HarrisDemocratic56.5%1,008,847TrumpRepublican41.8%747,014OtherAll other candidates1.7%29,470
D+14.7- Lead
- 261,833
- Total
- 1,785,331
- vs nation
- D+16.1
Akashicmedia market
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
22 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic57.5%999,009TrumpRepublican40.9%711,221OtherAll other candidates1.6%27,632
D+16.6- Lead
- 287,788
- Total
- 1,737,862
- vs nation
- D+12.1
ClintonDemocratic55.2%823,932TrumpRepublican40.6%605,805OtherAll other candidates4.2%62,266
D+14.6- Lead
- 218,127
- Total
- 1,492,003
- vs nation
- D+12.5
ObamaDemocratic55.4%786,771RomneyRepublican43.3%614,913OtherAll other candidates1.2%17,200
D+12.1- Lead
- 171,858
- Total
- 1,418,884
- vs nation
- D+8.3
ObamaDemocratic56.4%754,615McCainRepublican42.8%572,757OtherAll other candidates0.8%10,994
D+13.6- Lead
- 181,858
- Total
- 1,338,366
- vs nation
- D+6.3
KerryDemocratic49.4%524,659BushRepublican50.2%533,317OtherAll other candidates0.4%4,246
R+0.8- Lead
- 8,658
- Total
- 1,062,222
- vs nation
- D+1.6
GoreDemocratic48.5%406,920BushRepublican50.8%426,768OtherAll other candidates0.7%5,912
R+2.4- Lead
- 19,848
- Total
- 839,600
- vs nation
- R+2.9
ClintonDemocratic48.6%356,554DoleRepublican45.5%333,328OtherAll other candidates5.9%43,143
D+3.2- Lead
- 23,226
- Total
- 733,025
- vs nation
- R+5.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,393,7972024 5-year
- Population density
- 284 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 11,944 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $83,2802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 53.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 24.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+36.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Richmond-Petersburg, VA · twin score 92.5
presidential history
Party record book
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville) · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
83.2%
143,646 votes · D+66.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 82.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
67.6%
260,561 votes · R+36.7
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 57.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
1,008,847votes
56.5% of the vote · D+14.7
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 999,009 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
747,014votes
41.8% of the vote · D+14.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 711,221 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+58.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.5 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +54.4 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+13.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.7 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · +5.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2012D+21.6
Presidential vote · 2024D+14.7
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 6.9 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 (partial) | 1,769,603 | 897,972 | 482,396 | 387,874 | 1,361 |
| 2012 (partial) | 2,013,392 | 961,969 | 527,178 | 517,981 | 6,264 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+25,903 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +283,043 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +17,323 |
| 2012 | +9,050 |
| 2013 | +13,551 |
| 2014 | +10,449 |
| 2015 | +11,981 |
| 2016 | +22,841 |
| 2017 | +14,996 |
| 2018 | +24,468 |
| 2019 | +22,506 |
| 2021 | +40,794 |
| 2022 | +23,178 |
| 2023 | +25,820 |
| 2024 | +20,183 |
| 2025 | +25,903 |
Home to Fort Liberty and three major research universities, this market blends a highly educated urban core with one of the country's largest active-duty military populations, producing consistently competitive margins in federal and statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 36.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.7 points.
A population of 3,393,797, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,280 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Richmond-Petersburg and Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Richmond-Petersburg
Virginia
92.5twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News
Virginia
90.5twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Baltimore
Maryland
89.7twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/560/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina voted Democratic by 14.7 points (D+14.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,785,331 votes cast, 1,008,847 went Democratic and 747,014 went Republican.
When did Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina?
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina has a population of 3,393,797 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina?
Median household income in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina is $83,280 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), North Carolina from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.