- Lead
- 20,348
- Total
- 52,640
- vs nation
- R+37.2
Virginia 53rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 18,193
- Total
- 50,988
- vs nation
- R+40.1
- Lead
- 16,291
- Total
- 45,229
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Lead
- 11,786
- Total
- 43,472
- vs nation
- R+31.0
- Lead
- 9,058
- Total
- 42,197
- vs nation
- R+28.7
- Lead
- 9,909
- Total
- 36,876
- vs nation
- R+24.4
- Lead
- 6,676
- Total
- 32,210
- vs nation
- R+21.2
- Lead
- 1,659
- Total
- 28,592
- vs nation
- R+14.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 86,1472024 5-year
- Population density
- 73 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,181 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,8622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73.2 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 39, VA · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 53rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
38.7%
16,341 votes · R+21.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 36.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68.9%
36,273 votes · R+38.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 66.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
16,341votes
38.7% of the vote · R+21.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 15,937 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
36,273votes
68.9% of the vote · R+38.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 34,130 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−24.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+26.9 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −28.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+40.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.7 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +38.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 53rd State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.2 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 48.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.7 points.
A population of 86,147, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,862 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 39 and State House District 51.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 53rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.