- Lead
- 19,717
- Total
- 48,213
- vs nation
- R+39.4
Virginia 39th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 18,023
- Total
- 47,121
- vs nation
- R+42.7
- Lead
- 17,005
- Total
- 42,562
- vs nation
- R+42.0
- Lead
- 13,010
- Total
- 42,224
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Lead
- 10,546
- Total
- 40,786
- vs nation
- R+33.1
- Lead
- 11,757
- Total
- 36,600
- vs nation
- R+29.7
- Lead
- 8,188
- Total
- 31,783
- vs nation
- R+26.3
- Lead
- 2,743
- Total
- 28,706
- vs nation
- R+18.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,0982024 5-year
- Population density
- 113 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 743 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,0722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 51, VA · twin score 97.9
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 39th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
36.5%
14,877 votes · R+25.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 33.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
70.0%
33,770 votes · R+40.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 68.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
14,877votes
36.5% of the vote · R+25.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 14,170 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
33,770votes
70.0% of the vote · R+40.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 32,193 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−29.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+32.1 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −33.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+42.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +42.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+40.9, this district ranks among the deepest-red constituencies in Virginia, suggesting a reliably homogeneous partisan electorate that faces little competitive pressure in most cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 49.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.9 points.
A population of 84,098, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,072 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 51 and State House District 25.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 39th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.