Akashic

county

Mecklenburg County, VA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

American18.3%8.4%5.3%

English13.0%12.0%9.5%

German6.4%10.1%12.5%

Irish5.0%9.1%9.4%

Italian2.7%3.9%4.8%

Scottish2.2%1.9%1.3%

Scotch-Irish1.4%——

Welsh0.6%——

African American†29.3%15.6%9.9%

African2.4%0.9%0.5%

Ghanaian0.5%0.2%—

Mexican1.8%2.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.7%1.4%1.8%

Honduran0.4%0.7%0.3%

Asian Indian0.5%1.8%1.4%

Filipino0.2%0.9%0.9%

Vietnamese0.1%0.7%0.6%

Thai0.1%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Mecklenburg County	Virginia	United States
Median age	49.2	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	6.6%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	26.9%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Mecklenburg County	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$57,045	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	16.3%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	20.7%	42.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Mecklenburg County	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.1%	17.5%	22.3%
Spanish	2.7%	7.9%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Mecklenburg County	Virginia	United States
Catholic	2.4%	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	26.9%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	55.7%	54.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	9.2%	8.4%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 67.0% of 24,441 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic39.3%6,404TrumpRepublican60.1%9,791OtherAll other candidates0.2%38

R+20.8

Lead: 3,387
Total: 16,304
vs nation: R+19.3
Turnout: 67.0%

BidenDemocratic42.0%6,803TrumpRepublican57.2%9,266JorgensenLibertarian0.7%113

R+15.2

Lead: 2,463
Total: 16,204
vs nation: R+19.7
Turnout: 66.7%

ClintonDemocratic42.1%6,285TrumpRepublican55.5%8,288JohnsonLibertarian1.6%239

R+13.4

Lead: 2,003
Total: 14,945
vs nation: R+15.5
Turnout: 60.1%

ObamaDemocratic45.9%6,921RomneyRepublican52.9%7,973OtherAll other candidates1.2%183

R+7.0

Lead: 1,052
Total: 15,077
vs nation: R+10.8
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic47.3%7,127McCainRepublican51.8%7,817OtherAll other candidates0.9%138

R+4.6

Lead: 690
Total: 15,082
vs nation: R+11.8
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic41.4%5,293BushRepublican57.3%7,319OtherAll other candidates1.3%168

R+15.9

Lead: 2,026
Total: 12,780
vs nation: R+13.4
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic41.2%4,797BushRepublican56.6%6,600NaderGreen0.9%104

R+15.5

Lead: 1,803
Total: 11,654
vs nation: R+16.0
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic42.9%4,408DoleRepublican48.0%4,933PerotReform7.7%789

R+5.1

Lead: 525
Total: 10,278
vs nation: R+13.6
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+20.8MIT Election Lab
Population: 30,5162024 5-year
Median household income: $57,0452024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 60.3%2024 5-year
Black: 32.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+86.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+48.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Person County, NC · twin score 92.4

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 67.0%16,381 participants ÷ 24,441 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +20.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 46.5%–50.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	15,023	24,978	60.1%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	11,947	24,780	48.2%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	16,327	24,466	66.7%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	11,191	24,216	46.2%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	16,381	24,441	67.0%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

45 precincts · 16,304 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Mecklenburg County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -401 - SOUTH HILL WEST401 - SOUTH HILL WEST	966	725	16	1,707	56.6%	42.5%	D+14.1
Precinct -501 - SOUTH HILL EAST501 - SOUTH HILL EAST	662	1,028	14	1,704	38.8%	60.3%	R+21.5
Precinct -903 - CLARKSVILLE NORTH903 - CLARKSVILLE NORTH	503	949	23	1,475	34.1%	64.3%	R+30.2
Precinct -301 - BRACEY301 - BRACEY	314	997	6	1,317	23.8%	75.7%	R+51.9
Precinct -201 - CHASE CITY201 - CHASE CITY	722	551	5	1,278	56.5%	43.1%	D+13.4
Precinct -103 - CLARKSVILLE SOUTH103 - CLARKSVILLE SOUTH	558	448	4	1,010	55.2%	44.4%	D+10.9
Precinct -604 - LAKE GASTON604 - LAKE GASTON	250	599	3	852	29.3%	70.3%	R+41.0
Precinct -702 - WILLIAMS GROVE702 - WILLIAMS GROVE	288	529	4	821	35.1%	64.4%	R+29.4
Precinct -302 - LACROSSE302 - LACROSSE	334	441	4	779	42.9%	56.6%	R+13.7
Precinct -101 - PALMER SPRINGS101 - PALMER SPRINGS	390	294	4	688	56.7%	42.7%	D+14.0
Precinct -803 - CHASE CITY WEST803 - CHASE CITY WEST	150	516	4	670	22.4%	77.0%	R+54.6
Precinct -703 - CHASE CITY EAST703 - CHASE CITY EAST	275	376	3	654	42.0%	57.5%	R+15.4
Precinct -902 - BUFFALO JUNCTION902 - BUFFALO JUNCTION	140	427	5	572	24.5%	74.7%	R+50.2
Precinct -603 - SMITH CROSSROADS603 - SMITH CROSSROADS	194	342	3	539	36.0%	63.5%	R+27.5
Precinct -601 - BASKERVILLE601 - BASKERVILLE	168	338	2	508	33.1%	66.5%	R+33.5
Precinct -701 - MIDWAY701 - MIDWAY	160	293	4	457	35.0%	64.1%	R+29.1
Precinct -602 - UNION LEVEL602 - UNION LEVEL	80	308	0	388	20.6%	79.4%	R+58.8
Precinct -901 - NELSON901 - NELSON	47	272	2	321	14.6%	84.7%	R+70.1
Precinct -202 - BLUESTONE202 - BLUESTONE	141	153	2	296	47.6%	51.7%	R+4.1
Precinct -102 - ANTIOCH CHURCH102 - ANTIOCH CHURCH	62	205	1	268	23.1%	76.5%	R+53.4
American Legion Hall51117000401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Averett51117000901	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Baskerville51117000601	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bluestone51117000802	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bluestone Senior High School51117000202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Boydton51117000201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bracey51117000301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Buffalo Springs51117000902	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Chase City51117000701	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Chase City Elementary School51117000803	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Chase City VFW Post51117000203	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Clarksville51117000903	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Finchley51117000801	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lacrosse51117000302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lake Gaston51117000604	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Park View Middle School51117000402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Pearsons Store51117000102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Precinct -801 - FINCHLEY801 - FINCHLEY	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Precinct -802 - SKIPWITH802 - SKIPWITH	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Smith Crossroads51117000603	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
South Clarksville51117000103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
South Hill51117000501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Sunshine51117000702	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Union Level51117000602	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Wrights Store51117000101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−4.2%
1896	−5.7%
1900	−4.4%
1904	+54.1%
1908	+59.3%
1912	+63.9%
1916	+70.9%
1920	+71.7%
1924	+69.7%
1928	+38.2%
1932	+77.2%
1936	+86.2%
1940	+77.2%
1944	+71.2%
1948	+52.5%
1952	+14.2%
1956	+11.4%
1960	+13.2%
1964	−0.5%
1968	−0.9%
1972	−48.2%
1976	−4.0%
1980	−11.9%
1984	−32.4%
1988	−28.2%
1992	−10.3%
1996	−5.1%
2000	−15.5%
2004	−15.9%
2008	−4.6%
2012	−7.0%
2016	−13.4%
2020	−15.2%
2024	−20.8%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	39.3%Harris6,404	60.1%Trump9,791	0.2%Oliver31 +4	R+20.8	R+5.6	R+19.3	16,304
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican60.1%9,791 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic39.3%6,404 OtherAll other candidates0.2%38 Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%31 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%15 Jill SteinIndependent0.1%15 Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%10
2020	R	42.0%Biden6,803	57.2%Trump9,266	0.7%Jorgensen113	R+15.2	R+1.8	R+19.7	16,204
2016	R	42.1%Clinton6,285	55.5%Trump8,288	1.6%Johnson239	R+13.4	R+6.4	R+15.5	14,945
2012	R	45.9%Obama6,921	52.9%Romney7,973	1.2%	R+7.0	R+2.4	R+10.8	15,077
2008	R	47.3%Obama7,127	51.8%McCain7,817	0.9%	R+4.6	D+11.3	R+11.8	15,082
2004	R	41.4%Kerry5,293	57.3%Bush7,319	1.3%	R+15.9	R+0.4	R+13.4	12,780
2000	R	41.2%Gore4,797	56.6%Bush6,600	0.9%Nader104	R+15.5	R+10.4	R+16.0	11,654
1996	R	42.9%Clinton4,408	48.0%Dole4,933	7.7%Perot789	R+5.1	D+5.2	R+13.6	10,278
1992	R	39.0%Clinton4,273	49.2%Bush5,401	10.3%Perot1,128	R+10.3	D+17.9	R+15.8	10,970
1988	R	35.3%Dukakis3,275	63.5%Bush5,887	1.3%	R+28.2	D+4.2	R+20.4	9,278
1984	R	33.3%Mondale3,438	65.7%Reagan6,777	1.0%	R+32.4	R+20.4	R+14.1	10,316
1980	R	42.5%Carter3,790	54.4%Reagan4,853	3.0%	R+11.9	R+8.0	R+2.2	8,913
1976	R	46.5%Carter4,076	50.4%Ford4,423	3.1%	R+4.0	D+44.3	R+6.0	8,769
1972	R	25.2%McGovern639	73.4%Nixon1,864	1.4%	R+48.2	R+47.4	R+25.1	2,539
1968	O	28.1%Humphrey2,667	29.0%Nixon2,750	42.8%	Wallace +13.8	R+0.4	R+0.2	9,478
1964	R	49.7%Johnson1,137	50.3%Goldwater1,149	0.0%	R+0.5	R+13.7	R+23.1	2,286
1960	D	55.9%Kennedy2,533	42.7%Nixon1,936	1.4%	D+13.2	D+1.8	D+13.0	4,534
1956	D	45.2%Stevenson2,004	33.8%Eisenhower1,498	21.0%	D+11.4	R+2.8	D+26.8	4,434
1952	D	56.7%Stevenson2,525	42.5%Eisenhower1,891	0.9%	D+14.2	R+38.3	D+25.0	4,454
1948	D	69.3%Truman2,117	16.8%Dewey513	13.9%	D+52.5	R+18.7	D+48.1	3,053
1944	D	85.6%Roosevelt2,561	14.4%Dewey430	0.0%	D+71.2	R+5.9	D+63.8	2,991
1940	D	88.5%Roosevelt2,402	11.4%Willkie308	0.1%	D+77.2	R+9.0	D+67.2	2,713
1936	D	93.0%Roosevelt2,730	6.9%Landon202	0.1%	D+86.2	D+9.0	D+61.9	2,934
1932	D	88.3%Roosevelt2,188	11.1%Hoover275	0.6%	D+77.2	D+39.0	D+59.4	2,478
1928	D	69.1%Smith1,752	30.9%Hoover784	0.0%	D+38.2	R+31.5	D+55.6	2,536
1924	D	84.3%Davis1,649	14.6%Coolidge286	1.0%La Follette20	D+69.7	R+2.0	D+94.9	1,956
1920	D	85.7%Cox1,619	14.0%Harding264	0.4%	D+71.7	D+0.8	D+97.9	1,890
1916	D	85.3%Wilson1,317	14.4%Hughes222	0.3%	D+70.9	D+7.0	D+67.8	1,544
1912	D	78.3%Wilson1,039	14.4%Taft191	7.3%	D+63.9	D+4.6	D+44.4	1,327
1908	D	79.2%Bryan1,000	20.0%Taft252	0.8%	D+59.3	D+5.1	D+68.8	1,262
1904	D	76.3%Parker1,021	22.1%Roosevelt296	1.6%	D+54.1	D+58.5	D+73.8	1,339
1900	R	47.2%Bryan1,697	51.6%McKinley1,855	1.1%	R+4.4	D+1.3	D+3.1	3,592
1896	R	46.8%Bryan2,099	52.5%McKinley2,353	0.7%	R+5.7	R+1.5	D+0.4	4,484
1892	R	40.2%Cleveland1,345	44.4%Harrison1,484	15.4%	R+4.2	—	R+5.8	3,343
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	37.8%6,468	62.2%10,641	17,109
2018	R	43.8%5,153	56.2%6,616	11,769

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	42.2%6,699	57.8%9,170	15,869
2020Class II	R	44.1%Mark Warner7,004	55.8%Daniel Gade8,871	15,888
2018Class I	R	43.6%Tim Kaine5,149	55.3%Corey Stewart6,533	11,805
2014Class II	R	42.0%Mark Warner3,266	56.3%Ed Gillespie4,375	7,769
2012Class I	R	44.1%Tim Kaine6,344	55.9%George Allen8,037	14,381
2008Class II	D	58.6%Mark Warner8,445	39.8%Jim Gilmore5,747	14,422
2006Class I	R	40.0%Jim Webb3,351	59.0%George Allen4,941	8,369
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	79.9%John Warner3,854	4,823
2000Class I	R	41.5%Chuck Robb4,709	58.5%George Allen6,642	11,351
1996Class II	R	44.8%Mark Warner4,147	55.2%John Warner5,106	9,256
1994Class I	R	36.4%Chuck Robb3,110	55.8%Oliver North4,764	8,533
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	90.4%John Warner3,589	3,969
1988Class I	D	68.5%Chuck Robb5,436	31.4%Maurice A. Dawkins2,496	7,937
1984Class II	R	25.3%Edythe Harrison2,298	74.7%John Warner6,788	9,087
1982Class I	R	46.4%Dick Davis3,380	53.6%Paul S. Trible3,911	7,291
1978Class II	R	48.5%Andrew Miller3,100	51.5%John Warner3,292	6,394
1976Class I	D	26.1%Elmo Zumwalt2,101	0.0%None0	8,063
1972Class II	R	39.8%William B. Spong Jr.3,603	58.9%Bill Scott5,331	9,054
1970Class I	D	24.6%George C. Rawlings Jr.1,502	4.9%Ray Garland301	6,099
1966Class II	D	56.1%William B. Spong Jr.2,563	19.2%James P. Ould Jr.877	4,571
1964Class I	D	76.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.5,734	3.2%Richard A. May239	7,502
1960Class II	D	88.7%A. Willis Robertson3,258	0.0%None0	3,675
1958Class I	D	93.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,480	0.0%None0	3,739
1954Class II	D	88.0%A. Willis Robertson1,059	0.0%None0	1,204
1952Class I	D	81.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,140	0.0%None0	3,836
1948Class II	D	85.9%A. Willis Robertson2,163	10.8%Robert H. Woods273	2,519
1946Class I	D	87.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,120	10.1%Lester S. Parsons129	1,283
1942Class II	D	97.3%Carter Glass438	0.0%None0	450
1940Class I	D	94.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,237	0.0%None0	2,365
1936Class II	D	93.4%Carter Glass2,473	4.5%George Rohlson119	2,649
1934Class I	D	93.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.598	5.3%Lawrence C. Page34	642
1930Class II	D	92.5%Carter Glass607	0.0%None0	656
1928Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson2,542	0.0%None0	2,542
1924Class II	D	92.4%Carter Glass1,759	0.5%William Doak10	1,903
1922Class I	D	92.3%Claude Swanson778	6.6%J.W. McGavock56	843
1918Class II	D	100.0%Thomas S. Martin491	0.0%None0	491
1916Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson1,500	0.0%None0	1,500

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1966Special · Class I	D	49.1%Harry F. Byrd Jr.2,300	26.3%Lawrence Traylor1,230	4,680
1933Special · Class I	D	88.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.548	9.4%Henry Wise58	620

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2025	R	39.4%Abigail Spanberger4,657	60.5%Winsome Earle-Sears7,151	11,819
2017	R	39.7%Ralph Northam3,399	59.9%Ed Gillespie5,125	8,561
2013	R	40.2%Terry McAuliffe3,038	55.9%Ken Cuccinelli4,226	7,554
2009	R	32.3%Creigh Deeds2,327	67.7%Bob McDonnell4,872	7,200
2005	R	42.8%Tim Kaine2,986	55.4%Jerry Kilgore3,864	6,981
2001	R	46.7%Mark Warner3,519	51.7%Mark Earley3,898	7,541
1997	R	35.1%Don Beyer2,408	61.7%Jim Gilmore4,226	6,851
1993	R	33.0%Mary Sue Terry2,856	65.9%George Allen5,695	8,644
1989	R	38.0%Douglas Wilder3,287	62.0%Marshall Coleman5,373	8,661
1985	R	48.7%Gerald Baliles3,195	51.3%Wyatt Durrette3,365	6,560
1981	D	50.6%Chuck Robb3,415	49.4%Marshall Coleman3,329	6,745
1977	R	34.5%Henry Howell2,296	64.8%John N. Dalton4,317	6,661

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Mecklenburg County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	22,187
2018	21,585
2020	22,331
2022	22,944
2024	23,625

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+95 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +543 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $68,041 in average income, against $66,078 for residents who stayed — 3% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+0.7 on average — 21 points more Democratic-leaning than Mecklenburg County, VA itself (R+20.8).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Brunswick County, VA70D+8.5
Chesterfield County, VA43D+8.9
Halifax County, VA39R+21.0
Lunenburg County, VA28R+22.8
Wake County, NC24D+25.4

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Brunswick County, VA70
Halifax County, VA41
Lunenburg County, VA38
Charlotte County, VA31
Wake County, NC25
Chesterfield County, VA23

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Mecklenburg County, VA in Mecklenburg County, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−4
2012	−809
2013	−282
2014	−31
2015	+3
2016	+10
2017	+83
2018	+111
2019	+136
2021	+259
2022	+365
2023	+283
2024	+324
2025	+95

Mecklenburg sits along the North Carolina border in Virginia's Southside, a region marked by decades of tobacco-economy decline and an electorate that has shifted steadily rightward across federal and statewide races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 48.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.8 points.

A population of 30,516, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,045 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Person County and Halifax County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Person County

North Carolina

92.4twin score

% Black2016–2024 trajectory% Catholic≠ American ancestry

Halifax County

Virginia

88.8twin score

% Black2012–2024 trajectory≠ % Evangelical

Martin County

North Carolina

87.7twin score

% Black% Catholicmedian age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Mecklenburg County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51117/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Mecklenburg County

South Hill

R+0

4.8K residents

Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2025 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Mecklenburg County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Mecklenburg County, Virginia voted Republican by 20.8 points (R+20.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,304 votes cast, 6,404 went Democratic and 9,791 went Republican.

When did Mecklenburg County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Mecklenburg County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1960.

How many people live in Mecklenburg County, Virginia?

Mecklenburg County, Virginia has a population of 30,516 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Mecklenburg County, Virginia?

Median household income in Mecklenburg County, Virginia is $57,045 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Mecklenburg County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mecklenburg County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.

Measure

Mecklenburg County

Virginia

United States

Median age

49.2

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

6.6%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

26.9%

16.7%

17.2%

Measure

Mecklenburg County

Virginia

United States

Median household income

$57,045

$93,170

$84,427

Poverty rate

16.3%

10.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

20.7%

42.3%

35.6%

Measure

Mecklenburg County

Virginia

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

4.1%

17.5%

22.3%

Spanish

2.7%

7.9%

13.6%

Measure

Mecklenburg County

Virginia

United States

Catholic

2.4%

10.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

26.9%

19.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

55.7%

54.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

9.2%

8.4%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+20.8MIT Election Lab

Population

30,5162024 5-year

Median household income

$57,0452024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

60.3%2024 5-year

Black

32.4%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

3.2%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+86.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+48.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Person County, NC · twin score 92.4

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

15,023

24,978

60.1%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

11,947

24,780

48.2%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

16,327

24,466

66.7%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

11,191

24,216

46.2%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

16,381

24,441

67.0%

A/A

Mecklenburg County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -401 - SOUTH HILL WEST401 - SOUTH HILL WEST

966

725

1,707

56.6%

42.5%

D+14.1

Precinct -501 - SOUTH HILL EAST501 - SOUTH HILL EAST

662

1,028

1,704

38.8%

60.3%

R+21.5

Precinct -903 - CLARKSVILLE NORTH903 - CLARKSVILLE NORTH

503

949

1,475

34.1%

64.3%

R+30.2

Precinct -301 - BRACEY301 - BRACEY

314

997

1,317

23.8%

75.7%

R+51.9

Precinct -201 - CHASE CITY201 - CHASE CITY

722

551

1,278

56.5%

43.1%

D+13.4

Precinct -103 - CLARKSVILLE SOUTH103 - CLARKSVILLE SOUTH

558

448

1,010

55.2%

44.4%

D+10.9

Precinct -604 - LAKE GASTON604 - LAKE GASTON

250

599

852

29.3%

70.3%

R+41.0

Precinct -702 - WILLIAMS GROVE702 - WILLIAMS GROVE

288

529

821

35.1%

64.4%

R+29.4

Precinct -302 - LACROSSE302 - LACROSSE

334

441

779

42.9%

56.6%

R+13.7

Precinct -101 - PALMER SPRINGS101 - PALMER SPRINGS

390

294

688

56.7%

42.7%

D+14.0

Precinct -803 - CHASE CITY WEST803 - CHASE CITY WEST

150

516

670

22.4%

77.0%

R+54.6

Precinct -703 - CHASE CITY EAST703 - CHASE CITY EAST

275

376

654

42.0%

57.5%

R+15.4

Precinct -902 - BUFFALO JUNCTION902 - BUFFALO JUNCTION

140

427

572

24.5%

74.7%

R+50.2

Precinct -603 - SMITH CROSSROADS603 - SMITH CROSSROADS

194

342

539

36.0%

63.5%

R+27.5

Precinct -601 - BASKERVILLE601 - BASKERVILLE

168

338

508

33.1%

66.5%

R+33.5

Precinct -701 - MIDWAY701 - MIDWAY

160

293

457

35.0%

64.1%

R+29.1

Precinct -602 - UNION LEVEL602 - UNION LEVEL

308

388

20.6%

79.4%

R+58.8

Precinct -901 - NELSON901 - NELSON

272

321

14.6%

84.7%

R+70.1

Precinct -202 - BLUESTONE202 - BLUESTONE

141

153

296

47.6%

51.7%

R+4.1

Precinct -102 - ANTIOCH CHURCH102 - ANTIOCH CHURCH

205

268

23.1%

76.5%

R+53.4

American Legion Hall51117000401

—

No votes

Averett51117000901

—

No votes

Baskerville51117000601

—

No votes

Bluestone51117000802

—

No votes

Bluestone Senior High School51117000202

—

No votes

Boydton51117000201

—

No votes

Bracey51117000301

—

No votes

Buffalo Springs51117000902

—

No votes

Chase City51117000701

—

No votes

Chase City Elementary School51117000803

—

No votes

Chase City VFW Post51117000203

—

No votes

Clarksville51117000903

—

No votes

Finchley51117000801

—

No votes

Lacrosse51117000302

—

No votes

Lake Gaston51117000604

—

No votes

Park View Middle School51117000402

—

No votes

Pearsons Store51117000102

—

No votes

Precinct -801 - FINCHLEY801 - FINCHLEY

—

No votes

Precinct -802 - SKIPWITH802 - SKIPWITH

—

No votes

Smith Crossroads51117000603

—

No votes

South Clarksville51117000103

—

No votes

South Hill51117000501

—

No votes

Sunshine51117000702

—

No votes

Union Level51117000602

—

No votes

Wrights Store51117000101

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−4.2%
1896	−5.7%
1900	−4.4%
1904	+54.1%
1908	+59.3%
1912	+63.9%
1916	+70.9%
1920	+71.7%
1924	+69.7%
1928	+38.2%
1932	+77.2%
1936	+86.2%
1940	+77.2%
1944	+71.2%
1948	+52.5%
1952	+14.2%
1956	+11.4%
1960	+13.2%
1964	−0.5%
1968	−0.9%
1972	−48.2%
1976	−4.0%
1980	−11.9%
1984	−32.4%
1988	−28.2%
1992	−10.3%
1996	−5.1%
2000	−15.5%
2004	−15.9%
2008	−4.6%
2012	−7.0%
2016	−13.4%
2020	−15.2%
2024	−20.8%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

39.3%Harris6,404

60.1%Trump9,791

0.2%Oliver31 +4

R+20.8

R+5.6

R+19.3

16,304

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican60.1%9,791
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic39.3%6,404
OtherAll other candidates0.2%38
Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%31
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%15
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%15
Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%10

2020

42.0%Biden6,803

57.2%Trump9,266

0.7%Jorgensen113

R+15.2

R+1.8

R+19.7

16,204

2016

42.1%Clinton6,285

55.5%Trump8,288

1.6%Johnson239

R+13.4

R+6.4

R+15.5

14,945

2012

45.9%Obama6,921

52.9%Romney7,973

1.2%

R+7.0

R+2.4

R+10.8

15,077

2008

47.3%Obama7,127

51.8%McCain7,817

0.9%

R+4.6

D+11.3

R+11.8

15,082

2004

41.4%Kerry5,293

57.3%Bush7,319

1.3%

R+15.9

R+0.4

R+13.4

12,780

2000

41.2%Gore4,797

56.6%Bush6,600

0.9%Nader104

R+15.5

R+10.4

R+16.0

11,654

1996

42.9%Clinton4,408

48.0%Dole4,933

7.7%Perot789

R+5.1

D+5.2

R+13.6

10,278

1992

39.0%Clinton4,273

49.2%Bush5,401

10.3%Perot1,128

R+10.3

D+17.9

R+15.8

10,970

1988

35.3%Dukakis3,275

63.5%Bush5,887

1.3%

R+28.2

D+4.2

R+20.4

9,278

1984

33.3%Mondale3,438

65.7%Reagan6,777

1.0%

R+32.4

R+20.4

R+14.1

10,316

1980

42.5%Carter3,790

54.4%Reagan4,853

3.0%

R+11.9

R+8.0

R+2.2

8,913

1976

46.5%Carter4,076

50.4%Ford4,423

3.1%

R+4.0

D+44.3

R+6.0

8,769

1972

25.2%McGovern639

73.4%Nixon1,864

1.4%

R+48.2

R+47.4

R+25.1

2,539

1968

28.1%Humphrey2,667

29.0%Nixon2,750

42.8%

Wallace +13.8

R+0.4

R+0.2

9,478

1964

49.7%Johnson1,137

50.3%Goldwater1,149

0.0%

R+0.5

R+13.7

R+23.1

2,286

1960

55.9%Kennedy2,533

42.7%Nixon1,936

1.4%

D+13.2

D+1.8

D+13.0

4,534

1956

45.2%Stevenson2,004

33.8%Eisenhower1,498

21.0%

D+11.4

R+2.8

D+26.8

4,434

1952

56.7%Stevenson2,525

42.5%Eisenhower1,891

0.9%

D+14.2

R+38.3

D+25.0

4,454

1948

69.3%Truman2,117

16.8%Dewey513

13.9%

D+52.5

R+18.7

D+48.1

3,053

1944

85.6%Roosevelt2,561

14.4%Dewey430

0.0%

D+71.2

R+5.9

D+63.8

2,991

1940

88.5%Roosevelt2,402

11.4%Willkie308

0.1%

D+77.2

R+9.0

D+67.2

2,713

1936

93.0%Roosevelt2,730

6.9%Landon202

0.1%

D+86.2

D+9.0

D+61.9

2,934

1932

88.3%Roosevelt2,188

11.1%Hoover275

0.6%

D+77.2

D+39.0

D+59.4

2,478

1928

69.1%Smith1,752

30.9%Hoover784

0.0%

D+38.2

R+31.5

D+55.6

2,536

1924

84.3%Davis1,649

14.6%Coolidge286

1.0%La Follette20

D+69.7

R+2.0

D+94.9

1,956

1920

85.7%Cox1,619

14.0%Harding264

0.4%

D+71.7

D+0.8

D+97.9

1,890

1916

85.3%Wilson1,317

14.4%Hughes222

0.3%

D+70.9

D+7.0

D+67.8

1,544

1912

78.3%Wilson1,039

14.4%Taft191

7.3%

D+63.9

D+4.6

D+44.4

1,327

1908

79.2%Bryan1,000

20.0%Taft252

0.8%

D+59.3

D+5.1

D+68.8

1,262

1904

76.3%Parker1,021

22.1%Roosevelt296

1.6%

D+54.1

D+58.5

D+73.8

1,339

1900

47.2%Bryan1,697

51.6%McKinley1,855

1.1%

R+4.4

D+1.3

D+3.1

3,592

1896

46.8%Bryan2,099

52.5%McKinley2,353

0.7%

R+5.7

R+1.5

D+0.4

4,484

1892

40.2%Cleveland1,345

44.4%Harrison1,484

15.4%

R+4.2

—

R+5.8

3,343

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

37.8%6,468

62.2%10,641

17,109

2018

43.8%5,153

56.2%6,616

11,769

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

42.2%6,699

57.8%9,170

15,869

2020Class II

44.1%Mark Warner7,004

55.8%Daniel Gade8,871

15,888

2018Class I

43.6%Tim Kaine5,149

55.3%Corey Stewart6,533

11,805

2014Class II

42.0%Mark Warner3,266

56.3%Ed Gillespie4,375

7,769

2012Class I

44.1%Tim Kaine6,344

55.9%George Allen8,037

14,381

2008Class II

58.6%Mark Warner8,445

39.8%Jim Gilmore5,747

14,422

2006Class I

40.0%Jim Webb3,351

59.0%George Allen4,941

8,369

2002Class II

0.0%None0

79.9%John Warner3,854

4,823

2000Class I

41.5%Chuck Robb4,709

58.5%George Allen6,642

11,351

1996Class II

44.8%Mark Warner4,147

55.2%John Warner5,106

9,256

1994Class I

36.4%Chuck Robb3,110

55.8%Oliver North4,764

8,533

1990Class II

0.0%None0

90.4%John Warner3,589

3,969

1988Class I

68.5%Chuck Robb5,436

31.4%Maurice A. Dawkins2,496

7,937

1984Class II

25.3%Edythe Harrison2,298

74.7%John Warner6,788

9,087

1982Class I

46.4%Dick Davis3,380

53.6%Paul S. Trible3,911

7,291

1978Class II

48.5%Andrew Miller3,100

51.5%John Warner3,292

6,394

1976Class I

26.1%Elmo Zumwalt2,101

0.0%None0

8,063

1972Class II

39.8%William B. Spong Jr.3,603

58.9%Bill Scott5,331

9,054

1970Class I

24.6%George C. Rawlings Jr.1,502

4.9%Ray Garland301

6,099

1966Class II

56.1%William B. Spong Jr.2,563

19.2%James P. Ould Jr.877

4,571

1964Class I

76.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.5,734

3.2%Richard A. May239

7,502

1960Class II

88.7%A. Willis Robertson3,258

0.0%None0

3,675

1958Class I

93.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,480

0.0%None0

3,739

1954Class II

88.0%A. Willis Robertson1,059

0.0%None0

1,204

1952Class I

81.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,140

0.0%None0

3,836

1948Class II

85.9%A. Willis Robertson2,163

10.8%Robert H. Woods273

2,519

1946Class I

87.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,120

10.1%Lester S. Parsons129

1,283

1942Class II

97.3%Carter Glass438

0.0%None0

450

1940Class I

94.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,237

0.0%None0

2,365

1936Class II

93.4%Carter Glass2,473

4.5%George Rohlson119

2,649

1934Class I

93.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.598

5.3%Lawrence C. Page34

642

1930Class II

92.5%Carter Glass607

0.0%None0

656

1928Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson2,542

0.0%None0

2,542

1924Class II

92.4%Carter Glass1,759

0.5%William Doak10

1,903

1922Class I

92.3%Claude Swanson778

6.6%J.W. McGavock56

843

1918Class II

100.0%Thomas S. Martin491

0.0%None0

491

1916Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson1,500

0.0%None0

1,500

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1966Special · Class I

49.1%Harry F. Byrd Jr.2,300

26.3%Lawrence Traylor1,230

4,680

1933Special · Class I

88.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.548

9.4%Henry Wise58

620

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2025

39.4%Abigail Spanberger4,657

60.5%Winsome Earle-Sears7,151

11,819

2017

39.7%Ralph Northam3,399

59.9%Ed Gillespie5,125

8,561

2013

40.2%Terry McAuliffe3,038

55.9%Ken Cuccinelli4,226

7,554

2009

32.3%Creigh Deeds2,327

67.7%Bob McDonnell4,872

7,200

2005

42.8%Tim Kaine2,986

55.4%Jerry Kilgore3,864

6,981

2001

46.7%Mark Warner3,519

51.7%Mark Earley3,898

7,541

1997

35.1%Don Beyer2,408

61.7%Jim Gilmore4,226

6,851

1993

33.0%Mary Sue Terry2,856

65.9%George Allen5,695

8,644

1989

38.0%Douglas Wilder3,287

62.0%Marshall Coleman5,373

8,661

1985

48.7%Gerald Baliles3,195

51.3%Wyatt Durrette3,365

6,560

1981

50.6%Chuck Robb3,415

49.4%Marshall Coleman3,329

6,745

1977

34.5%Henry Howell2,296

64.8%John N. Dalton4,317

6,661

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Mecklenburg County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	22,187
2018	21,585
2020	22,331
2022	22,944
2024	23,625

How did Mecklenburg County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Mecklenburg County, Virginia voted Republican by 20.8 points (R+20.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,304 votes cast, 6,404 went Democratic and 9,791 went Republican.

When did Mecklenburg County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Mecklenburg County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1960.

How many people live in Mecklenburg County, Virginia?

Mecklenburg County, Virginia has a population of 30,516 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Mecklenburg County, Virginia?

Median household income in Mecklenburg County, Virginia is $57,045 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Mecklenburg County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mecklenburg County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.