akashic
1876–2024
State House District 52·Virginia

Virginia 52nd State House District delivered R+8 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A reliably Republican district anchored in Virginia's rural interior

18762024·38 elections
VA
Latest
R+8
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
79,668
2024 ACS

Virginia 52nd State House District, Virginia: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+8%. Democratic peak: D+75 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+8MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
79,6682024 5-year
Median household income
$58,0052024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
61.4%2024 5-year
Black
27.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+75 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−8.2%
16,66319,71137,158
D
+2.2%
18,04217,22836,488
R
−9.2%
14,78718,09235,761
R
−10.8%
15,94719,88836,530
R
−4.2%
16,27117,72834,434
R
−10.4%
11,73914,49026,444
R
−9.3%
10,39112,59023,597
R
−5.2%
10,29911,48923,091
R
−11.8%
9,60112,56725,047
R
−29.6%
8,28515,37723,986
R
−35.6%
8,54518,09426,823
R
−30.6%
7,79015,26824,447
R
−26.6%
8,23114,56823,812
R
−54.6%
1,4985,3217,000
R
−30.8%
4,3049,95218,339
R
−19.6%
6,75910,05316,844
R
−18.7%
4,9677,26512,257
R
−32.6%
3,3736,80110,511
R
−29.4%
3,8577,08010,948
D
+1.7%
2,4842,3686,743
D
+28.5%
4,3012,3916,707
D
+40.7%
4,6571,9616,627
D
+45.7%
3,6991,3705,091
D
+49.8%
3,6551,1974,932
R
−15.7%
1,9872,7254,712
D
+52.5%
2,0916072,826
D
+54.4%
2,0996102,735
D
+60.4%
1,4683531,846
D
+74.8%
1,4881111,842
D
+33.9%
9644721,450
D
+54.1%
9972921,303
D
+23.7%
1,0896701,771
D
+0.4%
1,6701,6563,389
D
+27.8%
2,4281,3643,828
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
18.4%
English
13.2%
German
8.9%
Irish
6.2%
Italian
2.8%
Scottish
2.1%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.2%
speak English only
Spanish3.0%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
24.2%
Other Christian
16.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
7.8%
Mainline Protestant
6.9%
Methodist
6.1%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 28.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+11.8, this district of roughly 87,000 residents consistently tilts conservative, reflecting the rural and small-town demographic patterns common across Virginia's interior counties.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached seventy-five points in 1912; the Republican margin reached fifty-five points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 79,668, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $58,005 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 52, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51052/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 52, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 52, Virginia voted Republican by 8.2 points (R+8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 37,158 votes cast, 16,663 went Democratic and 19,711 went Republican.
What is State House District 52, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 52, Virginia as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 52, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 52, Virginia voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State House District 52, Virginia?
State House District 52, Virginia has a population of 79,668 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 52, Virginia?
Median household income in State House District 52, Virginia is $58,005 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State House District 52, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 52, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.