HarrisDemocratic33.2%2,298TrumpRepublican65.4%4,523KennedyIndependent0.5%38
R+32.2- Lead
- 2,225
- Total
- 6,915
- vs nation
- R+30.7
- Turnout
- 65.3%
Akashiccounty
Lake County, MI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.3% of 10,663 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic36.2%2,288TrumpRepublican62.4%3,946JorgensenLibertarian1.0%65
R+26.2- Lead
- 1,658
- Total
- 6,323
- vs nation
- R+30.7
- Turnout
- 65.0%
ClintonDemocratic36.2%1,939TrumpRepublican59.0%3,159JohnsonLibertarian2.8%152
R+22.8- Lead
- 1,220
- Total
- 5,358
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Turnout
- 58.0%
ObamaDemocratic51.8%2,752RomneyRepublican46.8%2,487Goode,Ust0.5%24
D+5.0- Lead
- 265
- Total
- 5,310
- vs nation
- D+1.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic55.2%2,919McCainRepublican42.9%2,269OtherAll other candidates2.0%104
D+12.3- Lead
- 650
- Total
- 5,292
- vs nation
- D+5.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic51.0%2,675BushRepublican47.7%2,503OtherAll other candidates1.3%68
D+3.3- Lead
- 172
- Total
- 5,246
- vs nation
- D+5.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic55.1%2,584BushRepublican41.8%1,961NaderGreen2.3%110
D+13.3- Lead
- 623
- Total
- 4,693
- vs nation
- D+12.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic59.3%2,606DoleRepublican27.6%1,213PerotReform12.6%552
D+31.7- Lead
- 1,393
- Total
- 4,394
- vs nation
- D+23.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 12,5632024 5-year
- Median household income
- $50,8052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.9 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Henderson County, IL · twin score 85.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.3%6,968 participants ÷ 10,663 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.4%–54.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,448 | 9,390 | 58.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,809 | 9,735 | 49.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,389 | 9,830 | 65.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,312 | 10,410 | 51.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,968 | 10,663 | 65.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 6,915 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Pleasant Plains Township, Precinct 12Pleasant Plains Township, Precinct 12 | 320 | 455 | 13 | 788 | 40.6% | 57.7% | R+17.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Elk Township, Precinct 5Elk Township, Precinct 5 | 266 | 456 | 12 | 734 | 36.2% | 62.1% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -Chase Township, Precinct 1Chase Township, Precinct 1 | 126 | 539 | 12 | 677 | 18.6% | 79.6% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -Webber Township, Precinct 17Webber Township, Precinct 17 | 285 | 351 | 16 | 652 | 43.7% | 53.8% | R+10.1 |
| Precinct -Lake Township, Precinct 7Lake Township, Precinct 7 | 219 | 380 | 7 | 606 | 36.1% | 62.7% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -Ellsworth Township, Precinct 6Ellsworth Township, Precinct 6 | 127 | 365 | 7 | 499 | 25.5% | 73.1% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -Pinora Township, Precinct 11Pinora Township, Precinct 11 | 111 | 350 | 3 | 464 | 23.9% | 75.4% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -Yates Township, Precinct 19Yates Township, Precinct 19 | 280 | 179 | 3 | 462 | 60.6% | 38.7% | D+21.9 |
| Precinct -Newkirk Township, Precinct 8Newkirk Township, Precinct 8 | 80 | 310 | 2 | 392 | 20.4% | 79.1% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -Eden Township, Precinct 4Eden Township, Precinct 4 | 101 | 233 | 6 | 340 | 29.7% | 68.5% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -Peacock Township, Precinct 10Peacock Township, Precinct 10 | 97 | 212 | 3 | 312 | 31.1% | 67.9% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -Sauble Township, Precinct 15Sauble Township, Precinct 15 | 92 | 207 | 3 | 302 | 30.5% | 68.5% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -Cherry Valley Township, Precinct 2Cherry Valley Township, Precinct 2 | 90 | 190 | 6 | 286 | 31.5% | 66.4% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -Dover Township, Precinct 3Dover Township, Precinct 3 | 48 | 206 | 0 | 254 | 18.9% | 81.1% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -Sweetwater Township, Precinct 16Sweetwater Township, Precinct 16 | 56 | 90 | 1 | 147 | 38.1% | 61.2% | R+23.1 |
| 0851488000001085-14880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0851510000002085-15100-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0852280000003085-22800-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0852480000004085-24800-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0852526000005085-25260-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0852544000006085-25440-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0854432000007085-44320-00007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0855748000008085-57480-00008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0856312000010085-63120-00010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0856444000011085-64440-00011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0856488000012085-64880-00012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0857168000015085-71680-00015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0857774000016085-77740-00016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0858506000017085-85060-00017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0858904000019085-89040-00019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −2.8% |
| 1896 | −23.3% |
| 1900 | −40.2% |
| 1904 | −60.9% |
| 1908 | −43.0% |
| 1912 | −4.3% |
| 1916 | −24.9% |
| 1920 | −53.7% |
| 1924 | −48.6% |
| 1928 | −47.0% |
| 1932 | +10.8% |
| 1936 | +9.9% |
| 1940 | −13.7% |
| 1944 | −18.0% |
| 1948 | −10.9% |
| 1952 | −15.7% |
| 1956 | −19.7% |
| 1960 | −4.6% |
| 1964 | +42.9% |
| 1968 | +13.9% |
| 1972 | +0.5% |
| 1976 | +15.3% |
| 1980 | +7.8% |
| 1984 | −7.0% |
| 1988 | +6.6% |
| 1992 | +25.5% |
| 1996 | +31.7% |
| 2000 | +13.3% |
| 2004 | +3.3% |
| 2008 | +12.3% |
| 2012 | +5.0% |
| 2016 | −22.8% |
| 2020 | −26.2% |
| 2024 | −32.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 32.2%2,071 | 67.8%4,369 | 6,440 |
| 2020 | R | 33.8%2,003 | 66.2%3,923 | 5,926 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,217 |
| 2018 | 9,278 |
| 2020 | 10,028 |
| 2022 | 10,512 |
| 2024 | 11,194 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+268 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,366 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,962 in average income, against $52,552 for residents who stayed — 1% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+22.6 on average — 9.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Lake County, MI itself (R+32.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Kent County, MI57D+5.4
- Osceola County, MI56R+47.9
- Mason County, MI27R+21.4
- Mecosta County, MI27R+30.0
- Newaygo County, MI25R+42.8
- Ottawa County, MI25R+20.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Osceola County, MI49
- Kent County, MI46
- Mecosta County, MI30
- Mason County, MI29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +8 |
| 2012 | +41 |
| 2013 | −12 |
| 2014 | +65 |
| 2015 | +355 |
| 2016 | +187 |
| 2017 | +176 |
| 2018 | −51 |
| 2019 | +23 |
| 2021 | +325 |
| 2022 | +468 |
| 2023 | +176 |
| 2024 | +337 |
| 2025 | +268 |
Lake County sits in Michigan's northern Lower Peninsula with one of the state's smallest populations, yet its lopsided presidential margins—exceeding 30 points in 2024—reflect a broader rural realignment visible across the Great Lakes region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.9 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.2 points.
A population of 12,563, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,805 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Henderson County and Adams County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Henderson County
Illinois
85.4twin score
2000–2008 trajectorymedian age≠ 12-yr trend
Adams County
Wisconsin
84.8twin score
12-yr trend2000–2008 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Forest County
Wisconsin
84.8twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lake County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26085/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lake County, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lake County, Michigan voted Republican by 32.2 points (R+32.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,915 votes cast, 2,298 went Democratic and 4,523 went Republican.
When did Lake County, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lake County, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Lake County, Michigan?
Lake County, Michigan has a population of 12,563 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lake County, Michigan?
Median household income in Lake County, Michigan is $50,805 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Lake County, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lake County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.