Virginia 53rd State House District, Virginia: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+39%. Democratic peak: D+73 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 80,7732024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,0962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 14,462 | 33,502 | 48,555 | ||
| R | 14,614 | 31,506 | 46,967 | ||
| R | 12,387 | 27,356 | 41,704 | ||
| R | 13,788 | 24,468 | 38,802 | ||
| R | 14,526 | 22,765 | 37,684 | ||
| R | 12,266 | 21,483 | 34,055 | ||
| R | 10,807 | 16,987 | 28,634 | ||
| R | 10,591 | 12,242 | 25,285 | ||
| R | 9,212 | 12,058 | 24,823 | ||
| R | 8,247 | 14,062 | 22,593 | ||
| R | 7,616 | 14,712 | 22,540 | ||
| R | 8,018 | 10,148 | 18,908 | ||
| D | 8,238 | 7,561 | 16,207 | ||
| R | 3,002 | 9,328 | 12,826 | ||
| O | 3,376 | 5,320 | 14,036 | ||
| R | 7,464 | 7,811 | 15,305 | ||
| D | 4,852 | 3,411 | 8,294 | ||
| D | 4,074 | 3,589 | 7,964 | ||
| D | 4,118 | 3,340 | 7,484 | ||
| D | 3,091 | 1,247 | 5,447 | ||
| D | 4,798 | 1,262 | 6,076 | ||
| D | 4,191 | 909 | 5,117 | ||
| D | 3,690 | 799 | 4,502 | ||
| D | 3,923 | 591 | 4,560 | ||
| D | 3,003 | 1,428 | 4,431 | ||
| D | 2,707 | 587 | 3,443 | ||
| D | 2,642 | 729 | 3,391 | ||
| D | 2,684 | 414 | 3,116 | ||
| D | 1,856 | 249 | 2,424 | ||
| D | 1,991 | 607 | 2,631 | ||
| D | 2,108 | 638 | 2,799 | ||
| D | 3,825 | 2,772 | 6,670 | ||
| D | 4,296 | 3,114 | 7,488 | ||
| D | 4,215 | 2,683 | 7,299 | ||
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Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+23.1, this district sits well outside Virginia's competitive tier. Its voter profile and geographic character make it a stable anchor for Republican legislative majorities in Richmond.
The Democratic margin in Virginia 53rd State House District peaked at seventy-three points in 1932. By 1980 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $74,096 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
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State House District 53, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.