Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)
presidential margin
2008D+13.62012D+12.12016D+14.62020D+16.62024D+14.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
D+14.7
2024
median income$83,280U.S. $80,734 · NC $72,388
median age37.8U.S. 39.1
poverty rate12.3%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)41.4%U.S. 35.6%
non-english15.7%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English12.1%
German8.5%
Irish8.0%
African American†22.5%
African0.6%
Jamaican0.3%
Mexican6.1%
Puerto Rican1.6%
Honduran0.8%
Asian Indian2.0%
Chinese0.7%
Filipino0.3%
Lumbee0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline7.8%
Black Protestant3.9%
Muslim1.9%
Other Christian1.1%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina

Akashic
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)HarrisD+14.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), NCA map of the constituent counties of Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), NC, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Vance County, NC · D+13.3Mecklenburg County, VA · R+20.8Halifax County, NC · D+17.7Orange County, NC · D+50.8Cumberland County, NC · D+13.4Wayne County, NC · R+16.4Lee County, NC · R+17.4Harnett County, NC · R+25.0Moore County, NC · R+29.4Warren County, NC · D+18.9Edgecombe County, NC · D+22.7Hoke County, NC · D+5.9Johnston County, NC · R+21.5Granville County, NC · R+9.4Nash County, NC · R+1.8Chatham County, NC · D+12.4Franklin County, NC · R+13.5Wilson County, NC · D+0.4Durham County, NC · D+61.7Sampson County, NC · R+29.7Wake County, NC · D+25.4Person County, NC · R+23.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic56.5%1,008,847
Donald TrumpRepublican41.8%747,014
Jill SteinGreen1.7%29,470
D+60
R+60
22 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (22 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), NC — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Chatham County, NCDemocraticD+12.4
Cumberland County, NCDemocraticD+13.4
Durham County, NCDemocraticD+61.7
Edgecombe County, NCDemocraticD+22.7
Franklin County, NCRepublicanR+13.5
Granville County, NCRepublicanR+9.4
Halifax County, NCDemocraticD+17.7
Harnett County, NCRepublicanR+25.0
Hoke County, NCDemocraticD+5.9
Johnston County, NCRepublicanR+21.5
Lee County, NCRepublicanR+17.4
Mecklenburg County, VARepublicanR+20.8
Moore County, NCRepublicanR+29.4
Nash County, NCRepublicanR+1.8
Orange County, NCDemocraticD+50.8
Person County, NCRepublicanR+23.7
Sampson County, NCRepublicanR+29.7
Vance County, NCDemocraticD+13.3
Wake County, NCDemocraticD+25.4
Warren County, NCDemocraticD+18.9
Wayne County, NCRepublicanR+16.4
Wilson County, NCDemocraticD+0.4
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
56.5%Harris1,008,847
41.8%Trump747,014
1.7%Stein29,470
+14.7%
1,785,331
D
57.5%Biden999,009
40.9%Trump711,221
1.6%Jorgensen27,632
+16.6%
1,737,862
D
55.2%Clinton823,932
40.6%Trump605,805
4.2%Johnson62,266
+14.6%
1,492,003
D
55.4%Obama786,771
43.3%Romney614,913
1.2%Johnson17,200
+12.1%
1,418,884
D
56.4%Obama754,615
42.8%McCain572,757
0.8%Barr10,994
+13.6%
1,338,366
R
49.4%Kerry524,659
50.2%Bush533,317
0.4%Badnarik4,246
−0.8%
1,062,222
R
48.5%Gore406,920
50.8%Bush426,768
0.7%Browne5,912
−2.4%
839,600
D
48.6%Clinton356,554
45.5%Dole333,328
5.9%Perot43,143
+3.2%
733,025
D
46.6%Clinton337,302
40.3%Bush291,733
13.1%Perot94,562
+6.3%
723,597
R
46.1%Dukakis261,156
53.5%Bush302,977
0.4%Fulani2,394
−7.4%
566,527
R
42.5%Mondale244,999
57.3%Reagan330,002
0.2%Bergland1,308
−14.7%
576,309
D
50.0%Carter232,953
45.5%Reagan212,392
4.5%Anderson20,956
+4.4%
466,301
D
55.7%Carter226,515
43.7%Ford177,917
0.6%Anderson2,402
+11.9%
406,834
R
30.9%McGovern119,062
67.6%Nixon260,561
1.4%Schmitz5,550
−36.7%
385,173
O
32.1%Humphrey122,879
31.3%Nixon119,810
36.6%Wallace140,283
Wallace +4.5
382,972
D
59.6%Johnson188,170
40.4%Goldwater127,564
0.0%
+19.2%
315,734
D
62.4%Kennedy175,013
37.5%Nixon105,245
0.0%Byrd65
+24.9%
280,323
D
63.0%Stevenson152,470
36.6%Eisenhower88,586
0.4%Andrews932
+26.4%
241,988
D
65.5%Stevenson165,758
34.5%Eisenhower87,158
0.0%Hallinan38
+31.1%
252,954
D
71.8%Truman121,660
20.7%Dewey35,095
7.5%Thurmond12,621
+51.1%
169,376
D
76.9%Roosevelt125,456
23.1%Dewey37,773
0.0%
+53.7%
163,229
D
82.2%Roosevelt138,547
17.8%Willkie30,005
0.0%Thomas3
+64.4%
168,555
D
83.2%Roosevelt143,646
16.8%Landon28,988
0.0%Lemke2
+66.4%
172,636
D
79.5%Roosevelt116,008
19.5%Hoover28,419
1.0%Thomas1,425
+60.1%
145,852
D
53.1%Smith71,769
46.9%Hoover63,419
0.0%
+6.2%
135,188
D
65.9%Davis62,996
32.5%Coolidge31,003
1.6%La Follette1,525
+33.5%
95,524
D
62.9%Cox71,773
37.1%Harding42,321
0.0%Debs7
+25.8%
114,101
D
64.0%Wilson42,044
35.8%Hughes23,495
0.2%Benson104
+28.3%
65,643
D
64.0%Wilson36,075
9.3%Taft5,227
26.7%Roosevelt15,030
+54.8%
56,332
D
57.9%Bryan34,329
42.0%Taft24,905
0.1%Debs74
+15.9%
59,308
D
66.7%Parker31,904
32.7%Roosevelt15,656
0.6%Debs268
+34.0%
47,828
D
55.9%Bryan45,791
43.5%McKinley35,699
0.6%Woolley489
+12.3%
81,979
D
54.5%Bryan50,056
45.1%McKinley41,466
0.4%Palmer372
+9.3%
91,894
D
43.9%Cleveland34,940
30.2%Harrison24,019
25.9%Weaver20,569
+13.7%
79,528
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +14.7% in 2024.flipped D · 2008+14.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+13.7%
1896+9.3%
1900+12.3%
1904+34.0%
1908+15.9%
1912+54.8%
1916+28.3%
1920+25.8%
1924+33.5%
1928+6.2%
1932+60.1%
1936+66.4%
1940+64.4%
1944+53.7%
1948+51.1%
1952+31.1%
1956+26.4%
1960+24.9%
1964+19.2%
1968+0.8%
1972−36.7%
1976+11.9%
1980+4.4%
1984−14.7%
1988−7.4%
1992+6.3%
1996+3.2%
2000−2.4%
2004−0.8%
2008+13.6%
2012+12.1%
2016+14.6%
2020+16.6%
2024+14.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)Registered voters by party of registration, 2008–2012. Latest total 2,013,392 in 2012.503.3K1M1.5M2M2M20082012
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2008 (partial)1,769,603897,972482,396387,8741,361
2012 (partial)2,013,392961,969527,178517,9816,264
Source: State election authorities

Home to Fort Liberty and three major research universities, this market blends a highly educated urban core with one of the country's largest active-duty military populations, producing consistently competitive margins in federal and statewide races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 36.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.7 points.

A population of 3,393,797, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,280 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Richmond-Petersburg and Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Richmond-Petersburg
Virginia
92.5twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News
Virginia
90.5twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Baltimore
Maryland
89.7twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ median income

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/560/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)

counties22
Chatham CountyCumberland CountyDurham CountyEdgecombe CountyFranklin CountyGranville CountyHalifax CountyHarnett CountyHoke CountyJohnston CountyLee CountyMecklenburg CountyMoore CountyNash CountyOrange CountyPerson CountySampson CountyVance CountyWake CountyWarren CountyWayne CountyWilson County

Frequently asked questions

How did Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina voted Democratic by 14.7 points (D+14.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,785,331 votes cast, 1,008,847 went Democratic and 747,014 went Republican.
When did Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina?
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina has a population of 3,393,797 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina?
Median household income in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina is $83,280 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.