Church51019000204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Riverside Church51019000304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saunders Vol Fire Co51019000205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sedalia Center51019000503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shady Grove Fire Department51019000602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Staunton River High School51019000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stewartsville Rescue Squad51019000104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Suck Springs Baptist Church51019000504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thaxton Baptist Church #151019000603 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thaxton Baptist Church #251019000703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thomas Jefferson Elem School51019000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +31.2% |
| 1896 | +15.5% |
| 1900 | +12.0% |
| 1904 | +38.1% |
| 1908 | +45.3% |
| 1912 | +62.1% |
| 1916 | +68.7% |
| 1920 | +50.0% |
| 1924 | +60.6% |
| 1928 | +12.5% |
| 1932 | +65.4% |
| 1936 | +57.0% |
| 1940 | +52.2% |
| 1944 | +40.6% |
| 1948 | +13.1% |
| 1952 | −9.2% |
| 1956 | −8.3% |
| 1960 | +3.9% |
| 1964 | +3.4% |
| 1968 | −16.7% |
| 1972 | −50.3% |
| 1976 | +5.7% |
| 1980 | −13.2% |
| 1984 | −34.7% |
| 1988 | −30.2% |
| 1992 | −17.8% |
| 1996 | −18.9% |
| 2000 | −34.7% |
| 2004 | −39.0% |
| 2008 | −37.4% |
| 2012 | −44.0% |
| 2016 | −49.1% |
| 2020 | −48.1% |
| 2024 | −50.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 56,367 |
| 2018 | 56,876 |
| 2020 | 60,661 |
| 2022 | 62,979 |
| 2024 | 65,401 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+715 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +8,711 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $86,926 in average income, against $95,068 for residents who stayed — 9% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.7 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Bedford County, VA itself (R+50.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lynchburg city, VA434R+7.9
- Campbell County, VA220R+48.4
- Roanoke County, VA174R+22.4
- Roanoke city, VA157D+23.5
- Franklin County, VA88R+45.1
- Botetourt County, VA74R+45.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lynchburg city, VA418
- Campbell County, VA287
- Roanoke County, VA150
- Roanoke city, VA148
- Franklin County, VA116
- Botetourt County, VA67
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +391 |
| 2012 | +167 |
| 2013 | +452 |
| 2014 | +795 |
| 2015 | +569 |
| 2016 | +426 |
| 2017 | +476 |
| 2018 | +682 |
| 2019 | +289 |
| 2021 | +1,098 |
| 2022 | +866 |
| 2023 | +1,051 |
| 2024 | +734 |
| 2025 | +715 |
Bedford County's R+50.4 presidential margin in 2024 places it among Virginia's most one-sided jurisdictions, reflecting a rural Blue Ridge foothills electorate where Democratic candidates routinely struggle to reach 30 percent.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 68.7 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 50.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.1 points.
A population of 80,894, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,937 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nassau County and Lincoln County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Nassau County
Florida
94.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory
Lincoln County
North Carolina
91.6twin score
2004–2012 trajectoryelasticity
Walton County
Florida
89.7twin score
2000–2012 trajectory12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bedford County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Bedford County
Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Bedford County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bedford County, Virginia voted Republican by 50.1 points (R+50.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 51,081 votes cast, 12,414 went Democratic and 38,017 went Republican.
When did Bedford County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bedford County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Bedford County, Virginia?
Bedford County, Virginia has a population of 80,894 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bedford County, Virginia?
Median household income in Bedford County, Virginia is $78,937 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Bedford County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bedford County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.