Virginia 51st State House District, Virginia: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+49%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 99,2582024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,3392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State House District 51, VAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 14,669 | 43,528 | 58,909 | ||
| R | 14,745 | 40,470 | 56,268 | ||
| R | 12,054 | 36,142 | 50,636 | ||
| R | 13,264 | 32,156 | 46,124 | ||
| R | 14,197 | 30,703 | 45,392 | ||
| R | 12,438 | 28,585 | 41,492 | ||
| R | 11,148 | 22,589 | 34,662 | ||
| R | 11,075 | 16,854 | 31,055 | ||
| R | 9,772 | 16,724 | 31,207 | ||
| R | 8,100 | 19,321 | 27,845 | ||
| R | 7,627 | 20,063 | 27,914 | ||
| R | 7,774 | 13,994 | 22,776 | ||
| R | 7,676 | 10,452 | 18,822 | ||
| R | 3,152 | 15,214 | 19,072 | ||
| R | 3,289 | 7,888 | 18,739 | ||
| R | 5,605 | 7,770 | 13,422 | ||
| D | 4,797 | 4,544 | 9,391 | ||
| R | 4,179 | 4,561 | 9,308 | ||
| D | 4,097 | 4,065 | 8,187 | ||
| D | 2,464 | 1,274 | 4,942 | ||
| D | 3,429 | 1,234 | 4,670 | ||
| D | 3,797 | 895 | 4,705 | ||
| D | 3,291 | 713 | 4,015 | ||
| D | 3,003 | 569 | 3,623 | ||
| D | 1,770 | 1,472 | 3,242 | ||
| D | 2,491 | 625 | 3,278 | ||
| D | 2,351 | 716 | 3,102 | ||
| D | 1,919 | 367 | 2,365 | ||
| D | 1,495 | 188 | 2,033 | ||
| D | 1,336 | 448 | 1,825 | ||
| D | 1,407 | 471 | 1,946 | ||
| D | 2,778 | 2,390 | 5,222 | ||
| D | 3,843 | 2,964 | 6,860 | ||
| D | 3,556 | 2,143 | 6,474 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
16.8%
American
14.7%
Irish
9.6%
German
9.3%
Italian
2.8%
Scottish
1.9%
French
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 45.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$71,339
State House District 51 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 51$71,339
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.4%
Working age (18–64)9.2%
Seniors (65+)8.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.9%
speak English only
Spanish2.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+62.2, this district ranks among the most heavily Republican constituencies in Virginia, suggesting a rural or exurban electorate where competitive general elections are rare.
The Democratic margin in Virginia 51st State House District peaked at sixty-seven points in 1932. By 1964 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $71,339 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 51, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State House District 51, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 51, Virginia voted Republican by 49.0 points (R+49), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 58,909 votes cast, 14,669 went Democratic and 43,528 went Republican.
What is State House District 51, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 51, Virginia as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 51, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 51, Virginia voted Democratic was 1960.
How many people live in State House District 51, Virginia?
State House District 51, Virginia has a population of 99,258 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 51, Virginia?
Median household income in State House District 51, Virginia is $71,339 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State House District 51, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 51, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.