Virginia 5th Congressional District, Virginia: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+12%. Democratic peak: D+66 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 815,4812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,4832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1972MIT Election Lab
R
MCGUIRE, John J., III
−1 liberal+1 conservative
Predecessors: GOOD, Bob (2023–2025), GOOD, Bob (2021–2023), RIGGLEMAN, Denver (2019–2021), GARRETT, Thomas Alexander Jr. (2017–2019)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Constituent county margins for Congressional District 5, VAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 196,352 | 250,777 | 453,605 | ||
| R | 199,779 | 235,840 | 443,390 | ||
| R | 167,170 | 212,897 | 400,511 | ||
| R | 173,856 | 209,716 | 389,717 | ||
| R | 176,314 | 197,433 | 377,722 | ||
| R | 133,577 | 185,183 | 322,018 | ||
| R | 113,211 | 158,395 | 281,595 | ||
| R | 106,235 | 126,406 | 252,890 | ||
| R | 101,703 | 126,669 | 262,563 | ||
| R | 85,437 | 142,519 | 231,084 | ||
| R | 81,022 | 152,730 | 235,849 | ||
| R | 82,358 | 116,713 | 209,419 | ||
| R | 84,263 | 101,664 | 191,879 | ||
| R | 37,015 | 99,229 | 139,131 | ||
| R | 44,842 | 65,765 | 167,630 | ||
| R | 54,253 | 65,441 | 119,907 | ||
| R | 43,258 | 44,973 | 89,293 | ||
| R | 32,969 | 40,084 | 85,968 | ||
| R | 39,314 | 41,768 | 81,436 | ||
| D | 27,908 | 14,804 | 55,409 | ||
| D | 38,439 | 13,614 | 52,189 | ||
| D | 38,422 | 10,218 | 48,818 | ||
| D | 38,596 | 7,882 | 46,651 | ||
| D | 34,252 | 7,152 | 42,022 | ||
| D | 24,445 | 18,407 | 42,852 | ||
| D | 23,905 | 5,997 | 31,543 | ||
| D | 25,070 | 7,697 | 32,975 | ||
| D | 20,488 | 4,703 | 25,554 | ||
| D | 16,669 | 2,833 | 21,901 | ||
| D | 15,331 | 5,797 | 21,308 | ||
| D | 15,417 | 5,092 | 20,882 | ||
| D | 29,143 | 20,559 | 50,154 | ||
| D | 33,959 | 27,060 | 61,776 | ||
| D | 31,672 | 24,014 | 60,340 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Congressional elections · 17 Senate races
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 54.4% | 45.4% | 4,445,535 |
| 2020 | D | 56.0% | 43.9% | 4,405,087 |
| 2018 | D | 57.0% | 41.0% | 3,351,373 |
| 2014 | D | 49.1% | 48.3% | 2,184,473 |
| 2012 | D | 52.9% | 47.0% | 3,802,196 |
| 2008 | D | 65.0% | 33.7% | 3,643,294 |
| 2006 | D | 49.6% | 49.2% | 2,370,445 |
| 2002 | R | 0.0% | 82.6% | 1,489,422 |
| 2000 | R | 47.7% | 52.3% | 2,718,301 |
| 1996 | R | 47.4% | 52.5% | 2,354,715 |
| 1994 | D | 45.6% | 42.9% | 2,057,463 |
| 1990 | R | 0.0% | 80.9% | 1,083,690 |
| 1988 | D | 71.2% | 28.7% | 2,068,897 |
| 1984 | R | 29.9% | 70.0% | 2,007,487 |
| 1982 | R | 48.8% | 51.2% | 1,415,622 |
| 1978 | R | 49.8% | 50.2% | 1,222,256 |
| 1976 | O | 38.3% | 0.0% | 1,557,500 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.9%
American
13.1%
German
9.6%
Irish
8.8%
Italian
3.3%
Scottish
2.2%
French
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$76,483
Congressional District 5 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 5$76,483
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.6%
Working age (18–64)12.1%
Seniors (65+)11.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.3%
speak English only
Spanish3.0%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Virginia's 5th spans nearly a third of the state by land area, mixing Piedmont farm country with small college towns like Charlottesville, and has shifted steadily toward Republican margins over the past decade.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached sixty-six points in 1936; the Republican margin reached forty-five points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 815,481, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $76,483 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 5, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5105/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 5, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 5, Virginia voted Republican by 12.0 points (R+12), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 453,605 votes cast, 196,352 went Democratic and 250,777 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 5, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 5, Virginia as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 5, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 5, Virginia voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Congressional District 5, Virginia?
Congressional District 5, Virginia has a population of 815,481 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 5, Virginia?
Median household income in Congressional District 5, Virginia is $76,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Congressional District 5, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 5, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.