Akashic

county

Campbell County, VA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English16.3%12.0%9.5%

American15.7%8.4%5.3%

Irish8.2%9.1%9.4%

German7.9%10.1%12.5%

Italian2.5%3.9%4.8%

Scotch-Irish1.8%——

Scottish1.6%1.9%1.3%

French1.4%1.3%1.6%

African American†12.6%15.6%9.9%

African1.0%0.9%0.5%

Ethiopian0.6%0.5%—

Mexican1.6%2.4%11.3%

Guatemalan0.8%0.7%0.5%

Salvadoran0.4%2.1%0.7%

Spanish0.2%——

Vietnamese0.4%0.7%0.6%

Asian Indian0.2%1.8%1.4%

Chinese0.2%0.8%1.3%

Filipino0.1%0.9%0.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Campbell County	Virginia	United States
Median age	43.6	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	7.7%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	21.2%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Campbell County	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$66,165	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	10.8%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	26.1%	42.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Campbell County	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.7%	17.5%	22.3%
Spanish	2.7%	7.9%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Campbell County	Virginia	United States
Catholic	—	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	41.2%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	46.9%	54.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	9.9%	8.4%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 71.5% of 43,617 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic25.2%7,890TrumpRepublican73.6%23,032OtherAll other candidates0.4%116

R+48.4

Lead: 15,142
Total: 31,287
vs nation: R+46.9
Turnout: 71.5%

BidenDemocratic27.0%8,070TrumpRepublican71.1%21,245JorgensenLibertarian1.6%490

R+44.1

Lead: 13,175
Total: 29,892
vs nation: R+48.5
Turnout: 69.9%

ClintonDemocratic24.2%6,664TrumpRepublican71.0%19,551JohnsonLibertarian2.4%665

R+46.8

Lead: 12,887
Total: 27,535
vs nation: R+48.9
Turnout: 64.7%

ObamaDemocratic29.6%7,595RomneyRepublican68.9%17,695OtherAll other candidates1.6%406

R+39.3

Lead: 10,100
Total: 25,696
vs nation: R+43.2
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic31.3%8,091McCainRepublican67.6%17,444OtherAll other candidates1.1%279

R+36.2

Lead: 9,353
Total: 25,814
vs nation: R+43.5
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic29.8%6,862BushRepublican69.1%15,891OtherAll other candidates1.1%244

R+39.3

Lead: 9,029
Total: 22,997
vs nation: R+36.8
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic32.8%6,659BushRepublican64.8%13,162NaderGreen1.2%236

R+32.0

Lead: 6,503
Total: 20,327
vs nation: R+32.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic35.9%6,788DoleRepublican54.3%10,273PerotReform8.0%1,505

R+18.4

Lead: 3,485
Total: 18,902
vs nation: R+27.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+48.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 55,3122024 5-year
Median household income: $66,1652024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 76.8%2024 5-year
Black: 14.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+68.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+68.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Autauga County, AL · twin score 87.8

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 71.5%31,171 participants ÷ 43,617 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +23.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: +0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 47.7%–52.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	27,681	42,761	64.7%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	22,075	43,304	51.0%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	30,248	43,264	69.9%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	20,126	43,616	46.1%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	31,171	43,617	71.5%	C/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

32 precincts · 31,287 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Campbell County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -402 - COURT HOUSE402 - COURT HOUSE	707	2,499	28	3,234	21.9%	77.3%	R+55.4
Precinct -702 - GLADYS702 - GLADYS	746	1,994	28	2,768	27.0%	72.0%	R+45.1
Precinct -501 - SPRING HILL501 - SPRING HILL	606	1,869	32	2,507	24.2%	74.6%	R+50.4
Precinct -602 - CONCORD602 - CONCORD	580	1,882	25	2,487	23.3%	75.7%	R+52.4
Precinct -101 - BROOKVILLE101 - BROOKVILLE	611	1,697	35	2,343	26.1%	72.4%	R+46.4
Precinct -202 - BEDFORD SPRINGS202 - BEDFORD SPRINGS	541	1,741	42	2,324	23.3%	74.9%	R+51.6
Precinct -102 - NEW LONDON102 - NEW LONDON	510	1,745	26	2,281	22.4%	76.5%	R+54.1
Precinct -201 - WALKER201 - WALKER	604	1,478	29	2,111	28.6%	70.0%	R+41.4
Precinct -601 - KINGS601 - KINGS	507	1,328	17	1,852	27.4%	71.7%	R+44.3
Precinct -401 - THREE FORKS401 - THREE FORKS	348	1,431	19	1,798	19.4%	79.6%	R+60.2
Precinct -502 - YELLOW BRANCH502 - YELLOW BRANCH	477	1,236	25	1,738	27.4%	71.1%	R+43.7
Precinct -303 - ALTAVISTA303 - ALTAVISTA	643	962	19	1,624	39.6%	59.2%	R+19.6
Precinct -302 - OTTER RIVER302 - OTTER RIVER	347	1,175	17	1,539	22.5%	76.3%	R+53.8
Precinct -301 - EVINGTON301 - EVINGTON	255	904	14	1,173	21.7%	77.1%	R+55.3
Precinct -703 - MORRIS CHURCH703 - MORRIS CHURCH	252	834	6	1,092	23.1%	76.4%	R+53.3
Precinct -701 - BROOKNEAL701 - BROOKNEAL	156	257	3	416	37.5%	61.8%	R+24.3
Altavista51031000303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bedford Springs51031000202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Brookneal51031000701	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Brookville51031000101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Concord51031000602	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Court House51031000402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Evington51031000301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Gladys51031000702	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Kings51031000601	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Morris Church51031000703	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
New London51031000102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Otter River51031000302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Spring Hill51031000501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Three Forks51031000401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Walker51031000201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Yellow Branch51031000502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+15.8%
1896	+10.9%
1900	+1.9%
1904	+60.6%
1908	+55.5%
1912	+67.8%
1916	+65.0%
1920	+55.6%
1924	+55.3%
1928	+9.4%
1932	+68.8%
1936	+68.4%
1940	+67.5%
1944	+51.7%
1948	+30.8%
1952	+5.1%
1956	−2.6%
1960	+2.1%
1964	−25.3%
1968	−29.2%
1972	−68.0%
1976	−25.2%
1980	−34.8%
1984	−50.3%
1988	−46.4%
1992	−25.0%
1996	−18.4%
2000	−32.0%
2004	−39.3%
2008	−36.2%
2012	−39.3%
2016	−46.8%
2020	−44.1%
2024	−48.4%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	25.2%Harris7,890	73.6%Trump23,032	0.3%Oliver103 +4	R+48.4	R+4.3	R+46.9	31,287
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican73.6%23,032 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic25.2%7,890 OtherAll other candidates0.4%116 Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%103 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%69 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%40 Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%37
2020	R	27.0%Biden8,070	71.1%Trump21,245	1.6%Jorgensen490	R+44.1	D+2.7	R+48.5	29,892
2016	R	24.2%Clinton6,664	71.0%Trump19,551	2.4%Johnson665	R+46.8	R+7.5	R+48.9	27,535
2012	R	29.6%Obama7,595	68.9%Romney17,695	1.6%	R+39.3	R+3.1	R+43.2	25,696
2008	R	31.3%Obama8,091	67.6%McCain17,444	1.1%	R+36.2	D+3.0	R+43.5	25,814
2004	R	29.8%Kerry6,862	69.1%Bush15,891	1.1%	R+39.3	R+7.3	R+36.8	22,997
2000	R	32.8%Gore6,659	64.8%Bush13,162	1.2%Nader236	R+32.0	R+13.6	R+32.5	20,327
1996	R	35.9%Clinton6,788	54.3%Dole10,273	8.0%Perot1,505	R+18.4	D+6.5	R+27.0	18,902
1992	R	30.4%Clinton5,999	55.3%Bush10,931	12.9%Perot2,553	R+25.0	D+21.5	R+30.5	19,757
1988	R	26.1%Dukakis4,574	72.5%Bush12,713	1.4%	R+46.4	D+3.8	R+38.7	17,533
1984	R	24.4%Mondale4,380	74.7%Reagan13,388	0.9%	R+50.3	R+15.5	R+32.0	17,924
1980	R	30.4%Carter4,473	65.2%Reagan9,592	4.5%	R+34.8	R+9.6	R+25.0	14,721
1976	R	35.6%Carter4,354	60.8%Ford7,442	3.7%	R+25.2	D+42.7	R+27.3	12,245
1972	R	14.5%McGovern2,055	82.5%Nixon11,676	3.0%	R+68.0	R+38.8	R+44.8	14,157
1968	R	15.6%Humphrey1,996	44.7%Nixon5,731	39.7%	R+29.2	R+3.9	R+28.5	12,811
1964	R	37.2%Johnson3,401	62.5%Goldwater5,713	0.3%	R+25.3	R+27.4	R+47.9	9,145
1960	D	50.8%Kennedy3,030	48.6%Nixon2,903	0.6%	D+2.1	D+4.7	D+2.0	5,970
1956	R	45.2%Stevenson2,674	47.8%Eisenhower2,827	7.0%	R+2.6	R+7.7	D+12.8	5,916
1952	D	52.4%Stevenson2,713	47.3%Eisenhower2,447	0.3%	D+5.1	R+25.7	D+15.9	5,178
1948	D	54.0%Truman1,554	23.2%Dewey668	22.7%	D+30.8	R+20.9	D+26.3	2,876
1944	D	75.8%Roosevelt1,995	24.1%Dewey634	0.2%	D+51.7	R+15.8	D+44.2	2,633
1940	D	83.6%Roosevelt2,358	16.2%Willkie456	0.2%	D+67.5	R+1.0	D+57.5	2,819
1936	D	84.1%Roosevelt1,987	15.7%Landon370	0.3%	D+68.4	R+0.4	D+44.2	2,363
1932	D	83.7%Roosevelt1,692	14.9%Hoover301	1.4%	D+68.8	D+59.4	D+51.0	2,021
1928	D	54.7%Smith967	45.3%Hoover801	0.0%	D+9.4	R+45.9	D+26.9	1,768
1924	D	74.0%Davis1,468	18.8%Coolidge372	7.2%La Follette142	D+55.3	R+0.3	D+80.4	1,983
1920	D	77.2%Cox1,341	21.6%Harding375	1.3%	D+55.6	R+9.4	D+81.8	1,738
1916	D	79.6%Wilson1,007	14.6%Hughes185	5.8%	D+65.0	R+2.8	D+61.8	1,265
1912	D	77.0%Wilson810	9.2%Taft97	13.8%	D+67.8	D+12.3	D+48.2	1,052
1908	D	76.9%Bryan624	21.5%Taft174	1.6%	D+55.5	R+5.1	D+65.0	811
1904	D	79.2%Parker674	18.6%Roosevelt158	2.2%	D+60.6	D+58.7	D+80.3	851
1900	D	50.8%Bryan1,339	48.9%McKinley1,288	0.3%	D+1.9	R+9.0	D+9.5	2,635
1896	D	55.3%Bryan2,115	44.3%McKinley1,696	0.4%	D+10.9	R+4.8	D+17.0	3,827
1892	D	50.2%Cleveland1,765	34.4%Harrison1,210	15.3%	D+15.8	—	D+14.1	3,513
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	25.1%8,396	74.9%25,016	33,412
2018	R	27.6%6,045	72.4%15,829	21,874

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	27.5%8,526	72.5%22,449	30,975
2020Class II	R	31.3%Mark Warner9,278	68.6%Daniel Gade20,337	29,647
2018Class I	R	28.7%Tim Kaine6,305	69.3%Corey Stewart15,239	21,979
2014Class II	R	28.6%Mark Warner4,428	69.5%Ed Gillespie10,761	15,494
2012Class I	R	30.6%Tim Kaine7,900	69.3%George Allen17,904	25,833
2008Class II	D	52.4%Mark Warner13,016	46.3%Jim Gilmore11,499	24,841
2006Class I	R	31.4%Jim Webb5,497	67.5%George Allen11,802	17,495
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	85.0%John Warner8,554	10,064
2000Class I	R	35.4%Chuck Robb7,069	64.6%George Allen12,897	19,966
1996Class II	R	43.9%Mark Warner7,842	56.1%John Warner10,027	17,875
1994Class I	R	36.6%Chuck Robb5,991	50.1%Oliver North8,199	16,373
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	85.2%John Warner5,939	6,969
1988Class I	D	66.2%Chuck Robb10,603	33.8%Maurice A. Dawkins5,406	16,010
1984Class II	R	19.6%Edythe Harrison3,290	80.4%John Warner13,509	16,800
1982Class I	R	37.3%Dick Davis3,833	62.7%Paul S. Trible6,442	10,275
1978Class II	R	37.0%Andrew Miller3,482	62.9%John Warner5,908	9,400
1976Class I	D	20.7%Elmo Zumwalt2,274	0.0%None0	10,985
1972Class II	R	25.5%William B. Spong Jr.3,424	70.0%Bill Scott9,404	13,425
1970Class I	D	11.7%George C. Rawlings Jr.811	11.3%Ray Garland786	6,959
1966Class II	D	39.3%William B. Spong Jr.1,990	36.0%James P. Ould Jr.1,823	5,058
1964Class I	D	69.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.5,749	18.1%Richard A. May1,494	8,261
1960Class II	D	85.8%A. Willis Robertson4,339	0.0%None0	5,056
1958Class I	D	81.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,335	0.0%None0	4,099
1954Class II	D	87.1%A. Willis Robertson2,538	0.0%None0	2,914
1952Class I	D	70.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,307	0.0%None0	4,665
1948Class II	D	83.0%A. Willis Robertson2,082	13.2%Robert H. Woods332	2,508
1946Class I	D	80.5%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,240	15.2%Lester S. Parsons234	1,540
1942Class II	D	93.2%Carter Glass613	0.0%None0	658
1940Class I	D	96.0%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,527	0.0%None0	2,631
1936Class II	D	89.0%Carter Glass1,892	3.3%George Rohlson71	2,126
1934Class I	D	89.8%Harry F. Byrd Sr.581	8.7%Lawrence C. Page56	647
1930Class II	D	87.4%Carter Glass415	0.0%None0	475
1928Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson1,771	0.0%None0	1,771
1924Class II	D	87.8%Carter Glass1,733	3.8%William Doak74	1,973
1922Class I	D	93.8%Claude Swanson955	5.5%J.W. McGavock56	1,018
1918Class II	D	100.0%Thomas S. Martin393	0.0%None0	393
1916Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson1,231	0.0%None0	1,231

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1966Special · Class I	D	58.5%Harry F. Byrd Jr.3,043	24.3%Lawrence Traylor1,264	5,203
1933Special · Class I	D	82.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.751	16.3%Henry Wise149	915

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2025	R	26.6%Abigail Spanberger6,130	73.2%Winsome Earle-Sears16,878	23,042
2017	R	25.4%Ralph Northam4,415	73.6%Ed Gillespie12,791	17,372
2013	R	23.4%Terry McAuliffe3,712	70.2%Ken Cuccinelli11,133	15,867
2009	R	22.9%Creigh Deeds3,457	76.9%Bob McDonnell11,611	15,094
2005	R	36.8%Tim Kaine5,319	61.3%Jerry Kilgore8,864	14,462
2001	R	45.7%Mark Warner7,187	53.1%Mark Earley8,366	15,743
1997	R	33.4%Don Beyer4,744	65.0%Jim Gilmore9,230	14,192
1993	R	31.4%Mary Sue Terry4,599	67.9%George Allen9,940	14,640
1989	R	38.6%Douglas Wilder6,043	61.4%Marshall Coleman9,611	15,658
1985	R	45.9%Gerald Baliles4,932	54.1%Wyatt Durrette5,808	10,740
1981	R	42.8%Chuck Robb4,650	57.1%Marshall Coleman6,202	10,855
1977	R	26.1%Henry Howell2,361	73.4%John N. Dalton6,644	9,056

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Campbell County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	38,082
2018	37,948
2020	39,875
2022	41,104
2024	42,617

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+304 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +765 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $54,596 in average income, against $67,091 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+26.5 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Campbell County, VA itself (R+48.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Lynchburg city, VA588R+7.9
Bedford County, VA287R+50.1
Pittsylvania County, VA111R+43.1
Amherst County, VA99R+36.4
Appomattox County, VA62R+50.8
Halifax County, VA24R+21.0

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Lynchburg city, VA489
Bedford County, VA220
Amherst County, VA89
Appomattox County, VA87
Pittsylvania County, VA82
Halifax County, VA28

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Campbell County, VA in Campbell County, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−217
2012	−101
2013	+180
2014	+117
2015	−36
2016	−85
2017	−121
2018	−103
2019	−185
2021	+40
2022	+80
2023	+508
2024	+384
2025	+304

Campbell County, anchored by Lynchburg's southern suburbs and a largely rural, working-class base, has posted Republican presidential margins above 40 points in each of the last three cycles, making it among the least competitive counties in the state.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 68.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 68.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.4 points.

A population of 55,312, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,165 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Autauga County and Pulaski County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Autauga County

Alabama

87.8twin score

% Evangelical2008–2016 trajectory

Pulaski County

Kentucky

87.4twin score

% Evangelical% Catholic2004–2008 trajectory

St. Clair County

Alabama

87.1twin score

% Evangelical% Catholic2000–2008 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

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Cities & towns in Campbell County

Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2025 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Campbell County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Campbell County, Virginia voted Republican by 48.4 points (R+48.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 31,287 votes cast, 7,890 went Democratic and 23,032 went Republican.

When did Campbell County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Campbell County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1960.

How many people live in Campbell County, Virginia?

Campbell County, Virginia has a population of 55,312 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Campbell County, Virginia?

Median household income in Campbell County, Virginia is $66,165 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Campbell County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Campbell County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.

Measure

Campbell County

Virginia

United States

Median age

43.6

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

7.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

21.2%

16.7%

17.2%

Measure

Campbell County

Virginia

United States

Median household income

$66,165

$93,170

$84,427

Poverty rate

10.8%

10.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

26.1%

42.3%

35.6%

Measure

Campbell County

Virginia

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

4.7%

17.5%

22.3%

Spanish

2.7%

7.9%

13.6%

Measure

Campbell County

Virginia

United States

Catholic

—

10.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

41.2%

19.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

46.9%

54.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

9.9%

8.4%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+48.4MIT Election Lab

Population

55,3122024 5-year

Median household income

$66,1652024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

76.8%2024 5-year

Black

14.2%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

3.5%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+68.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+68.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Autauga County, AL · twin score 87.8

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

27,681

42,761

64.7%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

22,075

43,304

51.0%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

30,248

43,264

69.9%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

20,126

43,616

46.1%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

31,171

43,617

71.5%

C/A

Campbell County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -402 - COURT HOUSE402 - COURT HOUSE

707

2,499

3,234

21.9%

77.3%

R+55.4

Precinct -702 - GLADYS702 - GLADYS

746

1,994

2,768

27.0%

72.0%

R+45.1

Precinct -501 - SPRING HILL501 - SPRING HILL

606

1,869

2,507

24.2%

74.6%

R+50.4

Precinct -602 - CONCORD602 - CONCORD

580

1,882

2,487

23.3%

75.7%

R+52.4

Precinct -101 - BROOKVILLE101 - BROOKVILLE

611

1,697

2,343

26.1%

72.4%

R+46.4

Precinct -202 - BEDFORD SPRINGS202 - BEDFORD SPRINGS

541

1,741

2,324

23.3%

74.9%

R+51.6

Precinct -102 - NEW LONDON102 - NEW LONDON

510

1,745

2,281

22.4%

76.5%

R+54.1

Precinct -201 - WALKER201 - WALKER

604

1,478

2,111

28.6%

70.0%

R+41.4

Precinct -601 - KINGS601 - KINGS

507

1,328

1,852

27.4%

71.7%

R+44.3

Precinct -401 - THREE FORKS401 - THREE FORKS

348

1,431

1,798

19.4%

79.6%

R+60.2

Precinct -502 - YELLOW BRANCH502 - YELLOW BRANCH

477

1,236

1,738

27.4%

71.1%

R+43.7

Precinct -303 - ALTAVISTA303 - ALTAVISTA

643

962

1,624

39.6%

59.2%

R+19.6

Precinct -302 - OTTER RIVER302 - OTTER RIVER

347

1,175

1,539

22.5%

76.3%

R+53.8

Precinct -301 - EVINGTON301 - EVINGTON

255

904

1,173

21.7%

77.1%

R+55.3

Precinct -703 - MORRIS CHURCH703 - MORRIS CHURCH

252

834

1,092

23.1%

76.4%

R+53.3

Precinct -701 - BROOKNEAL701 - BROOKNEAL

156

257

416

37.5%

61.8%

R+24.3

Altavista51031000303

—

No votes

Bedford Springs51031000202

—

No votes

Brookneal51031000701

—

No votes

Brookville51031000101

—

No votes

Concord51031000602

—

No votes

Court House51031000402

—

No votes

Evington51031000301

—

No votes

Gladys51031000702

—

No votes

Kings51031000601

—

No votes

Morris Church51031000703

—

No votes

New London51031000102

—

No votes

Otter River51031000302

—

No votes

Spring Hill51031000501

—

No votes

Three Forks51031000401

—

No votes

Walker51031000201

—

No votes

Yellow Branch51031000502

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+15.8%
1896	+10.9%
1900	+1.9%
1904	+60.6%
1908	+55.5%
1912	+67.8%
1916	+65.0%
1920	+55.6%
1924	+55.3%
1928	+9.4%
1932	+68.8%
1936	+68.4%
1940	+67.5%
1944	+51.7%
1948	+30.8%
1952	+5.1%
1956	−2.6%
1960	+2.1%
1964	−25.3%
1968	−29.2%
1972	−68.0%
1976	−25.2%
1980	−34.8%
1984	−50.3%
1988	−46.4%
1992	−25.0%
1996	−18.4%
2000	−32.0%
2004	−39.3%
2008	−36.2%
2012	−39.3%
2016	−46.8%
2020	−44.1%
2024	−48.4%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

25.2%Harris7,890

73.6%Trump23,032

0.3%Oliver103 +4

R+48.4

R+4.3

R+46.9

31,287

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican73.6%23,032
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic25.2%7,890
OtherAll other candidates0.4%116
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%103
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%69
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%40
Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%37

2020

27.0%Biden8,070

71.1%Trump21,245

1.6%Jorgensen490

R+44.1

D+2.7

R+48.5

29,892

2016

24.2%Clinton6,664

71.0%Trump19,551

2.4%Johnson665

R+46.8

R+7.5

R+48.9

27,535

2012

29.6%Obama7,595

68.9%Romney17,695

1.6%

R+39.3

R+3.1

R+43.2

25,696

2008

31.3%Obama8,091

67.6%McCain17,444

1.1%

R+36.2

D+3.0

R+43.5

25,814

2004

29.8%Kerry6,862

69.1%Bush15,891

1.1%

R+39.3

R+7.3

R+36.8

22,997

2000

32.8%Gore6,659

64.8%Bush13,162

1.2%Nader236

R+32.0

R+13.6

R+32.5

20,327

1996

35.9%Clinton6,788

54.3%Dole10,273

8.0%Perot1,505

R+18.4

D+6.5

R+27.0

18,902

1992

30.4%Clinton5,999

55.3%Bush10,931

12.9%Perot2,553

R+25.0

D+21.5

R+30.5

19,757

1988

26.1%Dukakis4,574

72.5%Bush12,713

1.4%

R+46.4

D+3.8

R+38.7

17,533

1984

24.4%Mondale4,380

74.7%Reagan13,388

0.9%

R+50.3

R+15.5

R+32.0

17,924

1980

30.4%Carter4,473

65.2%Reagan9,592

4.5%

R+34.8

R+9.6

R+25.0

14,721

1976

35.6%Carter4,354

60.8%Ford7,442

3.7%

R+25.2

D+42.7

R+27.3

12,245

1972

14.5%McGovern2,055

82.5%Nixon11,676

3.0%

R+68.0

R+38.8

R+44.8

14,157

1968

15.6%Humphrey1,996

44.7%Nixon5,731

39.7%

R+29.2

R+3.9

R+28.5

12,811

1964

37.2%Johnson3,401

62.5%Goldwater5,713

0.3%

R+25.3

R+27.4

R+47.9

9,145

1960

50.8%Kennedy3,030

48.6%Nixon2,903

0.6%

D+2.1

D+4.7

D+2.0

5,970

1956

45.2%Stevenson2,674

47.8%Eisenhower2,827

7.0%

R+2.6

R+7.7

D+12.8

5,916

1952

52.4%Stevenson2,713

47.3%Eisenhower2,447

0.3%

D+5.1

R+25.7

D+15.9

5,178

1948

54.0%Truman1,554

23.2%Dewey668

22.7%

D+30.8

R+20.9

D+26.3

2,876

1944

75.8%Roosevelt1,995

24.1%Dewey634

0.2%

D+51.7

R+15.8

D+44.2

2,633

1940

83.6%Roosevelt2,358

16.2%Willkie456

0.2%

D+67.5

R+1.0

D+57.5

2,819

1936

84.1%Roosevelt1,987

15.7%Landon370

0.3%

D+68.4

R+0.4

D+44.2

2,363

1932

83.7%Roosevelt1,692

14.9%Hoover301

1.4%

D+68.8

D+59.4

D+51.0

2,021

1928

54.7%Smith967

45.3%Hoover801

0.0%

D+9.4

R+45.9

D+26.9

1,768

1924

74.0%Davis1,468

18.8%Coolidge372

7.2%La Follette142

D+55.3

R+0.3

D+80.4

1,983

1920

77.2%Cox1,341

21.6%Harding375

1.3%

D+55.6

R+9.4

D+81.8

1,738

1916

79.6%Wilson1,007

14.6%Hughes185

5.8%

D+65.0

R+2.8

D+61.8

1,265

1912

77.0%Wilson810

9.2%Taft97

13.8%

D+67.8

D+12.3

D+48.2

1,052

1908

76.9%Bryan624

21.5%Taft174

1.6%

D+55.5

R+5.1

D+65.0

811

1904

79.2%Parker674

18.6%Roosevelt158

2.2%

D+60.6

D+58.7

D+80.3

851

1900

50.8%Bryan1,339

48.9%McKinley1,288

0.3%

D+1.9

R+9.0

D+9.5

2,635

1896

55.3%Bryan2,115

44.3%McKinley1,696

0.4%

D+10.9

R+4.8

D+17.0

3,827

1892

50.2%Cleveland1,765

34.4%Harrison1,210

15.3%

D+15.8

—

D+14.1

3,513

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

25.1%8,396

74.9%25,016

33,412

2018

27.6%6,045

72.4%15,829

21,874

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

27.5%8,526

72.5%22,449

30,975

2020Class II

31.3%Mark Warner9,278

68.6%Daniel Gade20,337

29,647

2018Class I

28.7%Tim Kaine6,305

69.3%Corey Stewart15,239

21,979

2014Class II

28.6%Mark Warner4,428

69.5%Ed Gillespie10,761

15,494

2012Class I

30.6%Tim Kaine7,900

69.3%George Allen17,904

25,833

2008Class II

52.4%Mark Warner13,016

46.3%Jim Gilmore11,499

24,841

2006Class I

31.4%Jim Webb5,497

67.5%George Allen11,802

17,495

2002Class II

0.0%None0

85.0%John Warner8,554

10,064

2000Class I

35.4%Chuck Robb7,069

64.6%George Allen12,897

19,966

1996Class II

43.9%Mark Warner7,842

56.1%John Warner10,027

17,875

1994Class I

36.6%Chuck Robb5,991

50.1%Oliver North8,199

16,373

1990Class II

0.0%None0

85.2%John Warner5,939

6,969

1988Class I

66.2%Chuck Robb10,603

33.8%Maurice A. Dawkins5,406

16,010

1984Class II

19.6%Edythe Harrison3,290

80.4%John Warner13,509

16,800

1982Class I

37.3%Dick Davis3,833

62.7%Paul S. Trible6,442

10,275

1978Class II

37.0%Andrew Miller3,482

62.9%John Warner5,908

9,400

1976Class I

20.7%Elmo Zumwalt2,274

0.0%None0

10,985

1972Class II

25.5%William B. Spong Jr.3,424

70.0%Bill Scott9,404

13,425

1970Class I

11.7%George C. Rawlings Jr.811

11.3%Ray Garland786

6,959

1966Class II

39.3%William B. Spong Jr.1,990

36.0%James P. Ould Jr.1,823

5,058

1964Class I

69.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.5,749

18.1%Richard A. May1,494

8,261

1960Class II

85.8%A. Willis Robertson4,339

0.0%None0

5,056

1958Class I

81.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,335

0.0%None0

4,099

1954Class II

87.1%A. Willis Robertson2,538

0.0%None0

2,914

1952Class I

70.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,307

0.0%None0

4,665

1948Class II

83.0%A. Willis Robertson2,082

13.2%Robert H. Woods332

2,508

1946Class I

80.5%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,240

15.2%Lester S. Parsons234

1,540

1942Class II

93.2%Carter Glass613

0.0%None0

658

1940Class I

96.0%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,527

0.0%None0

2,631

1936Class II

89.0%Carter Glass1,892

3.3%George Rohlson71

2,126

1934Class I

89.8%Harry F. Byrd Sr.581

8.7%Lawrence C. Page56

647

1930Class II

87.4%Carter Glass415

0.0%None0

475

1928Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson1,771

0.0%None0

1,771

1924Class II

87.8%Carter Glass1,733

3.8%William Doak74

1,973

1922Class I

93.8%Claude Swanson955

5.5%J.W. McGavock56

1,018

1918Class II

100.0%Thomas S. Martin393

0.0%None0

393

1916Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson1,231

0.0%None0

1,231

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1966Special · Class I

58.5%Harry F. Byrd Jr.3,043

24.3%Lawrence Traylor1,264

5,203

1933Special · Class I

82.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.751

16.3%Henry Wise149

915

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2025

26.6%Abigail Spanberger6,130

73.2%Winsome Earle-Sears16,878

23,042

2017

25.4%Ralph Northam4,415

73.6%Ed Gillespie12,791

17,372

2013

23.4%Terry McAuliffe3,712

70.2%Ken Cuccinelli11,133

15,867

2009

22.9%Creigh Deeds3,457

76.9%Bob McDonnell11,611

15,094

2005

36.8%Tim Kaine5,319

61.3%Jerry Kilgore8,864

14,462

2001

45.7%Mark Warner7,187

53.1%Mark Earley8,366

15,743

1997

33.4%Don Beyer4,744

65.0%Jim Gilmore9,230

14,192

1993

31.4%Mary Sue Terry4,599

67.9%George Allen9,940

14,640

1989

38.6%Douglas Wilder6,043

61.4%Marshall Coleman9,611

15,658

1985

45.9%Gerald Baliles4,932

54.1%Wyatt Durrette5,808

10,740

1981

42.8%Chuck Robb4,650

57.1%Marshall Coleman6,202

10,855

1977

26.1%Henry Howell2,361

73.4%John N. Dalton6,644

9,056

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Campbell County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	38,082
2018	37,948
2020	39,875
2022	41,104
2024	42,617

How did Campbell County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Campbell County, Virginia voted Republican by 48.4 points (R+48.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 31,287 votes cast, 7,890 went Democratic and 23,032 went Republican.

When did Campbell County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Campbell County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1960.

How many people live in Campbell County, Virginia?

Campbell County, Virginia has a population of 55,312 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Campbell County, Virginia?

Median household income in Campbell County, Virginia is $66,165 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Campbell County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Campbell County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.