Akashic

county

Danville city, VA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

African American†47.9%15.6%9.9%

African2.3%0.9%0.5%

Nigerian0.2%0.2%0.2%

American12.6%8.4%5.3%

English9.1%12.0%9.5%

Irish4.5%9.1%9.4%

German3.2%10.1%12.5%

Italian1.8%3.9%4.8%

Scottish1.4%1.9%1.3%

French1.2%1.3%1.6%

Scotch-Irish1.0%——

Mexican2.3%2.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.8%1.4%1.8%

Salvadoran0.7%2.1%0.7%

Cuban0.6%—0.7%

Dominican0.3%—0.7%

Argentinean0.2%——

Spanish0.2%——

Filipino0.4%0.9%0.9%

Vietnamese0.3%0.7%0.6%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Danville city	Virginia	United States
Median age	40.4	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	8.6%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	21.1%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Danville city	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$44,423	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	24.7%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	19.6%	42.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Danville city	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.9%	17.5%	22.3%
Spanish	3.5%	7.9%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Danville city	Virginia	United States
Catholic	9.5%	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	47.8%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	27.3%	54.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	7.6%	8.4%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 56.2% of 31,809 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic59.9%10,615TrumpRepublican38.9%6,894OliverLibertarian0.3%45

D+21.0

Lead: 3,721
Total: 17,712
vs nation: D+22.5
Turnout: 56.2%

BidenDemocratic60.4%11,710TrumpRepublican38.3%7,428JorgensenLibertarian1.0%195

D+22.1

Lead: 4,282
Total: 19,389
vs nation: D+17.6
Turnout: 63.7%

ClintonDemocratic58.4%11,059TrumpRepublican38.6%7,303JohnsonLibertarian1.7%315

D+19.8

Lead: 3,756
Total: 18,940
vs nation: D+17.7
Turnout: 59.3%

ObamaDemocratic60.5%12,218RomneyRepublican38.4%7,763OtherAll other candidates1.1%223

D+22.1

Lead: 4,455
Total: 20,204
vs nation: D+18.2
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic59.1%12,352McCainRepublican40.0%8,361OtherAll other candidates0.8%177

D+19.1

Lead: 3,991
Total: 20,890
vs nation: D+11.8
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic49.4%9,436BushRepublican49.2%9,399OtherAll other candidates1.4%277

D+0.2

Lead: 37
Total: 19,112
vs nation: D+2.7
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic44.9%8,221BushRepublican51.5%9,427NaderGreen0.9%168

R+6.6

Lead: 1,206
Total: 18,307
vs nation: R+7.1
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic44.1%8,168DoleRepublican50.0%9,254PerotReform4.1%762

R+5.9

Lead: 1,086
Total: 18,519
vs nation: R+14.4
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+21.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 42,2142024 5-year
Median household income: $44,4232024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 38.8%2024 5-year
Black: 50.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 5.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+77.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+79.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Hinds County, MS · twin score 95.9

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 56.2%17,888 participants ÷ 31,809 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +26.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: +2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 29.9%–37.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	19,218	32,383	59.3%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	15,241	31,729	48.0%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	19,683	30,892	63.7%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	12,052	32,213	37.4%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	17,888	31,809	56.2%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

32 precincts · 17,712 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Danville city precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -004 - WARD FOUR004 - WARD FOUR	1,101	889	24	2,014	54.7%	44.1%	D+10.5
Precinct -016 - WARD SIXTEEN016 - WARD SIXTEEN	672	930	15	1,617	41.6%	57.5%	R+16.0
Precinct -012 - WARD TWELVE012 - WARD TWELVE	1,046	547	18	1,611	64.9%	34.0%	D+31.0
Precinct -011 - WARD ELEVEN011 - WARD ELEVEN	1,061	477	16	1,554	68.3%	30.7%	D+37.6
Precinct -017 - WARD SEVENTEEN017 - WARD SEVENTEEN	515	962	11	1,488	34.6%	64.7%	R+30.0
Precinct -013 - WARD THIRTEEN013 - WARD THIRTEEN	959	462	25	1,446	66.3%	32.0%	D+34.4
Precinct -015 - WARD FIFTEEN015 - WARD FIFTEEN	723	661	15	1,399	51.7%	47.2%	D+4.4
Precinct -010 - WARD TEN010 - WARD TEN	705	450	17	1,172	60.2%	38.4%	D+21.8
Precinct -003 - WARD THREE003 - WARD THREE	717	273	19	1,009	71.1%	27.1%	D+44.0
Precinct -007 - WARD SEVEN007 - WARD SEVEN	716	161	9	886	80.8%	18.2%	D+62.6
Precinct -008 - WARD EIGHT008 - WARD EIGHT	587	266	9	862	68.1%	30.9%	D+37.2
Precinct -009 - WARD NINE009 - WARD NINE	455	370	8	833	54.6%	44.4%	D+10.2
Precinct -001 - WARD ONE001 - WARD ONE	423	119	8	550	76.9%	21.6%	D+55.3
Precinct -002 - WARD TWO002 - WARD TWO	341	196	5	542	62.9%	36.2%	D+26.8
Precinct -006 - WARD SIX006 - WARD SIX	400	116	2	518	77.2%	22.4%	D+54.8
Precinct -014 - WARD FOURTEEN014 - WARD FOURTEEN	194	15	2	211	91.9%	7.1%	D+84.8
Ward Eight51590000008	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Eleven51590000011	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Fifteen51590000015	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Four51590000004	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Fourteen51590000014	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Nine51590000009	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward One51590000001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Seven51590000007	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Seventeen51590000017	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Six51590000006	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Sixteen51590000016	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Ten51590000010	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Thirteen51590000013	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Three51590000003	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Twelve51590000012	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ward Two51590000002	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+26.8%
1896	+21.7%
1900	+64.1%
1904	+75.1%
1908	+63.7%
1912	+77.2%
1916	+61.7%
1920	+54.0%
1924	+49.3%
1928	−32.7%
1932	+49.4%
1936	+70.7%
1940	+61.3%
1944	+43.3%
1948	+13.9%
1952	−17.7%
1956	−27.9%
1960	−30.2%
1964	−33.8%
1968	−13.6%
1972	−79.0%
1976	−22.1%
1980	−26.1%
1984	−34.7%
1988	−24.5%
1992	−7.4%
1996	−5.9%
2000	−6.6%
2004	+0.2%
2008	+19.1%
2012	+22.1%
2016	+19.8%
2020	+22.1%
2024	+21.0%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	D	59.9%Harris10,615	38.9%Trump6,894	0.3%Oliver45 +4	D+21.0	R+1.1	D+22.5	17,712
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Kamala D HarrisDemocratic59.9%10,615 Donald J TrumpRepublican38.9%6,894 Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%45 OtherAll other candidates0.3%45 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%44 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%35 Cornel R WestIndependent0.2%34
2020	D	60.4%Biden11,710	38.3%Trump7,428	1.0%Jorgensen195	D+22.1	D+2.3	D+17.6	19,389
2016	D	58.4%Clinton11,059	38.6%Trump7,303	1.7%Johnson315	D+19.8	R+2.2	D+17.7	18,940
2012	D	60.5%Obama12,218	38.4%Romney7,763	1.1%	D+22.1	D+2.9	D+18.2	20,204
2008	D	59.1%Obama12,352	40.0%McCain8,361	0.8%	D+19.1	D+18.9	D+11.8	20,890
2004	D	49.4%Kerry9,436	49.2%Bush9,399	1.4%	D+0.2	D+6.8	D+2.7	19,112
2000	R	44.9%Gore8,221	51.5%Bush9,427	0.9%Nader168	R+6.6	R+0.7	R+7.1	18,307
1996	R	44.1%Clinton8,168	50.0%Dole9,254	4.1%Perot762	R+5.9	D+1.5	R+14.4	18,519
1992	R	41.4%Clinton8,134	48.7%Bush9,584	8.5%Perot1,679	R+7.4	D+17.1	R+12.9	19,661
1988	R	37.0%Dukakis7,353	61.5%Bush12,221	1.5%	R+24.5	D+10.2	R+16.8	19,874
1984	R	32.2%Mondale5,846	66.9%Reagan12,141	1.0%	R+34.7	R+8.6	R+16.4	18,161
1980	R	35.4%Carter6,138	61.4%Reagan10,665	3.2%	R+26.1	R+3.9	R+16.3	17,362
1976	R	37.3%Carter6,425	59.5%Ford10,235	3.2%	R+22.1	D+56.9	R+24.2	17,212
1972	R	9.0%McGovern541	88.0%Nixon5,304	3.0%	R+79.0	R+65.4	R+55.9	6,028
1968	R	26.6%Humphrey4,495	40.3%Nixon6,796	33.1%	R+13.6	D+20.1	R+12.9	16,874
1964	R	33.1%Johnson1,198	66.9%Goldwater2,420	0.1%	R+33.8	R+3.5	R+56.3	3,620
1960	R	33.5%Kennedy2,611	63.7%Nixon4,966	2.8%	R+30.2	R+2.4	R+30.4	7,794
1956	R	31.2%Stevenson2,409	59.0%Eisenhower4,561	9.8%	R+27.9	R+10.2	R+12.5	7,726
1952	R	40.8%Stevenson3,323	58.5%Eisenhower4,765	0.7%	R+17.7	R+31.6	R+6.9	8,146
1948	D	42.8%Truman2,334	29.0%Dewey1,579	28.2%	D+13.9	R+29.4	D+9.4	5,448
1944	D	71.5%Roosevelt3,121	28.2%Dewey1,231	0.3%	D+43.3	R+18.0	D+35.8	4,366
1940	D	80.3%Roosevelt3,324	19.0%Willkie787	0.7%	D+61.3	R+9.4	D+51.3	4,141
1936	D	84.9%Roosevelt3,266	14.3%Landon549	0.8%	D+70.7	D+21.2	D+46.4	3,845
1932	D	73.4%Roosevelt2,264	24.0%Hoover740	2.6%	D+49.4	D+82.1	D+31.6	3,084
1928	R	33.6%Smith1,196	66.4%Hoover2,360	0.0%	R+32.7	R+82.0	R+15.3	3,556
1924	D	70.4%Davis1,577	21.1%Coolidge473	8.3%La Follette187	D+49.3	R+4.7	D+74.4	2,241
1920	D	76.3%Cox1,888	22.3%Harding551	1.5%	D+54.0	R+7.7	D+80.2	2,476
1916	D	77.0%Wilson1,151	15.3%Hughes229	7.7%	D+61.7	R+15.5	D+58.5	1,495
1912	D	84.6%Wilson1,066	7.4%Taft93	8.0%	D+77.2	D+13.6	D+57.7	1,260
1908	D	81.0%Bryan963	17.3%Taft206	1.7%	D+63.7	R+11.4	D+73.2	1,189
1904	D	85.4%Parker836	10.3%Roosevelt101	4.3%	D+75.1	D+11.0	D+94.7	979
1900	D	79.8%Bryan1,575	15.7%McKinley310	4.5%	D+64.1	D+42.4	D+71.7	1,973
1896	D	59.3%Bryan1,702	37.5%McKinley1,078	3.2%	D+21.7	R+5.1	D+27.8	2,872
1892	D	63.1%Cleveland1,234	36.3%Harrison710	0.6%	D+26.8	—	D+25.1	1,956
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	59.8%11,134	40.2%7,487	18,621
2020	D	66.1%7,835	33.9%4,016	11,851
2018	D	61.2%9,216	38.8%5,847	15,063

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	63.4%10,986	36.6%6,335	17,321
2020Class II	D	65.2%Mark Warner12,519	34.8%Daniel Gade6,680	19,213
2018Class I	D	62.3%Tim Kaine9,418	36.5%Corey Stewart5,518	15,114
2014Class II	D	57.9%Mark Warner6,259	41.0%Ed Gillespie4,436	10,812
2012Class I	D	59.9%Tim Kaine11,840	40.0%George Allen7,902	19,761
2008Class II	D	73.0%Mark Warner14,294	25.9%Jim Gilmore5,069	19,573
2006Class I	R	48.8%Jim Webb6,086	50.2%George Allen6,271	12,484
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	84.3%John Warner6,793	8,060
2000Class I	R	47.8%Chuck Robb8,365	52.2%George Allen9,152	17,518
1996Class II	R	48.0%Mark Warner8,344	51.9%John Warner9,021	17,370
1994Class I	R	39.8%Chuck Robb6,224	52.2%Oliver North8,171	15,657
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	88.2%John Warner6,193	7,019
1988Class I	D	66.5%Chuck Robb10,992	33.5%Maurice A. Dawkins5,526	16,519
1984Class II	R	22.7%Edythe Harrison3,639	77.3%John Warner12,372	16,012
1982Class I	R	41.3%Dick Davis5,193	58.7%Paul S. Trible7,378	12,574
1978Class II	R	37.0%Andrew Miller4,564	63.0%John Warner7,764	12,329
1976Class I	D	23.3%Elmo Zumwalt3,313	0.0%None0	14,245
1972Class II	R	31.5%William B. Spong Jr.5,106	66.5%Bill Scott10,772	16,209
1970Class I	D	25.7%George C. Rawlings Jr.2,632	7.2%Ray Garland735	10,247
1966Class II	D	53.8%William B. Spong Jr.3,682	25.2%James P. Ould Jr.1,725	6,838
1964Class I	D	70.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.7,679	12.0%Richard A. May1,309	10,883
1960Class II	D	88.7%A. Willis Robertson4,856	0.0%None0	5,472
1958Class I	D	83.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.4,177	0.0%None0	5,020
1954Class II	D	80.4%A. Willis Robertson1,295	0.0%None0	1,611
1952Class I	D	75.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.5,608	0.0%None0	7,388
1948Class II	D	68.1%A. Willis Robertson3,220	24.6%Robert H. Woods1,166	4,731
1946Class I	D	73.8%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,912	15.9%Lester S. Parsons413	2,590
1942Class II	D	92.2%Carter Glass846	0.0%None0	918
1940Class I	D	97.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,735	0.0%None0	3,848
1936Class II	D	94.4%Carter Glass3,343	2.5%George Rohlson89	3,540
1934Class I	D	90.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.924	6.9%Lawrence C. Page70	1,017
1930Class II	D	76.8%Carter Glass604	0.0%None0	786
1928Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson2,782	0.0%None0	2,782
1924Class II	D	87.4%Carter Glass1,834	3.1%William Doak64	2,098
1922Class I	D	96.7%Claude Swanson964	2.7%J.W. McGavock27	997
1918Class II	D	100.0%Thomas S. Martin243	0.0%None0	243
1916Class I	D	99.9%Claude Swanson1,342	0.0%None0	1,343

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1966Special · Class I	D	43.9%Harry F. Byrd Jr.3,295	23.6%Lawrence Traylor1,775	7,512
1933Special · Class I	D	78.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,502	18.4%Henry Wise352	1,917

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2025	D	62.4%Abigail Spanberger7,678	37.3%Winsome Earle-Sears4,592	12,299
2017	D	57.2%Ralph Northam6,304	42.3%Ed Gillespie4,664	11,027
2013	D	49.7%Terry McAuliffe5,389	44.5%Ken Cuccinelli4,824	10,836
2009	R	44.9%Creigh Deeds4,906	55.0%Bob McDonnell6,001	10,918
2005	D	53.3%Tim Kaine6,052	45.6%Jerry Kilgore5,177	11,350
2001	D	53.5%Mark Warner7,346	44.8%Mark Earley6,150	13,730
1997	R	39.8%Don Beyer4,828	59.1%Jim Gilmore7,165	12,127
1993	R	38.9%Mary Sue Terry5,694	60.4%George Allen8,844	14,643
1989	R	40.4%Douglas Wilder6,944	59.5%Marshall Coleman10,223	17,169
1985	R	41.9%Gerald Baliles4,718	58.1%Wyatt Durrette6,548	11,267
1981	R	38.8%Chuck Robb6,108	61.1%Marshall Coleman9,603	15,723
1977	R	31.9%Henry Howell4,272	67.5%John N. Dalton9,050	13,402

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Danville city, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	28,450
2018	27,935
2020	28,395
2022	28,737
2024	29,102

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−114 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −1,225 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $44,802 in average income, against $52,991 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+29.9 on average — 51 points more Republican-leaning than Danville city, VA itself (D+21.0).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Pittsylvania County, VA375R+43.1
Guilford County, NC47D+21.8
Rockingham County, NC40R+35.8
Caswell County, NC38R+24.5
Henry County, VA35R+32.8
Halifax County, VA31R+21.0

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Pittsylvania County, VA356
Guilford County, NC47
Caswell County, NC41
Rockingham County, NC35
Halifax County, VA34
Henry County, VA21

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Danville city, VA in Danville city, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−116
2012	+194
2013	+23
2014	−320
2015	−217
2016	−149
2017	−425
2018	−165
2019	−410
2021	+86
2022	+136
2023	+201
2024	+51
2025	−114

Danville, a former textile hub on the North Carolina border, has shifted decisively toward Democrats over the past two decades as its population has grown majority-Black and its manufacturing base has contracted.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 79.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.0 points.

A population of 42,214, a 39% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,423 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hinds County and Washington County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Hinds County

Mississippi

95.9twin score

2012–2024 trajectory≠ college share

Washington County

Mississippi

95.5twin score

2012–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

Bibb County

Georgia

95.3twin score

2016–2024 trajectory% Black≠ % Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

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Cities & towns in Danville city

Danville

D+21

42.2K residents

Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2025 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Danville city, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Danville city, Virginia voted Democratic by 21.0 points (D+21.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 17,712 votes cast, 10,615 went Democratic and 6,894 went Republican.

When did Danville city, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Danville city, Virginia voted Republican was 2000.

How many people live in Danville city, Virginia?

Danville city, Virginia has a population of 42,214 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Danville city, Virginia?

Median household income in Danville city, Virginia is $44,423 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Danville city, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Danville city, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.

Measure

Danville city

Virginia

United States

Median age

40.4

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

8.6%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

21.1%

16.7%

17.2%

Measure

Danville city

Virginia

United States

Median household income

$44,423

$93,170

$84,427

Poverty rate

24.7%

10.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

19.6%

42.3%

35.6%

Measure

Danville city

Virginia

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

4.9%

17.5%

22.3%

Spanish

3.5%

7.9%

13.6%

Measure

Danville city

Virginia

United States

Catholic

9.5%

10.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

47.8%

19.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

27.3%

54.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

7.6%

8.4%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

D+21.0MIT Election Lab

Population

42,2142024 5-year

Median household income

$44,4232024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

38.8%2024 5-year

Black

50.5%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

5.6%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+77.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+79.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Hinds County, MS · twin score 95.9

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

19,218

32,383

59.3%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

15,241

31,729

48.0%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

19,683

30,892

63.7%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

12,052

32,213

37.4%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

17,888

31,809

56.2%

A/A

Danville city precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -004 - WARD FOUR004 - WARD FOUR

1,101

889

2,014

54.7%

44.1%

D+10.5

Precinct -016 - WARD SIXTEEN016 - WARD SIXTEEN

672

930

1,617

41.6%

57.5%

R+16.0

Precinct -012 - WARD TWELVE012 - WARD TWELVE

1,046

547

1,611

64.9%

34.0%

D+31.0

Precinct -011 - WARD ELEVEN011 - WARD ELEVEN

1,061

477

1,554

68.3%

30.7%

D+37.6

Precinct -017 - WARD SEVENTEEN017 - WARD SEVENTEEN

515

962

1,488

34.6%

64.7%

R+30.0

Precinct -013 - WARD THIRTEEN013 - WARD THIRTEEN

959

462

1,446

66.3%

32.0%

D+34.4

Precinct -015 - WARD FIFTEEN015 - WARD FIFTEEN

723

661

1,399

51.7%

47.2%

D+4.4

Precinct -010 - WARD TEN010 - WARD TEN

705

450

1,172

60.2%

38.4%

D+21.8

Precinct -003 - WARD THREE003 - WARD THREE

717

273

1,009

71.1%

27.1%

D+44.0

Precinct -007 - WARD SEVEN007 - WARD SEVEN

716

161

886

80.8%

18.2%

D+62.6

Precinct -008 - WARD EIGHT008 - WARD EIGHT

587

266

862

68.1%

30.9%

D+37.2

Precinct -009 - WARD NINE009 - WARD NINE

455

370

833

54.6%

44.4%

D+10.2

Precinct -001 - WARD ONE001 - WARD ONE

423

119

550

76.9%

21.6%

D+55.3

Precinct -002 - WARD TWO002 - WARD TWO

341

196

542

62.9%

36.2%

D+26.8

Precinct -006 - WARD SIX006 - WARD SIX

400

116

518

77.2%

22.4%

D+54.8

Precinct -014 - WARD FOURTEEN014 - WARD FOURTEEN

194

211

91.9%

7.1%

D+84.8

Ward Eight51590000008

—

No votes

Ward Eleven51590000011

—

No votes

Ward Fifteen51590000015

—

No votes

Ward Four51590000004

—

No votes

Ward Fourteen51590000014

—

No votes

Ward Nine51590000009

—

No votes

Ward One51590000001

—

No votes

Ward Seven51590000007

—

No votes

Ward Seventeen51590000017

—

No votes

Ward Six51590000006

—

No votes

Ward Sixteen51590000016

—

No votes

Ward Ten51590000010

—

No votes

Ward Thirteen51590000013

—

No votes

Ward Three51590000003

—

No votes

Ward Twelve51590000012

—

No votes

Ward Two51590000002

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+26.8%
1896	+21.7%
1900	+64.1%
1904	+75.1%
1908	+63.7%
1912	+77.2%
1916	+61.7%
1920	+54.0%
1924	+49.3%
1928	−32.7%
1932	+49.4%
1936	+70.7%
1940	+61.3%
1944	+43.3%
1948	+13.9%
1952	−17.7%
1956	−27.9%
1960	−30.2%
1964	−33.8%
1968	−13.6%
1972	−79.0%
1976	−22.1%
1980	−26.1%
1984	−34.7%
1988	−24.5%
1992	−7.4%
1996	−5.9%
2000	−6.6%
2004	+0.2%
2008	+19.1%
2012	+22.1%
2016	+19.8%
2020	+22.1%
2024	+21.0%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

59.9%Harris10,615

38.9%Trump6,894

0.3%Oliver45 +4

D+21.0

R+1.1

D+22.5

17,712

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Kamala D HarrisDemocratic59.9%10,615
Donald J TrumpRepublican38.9%6,894
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%45
OtherAll other candidates0.3%45
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%44
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%35
Cornel R WestIndependent0.2%34

2020

60.4%Biden11,710

38.3%Trump7,428

1.0%Jorgensen195

D+22.1

D+2.3

D+17.6

19,389

2016

58.4%Clinton11,059

38.6%Trump7,303

1.7%Johnson315

D+19.8

R+2.2

D+17.7

18,940

2012

60.5%Obama12,218

38.4%Romney7,763

1.1%

D+22.1

D+2.9

D+18.2

20,204

2008

59.1%Obama12,352

40.0%McCain8,361

0.8%

D+19.1

D+18.9

D+11.8

20,890

2004

49.4%Kerry9,436

49.2%Bush9,399

1.4%

D+0.2

D+6.8

D+2.7

19,112

2000

44.9%Gore8,221

51.5%Bush9,427

0.9%Nader168

R+6.6

R+0.7

R+7.1

18,307

1996

44.1%Clinton8,168

50.0%Dole9,254

4.1%Perot762

R+5.9

D+1.5

R+14.4

18,519

1992

41.4%Clinton8,134

48.7%Bush9,584

8.5%Perot1,679

R+7.4

D+17.1

R+12.9

19,661

1988

37.0%Dukakis7,353

61.5%Bush12,221

1.5%

R+24.5

D+10.2

R+16.8

19,874

1984

32.2%Mondale5,846

66.9%Reagan12,141

1.0%

R+34.7

R+8.6

R+16.4

18,161

1980

35.4%Carter6,138

61.4%Reagan10,665

3.2%

R+26.1

R+3.9

R+16.3

17,362

1976

37.3%Carter6,425

59.5%Ford10,235

3.2%

R+22.1

D+56.9

R+24.2

17,212

1972

9.0%McGovern541

88.0%Nixon5,304

3.0%

R+79.0

R+65.4

R+55.9

6,028

1968

26.6%Humphrey4,495

40.3%Nixon6,796

33.1%

R+13.6

D+20.1

R+12.9

16,874

1964

33.1%Johnson1,198

66.9%Goldwater2,420

0.1%

R+33.8

R+3.5

R+56.3

3,620

1960

33.5%Kennedy2,611

63.7%Nixon4,966

2.8%

R+30.2

R+2.4

R+30.4

7,794

1956

31.2%Stevenson2,409

59.0%Eisenhower4,561

9.8%

R+27.9

R+10.2

R+12.5

7,726

1952

40.8%Stevenson3,323

58.5%Eisenhower4,765

0.7%

R+17.7

R+31.6

R+6.9

8,146

1948

42.8%Truman2,334

29.0%Dewey1,579

28.2%

D+13.9

R+29.4

D+9.4

5,448

1944

71.5%Roosevelt3,121

28.2%Dewey1,231

0.3%

D+43.3

R+18.0

D+35.8

4,366

1940

80.3%Roosevelt3,324

19.0%Willkie787

0.7%

D+61.3

R+9.4

D+51.3

4,141

1936

84.9%Roosevelt3,266

14.3%Landon549

0.8%

D+70.7

D+21.2

D+46.4

3,845

1932

73.4%Roosevelt2,264

24.0%Hoover740

2.6%

D+49.4

D+82.1

D+31.6

3,084

1928

33.6%Smith1,196

66.4%Hoover2,360

0.0%

R+32.7

R+82.0

R+15.3

3,556

1924

70.4%Davis1,577

21.1%Coolidge473

8.3%La Follette187

D+49.3

R+4.7

D+74.4

2,241

1920

76.3%Cox1,888

22.3%Harding551

1.5%

D+54.0

R+7.7

D+80.2

2,476

1916

77.0%Wilson1,151

15.3%Hughes229

7.7%

D+61.7

R+15.5

D+58.5

1,495

1912

84.6%Wilson1,066

7.4%Taft93

8.0%

D+77.2

D+13.6

D+57.7

1,260

1908

81.0%Bryan963

17.3%Taft206

1.7%

D+63.7

R+11.4

D+73.2

1,189

1904

85.4%Parker836

10.3%Roosevelt101

4.3%

D+75.1

D+11.0

D+94.7

979

1900

79.8%Bryan1,575

15.7%McKinley310

4.5%

D+64.1

D+42.4

D+71.7

1,973

1896

59.3%Bryan1,702

37.5%McKinley1,078

3.2%

D+21.7

R+5.1

D+27.8

2,872

1892

63.1%Cleveland1,234

36.3%Harrison710

0.6%

D+26.8

—

D+25.1

1,956

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

59.8%11,134

40.2%7,487

18,621

2020

66.1%7,835

33.9%4,016

11,851

2018

61.2%9,216

38.8%5,847

15,063

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

63.4%10,986

36.6%6,335

17,321

2020Class II

65.2%Mark Warner12,519

34.8%Daniel Gade6,680

19,213

2018Class I

62.3%Tim Kaine9,418

36.5%Corey Stewart5,518

15,114

2014Class II

57.9%Mark Warner6,259

41.0%Ed Gillespie4,436

10,812

2012Class I

59.9%Tim Kaine11,840

40.0%George Allen7,902

19,761

2008Class II

73.0%Mark Warner14,294

25.9%Jim Gilmore5,069

19,573

2006Class I

48.8%Jim Webb6,086

50.2%George Allen6,271

12,484

2002Class II

0.0%None0

84.3%John Warner6,793

8,060

2000Class I

47.8%Chuck Robb8,365

52.2%George Allen9,152

17,518

1996Class II

48.0%Mark Warner8,344

51.9%John Warner9,021

17,370

1994Class I

39.8%Chuck Robb6,224

52.2%Oliver North8,171

15,657

1990Class II

0.0%None0

88.2%John Warner6,193

7,019

1988Class I

66.5%Chuck Robb10,992

33.5%Maurice A. Dawkins5,526

16,519

1984Class II

22.7%Edythe Harrison3,639

77.3%John Warner12,372

16,012

1982Class I

41.3%Dick Davis5,193

58.7%Paul S. Trible7,378

12,574

1978Class II

37.0%Andrew Miller4,564

63.0%John Warner7,764

12,329

1976Class I

23.3%Elmo Zumwalt3,313

0.0%None0

14,245

1972Class II

31.5%William B. Spong Jr.5,106

66.5%Bill Scott10,772

16,209

1970Class I

25.7%George C. Rawlings Jr.2,632

7.2%Ray Garland735

10,247

1966Class II

53.8%William B. Spong Jr.3,682

25.2%James P. Ould Jr.1,725

6,838

1964Class I

70.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.7,679

12.0%Richard A. May1,309

10,883

1960Class II

88.7%A. Willis Robertson4,856

0.0%None0

5,472

1958Class I

83.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.4,177

0.0%None0

5,020

1954Class II

80.4%A. Willis Robertson1,295

0.0%None0

1,611

1952Class I

75.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.5,608

0.0%None0

7,388

1948Class II

68.1%A. Willis Robertson3,220

24.6%Robert H. Woods1,166

4,731

1946Class I

73.8%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,912

15.9%Lester S. Parsons413

2,590

1942Class II

92.2%Carter Glass846

0.0%None0

918

1940Class I

97.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,735

0.0%None0

3,848

1936Class II

94.4%Carter Glass3,343

2.5%George Rohlson89

3,540

1934Class I

90.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.924

6.9%Lawrence C. Page70

1,017

1930Class II

76.8%Carter Glass604

0.0%None0

786

1928Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson2,782

0.0%None0

2,782

1924Class II

87.4%Carter Glass1,834

3.1%William Doak64

2,098

1922Class I

96.7%Claude Swanson964

2.7%J.W. McGavock27

997

1918Class II

100.0%Thomas S. Martin243

0.0%None0

243

1916Class I

99.9%Claude Swanson1,342

0.0%None0

1,343

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1966Special · Class I

43.9%Harry F. Byrd Jr.3,295

23.6%Lawrence Traylor1,775

7,512

1933Special · Class I

78.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,502

18.4%Henry Wise352

1,917

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2025

62.4%Abigail Spanberger7,678

37.3%Winsome Earle-Sears4,592

12,299

2017

57.2%Ralph Northam6,304

42.3%Ed Gillespie4,664

11,027

2013

49.7%Terry McAuliffe5,389

44.5%Ken Cuccinelli4,824

10,836

2009

44.9%Creigh Deeds4,906

55.0%Bob McDonnell6,001

10,918

2005

53.3%Tim Kaine6,052

45.6%Jerry Kilgore5,177

11,350

2001

53.5%Mark Warner7,346

44.8%Mark Earley6,150

13,730

1997

39.8%Don Beyer4,828

59.1%Jim Gilmore7,165

12,127

1993

38.9%Mary Sue Terry5,694

60.4%George Allen8,844

14,643

1989

40.4%Douglas Wilder6,944

59.5%Marshall Coleman10,223

17,169

1985

41.9%Gerald Baliles4,718

58.1%Wyatt Durrette6,548

11,267

1981

38.8%Chuck Robb6,108

61.1%Marshall Coleman9,603

15,723

1977

31.9%Henry Howell4,272

67.5%John N. Dalton9,050

13,402

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Danville city, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	28,450
2018	27,935
2020	28,395
2022	28,737
2024	29,102

How did Danville city, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Danville city, Virginia voted Democratic by 21.0 points (D+21.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 17,712 votes cast, 10,615 went Democratic and 6,894 went Republican.

When did Danville city, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Danville city, Virginia voted Republican was 2000.

How many people live in Danville city, Virginia?

Danville city, Virginia has a population of 42,214 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Danville city, Virginia?

Median household income in Danville city, Virginia is $44,423 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Danville city, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Danville city, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.