Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Lynchburg, VA
presidential margin
2008R+24.32012R+29.62016R+35.12020R+32.12024R+37.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+37.5
2024
median income$67,702U.S. $80,734 · VA $93,170
median age40.1U.S. 39.1 · VA 39.3
poverty rate12.5%U.S. 12.5% · VA 10.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)31.6%U.S. 35.6% · VA 42.3%
non-english4.8%U.S. 22.3% · VA 17.5%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American15.8%
English15.2%
German9.1%
African American†14.8%
African0.7%
Nigerian0.2%
Mexican1.4%
Puerto Rican0.5%
Guatemalan0.2%
Asian Indian0.3%
Chinese0.3%
Vietnamese0.3%
religion
other traditions
Mainline9.9%
Black Protestant1.4%
Latter-day Saints0.8%
Other Christian0.6%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Lynchburg, VA, Virginia

Akashic
Lynchburg, VATrumpR+37.5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Lynchburg, VA, VAA map of the constituent counties of Lynchburg, VA, VA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Amherst County, VA · R+36.4Appomattox County, VA · R+50.8Bedford County, VA · R+50.1Campbell County, VA · R+48.4Lynchburg city, VA · R+7.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican68.0%99,608
Kamala HarrisDemocratic30.5%44,721
Jill SteinGreen1.4%2,105
D+60
R+60
5 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (5 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Lynchburg, VA, VA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Amherst County, VARepublicanR+36.4
Appomattox County, VARepublicanR+50.8
Bedford County, VARepublicanR+50.1
Campbell County, VARepublicanR+48.4
Lynchburg city, VARepublicanR+7.9
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
30.5%Harris44,721
68.0%Trump99,608
1.4%Stein2,105
−37.5%
146,434
R
32.9%Biden46,384
64.9%Trump91,685
2.2%Jorgensen3,128
−32.1%
141,197
R
29.7%Clinton38,304
64.8%Trump83,626
5.6%Johnson7,180
−35.1%
129,110
R
34.4%Obama42,105
64.0%Romney78,396
1.6%Johnson1,973
−29.6%
122,474
R
37.3%Obama44,112
61.6%McCain72,875
1.1%Nader1,328
−24.3%
118,315
R
34.9%Kerry35,790
64.1%Bush65,812
1.0%Badnarik1,031
−29.3%
102,633
R
36.7%Gore32,137
60.7%Bush53,218
2.6%Nader2,266
−24.1%
87,621
R
39.7%Clinton31,958
51.5%Dole41,388
8.8%Perot7,078
−11.7%
80,424
R
34.6%Clinton28,398
51.5%Bush42,257
13.8%Perot11,355
−16.9%
82,010
R
32.5%Dukakis24,526
66.0%Bush49,772
1.4%Fulani1,062
−33.5%
75,360
R
30.3%Mondale23,580
69.0%Reagan53,749
0.8%Larouche619
−38.7%
77,948
R
34.7%Carter23,094
60.5%Reagan40,226
4.7%Anderson3,138
−25.8%
66,458
R
40.3%Carter23,846
56.0%Ford33,158
3.8%Camejo2,224
−15.7%
59,228
R
19.2%McGovern7,766
77.2%Nixon31,295
3.6%Schmitz1,453
−58.1%
40,514
R
20.6%Humphrey10,743
46.0%Nixon23,937
33.4%Wallace17,361
−25.4%
52,041
R
42.5%Johnson18,304
57.3%Goldwater24,682
0.3%Hass108
−14.8%
43,094
R
48.4%Kennedy14,661
51.2%Nixon15,491
0.4%Byrd110
−2.7%
30,262
R
41.6%Stevenson11,697
53.9%Eisenhower15,163
4.5%Andrews1,280
−12.3%
28,140
R
44.7%Stevenson12,022
55.0%Eisenhower14,789
0.2%Hallinan60
−10.3%
26,871
D
47.5%Truman8,253
27.8%Dewey4,823
24.7%Thurmond4,288
+19.8%
17,364
D
72.1%Roosevelt12,525
27.7%Dewey4,810
0.2%Thomas43
+44.4%
17,378
D
77.2%Roosevelt12,741
22.5%Willkie3,720
0.2%Thomas39
+54.7%
16,500
D
79.5%Roosevelt11,069
20.1%Landon2,802
0.4%Lemke53
+59.4%
13,924
D
80.5%Roosevelt10,556
18.1%Hoover2,369
1.4%Thomas180
+62.5%
13,105
D
54.8%Smith6,717
45.2%Hoover5,542
0.0%
+9.6%
12,259
D
78.2%Davis7,409
17.3%Coolidge1,640
4.5%La Follette428
+60.9%
9,477
D
78.0%Cox7,142
21.0%Harding1,925
0.9%Debs85
+57.0%
9,152
D
83.4%Wilson5,942
14.9%Hughes1,062
1.7%Benson123
+68.5%
7,127
D
78.9%Wilson4,935
7.1%Taft442
14.1%Roosevelt879
+71.8%
6,256
D
74.6%Bryan4,343
23.9%Taft1,391
1.5%Debs86
+50.7%
5,820
D
76.3%Parker4,532
21.6%Roosevelt1,280
2.1%Debs125
+54.8%
5,937
D
57.8%Bryan7,553
41.2%McKinley5,377
1.0%Woolley135
+16.7%
13,065
D
55.9%Bryan9,554
43.1%McKinley7,379
1.0%Palmer173
+12.7%
17,106
D
57.1%Cleveland9,845
35.1%Harrison6,039
7.8%Weaver1,344
+22.1%
17,228
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −37.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1952−37.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+22.1%
1896+12.7%
1900+16.7%
1904+54.8%
1908+50.7%
1912+71.8%
1916+68.5%
1920+57.0%
1924+60.9%
1928+9.6%
1932+62.5%
1936+59.4%
1940+54.7%
1944+44.4%
1948+19.8%
1952−10.3%
1956−12.3%
1960−2.7%
1964−14.8%
1968−25.4%
1972−58.1%
1976−15.7%
1980−25.8%
1984−38.7%
1988−33.5%
1992−16.9%
1996−11.7%
2000−24.1%
2004−29.3%
2008−24.3%
2012−29.6%
2016−35.1%
2020−32.1%
2024−37.5%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Lynchburg, VATotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 203,764 in 2024.50.9K101.9K152.8K203.8K203.8K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Lynchburg, VA
YearTotal registered
2016183,294
2018180,179
2020190,149
2022195,019
2024203,764
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Lynchburg's electorate leans conservative even by Virginia standards, anchored by a large evangelical institutional presence and a blue-collar manufacturing base that has historically produced wide Republican margins in federal races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.5 points.

A population of 263,798, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,702 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hattiesburg, MS and Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Hattiesburg, MS
86.7twin score
% Evangelical2012–2016 trajectoryAmerican ancestry≠ median age
Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC
84.2twin score
% Evangelical2004–2012 trajectory≠ population scale
Johnson City, TN
83.7twin score
% Evangelical2000–2004 trajectory% Catholic≠ % Black

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lynchburg, VA, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/31340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Lynchburg, VA

counties5
Amherst CountyAppomattox CountyBedford CountyCampbell CountyLynchburg city

Frequently asked questions

How did Lynchburg, VA, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lynchburg, VA, Virginia voted Republican by 37.5 points (R+37.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 146,434 votes cast, 44,721 went Democratic and 99,608 went Republican.
When did Lynchburg, VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lynchburg, VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Lynchburg, VA, Virginia has a population of 263,798 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia is $67,702 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Lynchburg, VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Lynchburg, VA, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.