HarrisDemocratic38.9%42,539TrumpRepublican60.5%66,166OtherAll other candidates0.6%694
R+21.6- Lead
- 23,627
- Total
- 109,399
- vs nation
- R+20.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate senate district
Virginia 9th State Senate District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic41.2%46,197TrumpRepublican57.7%64,662OtherAll other candidates1.1%1,180
R+16.5- Lead
- 18,465
- Total
- 112,039
- vs nation
- R+20.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic40.6%42,664TrumpRepublican56.6%59,427OtherAll other candidates2.7%2,883
R+16.0- Lead
- 16,763
- Total
- 104,974
- vs nation
- R+18.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic46.0%48,544RomneyRepublican52.6%55,476OtherAll other candidates1.4%1,513
R+6.6- Lead
- 6,932
- Total
- 105,533
- vs nation
- R+10.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic47.0%50,071McCainRepublican52.1%55,500OtherAll other candidates0.9%963
R+5.1- Lead
- 5,429
- Total
- 106,534
- vs nation
- R+12.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic41.4%39,033BushRepublican57.3%53,974OtherAll other candidates1.3%1,187
R+15.9- Lead
- 14,941
- Total
- 94,194
- vs nation
- R+13.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic40.0%34,590BushRepublican57.2%49,464OtherAll other candidates2.7%2,365
R+17.2- Lead
- 14,874
- Total
- 86,419
- vs nation
- R+17.7
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ClintonDemocratic41.3%33,356DoleRepublican50.5%40,731OtherAll other candidates8.2%6,620
R+9.1- Lead
- 7,375
- Total
- 80,707
- vs nation
- R+17.7
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 216,2322024 5-year
- Population density
- 55 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,942 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,9352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 33.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 11, GA · twin score 88.2
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 9th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
47.0%
50,071 votes · R+5.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 46.0%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
60.5%
66,166 votes · R+21.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 57.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
50,071votes
47.0% of the vote · R+5.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 48,544 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
66,166votes
60.5% of the vote · R+21.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 64,662 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
−10.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+6.6 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −12.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+20.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+16.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +20.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RTammy MulchiState Senate · 9
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in the rural Shenandoah Valley and Ridge-and-Valley corridor, this district has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, making it among the state's most consistent GOP strongholds at every level of the ballot.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 43.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.6 points.
A population of 216,232, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,935 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 11 and State Senate District 1.
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State Senate District 11
Georgia
88.2twin score
college share% Black% Evangelical≠ median age
State Senate District 1
North Carolina
87.1twin score
12-yr trend% Catholicmedian age≠ % Black
State Senate District 2
North Carolina
86.1twin score
12-yr trend% Catholicmedian income≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Virginia 9th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Virginia 9th State Senate District
Frequently asked questions
How did Virginia 9th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 9th State Senate District voted Republican by 21.6 points (R+21.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 109,399 votes cast, 42,539 went Democratic and 66,166 went Republican.
When did Virginia 9th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Virginia 9th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1960.
How many people live in Virginia 9th State Senate District?
Virginia 9th State Senate District has a population of 216,232 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 9th State Senate District?
Median household income in Virginia 9th State Senate District is $52,935 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 9th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Virginia 9th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.