- Lead
- 17,051
- Total
- 32,538
- vs nation
- R+50.9
Tennessee 2nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 16,031
- Total
- 32,288
- vs nation
- R+54.1
- Lead
- 14,524
- Total
- 27,454
- vs nation
- R+55.0
- Lead
- 11,732
- Total
- 26,676
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Lead
- 10,852
- Total
- 28,490
- vs nation
- R+45.4
- Lead
- 9,315
- Total
- 27,840
- vs nation
- R+31.0
- Lead
- 4,602
- Total
- 24,974
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Lead
- 3,181
- Total
- 24,231
- vs nation
- R+21.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 66,4922024 5-year
- Population density
- 555 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 120 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $56,6652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 1, TN · twin score 98.0
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 2nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
68.0%
922 votes · D+36.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Winfield S. Hancock, 1880 · 67.0%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
75.7%
24,632 votes · R+52.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 74.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
10,869votes
51.2% of the vote · D+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · 10,412 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
24,632votes
75.7% of the vote · R+52.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 23,881 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+46.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+21.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +40.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+55.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.9 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +54.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 21.5%6,431 | 78.5%23,471 | 29,902 |
| 2020 | R | 24.6%7,195 | 75.4%22,050 | 29,245 |
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 52 points Republican, this northeast Tennessee district ranks among the state's most one-sided, reflecting a rural Appalachian electorate that has shifted decisively toward the GOP over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 52.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.4 points.
A population of 66,492, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,665 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 1 and State House District 32.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 2nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.