- Lead
- 21,358
- Total
- 32,742
- vs nation
- R+63.8
Tennessee 3rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 19,478
- Total
- 31,220
- vs nation
- R+66.8
- Lead
- 16,708
- Total
- 26,171
- vs nation
- R+65.9
- Lead
- 12,992
- Total
- 24,738
- vs nation
- R+56.4
- Lead
- 12,256
- Total
- 26,326
- vs nation
- R+53.8
- Lead
- 10,957
- Total
- 25,859
- vs nation
- R+39.9
- Lead
- 6,577
- Total
- 22,325
- vs nation
- R+30.0
- Lead
- 4,865
- Total
- 21,207
- vs nation
- R+31.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 66,5102024 5-year
- Population density
- 99 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 671 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,1842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.4 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 11, TN · twin score 98.6
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 3rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
42.2%
7,463 votes · R+14.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 38.3%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
83.7%
5,387 votes · R+67.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 82.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
7,738votes
34.7% of the vote · R+29.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 7,575 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,912votes
82.2% of the vote · R+65.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,142 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
−16.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+14.5 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −19.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+66.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +65.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 17.6%4,962 | 82.4%23,256 | 28,218 |
| 2020 | R | 20.7%5,637 | 79.3%21,633 | 27,270 |
With a 65.2-point Republican presidential margin, this district sits at the extreme end of Tennessee's partisan geography, signaling a rural or small-town electorate with little recent competitive pressure in statewide or legislative races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 67.4 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 65.2 points.
A population of 66,510, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,184 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 11 and State House District 14.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 3rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.