- Lead
- 4,872
- Total
- 41,165
- vs nation
- R+10.4
Virginia 52nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 900
- Total
- 40,720
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Lead
- 5,144
- Total
- 39,788
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Lead
- 5,394
- Total
- 40,255
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Lead
- 2,799
- Total
- 38,164
- vs nation
- R+14.6
- Lead
- 4,054
- Total
- 29,753
- vs nation
- R+11.2
- Lead
- 3,151
- Total
- 26,522
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Lead
- 1,714
- Total
- 25,883
- vs nation
- R+15.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 86,8952024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,612 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 53.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,0402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 25.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73.7 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 8, AL · twin score 73.6
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 52nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
47.3%
19,254 votes · R+2.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 45.7%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
56.3%
16,765 votes · R+13.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 55.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
19,254votes
47.3% of the vote · R+2.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 17,884 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
22,756votes
55.3% of the vote · R+11.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 22,434 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
−6.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+2.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −10.4 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+17.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+13.4 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +15.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 47.0%13,972 | 53.0%15,752 | 29,724 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+11.8, this district of roughly 87,000 residents consistently tilts conservative, reflecting the rural and small-town demographic patterns common across Virginia's interior counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 52.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 9.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.8 points.
A population of 86,895, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,040 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 8 and State House District 85.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 52nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51052/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.