- Lead
- 18,174
- Total
- 29,604
- vs nation
- R+59.9
Tennessee 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 17,441
- Total
- 29,324
- vs nation
- R+63.9
- Lead
- 15,625
- Total
- 25,317
- vs nation
- R+63.8
- Lead
- 11,915
- Total
- 24,906
- vs nation
- R+51.7
- Lead
- 11,267
- Total
- 26,063
- vs nation
- R+50.5
- Lead
- 10,272
- Total
- 26,736
- vs nation
- R+36.0
- Lead
- 5,429
- Total
- 23,030
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Lead
- 4,323
- Total
- 21,714
- vs nation
- R+28.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 66,5452024 5-year
- Population density
- 168 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 395 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $51,1252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.7 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 5, TN · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
45.8%
9,262 votes · R+7.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 40.9%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
87.7%
6,222 votes · R+75.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · 87.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
9,262votes
45.8% of the vote · R+7.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 8,630 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
23,740votes
80.2% of the vote · R+61.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 23,162 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
−9.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+7.6 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −20.1 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+70.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+66.9 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +66.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 17.1%4,640 | 82.9%22,491 | 27,131 |
| 2020 | R | 19.8%5,370 | 80.2%21,738 | 27,108 |
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 61 points, this district ranks among the state's most reliably one-sided, leaving general elections largely uncontested and shifting political energy toward primary races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 75.7 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.4 points.
A population of 66,545, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,125 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 5 and State House District 80.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.